{"id":67145,"date":"2021-03-16T17:54:50","date_gmt":"2021-03-16T21:54:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=67145"},"modified":"2021-06-14T15:35:12","modified_gmt":"2021-06-14T19:35:12","slug":"china-price-index-strong-demand-and-low-inventories-continue-to-drive-prices-for-major-pesticides","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/agrochemicals\/china-price-index-strong-demand-and-low-inventories-continue-to-drive-prices-for-major-pesticides\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdndice de precios de China: La fuerte demanda y los bajos inventarios contin\u00faan impulsando los precios de los principales plaguicidas"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La fuerte demanda de China se convierte en una nueva realidad para los exportadores mundiales de productos agr\u00edcolas cuando las importaciones chinas de carne del exterior alcanzaron alrededor de 9,91 millones de toneladas en 2020. La acumulaci\u00f3n de importaciones de carne de China en el a\u00f1o 2019 fue de 60,41 toneladas por tonelada. El USDA anticipa que la demanda de China superar\u00e1 los 10 millones de Mt en la pr\u00f3xima proyecci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>Como prote\u00edna vegetal clave, China import\u00f3 100,33 millones de toneladas de soja con un crecimiento interanual de 13,3% en comparaci\u00f3n con 2019. Seg\u00fan el <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ers.usda.gov\/topics\/international-markets-us-trade\/us-agricultural-trade\/outlook-for-us-agricultural-trade\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Perspectivas del comercio agr\u00edcola de EE. UU.,<\/a> La proyecci\u00f3n para las exportaciones totales de soja de EE. UU. es de $5.9 mil millones a un r\u00e9cord de $26.3 mil millones debido a valores unitarios m\u00e1s altos, una fuerte demanda de China y vol\u00famenes r\u00e9cord.<\/p>\n<p>Para los EE. UU., Las exportaciones agr\u00edcolas a China se pronostican en un r\u00e9cord de $27 mil millones, un aumento de $8.5 mil millones, en gran parte debido a la fuerte demanda de soja y ma\u00edz. Se espera que China vuelva a convertirse <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ers.usda.gov\/topics\/international-markets-us-trade\/us-agricultural-trade\/outlook-for-us-agricultural-trade\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">el mercado agr\u00edcola m\u00e1s grande de EE. UU.<\/a>, cargo que ocup\u00f3 por \u00faltima vez en el a\u00f1o fiscal 2017.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67165\" src=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Total-U.S.-Agricultural-Exports-billion-dollars-1-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"795\" height=\"599\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Total-U.S.-Agricultural-Exports-billion-dollars-1-1.jpg 795w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Total-U.S.-Agricultural-Exports-billion-dollars-1-1-300x226.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Total-U.S.-Agricultural-Exports-billion-dollars-1-1-768x579.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Total-U.S.-Agricultural-Exports-billion-dollars-1-1-330x249.jpg 330w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Total-U.S.-Agricultural-Exports-billion-dollars-1-1-96x72.jpg 96w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Total-U.S.-Agricultural-Exports-billion-dollars-1-1-478x360.jpg 478w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Total-U.S.-Agricultural-Exports-billion-dollars-1-1-764x576.jpg 764w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Total-U.S.-Agricultural-Exports-billion-dollars-1-1-85x64.jpg 85w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Total-U.S.-Agricultural-Exports-billion-dollars-1-1-150x113.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 795px) 100vw, 795px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>En <a href=\"http:\/\/english.www.gov.cn\/2021special\/govtworkreport2021\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">5 de marzo<\/a>, El primer ministro Li Keqiang entreg\u00f3 el informe de trabajo del gobierno en la apertura de la sesi\u00f3n de este a\u00f1o de la <a href=\"http:\/\/www.npc.gov.cn\/zgrdw\/englishnpc\/Special_13_1\/index.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">XIII Congreso Nacional del Pueblo en Beijing<\/a>. China establece su objetivo de crecimiento del PIB para 2021 por encima de 6%. Desde su resistencia despu\u00e9s de COVID-19, China lidera las principales econom\u00edas del mundo en tasas de crecimiento proyectadas.<\/p>\n<p>Como la segunda econom\u00eda m\u00e1s grande del mundo, China tiene como objetivo reducir el consumo de energ\u00eda, controlar la contaminaci\u00f3n ambiental, acelerar el comercio de energ\u00eda y reducir las emisiones de carbono. Durante el decimocuarto plan quinquenal de 2021 a 2025, China prioriza el comercio entre China y EE. UU. Como la primera asociaci\u00f3n que se promueve y los lazos se fortalecen sobre la base del respeto mutuo.