{"id":67381,"date":"2021-05-11T14:47:56","date_gmt":"2021-05-11T18:47:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=67381"},"modified":"2021-05-24T14:52:41","modified_gmt":"2021-05-24T18:52:41","slug":"china-price-index-is-glyphosate-market-at-a-tipping-point-with-continued-high-pricing-levels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/agrochemicals\/china-price-index-is-glyphosate-market-at-a-tipping-point-with-continued-high-pricing-levels\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdndice de precios de China: \u00bfEst\u00e1 el mercado de glifosato en un punto de inflexi\u00f3n con niveles altos de precios continuos?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nota del editor: El escritor colaborador David Li ofrece una instant\u00e1nea de las tendencias actuales de los precios de herbicidas, fungicidas e insecticidas claves en el mercado agroqu\u00edmico chino en su publicaci\u00f3n mensual. .<\/a> sobre. A continuaci\u00f3n, brinda informaci\u00f3n sobre los factores clave que han llevado al mercado del glifosato a un punto de inflexi\u00f3n potencial.<\/em><\/p>\n

El mercado del glifosato no ha visto un nivel de precios tan alto en los \u00faltimos tres a\u00f1os. De acuerdo con nuestro monitoreo, el precio EXW de glifosato AI alcanzar\u00e1 hasta 6.2-6.9 USD \/ Kg en mayo. A finales de abril, el precio EXW del glifosato 95% AI rondaba los 5,56 USD \/ Kg. Y el plazo de entrega del glifosato de proveedores clave en China se ha retrasado hasta octubre de 2021.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

En 2020, el Inundaci\u00f3n de Sichuan<\/a> golpe\u00f3 la producci\u00f3n de glifosato de Fuhua. Desde agosto de 2020, el precio de la IA del glifosato subi\u00f3 paso a paso. La suspensi\u00f3n de la producci\u00f3n de glifosato de Fuhua provoc\u00f3 una brecha significativa en el suministro, cuyo impacto ha sido constante en 2021.<\/p>\n

En 2021, el impacto en el suministro de glifosato no se ha calmado. Hasta 60% de proveedores de PIMIDA se encuentran en la provincia de Hebei y la provincia de Shandong. Y 34% de la capacidad de PIMIDA de China se encuentra en Hebei, donde la pandemia de COVID-19 estaba bajo control del gobierno local a principios de 2021. La interrupci\u00f3n repentina del suministro de PIMIDA rompi\u00f3 el equilibrio de la demanda de los fabricantes de glifosato.<\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s, hubo el impacto de la congelaci\u00f3n profunda que afect\u00f3 a Texas en los EE. UU. El 14 de febrero de 2021. El clima extremadamente fr\u00edo afect\u00f3 principalmente a la instrumentaci\u00f3n que monitorea y opera las unidades de proceso. La congelaci\u00f3n hab\u00eda cerrado la producci\u00f3n de gas natural y los gasoductos. Despu\u00e9s de la congelaci\u00f3n, la materia prima de los productos qu\u00edmicos sigui\u00f3 aumentando tanto en los mercados de Estados Unidos como en China.<\/p>\n

El aumento del precio de las materias primas clave del glifosato, como el f\u00f3sforo amarillo, apret\u00f3 el margen de las ganancias del glifosato. Por tanto, los nuevos contratos han tenido que afrontar el "nuevo" coste de la producci\u00f3n de glifosato, que fue impulsado por el estado de producci\u00f3n limitado. Mientras tanto, la demanda interna de glifosato en China tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1 aumentando el precio. La temporada nacional normalmente comienza de noviembre a mayo anualmente.<\/p>\n

