{"id":133858,"date":"2026-01-30T10:43:08","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T15:43:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=133858"},"modified":"2026-01-30T10:43:08","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T15:43:08","slug":"cobank-data-reveals-u-s-farmers-were-aggressive-sellers-of-soybeans-in-fall-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/markets\/americas\/cobank-data-reveals-u-s-farmers-were-aggressive-sellers-of-soybeans-in-fall-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Dados da CoBank revelam que os agricultores dos EUA foram vendedores agressivos de soja no outono de 2025."},"content":{"rendered":"

No \u00faltimo outono, os agricultores americanos venderam soja agressivamente, aproveitando a alta dos pre\u00e7os ap\u00f3s a flexibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o das rela\u00e7\u00f5es comerciais entre os EUA e a China. Com pre\u00e7os mais altos e um ritmo de vendas mais acelerado, a posse comercial de soja aumentou acentuadamente, enquanto o uso de programas de pre\u00e7os diferidos e contratos de base diminuiu. Enquanto isso, os mercados de milho e trigo apresentaram a tend\u00eancia oposta em meio a pre\u00e7os baixos. Os agricultores aumentaram o uso de programas de pre\u00e7os diferidos e contratos de base para milho e trigo, deixando os pre\u00e7os em aberto na expectativa de futuras recupera\u00e7\u00f5es do mercado.<\/p>\n

De acordo com um novo relat\u00f3rio do Knowledge Exchange do CoBank<\/a>, O armazenamento de gr\u00e3os fora das propriedades rurais atingiu n\u00edveis recordes no \u00faltimo outono, com os agricultores transferindo mais soja e trigo para armaz\u00e9ns comerciais a fim de liberar espa\u00e7o nas fazendas para a colheita recorde de milho. O relat\u00f3rio se baseia no conjunto de dados propriet\u00e1rio do CoBank, que inclui empresas de gr\u00e3os de todo os EUA que fornecem relat\u00f3rios mensais sobre a posi\u00e7\u00e3o da base de empr\u00e9stimo. As pesquisas n\u00e3o incluem as posi\u00e7\u00f5es de comercializa\u00e7\u00e3o dos agricultores para as commodities armazenadas nas fazendas.<\/p>\n

\u201cOs dados da CoBank revelam que os agricultores t\u00eam sido vendedores pacientes de milho e trigo\u201d, disse Curtidor Ehmke<\/a>, economista-chefe de gr\u00e3os e oleaginosas do CoBank. \u201cQualquer aumento significativo nos pre\u00e7os do milho e do trigo provavelmente encontrar\u00e1 uma press\u00e3o de venda maior em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com a soja, que j\u00e1 apresentou um n\u00edvel mais alto de vendas por parte dos agricultores no \u00faltimo outono. O aumento no armazenamento de milho nas fazendas implica que tamb\u00e9m h\u00e1 mais milho no campo aguardando precifica\u00e7\u00e3o, o que pressionar\u00e1 tanto o pre\u00e7o fixo quanto o basis.\u201d<\/p>\n

A participa\u00e7\u00e3o de empresas de gr\u00e3os em estoques comerciais de soja saltou para 73,61 TP3T em 30 de novembro, ante 66,31 TP3T no ano anterior, devido ao aumento nas vendas de soja pelos agricultores. A parcela de bushels de soja em estoque comercial inscritos em programas de distribui\u00e7\u00e3o e contratos de base tamb\u00e9m caiu no \u00faltimo outono, \u00e0 medida que os agricultores ajustaram os pre\u00e7os da soja durante a alta do mercado ap\u00f3s a tr\u00e9gua comercial parcial entre os EUA e a China.<\/p>\n