<\/p>\n<p>Los aspectos m\u00e1s destacados del Informe de trabajo del gobierno de China proporcionan un perfil del plan futuro de China. Junto con el crecimiento de la econom\u00eda, China quiere satisfacer la demanda de prote\u00ednas de China, lo que influir\u00e1 profundamente en la agroindustria mundial en 2021. No solo para EE. UU., La demanda de importaciones agr\u00edcolas de China ya ha beneficiado a los productores mundiales y se espera que contin\u00fae creciendo.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67166\" src=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/January-2021-Soybean-Export-Prices-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"931\" height=\"285\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/January-2021-Soybean-Export-Prices-1.jpg 931w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/January-2021-Soybean-Export-Prices-1-300x92.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/January-2021-Soybean-Export-Prices-1-768x235.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/January-2021-Soybean-Export-Prices-1-330x101.jpg 330w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/January-2021-Soybean-Export-Prices-1-128x39.jpg 128w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/January-2021-Soybean-Export-Prices-1-640x196.jpg 640w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/January-2021-Soybean-Export-Prices-1-85x26.jpg 85w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/January-2021-Soybean-Export-Prices-1-150x46.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 931px) 100vw, 931px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>En los EE. UU., El precio de la soja subi\u00f3 a su punto m\u00e1s alto desde los precios r\u00e9cord en 2012. Se espera que la superficie de soja en EE. UU. En 2021-22 sea de 90 millones de acres, un aumento interanual de 8.5%. Y los agricultores estadounidenses vendieron 90% de las exportaciones proyectadas para 2020-21. Dado el estado de inventario bajo, los productores de soja se beneficiar\u00edan del alto precio de la soja para obtener un mejor margen en la pr\u00f3xima temporada. Los agricultores brasile\u00f1os tambi\u00e9n tienen buenos m\u00e1rgenes de efectivo con un crecimiento saludable. La producci\u00f3n en Brasil se pronostica actualmente en 131 millones de toneladas, alrededor de 5 millones m\u00e1s que el a\u00f1o pasado. La fuerte demanda de China <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.fas.usda.gov\/psdonline\/circulars\/oilseeds.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">impulsar\u00e1 exportaciones favorables<\/a> y alentar a los EE. UU. y Brasil a invertir toda su capacidad en soja y otros cultivos rentables en la temporada 2021-2022.<\/p>\n<p>A pesar de que el clima inesperado debido a <em>La nina<\/em> podr\u00eda afectar la tendencia de crecimiento de la superficie, el canal de distribuci\u00f3n global de insumos agr\u00edcolas y las empresas multinacionales son optimistas sobre las ventas en la temporada 2021. Despu\u00e9s de COVID-19, la resiliencia en el mercado agr\u00edcola mundial es estable. Los cultivos de campo como la soja y el ma\u00edz se est\u00e1n volviendo m\u00e1s importantes para la comercializaci\u00f3n, mientras que el mercado de verduras se vio afectado por la pandemia. Junto con el menor presupuesto de las multinacionales en 2020, el inventario en el canal de distribuci\u00f3n es saludable para el crecimiento org\u00e1nico en 2021.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Relacionados: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/tag\/china-price-index\/\">Archivo del \u00edndice de precios de China<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p>El desaf\u00edo predecible en la temporada 2021 podr\u00eda ser la gesti\u00f3n de la cadena de suministro para la demanda global de abastecimiento de insumos agr\u00edcolas de China. Seg\u00fan el informe de China Custom, hubo alrededor de 30% de escasez de env\u00edos de salida y entrada en China. Cuando el env\u00edo de entrada y salida alcanza los 35.000 por mes, la log\u00edstica global puede volver a la normalidad. La se\u00f1al puede guiar a la gesti\u00f3n de la cadena de suministro para ajustar el tiempo de entrega y el nivel de inventario seguro. Sin embargo, el costo del flete en la primera mitad de 2021 seguir\u00e1 siendo alto.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67167\" src=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Entry-and-Exit-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"803\" height=\"587\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Entry-and-Exit-1.jpg 803w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Entry-and-Exit-1-300x219.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Entry-and-Exit-1-768x561.