{"id":12171,"date":"2008-09-16T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2008-09-16T04:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/2008\/09\/16\/sugar-to-see-shortfalls-in-2009\/"},"modified":"2019-09-16T13:50:25","modified_gmt":"2019-09-16T17:50:25","slug":"sugar-to-see-shortfalls-in-2009","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/markets\/sugar-to-see-shortfalls-in-2009\/","title":{"rendered":"Az\u00facar para ver d\u00e9ficit en 2009"},"content":{"rendered":"

Se pronostica que la demanda mundial de az\u00facar superar\u00e1 la producci\u00f3n por primera vez desde 2006, a\u00f1o en el que los precios alcanzaron un pico en 24 a\u00f1os, informa Bloomberg.com<\/a>. Incluso con existencias m\u00e1s altas que en 2006, deber\u00eda haber un d\u00e9ficit, ya que el mayor productor del mundo, Brasil, utilizar\u00e1 aproximadamente 57% de su ca\u00f1a de az\u00facar para producir etanol, y el segundo mayor productor, India, reducir\u00e1 los suministros de az\u00facar en 16% en 2009 a 23,9 millones de toneladas, poniendo sus esfuerzos en cultivos m\u00e1s rentables como el trigo. Mientras tanto, las reglas comerciales que proh\u00edben a los productores exportar excedentes reducir\u00e1n el procesamiento europeo en 15%, a 22,5 millones de toneladas.<\/p>\n

"Los fundamentos para el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o son mejores que en los \u00faltimos 12 meses y son los mejores para los valores de mercado en las \u00faltimas tres temporadas", dijo Sergey Gudoshnikov, economista senior de la empresa con sede en Londres. Organizaci\u00f3n Internacional del Az\u00facar<\/a> (ISO), que representa a los pa\u00edses que producen 82% del az\u00facar mundial. ISO estima que las existencias alcanzar\u00e1n un r\u00e9cord de 69,2 millones de toneladas m\u00e9tricas para 2008, mientras que las existencias de 2009 caer\u00e1n 5,8% a 65,2 millones de toneladas. Aunque esta ser\u00e1 la primera disminuci\u00f3n desde 2006, las existencias seguir\u00e1n siendo 18% m\u00e1s altas que las de ese a\u00f1o. Las ca\u00eddas de inventario se basan parcialmente en la desviaci\u00f3n prevista de m\u00e1s az\u00facar para producir etanol en lugar de edulcorante. ISO pronostica que el consumo mundial de etanol aumentar\u00e1 34% a unos 65.200 millones de litros en 2008.<\/p>\n

Se espera que el consumo global aumente 2.3% a 165.5 millones de toneladas m\u00e9tricas el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o; con una ca\u00edda de la producci\u00f3n de 4.4% a 161.6 millones de toneladas, ISO predice un d\u00e9ficit de 3.9 millones de toneladas. Este d\u00e9ficit podr\u00eda provocar que contin\u00fae la recuperaci\u00f3n; Los futuros de az\u00facar en los EE. UU. pueden saltar 28% a 18 centavos la libra el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o desde 14.06 centavos el 12 de septiembre, dijo el analista Jonathan Kingsman en Lausana, Suiza, cuya firma Kingsman SA<\/a> asesora a bancos, fondos de cobertura y compa\u00f1\u00edas Fortune 500 sobre compras de productos b\u00e1sicos. Bloomsberg tambi\u00e9n cita a Kona Haque, estratega de materias primas de Macquarie Bank Ltd. en Londres, diciendo que el precio puede alcanzar los 20 centavos, y a Jean Bourlot, director gerente y jefe de comercio agr\u00edcola de Morgan Stanley, quien dijo que podr\u00eda duplicarse en 18 meses.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Se pronostica que la demanda mundial de az\u00facar superar\u00e1 la producci\u00f3n por primera vez desde 2006, el a\u00f1o en que los precios alcanzaron un...<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12171","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-markets"],"yoast_head":"\nSugar to See Shortfalls in 2009 - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Global demand for sugar is forecast to top production for the first time since 2006, the year prices reached a 24-year peak, reports Bloomberg.com. 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