{"id":50746,"date":"2014-11-07T10:17:57","date_gmt":"2014-11-07T15:17:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/?p=50746"},"modified":"2019-10-01T09:56:19","modified_gmt":"2019-10-01T13:56:19","slug":"why-glyphosate-prices-are-falling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/markets\/why-glyphosate-prices-are-falling\/","title":{"rendered":"Por qu\u00e9 est\u00e1n cayendo los precios del glifosato"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-53009 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-300x169.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" alt=\"Why Glyphosate Prices Are Falling\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-320x180.jpg 320w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-501x282.jpg 501w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-136x77.jpg 136w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-330x185.jpg 330w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-128x72.jpg 128w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-16x9.jpg 16w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-32x18.jpg 32w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-64x36.jpg 64w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-85x48.jpg 85w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta.jpg 580w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-145x82.jpg 145w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/dave_frabotta-100x57.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>Los precios del glifosato alcanzaron un m\u00ednimo de cuatro meses en septiembre. Los precios bajos han afectado la rentabilidad de los productores de glifosato este a\u00f1o. El exceso de capacidad en China ayud\u00f3 a mantener los precios bajos a partir de fines del a\u00f1o pasado. Las regulaciones ambientales aplicadas en marzo fortalecieron los precios debido a que la oferta disminuy\u00f3 temporalmente, pero los precios bajaron a medida que avanzaba la temporada de cultivo en el hemisferio norte.<\/p>\n<p>A pesar de la amplia variabilidad del suministro de algunas materias primas y sustancias activas, la qu\u00edmica de gran \u00e9xito de la industria no muestra signos de interrupci\u00f3n. Este es el por qu\u00e9:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Los compradores construyeron inventarios.<\/strong> Los compradores suelen almacenar inventarios entre septiembre y enero en el hemisferio norte, donde se cultivan alrededor de 60% de cultivos agr\u00edcolas. La mayor\u00eda de los distribuidores estaban bien abastecidos cuando se promulgaron las leyes ambientales en marzo, y la mayor\u00eda de las empresas se mantuvieron al margen para evaluar el suministro de productos. Y aunque hubo un ligero repunte de precios, muchos compradores fortalecieron sus inventarios para protegerse contra un posible aumento de precios como el que vio la industria en 2008\/09.<\/p>\n<p>Los compradores dicen que compran cada vez m\u00e1s productos de manera m\u00e1s oportunista que c\u00edclica debido a esa era que dej\u00f3 a muchos proveedores con inventarios costosos ya que los precios cayeron de $10 a $12 por litro a $4 a $5 por litro aparentemente de la noche a la ma\u00f1ana. Los formuladores, mayoristas e importadores no volver\u00e1n a cometer ese error.<\/p>\n<p><strong> La demanda ha bajado.<\/strong> El glifosato es la sustancia activa m\u00e1s grande del mundo, pero su crecimiento se ha desacelerado considerablemente en medio de la resistencia a los herbicidas, principalmente en los Estados Unidos, Brasil, Argentina y Australia. Las premezclas que utilizan modos de acci\u00f3n mixtos, herbicidas m\u00e1s antiguos y un cambio anticipado en la tecnolog\u00eda de semillas y rasgos a dicamba y 2,4-D contribuyen a un crecimiento m\u00e1s lento del glifosato. El glifosato siempre ser\u00e1 una herramienta importante para las plataformas de quema y semillas, pero hay otras sustancias qu\u00edmicas en el tanque en estos d\u00edas.<\/p>\n<p><strong>La capacidad sigue siendo saludable y est\u00e1 creciendo.<\/strong> China perdi\u00f3 algo de capacidad porque los productores de bajo costo optaron por cerrar sus puertas en lugar de mejorar las instalaciones o construir nuevas en parques industriales. Pero estos proveedores perdidos solo contribuyen a aproximadamente 10% de la producci\u00f3n total de glifosato de China. Las empresas m\u00e1s grandes colmaron f\u00e1cilmente el vac\u00edo con una producci\u00f3n m\u00e1s alta, y los aumentos de capacidad de las empresas m\u00e1s grandes han estado en proceso durante a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n<p>Monsanto todav\u00eda tiene capacidad adicional para crecer tambi\u00e9n en Estados Unidos y Brasil. En total, existe una amplia capacidad global para satisfacer la demanda actual y los aumentos potenciales de la demanda en China, India y \u00c1frica.<\/p>\n<p><strong>El grupo de trabajo de China a\u00fan tiene el control.<\/strong> Los grupos de trabajo de la CCPIA sobre IA se desarrollaron tras la volatilidad de los precios tras la burbuja de 2008\/09. Dado que los principales productores se re\u00fanen mensualmente para hacer predicciones sobre la demanda y ajustar la oferta en consecuencia, los precios se han mantenido relativamente estables durante los \u00faltimos cinco a\u00f1os. Esta supervisi\u00f3n significa que toda la inteligencia de mercado en el mundo podr\u00eda volverse in\u00fatil si este grupo de trabajo cambia de direcci\u00f3n de manera significativa.<\/p>\n<p>Dados estos factores, los conocedores de la industria esperan que el precio del glifosato se sit\u00fae en torno a $4,50 por litro para fin de a\u00f1o. Pero 2015 deber\u00eda ver una demanda similar a 2014. Se espera que Enlist Duo de Dow, Xtend de Monsanto y Engenia de BASF est\u00e9n disponibles para la temporada de cultivo de 2015, pero los retrasos e incertidumbres sobre la disponibilidad de los productos qu\u00edmicos complementarios significan que la adopci\u00f3n ser\u00e1 baja el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o. 2016 podr\u00eda ser una historia muy diferente.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La demanda ha bajado. La oferta es estable y los compradores son m\u00e1s oportunistas que c\u00edclicos.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":53009,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[26,28,5],"tags":[114,554,170,135],"class_list":["post-50746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-americas","category-asia","category-markets","tag-basf","tag-featured","tag-glyphosate","tag-monsanto"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why Glyphosate Prices Are Falling - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Demand is down. 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