{"id":3946,"date":"2008-12-11T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2008-12-11T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/2008\/12\/11\/corn-matures\/"},"modified":"2019-09-25T06:29:27","modified_gmt":"2019-09-25T10:29:27","slug":"corn-matures","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/markets\/corn-matures\/","title":{"rendered":"El Ma\u00edz Madura"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Treated<\/p>\n

El ma\u00edz est\u00e1 nuevamente en los titulares ya que el Departamento de Agricultura de EE. UU. (USDA) y el Departamento de Energ\u00eda (DOE) anunciaron recientemente una inversi\u00f3n de US $18.4 millones para investigaci\u00f3n y desarrollo de biomasa durante los pr\u00f3ximos tres a\u00f1os. La intenci\u00f3n es hacer que la producci\u00f3n sea m\u00e1s eficiente y rentable y desarrollar biocombustibles limpios.<\/p>\n

Bombardeo de biocombustibles<\/p>\n

\u201cSe proyecta que el uso de ma\u00edz con etanol para 2008\/09 aumente 28% y represente 31% del uso total de ma\u00edz\u201d, dijo Joseph Glauber, economista jefe del USDA. \u201cSeg\u00fan los datos de producci\u00f3n mensual de la Administraci\u00f3n de Informaci\u00f3n de Energ\u00eda, la capacidad de producci\u00f3n de etanol supera los 7.300 millones de galones al a\u00f1o. los Ley de Independencia y Seguridad Energ\u00e9tica de 2007 <\/a>eleva los niveles obligatorios de uso de combustibles renovables a 9 mil millones de galones para 2008 y 10,5 mil millones de galones para 2009\u201d, continu\u00f3. \u201cLos precios del ma\u00edz, tal como se pronostica actualmente, respaldan la rentabilidad del sector; pero las tasas de utilizaci\u00f3n de la planta ser\u00e1n cada vez m\u00e1s sensibles a los precios del etanol y fuertemente influenciadas por los precios en el sector energ\u00e9tico. Se espera que la relativa estrechez de la hoja de balance del ma\u00edz... impulse los precios agr\u00edcolas nuevamente al alza en 2008\/09. El precio promedio recibido se proyecta en un r\u00e9cord de $4,60 por bushel, $0,60 m\u00e1s que el punto medio del pron\u00f3stico de 2007\/08\u201d.<\/p>\n

Efectos de EE. UU.<\/p>\n

\u201cIncluso con la expectativa de una gran respuesta de la oferta en 2008, los pron\u00f3sticos muestran perspectivas de disminuci\u00f3n de los inventarios de ma\u00edz de EE. UU. para fines del a\u00f1o comercial 2008\/09\u201d, dijo Darrel Good, especialista en marketing de la Extensi\u00f3n de la Universidad de Illinois. \u201cEn general, los precios deber\u00edan favorecer al ma\u00edz sobre la soja para la siembra de primavera en EE. UU. Se espera que la superficie cultivada disminuya en 3,6 millones de acres, mientras que la superficie cosechada para cereales disminuya en 3,8 millones\u201d, dijo. \u201cEl rendimiento promedio se proyecta en un m\u00e1ximo de cuatro a\u00f1os de 154,9 bushels, 3,8 bushels por encima del promedio de 2007.<\/p>\n

\u201cPor el lado del consumo\u201d, prosigui\u00f3 Good, \u201cel USDA considera que el uso de ma\u00edz para la producci\u00f3n de etanol aumentar\u00e1 en 900 millones de bushels. Las existencias de fin de a\u00f1o se proyectan en apenas 1243 millones de bushels, o 9,5% de uso proyectado\u201d.<\/p>\n

Si el rendimiento del ma\u00edz estadounidense de 2008 est\u00e1 m\u00e1s cerca de la tendencia a largo plazo de 152,5 bushels, las existencias al final del a\u00f1o disminuir\u00edan a 1045 millones de bushels, o 8% de uso. Una disminuci\u00f3n de menos de 850 millones de bushels de uso combinado de alimentos y exportaciones har\u00eda que las existencias de fin de a\u00f1o fueran a\u00fan m\u00e1s estrictas.<\/p>\n

\u201cLa conclusi\u00f3n\u201d, dijo Good, \u201ces que la superficie sembrada de ma\u00edz en 2008 debe ser mayor a 90 millones de acres para reducir el riesgo de escasez de suministro y precios mucho m\u00e1s altos\u201d, dijo Good.<\/p>\n

