{"id":67427,"date":"2021-06-22T10:56:44","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T14:56:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=67427"},"modified":"2021-06-22T10:56:26","modified_gmt":"2021-06-22T14:56:26","slug":"pandemic-expected-to-have-little-to-no-impact-on-russias-domestic-production-demand-for-agrochemicals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/agrochemicals\/pandemic-expected-to-have-little-to-no-impact-on-russias-domestic-production-demand-for-agrochemicals\/","title":{"rendered":"Se espera que la pandemia tenga poco o ning\u00fan impacto en la producci\u00f3n nacional y la demanda de agroqu\u00edmicos de Rusia"},"content":{"rendered":"

La industria rusa de productos fitosanitarios no espera una ca\u00edda significativa de la producci\u00f3n nacional y la demanda de agroqu\u00edmicos en el pa\u00eds este a\u00f1o debido a la pandemia de COVID-19, y asociada a esta recesi\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica, seg\u00fan declaraciones recientes, realizadas por algunos l\u00edderes nacionales. productores, empresas globales, que operan en el mercado local.<\/p>\n

Como Alexander Uskov, Director General de Protecci\u00f3n Avgust de cultivos<\/a>, el mayor productor ruso de productos fitosanitarios, dijo AgriBusiness Global<\/em><\/a>TM<\/sup> en una entrevista exclusiva, a pesar de COVID-19<\/a>, la demanda de los productos de la empresa en el mercado local, en cambio, ha crecido alrededor de 20%, mientras que la empresa espera que se siga observando un mayor crecimiento de la demanda en la segunda mitad del a\u00f1o en curso.<\/p>\n

"Yo describir\u00eda la situaci\u00f3n actual como natural", dice Uskov. \u201cUn fen\u00f3meno de la crisis generalmente conduce a cambios significativos en la psicolog\u00eda social y la formaci\u00f3n de requisitos previos para nuevos paradigmas de conciencia. El \u00fanico factor negativo para nosotros, que est\u00e1 asociado con la pandemia, es la disminuci\u00f3n de la rentabilidad \u201d.<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, no todo el mundo comparte ese optimismo. Jonathan Brown, director de Syngenta LLC Rusia<\/a>, la filial rusa de la empresa comparti\u00f3 su preocupaci\u00f3n en una entrevista exclusiva.<\/p>\n

\u201cPor el momento, el impacto del coronavirus en nuestra cadena de suministro en Rusia y otros pa\u00edses fue m\u00ednimo\u201d, dice Brown. \u201cSin embargo, la situaci\u00f3n es impredecible y no podemos dar previsiones precisas para los pr\u00f3ximos meses. Se espera que las restricciones a la producci\u00f3n de sustancias activas y componentes relacionados causadas por el coronavirus y la nueva legislaci\u00f3n ambiental en China sean plenamente visibles solo en el segundo y tercer trimestre de este a\u00f1o, y esto puede afectar el suministro de sustancias activas en el tiempo indicado ".<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan Brown, la empresa experimenta actualmente serias dificultades con el suministro de sus semillas y productos fitosanitarios a sus principales clientes en Rusia.<\/p>\n

A\u00fan as\u00ed, Brown espera que la recesi\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica en Rusia y la devaluaci\u00f3n del rublo a\u00fan puedan crear grandes oportunidades de venta para los productores globales, particularmente aquellos que operan en la direcci\u00f3n de la exportaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Representantes de Alemania BASF<\/a> Otro actor importante en los agroqu\u00edmicos rusos tambi\u00e9n espera la r\u00e1pida recuperaci\u00f3n del mercado.<\/p>\n

Un portavoz oficial de BASF en un comunicado exclusivo a la revista, coment\u00f3:<\/p>\n

\u201cSeg\u00fan nuestras observaciones, la agricultura rusa en general se ha enfrentado a efectos negativos bastante limitados de las restricciones vinculadas a la propagaci\u00f3n del COVID-19. En casi todas las regiones agr\u00edcolas, los agricultores pueden continuar su trabajo y tener acceso a suministros esenciales, a pesar de las incertidumbres temporales con las importaciones. Tambi\u00e9n demuestran estar dispuestos a invertir en su rendimiento futuro. Un rublo m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil ofrece una ventaja competitiva potencial y la posibilidad de mayores exportaciones. Al mismo tiempo, la turbulencia econ\u00f3mica, que llev\u00f3 al aumento de los precios de los productos fitosanitarios como resultado de la devaluaci\u00f3n del rublo, fue m\u00e1s bien una consecuencia del fracaso del acuerdo OPEP + y la fuerte ca\u00edda de los precios del petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n

