{"id":65585,"date":"2020-05-12T15:10:20","date_gmt":"2020-05-12T19:10:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=65585"},"modified":"2020-04-26T14:52:30","modified_gmt":"2020-04-26T18:52:30","slug":"global-crop-protection-product-trends-impact-on-south-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/agrochemicals\/global-crop-protection-product-trends-impact-on-south-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"Impacto de las tendencias del mercado mundial de protecci\u00f3n de cultivos en Sud\u00e1frica"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00c1frica es el segundo continente m\u00e1s grande del mundo con unos 30 millones de km\u00b2 y cubre aproximadamente 20% de la tierra de la Tierra. Limita con el Oc\u00e9ano Atl\u00e1ntico al oeste, el Oc\u00e9ano \u00cdndico al este y el Mar Mediterr\u00e1neo al norte. La superficie de cultivo es amplia con una superficie agr\u00edcola estimada de unos 1.100 millones de ha seg\u00fan la FAO. Esto equivale a 23% de la superficie de tierra agr\u00edcola disponible a nivel mundial y est\u00e1 a la par con la disponible para todas las Am\u00e9ricas.<\/p>\n

Dentro del continente africano hay una amplia gama de pa\u00edses, desde la productiva Sud\u00e1frica en el sur hasta pa\u00edses con m\u00e1s desaf\u00edos clim\u00e1ticos en \u00c1frica central y septentrional. Por necesidad, esa diversidad conduce a la subdivisi\u00f3n (OCDE) del continente africano en cinco regiones: \u00c1frica del Norte, \u00c1frica Central o Media, \u00c1frica Meridional, \u00c1frica Oriental y \u00c1frica Occidental. Sin embargo, desde una perspectiva agr\u00edcola, el clima es el factor clave para determinar qu\u00e9 pa\u00edses componen el sur de \u00c1frica.<\/p>\n

\"TableDesde el punto de vista clim\u00e1tico, el sur de \u00c1frica se puede definir mejor como un \u201cclima subh\u00famedo y semi\u00e1rido\u201d y la Confederaci\u00f3n de Regiones Agr\u00edcolas del \u00c1frica Meridional (SACAU) es generalmente reconocida por cubrir los 12 pa\u00edses que, en t\u00e9rminos generales, pertenecen a esta regi\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica. Sin embargo, cuantificar con precisi\u00f3n el valor de los mercados de protecci\u00f3n de cultivos en cada pa\u00eds miembro es un desaf\u00edo, ya que la investigaci\u00f3n de mercado a menudo es incompleta. Sin embargo, las \u00faltimas estimaciones se dan en la Tabla 1.<\/p>\n

Tradicionalmente, la regi\u00f3n ha sido el foco de productos de menor costo sin patente de la industria "gen\u00e9rica" m\u00e1s que del lado patentado. Sin embargo, en 2019 y 2020, el aumento se centr\u00f3 en las ventas de insecticidas, en parte debido al gusano cogollero (Spodoptera frugiperda<\/em>) - est\u00e1 comenzando a cambiar esto, al igual que el aumento del precio de las materias primas de los gen\u00e9ricos. Como tal, el potencial de crecimiento y el \u201cprecio\u201d del mercado de \u00c1frica del Sur est\u00e1 comenzando a ser m\u00e1s atractivos tanto para las empresas de I + D como para las de gen\u00e9ricos.<\/p>\n

Sud\u00e1frica: un mercado en crecimiento para los productos fitosanitarios<\/h2>\n

Sud\u00e1frica es el tema central de este art\u00edculo dado el dominio del pa\u00eds dentro de la regi\u00f3n de \u00c1frica Austral.<\/p>\n

\"FigureComo se public\u00f3 en la edici\u00f3n de junio de 2019 de AgriBusiness Global \u2122<\/em>\u00a0el mercado mundial de protecci\u00f3n de cultivos en 2018 aument\u00f3 a una tasa de 2% en t\u00e9rminos nominales sobre el de 2017. Como cifra comparativa, el mercado nacional sudafricano creci\u00f3 cerca de 5% en 2018 en comparaci\u00f3n con 2017; entonces, en efecto, m\u00e1s del doble que el promedio mundial. Sud\u00e1frica tambi\u00e9n ha superado considerablemente el crecimiento del mercado global con una CAGR de 4.4% por a\u00f1o durante el per\u00edodo de 2008 a 2018 en comparaci\u00f3n con una CAGR m\u00e1s modesta de 2.3 % por a\u00f1o para el mercado global durante el mismo per\u00edodo de tiempo.<\/p>\n

