{"id":62500,"date":"2019-02-11T08:28:23","date_gmt":"2019-02-11T13:28:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=62500"},"modified":"2019-10-01T09:56:43","modified_gmt":"2019-10-01T13:56:43","slug":"the-state-of-agrichemical-sourcing-a-closer-look-at-challenges-opportunities-in-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/agrochemicals\/the-state-of-agrichemical-sourcing-a-closer-look-at-challenges-opportunities-in-2019\/","title":{"rendered":"El estado del abastecimiento agroqu\u00edmico: una mirada m\u00e1s cercana a los desaf\u00edos y oportunidades en 2019"},"content":{"rendered":"

A medida que hierve la guerra comercial de EE. UU., Los funcionarios chinos est\u00e1n suavizando su represi\u00f3n ambiental de la industria agroqu\u00edmica durante el invierno de 2018-19.<\/p>\n

Las esperanzas de mejorar los suministros, sin embargo, ser\u00e1n aplastadas por la realidad. China no ha dejado ninguna duda de que estar\u00e1 en esto a largo plazo.<\/p>\n

Los niveles de producci\u00f3n a\u00fan no coinciden con los del a\u00f1o pasado, y las plantas de materias primas en Lianyungang, un importante centro qu\u00edmico y de refinaci\u00f3n en la provincia oriental de Jiangsu, permanecen cerradas, lo que est\u00e1 afectando la producci\u00f3n de algunos activos.<\/p>\n

M\u00e1s de 2,000 empresas qu\u00edmicas fueron eliminadas en 2018 solo en Jiangsu, dice el Dr. Wayne Tan, Gerente de Marketing, CAC Group. Actualiz\u00f3 el estado de la campa\u00f1a ambiental del pa\u00eds en la AgriBusiness Global<\/em>SM<\/sup> Cumbre comercial del sudeste en Yakarta<\/a> el 5 de diciembre.<\/p>\n

La segunda ronda de las denominadas inspecciones ambientales del pa\u00eds "mirar hacia atr\u00e1s" comenz\u00f3 en octubre de 2018 y abarc\u00f3 10 provincias. La primera ronda, que tuvo lugar de enero a julio, tuvo graves consecuencias: 7.375 empresas chinas fueron sancionadas, con multas por un total de 710 millones de RMB, seg\u00fan Tan.<\/p>\n

\u201cAlgunos de estos son los principales proveedores de las empresas multinacionales de la UE y est\u00e1n afectando directamente los precios de la UE en muchas \u00e1reas\u201d, dice Oliver Egan, un consultor independiente que ayuda a las empresas qu\u00edmicas en muchas \u00e1reas, incluida la obtenci\u00f3n de licencias de agroqu\u00edmicos de la UE. \u201cEl problema es que no todas las autoridades locales chinas tienen la misma urgencia en mente en t\u00e9rminos de implementaci\u00f3n, por lo que las conversaciones en este momento son del tipo 'Busque un proveedor cerca de Beijing, ya que no se est\u00e1n viendo tan afectados' es m\u00e1s una posibilidad de suministro '\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
\"The<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\"The<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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\"The<\/a>

Haga clic en los gr\u00e1ficos para ampliar.<\/p><\/div><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Para medir el impacto, solo es necesario observar las dram\u00e1ticas l\u00edneas de tendencia de los precios y las exportaciones que salen de China. Seg\u00fan los datos del Grupo CAC, de enero a octubre de 2018, los vol\u00famenes de exportaci\u00f3n de 2,4-D de China se desplomaron en 40% desde 2017, mientras que el precio aument\u00f3 a la mitad. Los vol\u00famenes de exportaci\u00f3n de azoxistrobina cayeron 10% en ese mismo per\u00edodo de tiempo, mientras que el precio subi\u00f3 50%. Si bien las exportaciones de glifosato se mantuvieron niveladas, los precios aumentaron 23% desde 2017.<\/p>\n

\u201cLos precios se han disparado. Uno de los fungicidas m\u00e1s grandes del mundo, el clorotalonil, ha pasado de poco m\u00e1s de $4 por kg en 2015 a $8.50 por kg en este momento \u201d, explica Egan. AgriBusiness Global<\/em>.<\/p>\n

\u201cEl prop\u00f3sito que el gobierno quiere lograr con la reubicaci\u00f3n (a parques qu\u00edmicos y lejos del r\u00edo Yangtze) es mejorar toda la industria qu\u00edmica para que sea m\u00e1s saludable y sostenible\u201d, dice Tan. \u201cAquellos productores que realmente conf\u00edan en su competencia definitivamente invertir\u00e1n para la reubicaci\u00f3n. Pero los m\u00e1s d\u00e9biles podr\u00edan simplemente cerrar sus instalaciones ".<\/p>\n