"La pandemia de COVID-19, los cierres y las medidas de cuarentena, por supuesto, tambi\u00e9n afectar\u00e1n la econom\u00eda nacional", continu\u00f3 el comunicado. \u201cPero sus implicaciones tendr\u00e1n un efecto a m\u00e1s largo plazo, lo que podr\u00eda influir ya en la temporada agr\u00edcola de 2021. Es dif\u00edcil pronosticar la situaci\u00f3n con COVID-19 y c\u00f3mo se desarrollar\u00e1 la econom\u00eda. En Rusia, la mayor\u00eda de los cultivos de primavera se cultivan e incluso la siembra no se termina en todas partes. La segunda mitad del a\u00f1o ser\u00e1 un indicador de la anticipaci\u00f3n general del riesgo en el mercado para la pr\u00f3xima temporada \u201d.<\/p>\n

Mientras tanto, los principales analistas rusos independientes en el campo de los agroqu\u00edmicos tambi\u00e9n creen que el impacto del COVID-19 en el sector de agroqu\u00edmicos ruso ser\u00e1 menos destructivo que en otros segmentos de la producci\u00f3n industrial rusa.<\/p>\n

Como Igor Tyablikov, analista senior de RUPEC<\/a>, uno de los principales analistas de Rusia en el campo de los agroqu\u00edmicos explic\u00f3 que este a\u00f1o el volumen de producci\u00f3n de productos fitosanitarios en Rusia definitivamente aumentar\u00e1, en comparaci\u00f3n con 2019. Eso se deber\u00e1 principalmente a la puesta en servicio de una nueva planta en Tartarist\u00e1n (agosto-Alabuga ) el a\u00f1o pasado y el lanzamiento previsto de una segunda planta all\u00ed (Agruskhim-Alabuga).<\/p>\n

En cuanto al consumo, de acuerdo con las predicciones de Tyablikov, existe la posibilidad de su leve descenso, que se observar\u00e1 principalmente en el caso de las importaciones y se deber\u00e1 principalmente a los cambios en el tipo de cambio del rublo.<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan Tyablikov, el volumen de importaciones es bastante positivo en comparaci\u00f3n con el a\u00f1o pasado, y agreg\u00f3 que podr\u00eda explicarse por la formaci\u00f3n de reservas debido a la propagaci\u00f3n de COVID-19 por parte de algunos agricultores nacionales. Como predice el experto, en mayo, se esperaba que el volumen de importaciones de agroqu\u00edmicos a Rusia disminuya, lo que se debe principalmente a los cierres de producci\u00f3n en los principales socios comerciales rusos, en Europa, China e Israel.<\/p>\n

Estas declaraciones est\u00e1n confirmadas por las estad\u00edsticas oficiales del mercado ruso. Seg\u00fan los datos del Servicio de Estad\u00edsticas del Estado Federal de Rusia (Rosstat) durante los primeros cuatro meses del a\u00f1o en curso, la producci\u00f3n de productos fitosanitarios en Rusia creci\u00f3 a m\u00e1s de 40.000 toneladas.<\/p>\n

De estos, los herbicidas representaron 30.300 toneladas, que es 79,4% m\u00e1s que durante el mismo per\u00edodo del a\u00f1o pasado. La producci\u00f3n de fungicidas aument\u00f3 en m\u00e1s de 31% o 7.800 toneladas.<\/p>\n

En cuanto a las importaciones, seg\u00fan datos del Servicio Federal de Aduanas de Rusia, en enero del a\u00f1o en curso su volumen creci\u00f3 en 13.1% (respecto al mismo mes de 2019) y ascendi\u00f3 a 7.000 toneladas.<\/p>\n

En t\u00e9rminos de valor, las importaciones aumentaron en 26,5% hasta $102,8 millones.<\/p>\n

El a\u00f1o pasado, las importaciones de productos fitosanitarios a Rusia ascendieron a 112.600 toneladas, 4,7% m\u00e1s que en 2018. En t\u00e9rminos de valor, las importaciones cayeron 10% a $770,3 millones.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Se esperaba que las importaciones de agroqu\u00edmicos a Rusia disminuyeran, principalmente debido a los cierres de producci\u00f3n en los principales socios comerciales rusos en Europa, China e Israel.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":67433,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,29,19,20,5],"tags":[1796,54,643],"class_list":["post-67427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-europe","category-herbicides","category-insecticides","category-markets","tag-coronavirus","tag-featured-home","tag-russia"],"yoast_head":"\nPandemic Expected to Have Little to No Impact on Russia\u2019s Domestic Production, Demand for Agrochemicals - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Agrochemical imports to Russia was expected to decline, mainly due to production 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