De cara al futuro, la demanda de LATAM ser\u00e1 principalmente en septiembre. Seguir\u00e1 habiendo una gran incertidumbre con respecto a qu\u00e9 tan alto subir\u00e1 el precio del glifosato para fines de 2021. De lo que estamos seguros es que el precio del glifosato seguir\u00e1 aumentando en mayo desde una perspectiva a corto plazo. A pesar de que la demanda temprana para controlar el tiempo de espera lleg\u00f3 a China en el primer trimestre de 2021. Cuando llegue el oto\u00f1o, LATAM podr\u00eda impulsar la demanda de glifosato para aumentar dr\u00e1sticamente. \u00bfVolver\u00e1 el precio del glifosato al mismo nivel que en 2008? Parece que el entusiasmo del mercado por el \u201cglifosato loco\u201d se ha encendido, por lo que el mercado est\u00e1 esperando un punto de inflexi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

La industria agroqu\u00edmica depende de recursos naturales como el petr\u00f3leo crudo, la gasolina y los recursos minerales, ya que todos contribuyen al ahorro de costos. Las empresas multinacionales necesitan controlar el upstream. Especialmente durante el per\u00edodo posterior a COVID19, la escasez global de producci\u00f3n sigue impulsando el salto de la demanda hacia la cadena de suministro de China.<\/p>\n

En abril de 2021, Grupo Syngenta China<\/a> anunci\u00f3 la colaboraci\u00f3n estrat\u00e9gica con Grupo de productos qu\u00edmicos Hubei Xingfa<\/a> oficialmente. Las principales ventajas de Xingfa son los recursos de fosfato en China. La reserva de fosfato de Xingfa es de 446 millones de toneladas. La colaboraci\u00f3n agregar\u00eda la cadena de valor de la industria del glifosato desde la materia prima hasta la fase final. Proporcionar\u00e1 a Syngenta Group China m\u00e1s competitividad en el abastecimiento de IA gen\u00e9rica clave de China. El impacto podr\u00eda ser un juego de suma cero. La colaboraci\u00f3n en el suministro de glifosato tambi\u00e9n reducir\u00e1 la competitividad de la cadena de suministro de otras empresas multinacionales. El soporte para Syngenta se convertir\u00e1 en una prioridad de la capacidad de Xingfa.<\/p>\n

El aumento del precio de las materias primas interact\u00faa con la escasez de suministro de productos b\u00e1sicos. Y QE (flexibilizaci\u00f3n cuantitativa) podr\u00eda convertirse en el mayor riesgo para la econom\u00eda global, lo que proporcionar\u00eda una ilusi\u00f3n de recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica r\u00e1pidamente. El precio actual de la soja al 5 de mayo de 2021 es $15,42 por bushel. Pero el precio de la soja fue de alrededor de $9 por bushel durante el per\u00edodo pre-COVID19 en 2019. El cambio en el precio de la soja creci\u00f3 67% durante los \u00faltimos dos a\u00f1os. Por otro lado, el precio del glifosato ha aumentado alrededor de 87%. El riesgo de inflaci\u00f3n est\u00e1 emergiendo gradualmente en 2021.<\/p>\n

Los cuadros de financiaci\u00f3n de muchas empresas de agroqu\u00edmicos son muy s\u00f3lidos en el primer trimestre de 2021. Pero el pensamiento racional sobre el control de riesgos ser\u00e1 fundamental cuando elegimos el momento adecuado y el nivel de precios para comprar agroqu\u00edmicos clave para ahorrar costos y mantener el tiempo de entrega.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00bfVolver\u00e1 el precio del glifosato a los mismos niveles dram\u00e1ticos vistos por \u00faltima vez en 2008? \u00bfY qu\u00e9 significar\u00e1 para la cadena de suministro? <\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":67003,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,28,19],"tags":[1058,1836,54,170,1843],"class_list":["post-67381","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-asia","category-herbicides","tag-china","tag-china-price-index","tag-featured-home","tag-glyphosate","tag-supply"],"yoast_head":"\nChina Price Index: Is Glyphosate Market at a Tipping Point with Continued High Pricing Levels? - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Will the price of glyphosate return to the same dramatic levels last seen in 2008? 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