Em um programa de dep\u00f3sito direto (DP), o produtor rural transfere a propriedade para o armaz\u00e9m de gr\u00e3os, com a op\u00e7\u00e3o de definir posteriormente os pre\u00e7os futuros e o pre\u00e7o de custo, pagando ao armaz\u00e9m uma taxa de servi\u00e7o mensal. Em um contrato de pre\u00e7o de custo fixo (base), o produtor rural fixa o pre\u00e7o de custo local no momento da assinatura do contrato, mas deixa o pre\u00e7o futuro em aberto para ser definido posteriormente.<\/p>\n

\u201cA participa\u00e7\u00e3o em contratos de pre\u00e7o fixo e de base na soja tamb\u00e9m caiu devido \u00e0s preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es dos agricultores com a incerteza do mercado antes da tr\u00e9gua comercial em 30 de outubro\u2019, disse Ehmke. \u201dOs armaz\u00e9ns tamb\u00e9m limitaram os programas de pre\u00e7o fixo devido ao risco de possu\u00edrem bushels sem pre\u00e7o definido em um mercado de carry.\u201c<\/p>\n

A participa\u00e7\u00e3o das empresas de gr\u00e3os em estoques comerciais de milho caiu para 731.000 toneladas em 30 de novembro, ante 771.000 toneladas no ano anterior. A participa\u00e7\u00e3o das empresas em estoques de trigo caiu para 721.000 toneladas, ante 751.000 toneladas no ano passado. O uso de contratos de pre\u00e7o fixo e de base aumentou tanto para o milho quanto para o trigo, \u00e0 medida que os agricultores mantiveram os pre\u00e7os em aberto na expectativa de futuras recupera\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

\u201cA falta de vendas de milho e trigo por parte dos agricultores tem sustentado o pre\u00e7o \u00e0 vista em algumas regi\u00f5es, mas o aumento na quantidade de bushels aguardando precifica\u00e7\u00e3o implica que uma maior press\u00e3o de venda est\u00e1 por vir para o milho e o trigo\u201d, disse Ehmke.<\/p>\n

Os estoques totais de milho nos EUA atingiram um recorde hist\u00f3rico em 1\u00ba de dezembro, com 13,3 bilh\u00f5es de bushels, um aumento de 101 toneladas em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior, segundo o USDA. A parcela de milho armazenada fora das fazendas caiu para 34,51 toneladas, ante 371 toneladas no ano anterior. Os estoques de milho fora das fazendas totalizaram 4,58 milh\u00f5es de bushels, um aumento de 3,91 toneladas em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior e o n\u00edvel mais alto em sete anos, enquanto o armazenamento nas fazendas aumentou 13,51 toneladas, chegando a 8,699 bilh\u00f5es de bushels.<\/p>\n

Os estoques de trigo dos EUA em 1\u00ba de dezembro totalizaram 1,675 bilh\u00e3o de bushels, um aumento de 6,51 trilh\u00f5es de toneladas em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior e o maior em seis anos. O armazenamento fora das fazendas representou 73,41 trilh\u00f5es de toneladas da safra, um aumento em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s 70,31 trilh\u00f5es de toneladas do ano passado e o n\u00edvel mais alto em quatro anos. Os estoques de soja dos EUA subiram para 3,29 bilh\u00f5es de bushels, um aumento de 6,11 trilh\u00f5es de toneladas em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano anterior, atingindo o n\u00edvel mais alto em sete anos, com estoques fora das fazendas totalizando 1,71 bilh\u00e3o de bushels, um aumento de 9,91 trilh\u00f5es de toneladas em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano passado.<\/p>\n

Leia o relat\u00f3rio, Dados da CoBank revelam que os agricultores foram vendedores agressivos de soja no outono de 2025.<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado no final do ano impulsionou as vendas de soja, mas os agricultores continuam relutantes em vender milho e trigo aos pre\u00e7os baixos atuais.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":133859,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[26,489,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-133858","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-americas","category-industry-news","category-markets"],"yoast_head":"\nCoBank Data Reveals U.S. Farmers Were Aggressive Sellers of Soybeans in Fall 2025 - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Late year market rally spurred soybeans sales, but farmers remain reluctant to sell corn and wheat at current price lows.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" 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