{"id":75818,"date":"2024-04-29T08:20:22","date_gmt":"2024-04-29T12:20:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=75818"},"modified":"2024-04-29T16:43:49","modified_gmt":"2024-04-29T20:43:49","slug":"why-chinese-agrochemical-production-may-not-be-sustainable-and-how-the-global-industry-should-respond","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/agrochemicals\/why-chinese-agrochemical-production-may-not-be-sustainable-and-how-the-global-industry-should-respond\/","title":{"rendered":"Por qu\u00e9 la producci\u00f3n china de agroqu\u00edmicos puede no ser sostenible y c\u00f3mo deber\u00eda responder la industria mundial"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Se ha estimado que hasta 70% de los productos qu\u00edmicos fitosanitarios consumidos en todo el mundo tienen actualmente un componente chino. Nos hemos preguntado: \u00bfcu\u00e1n sostenible es el camino actual de la industria china y su dominio de la producci\u00f3n global de agroqu\u00edmicos? Y, \u00bfdeber\u00eda la industria responder de manera que apoyen la producci\u00f3n de productos qu\u00edmicos para la protecci\u00f3n de cultivos fuera de China?<\/p>\n<p>David Li present\u00f3 recientemente un excelente seminario web para el <em>AgriBusiness Global<\/em> \u00a1VIVIR! serie. Dado que Li es un verdadero experto en estos asuntos, se le insta a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/agrochemicals\/china-price-index-why-chinese-companies-need-to-reinvent-themselves-and-what-it-means-for-glyphosate-other-key-agrochemicals\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">revisa lo que ten\u00eda que decir<\/a> y t\u00f3malo muy en serio. Entre la informaci\u00f3n que present\u00f3 se encontraban las tendencias de precios de los agroqu\u00edmicos chinos (ver Tabla 1). Tenga en cuenta las disminuciones, algunas pronunciadas, en todos los ingredientes activos en menos de dos a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-75820\" src=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1256\" height=\"572\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends.jpg 1256w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends-300x137.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends-1024x466.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends-768x350.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends-18x8.jpg 18w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends-320x146.jpg 320w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends-480x219.jpg 480w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends-800x364.jpg 800w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends-330x150.jpg 330w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends-128x58.jpg 128w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends-640x291.jpg 640w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends-85x39.jpg 85w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Table-1-Pricing-Trends-150x68.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1256px) 100vw, 1256px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Los informes de Li muestran adem\u00e1s que muchas empresas de producci\u00f3n chinas, al igual que el resto de la industria mundial, est\u00e1n atravesando d\u00e9ficits significativos. Sin embargo, China, a diferencia del resto del mundo, est\u00e1 gastando enormes sumas de dinero para aumentar su capacidad de producir muchos de estos productos, especialmente <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/agrochemicals\/china-price-index-glufosinates-shift-from-overcapacity-to-product-innovation\/\">glufosinato.<\/a>, a pesar de la ca\u00edda de los precios.<\/p>\n<p>Por lo tanto, es posible que la industria quiera considerar si el modelo actual de dominaci\u00f3n china de la producci\u00f3n global de agroqu\u00edmicos es sostenible, especialmente para productos para los cuales actualmente hay productores \u201ccomprometidos\u201d fuera de China. Todos los materiales de este cuadro, con la posible excepci\u00f3n del lufenur\u00f3n, tienen una producci\u00f3n importante en muchos otros pa\u00edses. Por cierto, esto tambi\u00e9n se aplica a muchos otros materiales que no est\u00e1n en esta lista. \u00bfPueden las f\u00e1bricas fuera de China sobrevivir a la enorme presi\u00f3n que se aplica por lo que en muchos casos son precios claramente insostenibles?<\/p>\n<h2>Tres tendencias globales exacerban el desaf\u00edo<\/h2>\n<p>Adem\u00e1s de la ca\u00edda de los precios y la expansi\u00f3n de la producci\u00f3n china, hay al menos otros tres factores que podr\u00edan exacerbar r\u00e1pidamente este desaf\u00edo incluso cuando la poblaci\u00f3n mundial contin\u00faa creciendo:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Nuevos avances en t\u00e9cnicas de aplicaci\u00f3n dirigida.