{"id":65648,"date":"2020-03-24T10:06:44","date_gmt":"2020-03-24T14:06:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=65648"},"modified":"2021-05-24T14:52:37","modified_gmt":"2021-05-24T18:52:37","slug":"supply-chains-should-keep-calm-and-carry-on-in-the-face-of-covid-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/agrochemicals\/supply-chains-should-keep-calm-and-carry-on-in-the-face-of-covid-19\/","title":{"rendered":"Las cadenas de suministro muestran resiliencia ante el coronavirus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Las cadenas de suministro mundiales han experimentado una interrupci\u00f3n significativa por la propagaci\u00f3n de <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/tag\/coronavirus\/\">COVID-19<\/a>. Para la protecci\u00f3n de cultivos, ha interrumpido la producci\u00f3n a lo largo de toda la cadena de valor de los insumos agr\u00edcolas, desde las materias primas hasta la fabricaci\u00f3n, el empaque, la distribuci\u00f3n y el transporte.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEn algunos casos, los barcos estaban listos, pero no hab\u00eda conductores de camiones para llevar los productos al barco\u201d, dice Felix Thuerwaechter, director gerente de <a href=\"http:\/\/jebagro.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jebagro GmH<\/a>. \u201cEn otros casos, hab\u00eda un conductor de cami\u00f3n, pero no se le permiti\u00f3 viajar de una provincia de China a otra porque estaba en cuarentena o el viaje estaba restringido, por lo que el producto no se movi\u00f3. En otros casos, los productos se pod\u00edan formular pero luego los materiales de empaque no llegaban, por lo que no se pod\u00edan empaquetar. Nuestra oficina en Shanghai estuvo cerrada durante cuatro semanas &quot;.<\/p>\n<p>Thuerwaechter no est\u00e1 solo. La <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instituteforsupplymanagement.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Instituto de Gesti\u00f3n de Suministros<\/a> (ISM) informa que casi 75% de empresas est\u00e1n experimentando interrupciones en la cadena de suministro. Adem\u00e1s, m\u00e1s del 80% de empresas creen que sus organizaciones experimentar\u00e1n alg\u00fan nivel de impacto debido a COVID-19. De ellas, una de cada seis empresas dice que est\u00e1 ajustando los objetivos de ingresos a la baja en un promedio de 5.6%.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_65107\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-65107\" class=\"wp-image-65107 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-300x169.jpg\" alt=\"Jebagro Jackie Pucci 2\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-860x483.jpg 860w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-501x282.jpg 501w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-136x77.jpg 136w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-330x186.jpg 330w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-128x72.jpg 128w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-640x360.jpg 640w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-16x9.jpg 16w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-32x18.jpg 32w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-64x36.jpg 64w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-325x183.jpg 325w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-85x48.jpg 85w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-318x179.jpg 318w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2-635x357.jpg 635w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/Jebagro-Jackie-Pucci-2.jpg 896w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-65107\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Felix Thuerwaechter, director gerente de Jebagro GmH<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Sin embargo, los expertos en cadena de suministro dicen que los datos m\u00e1s recientes revelan algunos aspectos positivos que muestran que se avecina un cambio en el env\u00edo.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>El virus comienza en el centro de env\u00edo<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Los efectos globales sobre las cadenas de suministro comienzan en China.<\/p>\n<p>China se ha convertido en el centro de fabricaci\u00f3n del mundo, por lo que los env\u00edos salientes tanto nacionales como internacionales de China son fundamentales para mantener la econom\u00eda mundial en pleno funcionamiento, explica Kumar Singh, jefe de an\u00e1lisis y estrategia de productos de <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jagah.ai\/\">Jagah.AI<\/a>, una empresa de gesti\u00f3n de almacenamiento con sede en India.