Resultados Mundiales<\/p>\n

Los altos precios en los EE. UU. han aumentado las exportaciones de otros pa\u00edses, causando algunos problemas a medida que aumentan los precios locales y surge la escasez. India, que consume alrededor de 14 millones de toneladas de ma\u00edz al a\u00f1o y pronostica ma\u00edz de verano r\u00e9cord con 13,07 millones de toneladas en 2007\/08, 14,3% m\u00e1s que el a\u00f1o pasado, con una cosecha de invierno de alrededor de 2,5 millones de toneladas, tiene su industria av\u00edcola exigiendo la prohibici\u00f3n de exportaciones de ma\u00edz. El pa\u00eds exporta principalmente a Vietnam, Malasia, Indonesia, Sri Lanka y Bangladesh, as\u00ed como a Australia y Medio Oriente, para alimentos y materias primas. Con los precios altos de EE. UU. y las exportaciones chinas m\u00e1s bajas, los comerciantes privados indios se han estado moviendo hacia la acci\u00f3n. Para el a\u00f1o que finaliza en septiembre de 2008, las exportaciones privadas podr\u00edan superar las 200.000 toneladas.<\/p>\n

A medida que disminuyen los inventarios mundiales, China podr\u00eda sufrir una escasez de suministros de ma\u00edz. El consumo seguir\u00e1 creciendo, con un aumento esperado de 2% a 98 millones de toneladas, dice Wang Jun, director de investigaci\u00f3n del Centro de Investigaci\u00f3n de Inversiones de Zhenhua, quien estima el consumo industrial en 40 millones de toneladas. \u201cLos precios de los cultivos oleaginosos aumentaron en m\u00e1s de 60% en 2007, lo que puede hacer que los agricultores desv\u00eden su atenci\u00f3n del ma\u00edz y reduzcan la superficie cultivada de ma\u00edz en China\u201d, dijo. Esto podr\u00eda impulsar los precios del ma\u00edz en China hasta $281,69 por tonelada. dijo Jun. Los precios actuales en la provincia central china de Sichuan rondan los $261,35 por tonelada, debido a la capacidad ferroviaria limitada.<\/p>\n

Brasil, incluso con su gran \u00e9xito con el biocombustible hecho de ca\u00f1a de az\u00facar, est\u00e1 aumentando su cosecha de ma\u00edz \u2014pronosticada en 38,4 millones de toneladas este a\u00f1o, 5,8% m\u00e1s que el a\u00f1o pasado\u2014 para satisfacer la demanda de biocombustibles. En febrero de 2008, el Consejo Nacional de Bioseguridad de Brasil dio su primera aprobaci\u00f3n para la siembra y venta de dos tipos de ma\u00edz gen\u00e9ticamente modificado (GM): De Monsanto <\/a>MON 810, comercializado como Guardian y YieldGard, y de bayer<\/a> Liberty Link. Sin embargo, un grupo rural brasile\u00f1o, V\u00eda Campesina<\/a>, dijo en un comunicado que los estudios de ambas empresas eran \u201ctotalmente inadecuados e insuficientes para garantizar la seguridad de estos productos en t\u00e9rminos de salud humana\u201d. Tambi\u00e9n teme la contaminaci\u00f3n de los cultivos naturales.<\/p>\n

Productos qu\u00edmicos de ma\u00edz<\/p>\n

Dado que las materias primas de los herbicidas para el ma\u00edz, como la 2,4-D, la simazina y la atrazina, contin\u00faan escaseando en los EE. UU., los fabricantes de gen\u00e9ricos se han visto obligados a aumentar sus precios. Los precios de los fertilizantes tambi\u00e9n subir\u00e1n, y nuevamente se espera escasez. Con el ma\u00edz nuevamente grande este a\u00f1o, la escasez de glifosato har\u00e1 que los productos qu\u00edmicos m\u00e1s nuevos y m\u00e1s baratos tengan una gran demanda.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El ma\u00edz est\u00e1 nuevamente en los titulares ya que el Departamento de Agricultura de los EE. UU. (USDA) y el Departamento de Energ\u00eda (DOE) anunciaron recientemente un...<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":2389,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3946","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets"],"yoast_head":"\nCorn Matures - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Corn is again making headlines as the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) and Department of Energy (DOE) recently announced an investment of US $18.4\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/markets\/corn-matures\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Corn Matures - 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