<\/strong> Es probable que el uso de drones y tecnolog\u00edas de tractores inteligentes conduzca a una reducci\u00f3n en el uso de todas las clases de pesticidas. Hay consideraciones tanto pol\u00edticas como pr\u00e1cticas que impulsar\u00e1n este desarrollo.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Actualmente se est\u00e1n desviando enormes cantidades de productos agr\u00edcolas para utilizarlos como combustible.<\/strong> En el caso del etanol a base de ma\u00edz, si el mundo contin\u00faa centr\u00e1ndose en los veh\u00edculos el\u00e9ctricos para reemplazar los motores de combusti\u00f3n interna, tiene que llegar un momento (quiz\u00e1s en un futuro no muy lejano) en el que la demanda de etanol disminuya. Si bien el E10 es actualmente la mezcla dominante, es probable que muchos veh\u00edculos puedan funcionar con E15. Si la legislaci\u00f3n estadounidense intenta ir mucho m\u00e1s all\u00e1, muchos veh\u00edculos no funcionar\u00e1n correctamente. En el caso del biocombustible derivado del aceite de soja, es probable que su uso como combustible de aviaci\u00f3n est\u00e9 en su infancia. No hay indicios de que alguien est\u00e9 siquiera so\u00f1ando con aviones el\u00e9ctricos. Sin embargo, el uso en el transporte por carretera podr\u00eda comenzar a disminuir a medida que el transporte de corta distancia se vuelva el\u00e9ctrico, y el transporte por carretera de larga distancia quiz\u00e1s no se quede muy atr\u00e1s. \u00bfPueden los trenes de mercanc\u00edas el\u00e9ctricos ser parte del futuro?<\/li>\n<li><strong>Hay muchos que creen que las pr\u00e1cticas agr\u00edcolas, especialmente la cr\u00eda de ganado y el uso de fertilizantes, son factores importantes que impactan el cambio clim\u00e1tico.<\/strong> Estos creyentes tambi\u00e9n se oponen en general a los cultivos gen\u00e9ticamente modificados y otros atributos de las tecnolog\u00edas agr\u00edcolas modernas, y tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1n muy preocupados por la tala de bosques para aumentar la superficie agr\u00edcola.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Por lo tanto, las posibles reducciones en el uso de productos b\u00e1sicos fuera de la cadena alimentaria (junto con tecnolog\u00eda que reduce la cantidad de productos qu\u00edmicos necesarios por acre y combinadas con la presi\u00f3n de los activistas del calentamiento global) podr\u00edan tener un impacto en la cantidad de acres que se plantan junto con la cantidad de qu\u00edmica aplicada a esos acres.<\/p>\n<h2>\u00bfC\u00f3mo deber\u00eda responder la industria?<\/h2>\n<p>Estados Unidos respondi\u00f3 parcialmente a este desaf\u00edo cuando impuso 301 sobreimpuestos a ciertos productos chinos en 2018. Dado que estos grav\u00e1menes se impusieron al nivel arancelario armonizado de ocho d\u00edgitos, por lo general no eran espec\u00edficos de un producto. El resultado es que materiales como <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/?s=glyphosate\">glifosato<\/a> no est\u00e1n sujetos a tales impuestos, a pesar de que hay un productor de glifosato altamente competitivo en los EE. UU. (el glufosinato, que tampoco est\u00e1 sujeto a ning\u00fan recargo, se produc\u00eda en los EE. UU. hasta 2020, pero desde entonces dicha producci\u00f3n se ha cerrado).<\/p>\n<p>\u00bfDeber\u00eda el gobierno de Estados Unidos considerar ahora implementar unilateralmente un programa m\u00e1s espec\u00edfico y espec\u00edfico para productos?<\/p>\n<p>Un estudio realizado por Fanwood Chemical el a\u00f1o pasado y <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/special-sections\/quick-look-at-agrochemical-trade-in-the-united-states\/\">publicado por <em>ABG<\/em><\/a> demostr\u00f3 que los recargos 301 tuvieron un impacto muy limitado en los patrones de abastecimiento de ingredientes activos (IA). Esto no fue una gran sorpresa, ya que los obst\u00e1culos regulatorios y financieros para establecer una producci\u00f3n de IA a escala mundial son muy altos, y especialmente porque Estados Unidos fue el \u00fanico pa\u00eds que impuso estos impuestos. Sin embargo, si hubiera una coalici\u00f3n de pa\u00edses trabajando juntos, que incluyera como m\u00ednimo a Estados Unidos, Canad\u00e1, M\u00e9xico, Brasil, Argentina, la Uni\u00f3n Europea, el Reino Unido y Jap\u00f3n, entonces se podr\u00eda lograr algo para asegurar al mundo una variedad de fuentes de mol\u00e9culas importantes.