Egan dice que las empresas con oleoductos s\u00f3lidos tambi\u00e9n conf\u00edan en que pueden pagar tarifas porque pueden compensar los costos con mol\u00e9culas que salen de la patente. \u201cLas empresas m\u00e1s peque\u00f1as est\u00e1n desapareciendo y la consolidaci\u00f3n parece ser lo \u00fanico que pueden hacer para sobrevivir. El panorama es ahora y se ver\u00e1 muy diferente en los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os \u201d, dice.<\/p>\n

En los Estados Unidos, los efectos de la guerra comercial de casi un a\u00f1o todav\u00eda se est\u00e1n propagando.<\/p>\n

Albaugh anunci\u00f3 en el oto\u00f1o<\/a> no tendr\u00eda m\u00e1s remedio que subir los precios como consecuencia directa, y un anuncio similar de Willowood Estados Unidos<\/a> seguido r\u00e1pidamente. Los informes de almacenamiento de agroqu\u00edmicos antes del arancel que se duplicaron con creces a 25% el 1 de enero se han abierto camino en los principales medios de comunicaci\u00f3n como Reuters.<\/p>\n

La fuente alternativa<\/h2>\n

Dado que las interrupciones en China continuar\u00e1n durante al menos tres a\u00f1os m\u00e1s, los compradores est\u00e1n buscando fuentes alternativas, pero en realidad solo hay una en este momento, seg\u00fan CS Liew<\/a>, Fundador y Director General de Pacific Agriscience en Singapur.<\/p>\n

\u201cEso es India\u201d, dice. \u201cSin embargo, actualmente no tiene suficiente amplitud y profundidad en qu\u00edmica para reemplazar a China como una alternativa viable para la mayor\u00eda de los gen\u00e9ricos.<\/p>\n

\u201cHabiendo dicho eso, la situaci\u00f3n presenta a los fabricantes indios muchas oportunidades no solo para ampliar su base qu\u00edmica sino tambi\u00e9n para integrarse hacia atr\u00e1s, abordando el problema de la dependencia de China para las materias primas clave. La rapidez con la que los fabricantes indios puedan mejorar y ampliar sus suministros de gen\u00e9ricos depender\u00e1 de la tecnolog\u00eda, las inversiones, la situaci\u00f3n competitiva en China y su capacidad para trabajar con algunos de los actores chinos ".<\/p>\n

Incentivados por un gobierno de Modi favorable a las empresas que ha reducido los aranceles proteccionistas, un gran n\u00famero de empresas indias finalmente est\u00e1n explorando mercados m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de la India. El gasto en I + D est\u00e1 a punto de aumentar. Desafortunadamente, registrar y vender sus propios productos de marca en los mercados de su elecci\u00f3n ya no es una tarea f\u00e1cil.<\/p>\n

\u201cLas empresas indias no tienen m\u00e1s remedio que realizar adquisiciones estrat\u00e9gicas en distribuidores en los distintos pa\u00edses en los que quieren ingresar. Pueden tener una participaci\u00f3n mayoritaria o participaciones de 20%, 30% o 40%, pero sin adquisiciones estrat\u00e9gicas, ser\u00e1 muy dif\u00edcil para ellos penetrar en los mercados internacionales porque los mercados ya est\u00e1n saturados de marcas \u201d, dijo Liew a la audiencia en el Trade. Cumbre en Yakarta.<\/p>\n

La innovaci\u00f3n india, sin duda, se materializar\u00e1. Liew ofrece un ejemplo notable. Impulsada por las restricciones chinas a la exportaci\u00f3n de materias primas de fungicidas de triazol, al menos una empresa india est\u00e1 comprando 64% hidracina de China, el m\u00e1ximo permitido en China, y purific\u00e1ndola a un 80% m\u00e1s eficiente.<\/p>\n

\u201cPor supuesto, hay alternativas de Europa y Jap\u00f3n, pero el costo es m\u00e1s alto\u201d, dice Liew. \u201cMientras hablamos, las empresas indias est\u00e1n avanzando r\u00e1pidamente para aprovechar esta oportunidad de oro<\/a> presentado por los problemas en China.<\/p>\n

\u201cEs mejor colaborar y tener un inter\u00e9s en el futuro que decir: 'No queremos ir a la India y llevar nuestras tecnolog\u00edas all\u00ed'. Creo que es una l\u00ednea de pensamiento miope. India seguir\u00e1 adelante, ya sea que China colabore o no ".<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A medida que hierve la guerra comercial de EE. UU., Los funcionarios chinos est\u00e1n suavizando su represi\u00f3n ambiental de la industria agroqu\u00edmica a trav\u00e9s de ...<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":62501,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"The State of Agchem Sourcing: A Closer Look at Challenges, Opportunities in 2019","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[4],"tags":[54],"class_list":["post-62500","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"\nThe State of Agrichemical Sourcing: A Closer Look at Challenges, Opportunities in 2019 - 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