{"id":13290,"date":"2010-02-10T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2010-02-10T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/2010\/02\/10\/product-sales-expected-to-rise\/"},"modified":"2014-11-24T14:51:44","modified_gmt":"2014-11-24T19:51:44","slug":"product-sales-expected-to-rise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/markets\/product-sales-expected-to-rise\/","title":{"rendered":"Se espera que aumenten las ventas de productos"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La industria de protecci\u00f3n de cultivos est\u00e1 preparada para ganancias moderadas en 2010. Como muchos productores anticipan mejores ventas este a\u00f1o, parece que la mayor\u00eda de los mercados han liquidado parte del exceso de oferta de productos en la cadena de distribuci\u00f3n. Este regreso a niveles de oferta m\u00e1s normales, junto con la demanda constante generada por los precios estables de los cultivos, deber\u00eda correlacionarse con mejores vol\u00famenes de ventas para los fabricantes durante todo el a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<p>El regreso a los niveles normales de inventario y los precios adecuados de los cultivos deber\u00edan traer un aumento de 2% a 5% en el valor global de protecci\u00f3n de cultivos, dice Matthew Phillips, socio fundador de <a href=\"http:\/\/www.phillipsmcdougall.com\" target=\"_blank\">Phillips McDougall<\/a>, una consultor\u00eda de investigaci\u00f3n y seguimiento.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSiempre dijimos que 2009 iba a ser un a\u00f1o de reequilibrio, que es realmente lo que sucedi\u00f3\u201d, dice Phillips, asesor editorial de FCI. \u201cEn general, no creo que 2010 vaya a ser significativamente diferente de 2009, aparte del hecho de que muchas de estas situaciones de inventario de agroqu\u00edmicos se han aclarado\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Esas situaciones de inventario han sido un desaf\u00edo dif\u00edcil para la industria durante los \u00faltimos 12 meses. A\u00fan enfrentando el exceso de oferta de finales de 2008, el canal de distribuci\u00f3n se inund\u00f3 de pesticidas en 2009 y los fabricantes ten\u00edan pocos mercados para vender productos.<\/p>\n<p>Pero los fundamentos siguieron siendo buenos, o al menos lo suficientemente buenos. Los precios de los productos b\u00e1sicos y los precios de las cosechas en 2009 se mantuvieron estables en la mayor\u00eda de los mercados. Estaban por debajo de sus m\u00e1ximos de 2008, pero lo suficientemente robustos para mantener los ingresos agr\u00edcolas. No hubo disturbios por los alimentos en 2009, a diferencia de 2008, cuando los precios inflados de los cultivos y las escasas existencias mundiales de alimentos crearon una demanda hiperreaccionaria en todo el mundo.<\/p>\n<p>Pocos mercados se salvaron del dilema del exceso de oferta en 2009, incluido Estados Unidos. Afortunadamente, la industria agr\u00edcola ha tenido una temporada de siembra completa para trabajar parte del inventario en los campos. Este a\u00f1o, las ventas de productos deber\u00edan replicar m\u00e1s de cerca lo que los agricultores est\u00e1n aplicando a sus campos, dice Phillips.<\/p>\n<p>Pero algunos otros mercados importantes podr\u00edan ser una historia diferente. Brasil, por ejemplo, todav\u00eda tiene una gran oferta de inventario en el canal de distribuci\u00f3n. Adem\u00e1s, es dif\u00edcil obtener cr\u00e9dito en Brasil y en gran parte de Am\u00e9rica Latina.<\/p>\n<p>En Argentina, la peor sequ\u00eda en 100 a\u00f1os se convirti\u00f3 en inundaciones cuando finalmente llegaron las lluvias a la regi\u00f3n, que reabastecieron los embalses del interior y crearon optimismo para la temporada de cultivo 2009\/10 del pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n<p>Asia, aunque sufre las mismas presiones macroecon\u00f3micas que el resto del mundo, parece estar repuntando m\u00e1s r\u00e1pidamente que muchos pa\u00edses desarrollados. China e India proyectan un s\u00f3lido crecimiento econ\u00f3mico en 2010, y los precios de los cultivos y productos deber\u00edan ofrecer un a\u00f1o favorable para la regi\u00f3n, dice Phillips.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAsia es extraordinariamente resistente\u201d, dice. \u201cAunque nos encontramos en una situaci\u00f3n de relativa madurez en 2010, hay una ventaja, probablemente en el ma\u00edz y la soja, sobre todo en Brasil, Rusia, India y China, donde se est\u00e1 produciendo un crecimiento econ\u00f3mico y donde la demanda est\u00e1 creciendo. En t\u00e9rminos de porcentajes, el crecimiento en esos pa\u00edses probablemente superar\u00e1 significativamente el crecimiento en los mercados desarrollados &quot;.<\/p>\n<p>Por supuesto, que las empresas de protecci\u00f3n de cultivos tengan o no oportunidades depende de la confianza de los agricultores, que utilizan m\u00e1s insumos a medida que suben los precios de los cultivos. Es por eso que los precios de las materias primas, y las oportunidades y desaf\u00edos posteriores que surgen de sus fluctuaciones, ser\u00e1n seguidos tan de cerca como el clima en 2010.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cUna cosa que podr\u00eda perturbar todo esto (pron\u00f3stico) es si volvemos a tener una gran explosi\u00f3n en los precios del petr\u00f3leo\u201d, dice Phillips. &quot;Si eso sucede, se extraer\u00e1n los productos b\u00e1sicos de los cultivos y luego los agricultores fumigar\u00e1n, y la perspectiva cambiar\u00e1 por completo&quot;.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La industria de protecci\u00f3n de cultivos est\u00e1 lista para ganancias moderadas en 2010. Como muchos productores anticipan mejores ventas este a\u00f1o, es...<\/p>","protected":false},"author":93,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13290","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-markets"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Product Sales Expected To Rise - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The crop protection industry is poised for moderate gains in 2010. 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