<\/p>\n<p>Algunos notar\u00e1n que las empresas individuales tienen la capacidad de tomar medidas protectoras para los productos que fabrican en un pa\u00eds en particular mediante la presentaci\u00f3n de demandas por dumping. En Estados Unidos se han presentado muchas demandas de este tipo contra muchas sustancias qu\u00edmicas chinas. De manera similar, las empresas chinas han presentado acciones contra las importaciones a China realizadas por una variedad de pa\u00edses con una variedad de productos. El problema con este enfoque, si la industria global desea mantener m\u00faltiples fuentes de agroqu\u00edmicos, es que las demandas son costosas de procesar y s\u00f3lo protegen el producto en el pa\u00eds de fabricante. Debido a que el suministro de productos qu\u00edmicos para la protecci\u00f3n de cultivos es y debe seguir siendo un negocio mundial, y debido a que la mayor\u00eda de las f\u00e1bricas necesitan exportar fuera de sus mercados nacionales para ser econ\u00f3micamente viables, una demanda por dumping presentada en los EE. UU., la UE o cualquier otro pa\u00eds otras tierras no tiene impacto en ning\u00fan otro pa\u00eds ni en el valor mundial del producto.<\/p>\n<h2>\u00bfC\u00f3mo planear\u00e1s?<\/h2>\n<p>El gobierno chino ha declarado p\u00fablicamente que quiere dominar algunas industrias para proteger sus propios intereses, y parece que la protecci\u00f3n de cultivos es una de las industrias en esta lista. Esto tiene sentido pr\u00e1ctico, ya que una industria de protecci\u00f3n de cultivos viable es un componente vital de la seguridad alimentaria.<\/p>\n<p>Algo a considerar: a medida que la econom\u00eda china se reinicia y se recupera despu\u00e9s de la pandemia, \u00bflas intenciones pol\u00edticas internas apuntar\u00e1n a la sobreproducci\u00f3n de agroqu\u00edmicos consolidando o limitando la capacidad para mejorar la rentabilidad? S\u00f3lo el tiempo dir\u00e1. \u00bfCu\u00e1l ser\u00e1 su plan ante estos acontecimientos?<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Existe una gran necesidad de abastecimiento diversificado y respuestas industriales estrat\u00e9gicas al dominio de China en la producci\u00f3n mundial de agroqu\u00edmicos.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":67004,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1917,4,28,5,1849,1882],"tags":[54],"class_list":["post-75818","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-abg-update-feature","category-agrochemicals","category-asia","category-markets","category-sourcing-insider","category-sourcing-insider-china","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why Chinese Agrochemical Production May Not Be Sustainable - And How the Global Industry Should Respond - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"There&#039;s a strong need for diversified sourcing and strategic industry responses to China&#039;s domination of global agrochemical production.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/agrochemicals\/why-chinese-agrochemical-production-may-not-be-sustainable-and-how-the-global-industry-should-respond\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why Chinese Agrochemical Production May Not Be Sustainable - And How the Global Industry Should Respond - AgriBusiness Global\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"There&#039;s a strong need for diversified sourcing and strategic industry responses to China&#039;s domination of global agrochemical production.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/es\/agrochemicals\/why-chinese-agrochemical-production-may-not-be-sustainable-and-how-the-global-industry-should-respond\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"AgriBusiness Global\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-04-29T12:20:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-04-29T20:43:49+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/flags_china_port.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"896\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"504\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Matt Hopkins\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/flags_china_port.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Matt Hopkins\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\\\/agrochemicals\\\/why-chinese-agrochemical-production-may-not-be-sustainable-and-how-the-global-industry-should-respond\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\\\/agrochemicals\\\/why-chinese-agrochemical-production-may-not-be-sustainable-and-how-the-global-industry-should-respond\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Matt Hopkins\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\\\/pt\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/4d0c8184f818e1c1add90c6287c9988e\"},\"headline\":\"Why Chinese Agrochemical Production May Not Be Sustainable &#8212; 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