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPor lo tanto, no es una sorpresa que en el pico de la epidemia en China, a mediados de febrero, el transporte mar\u00edtimo haya sido el m\u00e1s afectado\u201d, dice.<\/p>\n<p>La escala de esta crisis no tiene precedentes en los tiempos modernos, agrega Tinglong Dai, un experto en an\u00e1lisis de negocios y administraci\u00f3n de operaciones de <a href=\"https:\/\/carey.jhu.edu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Escuela de Negocios Carey de la Universidad Johns Hopkins<\/a>. Aproximadamente el 80% del comercio mundial de bienes por volumen se transporta por mar, seg\u00fan la Conferencia de las Naciones Unidas sobre Comercio y Desarrollo. De los nueve principales puertos de contenedores del mundo, siete est\u00e1n en China; los otros dos est\u00e1n en Singapur y Corea del Sur.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLos tres pa\u00edses se vieron profundamente afectados por el brote de coronavirus\u201d, dice.<\/p>\n<p>Las compa\u00f1\u00edas navieras intentaron mitigar las p\u00e9rdidas de inmediato. En algunos casos, los transportistas cancelaron los barcos o no los enviaron porque no hab\u00eda nada en ellos. En otros casos, en lugar de enviar dos aviones medio llenos, solo se utiliz\u00f3 un avi\u00f3n para ahorrar en costos de combustible, dice.<\/p>\n<p>De todos los sectores del transporte mar\u00edtimo, el transporte mar\u00edtimo experiment\u00f3 el mayor impacto. En circunstancias normales, los cargadores env\u00edan aproximadamente 200 portacontenedores a trav\u00e9s del Oc\u00e9ano Pac\u00edfico cada mes. Basado en <em>Wall Street Journal<\/em> informe, las operaciones de portacontenedores cancelaron 110 env\u00edos a Am\u00e9rica del Norte en los primeros dos meses de 2020.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEn el pico de la epidemia en febrero, el volumen de env\u00edo, principalmente el volumen de env\u00edo mar\u00edtimo, se desplom\u00f3 dr\u00e1sticamente\u201d, dice Singh. &quot;Aunque el factor principal fue la paralizada producci\u00f3n industrial, la falta de personal de log\u00edstica en los puertos tambi\u00e9n se sum\u00f3 al problema&quot;.<\/p>\n<p>El proveedor de datos marinos con sede en Par\u00eds Alphaliner inform\u00f3 que a fines de febrero, un r\u00e9cord de 2 millones de contenedores de capacidad de env\u00edo estaban inactivos, dice Singh. \u201cEso es m\u00e1s que los 1,6 millones de unidades equivalentes a 20 pies (TEU, una medida est\u00e1ndar de la industria de la capacidad de contenedores) que quedaron de lado despu\u00e9s del colapso en 2016 de Hanjin Shipping Co. apogeo de la crisis financiera \u201d, dice.<\/p>\n<p>Sin embargo, un punto positivo en el momento de COVID-19 es que comenz\u00f3 a aumentar durante el A\u00f1o Nuevo chino. Durante estas vacaciones, las empresas suelen cerrar durante siete d\u00edas. Este a\u00f1o, las empresas cerraron durante tres o cuatro semanas a fines de enero y hasta mediados de febrero, dice Thuerwaechter.<\/p>\n<p>&quot;De todos modos, no planeamos ning\u00fan env\u00edo en este momento porque la fabricaci\u00f3n se paraliz\u00f3, y luego extendieron el tiempo de descanso debido al virus&quot;, explica. &quot;Si esto sucediera cuatro semanas antes o despu\u00e9s, entonces habr\u00eda tenido un impacto a\u00fan mayor en el env\u00edo global y la cadena de suministro&quot;.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>El env\u00edo es nuevo normal<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>A medida que China comienza a controlar la epidemia, la situaci\u00f3n ya ha comenzado a mejorar. La compa\u00f1\u00eda CargoMetrics, con sede en Boston, dice que los vol\u00famenes de carga y las llamadas de barcos se han recuperado r\u00e1pidamente a medida que los puertos chinos confirman que los engranajes del comercio mundial est\u00e1n volviendo a ponerse en movimiento.<\/p>\n<p>&quot;Estamos viendo mejoras en todos los \u00e1mbitos&quot;, dice <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cargometrics.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CargoMetrics<\/a> CEO Scott Borgerson. \u201cEstamos viendo un repunte completo en todos los segmentos, todo regres\u00f3. No proyectamos nuestras opiniones sobre los datos. Dejamos que los datos nos hablen. Y lo que dicen los datos es: &quot;Mantenga la calma y contin\u00fae&quot;. Las cadenas de suministro han vuelto a la media. Las cosas se est\u00e1n moviendo &quot;.