{"id":58898,"date":"2016-11-29T09:25:37","date_gmt":"2016-11-29T14:25:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=58898"},"modified":"2019-09-25T06:31:33","modified_gmt":"2019-09-25T10:31:33","slug":"the-end-of-glyphosate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/agrochemicals\/the-end-of-glyphosate\/","title":{"rendered":"El fin del glifosato"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_54365\" style=\"width: 210px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-54365\" class=\"wp-image-54365 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/files.agribusinessglobal.com\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/frabotta.jpg\" alt=\"David Frabotta\" width=\"200\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/frabotta.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/frabotta-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/frabotta-72x72.jpg 72w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/frabotta-85x85.jpg 85w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-54365\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">David P. Frabotta<\/p><\/div>\n<p>HAY UNA PREDICCI\u00d3N: El \u00e9xito de taquilla de $6 mil millones de la industria de protecci\u00f3n de cultivos ser\u00e1 la mitad de su valor actual en 10 a\u00f1os, y la marca Roundup l\u00edder del mercado de Monsanto estar\u00e1 en subasta en cuesti\u00f3n de a\u00f1os, si no meses.<\/p>\n<p>A medida que Bayer avanza con su adquisici\u00f3n de Monsanto por valor de $66 mil millones, la compa\u00f1\u00eda alemana tendr\u00e1 que tomar algunas decisiones dif\u00edciles sobre su cartera de productos. Espec\u00edficamente, muchos analistas y fuentes de la industria esperan que los reguladores requieran que el nuevo gigante de la agricultura se deshaga de su importante participaci\u00f3n en el mercado de herbicidas. Eso significa que tendr\u00e1 que elegir<br \/>\nElija entre mantener la posici\u00f3n de glifosato de Monsanto o su propia marca de glufosinato, Liberty.<\/p>\n<p>En cuanto a los desarrollos del mercado, esta es una opci\u00f3n f\u00e1cil: Bayer mantendr\u00e1 el glufosinato y vender\u00e1 sus posiciones en glifosato. Estas son las razones:<br \/>\n\u2022 Presi\u00f3n regulatoria: el glifosato es la IA m\u00e1s utilizada en la protecci\u00f3n de cultivos, pero su participaci\u00f3n se est\u00e1 reduciendo debido al escrutinio regulatorio. La UE volvi\u00f3 a aprobar el uso de glifosato hasta 2017 solo dos d\u00edas antes de su vencimiento programado. Muchos consideran que la inusual nueva aprobaci\u00f3n de 18 meses es una forma de que los estados miembros construyan un caso para limitar o prohibir su uso posterior. Brasil, otro enorme mercado de glifosato, ha mostrado cada vez m\u00e1s una tendencia a un sistema basado en peligros al estilo de la UE, y muchos observadores reguladores temen que Estados Unidos pueda seguir su ejemplo.<br \/>\n\u2022 Cambio de productos de semillas: las semillas Roundup Ready que dependen del glifosato son susceptibles a una p\u00e9rdida casi inevitable en la participaci\u00f3n de mercado a medida que se preparan nuevos rasgos de semillas para su comercializaci\u00f3n generalizada en 2017. Rasgos apilados resistentes al glufosinato, dicamba y 2,4-D robar\u00e1 el \u00e1rea plantada lejos de la tecnolog\u00eda gobernante Roundup Ready. Adem\u00e1s, los avances en la edici\u00f3n de genes y ARNi continuar\u00e1n cambiando la din\u00e1mica de los OGM en todo el mundo.<br \/>\n\u2022 Sobreproducci\u00f3n: la competencia es feroz en el mercado del glifosato, lo que ha hecho que las ganancias se derrumben durante a\u00f1os. El informe de resultados del cuarto trimestre de Monsanto advierte sobre continuos \u201cvientos en contra de los precios\u201d junto con una menor demanda. La sobreproducci\u00f3n ha mercantilizado el glifosato hasta un punto en el que los precios se han mantenido bajos durante cinco a\u00f1os y no se vislumbra una reafirmaci\u00f3n. Por el contrario, solo tres empresas chinas (Jiangsu Sevencontinent, Hebei Veyong y Sichuan Lier) exportaban glufosinato de forma agresiva en 2015. Aunque m\u00e1s empresas est\u00e1n produciendo glufosinato y la industria parece dispuesta a repetir el error que cometi\u00f3 al producir en exceso glifosato, los intermedios de glufosinato parecen ser en oferta m\u00e1s corta y por lo tanto controlable, dando m\u00e1s poder a los grandes productores.<br \/>\n\u2022 Antimonopolio: Al anunciar el acuerdo con Monsanto, los ejecutivos de Bayer se negaron a hacer suposiciones sobre lo que los reguladores requerir\u00edan que la compa\u00f1\u00eda combinada desinvirtiera para cumplir con la aprobaci\u00f3n. Muchos en la industria suponen que el glifosato, combinado con el mercado de glufosinato de $2 mil millones de r\u00e1pido crecimiento, es demasiado mercado de herbicidas para permanecer intacto.<br \/>\n\u2022 Datos e I + D: los ejecutivos de Bayer dejaron en claro su inter\u00e9s en la agricultura de precisi\u00f3n y el encanto de Climate Corporation como parte de este acuerdo (ver art\u00edculo de portada). Tal como lo ha hecho Monsanto, Bayer busca reajustar el enfoque de su cartera para enfatizar la agricultura basada en datos y las tecnolog\u00edas de semillas de pr\u00f3xima generaci\u00f3n sobre las qu\u00edmicas tradicionales.<br \/>\nCon la adquisici\u00f3n de AgraQuest por parte de Bayer, la Alianza BioAg de Monsanto con Novozymes, y las importantes inversiones que ambas compa\u00f1\u00edas han realizado en tecnolog\u00edas de agricultura de precisi\u00f3n y semillas, la compa\u00f1\u00eda combinada parece estar lista para una vida sin glifosato.<br \/>\nDicho todo esto, algunas empresas pueden obtener ingresos significativos a corto plazo con el glifosato a medida que las empresas se deshagan de sus intereses. Sigue siendo la IA m\u00e1s utilizada en el mundo y algunas marcas notables estar\u00e1n disponibles. Roundup podr\u00eda ser uno de ellos.<\/p>\n<p>Comun\u00edquese con Dave: <a href=\"mailto:dpfrabotta@meistermedia.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">dpfrabotta@meistermedia.com<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>HAY UNA PREDICCI\u00d3N: El \u00e9xito de taquilla de $6 mil millones de la industria de protecci\u00f3n de cultivos ser\u00e1 la mitad de su valor actual en 10 a\u00f1os, y ...<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,19],"tags":[437,115,1297,335,135,582,562],"class_list":["post-58898","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-herbicides","tag-agraquest","tag-bayer","tag-bioag-alliance","tag-glufosinate","tag-monsanto","tag-novozymes","tag-roundup"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - 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