\"FigureSud\u00e1frica, como la mayor\u00eda de los mercados, sufri\u00f3 una ca\u00edda en 2009 (como resultado de la crisis financiera) y luego nuevamente en 2015, cuando, entre otros factores, se produjo una marcada ca\u00edda en los precios de las materias primas. Sin embargo, la recuperaci\u00f3n en 2016 y 2017 fue bastante marcada (ver Figura 6). Adem\u00e1s de aumentar de valor, el mercado tambi\u00e9n cambi\u00f3 algo y se centr\u00f3 menos en los insecticidas al comparar las divisiones del sector de 2008 con las de 2018 (Figuras 4 y 5).<\/p>\n

\"Figure<\/a>El desarrollo m\u00e1s sorprendente del mercado interno durante el per\u00edodo 2008 a 2018 es el crecimiento en aquellos grupos de cultivos en los que el producto se destina al mercado de exportaci\u00f3n en lugar de al uso interno. Lo m\u00e1s notable en esto es la soja, que en 2008 represent\u00f3 ventas de productos fitosanitarios de solo 2%, mientras que en 2018 aument\u00f3 a m\u00e1s de 7% del mercado total de PC. El \u00e1rea de cultivo sembrada con soja durante el mismo per\u00edodo de tiempo tambi\u00e9n aument\u00f3 de poco m\u00e1s de 160.000 ha en 2008 a cerca de 800.000 ha en 2018 (Figuras 2 y 3). Sin embargo, el crecimiento en el valor relativo del ma\u00edz, la vid, los cereales y la ca\u00f1a de az\u00facar es m\u00e1s un reflejo de un aumento general en la intensidad del uso de productos (particularmente fungicidas) que de un cambio significativo en el \u00e1rea de cultivo.<\/p>\n

Perspectivas para 2020<\/h2>\n

Agron\u00f3micamente, se prev\u00e9 que 2020 sea un a\u00f1o favorable. A pesar de la siembra tard\u00eda, debido al d\u00e9ficit de precipitaciones, la estimaci\u00f3n de la producci\u00f3n de ma\u00edz y girasol de Sud\u00e1frica se ha elevado despu\u00e9s de que el buen tiempo impulsara los rendimientos. Espec\u00edficamente, las lluvias en diciembre de 2019 y enero de 2020 provocaron un aumento en las reservas de humedad del suelo y, por lo tanto, minimizaron el impacto de las condiciones de clima seco anteriores al momento de la siembra. El \u00e1rea plantada de ma\u00edz m\u00e1s grande tambi\u00e9n proporcionar\u00e1 un impulso al uso de productos fitosanitarios en 2020. Los pron\u00f3sticos meteorol\u00f3gicos para el per\u00edodo febrero-abril de 2020 indican que es probable que la cantidad acumulada de lluvia sea promedio, lo que respalda las expectativas favorables para la mayor\u00eda de los cultivos.<\/p>\n

El brote de fiebre aftosa en Sud\u00e1frica en noviembre de 2019 es motivo de preocupaci\u00f3n, ya que potencialmente reduce la demanda de cereales forrajeros para el ganado durante todo 2020. Sin embargo, los primeros indicios apuntan a que el brote est\u00e1 bajo control y restringido a la provincia de Limpopo. Sin embargo, tanto el desarrollo de la enfermedad como las pol\u00edticas de reforma agraria en curso tienen el potencial de alterar y generar incertidumbre sobre las perspectivas del mercado sudafricano en el futuro.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El experto Dr. Bob Fairclough brinda informaci\u00f3n sobre los factores que afectan el mercado de protecci\u00f3n de cultivos de Sud\u00e1frica y ofrece su perspectiva para 2020.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":41316,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[25,4,5],"tags":[54],"class_list":["post-65585","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-africa-middle-east","category-agrochemicals","category-markets","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"\nGlobal Crop Protection Market Trends Impact on South Africa - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Expert Dr. Bob Fairclough provides insight into the factors impacting the South African crop protection market and offers his outlook for 2020.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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