<\/p>\n<p>Las compa\u00f1\u00edas navieras m\u00e1s grandes pueden tener m\u00e1s facilidad para recuperarse que sus contrapartes m\u00e1s peque\u00f1as.<\/p>\n<p>Los grandes operadores como AP Moeller-Maersk A \/ S de Dinamarca y Cosco Shipping Holdings de China podr\u00edan absorber el peaje financiero estacionando sus barcos, explica Kumar.<\/p>\n<p>Pero &quot;las empresas m\u00e1s peque\u00f1as que dependen m\u00e1s plenamente de los negocios con China tienen poco espacio para esconderse&quot;, dice. \u201cEsas empresas pueden tener solo un pu\u00f1ado de barcos, pero constituyen una pieza fundamental del comercio mundial. Transportan contenedores y productos b\u00e1sicos en las rutas comerciales regionales a la sombra de las grandes rutas &quot;.<\/p>\n<p>Thuerwaechter, quien en el momento de la publicaci\u00f3n dijo que estaba enviando 15 contenedores desde Shanghai a Europa, dice que la situaci\u00f3n est\u00e1 comenzando a normalizarse, pero no se acerca a 100%. Los retrasos en los env\u00edos son de dos a cuatro semanas en este momento, estima.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMuchas de las principales compa\u00f1\u00edas navieras esperan que una vez que la epidemia comience a disminuir en China, que parece que ya est\u00e1 ocurriendo, esperan una d\u00e9bil recuperaci\u00f3n en marzo y un fuerte repunte en abril\u201d, agrega Kumar. &quot;Creo que las cosas se acercar\u00e1n a la normalidad a mediados de abril para las compa\u00f1\u00edas navieras&quot;.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>\u00bfC\u00f3mo se las arreglan los remitentes? <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Suponiendo que el fuerte repunte de los env\u00edos se produzca a mediados de abril, pronto aparecer\u00e1n otros desaf\u00edos.<\/p>\n<p>Se espera que los precios de env\u00edo aumenten. Thuerwaechter dice que los precios de env\u00edo ya han subido 4% a 6% y, en algunos casos, incluso hasta 5% a 10%. La ubicaci\u00f3n es un factor importante en la variaci\u00f3n. \u201cLas empresas europeas est\u00e1n aumentando los precios porque creen que habr\u00e1 escasez\u201d, dice. &quot;Y China tiene muchos productos, por lo que en realidad est\u00e1n comenzando a bajar los precios para mover el producto&quot;.<\/p>\n<p>La ampliaci\u00f3n de los precios es inevitable, dice Kumar, y agrega: &quot;Despu\u00e9s de todo, esta ser\u00e1 una oportunidad para que muchos transportistas recuperen sus p\u00e9rdidas&quot;.<\/p>\n<p>Los problemas de capacidad tambi\u00e9n entrar\u00e1n en juego.<\/p>\n<p>Entonces, \u00bfc\u00f3mo se las arreglan las compa\u00f1\u00edas navieras? Una palabra de moda importante en la gesti\u00f3n de la cadena de suministro ha sido la resiliencia, dice Goker Aydin, experto en gesti\u00f3n de operaciones y an\u00e1lisis empresarial de la Escuela de Negocios Carey de la Universidad Johns Hopkins.<\/p>\n<p>Si bien esta situaci\u00f3n no es algo que uno pueda anticipar o planificar por completo, \u201cuna cadena de suministro resistente debe ser capaz de detectar se\u00f1ales de advertencia tempranas de una interrupci\u00f3n y debe responder cambiando la producci\u00f3n a fuentes alternativas\u201d, dice Aydin. &quot;Debe tener una base de suministro diversificada o alg\u00fan plan de contingencia para utilizar proveedores de respaldo&quot;.<\/p>\n<p>Pero para que una empresa detecte que se avecina una interrupci\u00f3n, debe tener una buena idea de c\u00f3mo es su cadena de suministro. \u201cNo es suficiente conocer a sus proveedores; tambi\u00e9n debe saber qui\u00e9nes son los proveedores de su proveedor, etc. \u201d, se\u00f1ala Aydin. &quot;Sin ese tipo de mapa detallado de la cadena de suministro, es dif\u00edcil conocer los v\u00ednculos variables&quot;.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Las cadenas de suministro globales han experimentado una interrupci\u00f3n significativa por la propagaci\u00f3n de COVID-19. pero ya hay indicios de un cambio de rumbo.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":65114,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,26,28,5],"tags":[1796,54,1843],"class_list":["post-65648","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-americas","category-asia","category-markets","tag-coronavirus","tag-featured-home","tag-supply"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Supply Chains Show 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