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Entry-and-Exit-1-330x241.jpg 330w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Entry-and-Exit-1-98x72.jpg 98w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Entry-and-Exit-1-492x360.jpg 492w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Entry-and-Exit-1-788x576.jpg 788w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Entry-and-Exit-1-85x62.jpg 85w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Entry-and-Exit-1-150x110.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 803px) 100vw, 803px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>El desaf\u00edo de la gesti\u00f3n de la cadena de suministro es reforzar el inventario seguro para las empresas de agroqu\u00edmicos de todo el mundo. La demanda en los agricultores locales como en los EE. UU. Y Brasil no se pod\u00eda perder debido a la escasez de oferta de cartera. Para evitar el riesgo de escasez, las empresas multinacionales estaban preparando un inventario seguro de IA a partir del tercer trimestre de 2020. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.chinapesticide.org.cn\/ywb\/index.jhtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">exportando datos desde China ICAMA<\/a>, gran parte de este producto se acumul\u00f3 durante las compras en agosto y septiembre.<\/p>\n<p>La buena noticia es que el consumo de carteras de agroqu\u00edmicos ser\u00eda fuerte debido a la demanda de los agricultores basada en el an\u00e1lisis previo de la l\u00f3gica de la demanda global. El EBITDA del crecimiento org\u00e1nico para las empresas multinacionales de protecci\u00f3n de cultivos aumentar\u00eda junto con el crecimiento de dos d\u00edgitos en Asia Pac\u00edfico, Am\u00e9rica del Norte y Am\u00e9rica del Sur.<\/p>\n<p>En marzo de 2021, los precios fundamentales de las materias primas aumentaron significativamente, lo que gener\u00f3 una enorme presi\u00f3n sobre la producci\u00f3n de agroqu\u00edmicos en China. El precio de Clethodim contin\u00faa aumentando debido al alto nivel de precios de la materia prima y al bajo inventario en el mercado. Desde las vacaciones de primavera de China, la tasa de operaci\u00f3n del glifosato fue baja en febrero de 2021. La pandemia de COVID-19 en la provincia de Hebei trajo incertidumbre sobre el suministro de PMIDA. Entonces, el precio del glifosato subi\u00f3 en febrero.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-67168\" src=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Key-Raw-Material-Price-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"867\" height=\"574\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Key-Raw-Material-Price-1.jpg 867w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Key-Raw-Material-Price-1-300x199.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Key-Raw-Material-Price-1-768x508.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Key-Raw-Material-Price-1-330x218.jpg 330w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Key-Raw-Material-Price-1-109x72.jpg 109w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Key-Raw-Material-Price-1-544x360.jpg 544w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Key-Raw-Material-Price-1-85x56.jpg 85w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/China-Key-Raw-Material-Price-1-150x99.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 867px) 100vw, 867px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>En cuanto al suministro de fungicidas, el tebuconazol todav\u00eda se encuentra en una posici\u00f3n de precio bajo. Como fungicida de triazol l\u00edder en el control de la roya de la soja asi\u00e1tica en el mercado de Brasil, el precio del tebuconazol podr\u00eda tener espacio para crecer cuando la demanda de LATAM se libere en la segunda mitad de 2021. La trifloxistrobina tendr\u00e1 nueva capacidad en los pr\u00f3ximos dos a\u00f1os. La baja tasa de inventario y operaci\u00f3n resulta en un precio alto en 2021.<\/p>\n<p>El precio de CCMP est\u00e1 aumentando de manera estable, lo que hace que los precios de imidaclopird aumenten lentamente. Los precios del tiametoxam y la abamectina B1a tambi\u00e9n estaban aumentando debido al escaso inventario.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La demanda de China de importaciones agr\u00edcolas y la fuerte producci\u00f3n en las Am\u00e9ricas contin\u00faan sembrando perspectivas positivas para la protecci\u00f3n de cultivos en 2021. <\/p>","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":67004,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,5,1846],"tags":[1836,554,54],"class_list":["post-67145","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-markets","category-sustainability","tag-china-price-index","tag-featured","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China Price Index: 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