{"id":134698,"date":"2026-05-13T14:32:43","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T18:32:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=134698"},"modified":"2026-05-13T14:32:43","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T18:32:43","slug":"rising-energy-costs-begin-to-reshape-crop-protection-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/rising-energy-costs-begin-to-reshape-crop-protection-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"Aumento dos custos de energia come\u00e7a a remodelar os mercados de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos."},"content":{"rendered":"

As r\u00e1pidas mudan\u00e7as geopol\u00edticas e a alta dos pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo bruto come\u00e7am a reverberar pelo mundo. prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos<\/a> mercados, mas o impacto total nos pre\u00e7os ainda n\u00e3o foi sentido, de acordo com o Diretor-Geral da Pacific Agriscience<\/a> CS Liew.<\/p>\n

Os pre\u00e7os provenientes dos principais centros de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o, como China e \u00cdndia, est\u00e3o subindo, mas esses aumentos ainda n\u00e3o chegaram integralmente aos distribuidores ou agricultores. O motivo \u00e9 simples: estoques.<\/p>\n

\u201cN\u00e3o est\u00e1 acontecendo muita coisa no mercado em termos de pre\u00e7os\u2026 simplesmente por causa do estoque\u201d, diz Liew, observando que muitas empresas ainda est\u00e3o liquidando o estoque anterior ao conflito, enquanto adiam novas compras.<\/p>\n

Essa defasagem, no entanto, dificilmente se manter\u00e1. Como afirma o analista do setor Bob Trogele, CEO da ProAgInvest<\/a>, Observa-se que as press\u00f5es de custos relacionadas \u00e0 energia, log\u00edstica e mat\u00e9rias-primas normalmente se propagam pelo sistema com atraso.<\/p>\n

\u201cH\u00e1 um atraso\u2026 mas esses custos acabar\u00e3o sendo repassados ao mercado\u201d, diz ele.<\/p>\n

Por enquanto, o sistema est\u00e1 absorvendo o impacto. Mas essa prote\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1 diminuindo \u2014 e rapidamente.<\/p>\n

Os insumos ligados ao petr\u00f3leo disparam primeiro.<\/h2>\n

Embora os pre\u00e7os dos pesticidas permane\u00e7am relativamente est\u00e1veis, as press\u00f5es de custos a montante j\u00e1 come\u00e7am a se fazer sentir.<\/p>\n

Para solventes e materiais de embalagem \u2014 insumos derivados do petr\u00f3leo antes considerados est\u00e1veis e previs\u00edveis \u2014 a volatilidade surgiu quase da noite para o dia como um fator crucial de custo. Como resultado, h\u00e1 uma crescente press\u00e3o para diversificar o fornecimento nessas categorias, uma \u00e1rea que, segundo Liew, n\u00e3o era foco principal no passado.<\/p>\n

\u201cO que est\u00e1 impulsionando isso \u00e9, obviamente, a situa\u00e7\u00e3o energ\u00e9tica\u201d, diz Trogele. \u201cOs insumos diretamente ligados ao petr\u00f3leo bruto \u2014 particularmente xileno e embalagens pl\u00e1sticas \u2014 aumentaram drasticamente, em alguns casos, duas a tr\u00eas vezes em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com os n\u00edveis pr\u00e9-guerra.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

No entanto, o aumento dos custos de energia n\u00e3o est\u00e1 afetando todos os mercados da mesma forma.<\/p>\n

Pa\u00edses com maior acesso ao petr\u00f3leo ou com reservas mais robustas, como China, Mal\u00e1sia e Indon\u00e9sia, est\u00e3o em melhor posi\u00e7\u00e3o para absorver o impacto. Em contrapartida, mercados dependentes de importa\u00e7\u00f5es, como \u00cdndia, Tail\u00e2ndia e Filipinas, enfrentam uma press\u00e3o mais imediata e aguda.<\/p>\n

\u201cEu n\u00e3o diria que algu\u00e9m est\u00e1 realmente se beneficiando com isso\u201d, diz Liew, ressaltando a tens\u00e3o generalizada em toda a regi\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

O resultado \u00e9 uma crescente disparidade na exposi\u00e7\u00e3o aos custos, que come\u00e7a a remodelar a competitividade em toda a \u00c1sia.<\/p>\n

Ao mesmo tempo, a disponibilidade est\u00e1 se tornando mais restrita, com atrasos generalizados nas entregas se tornando cada vez mais comuns, de acordo com Liew e Trogele.<\/p>\n

Esses sinais iniciais s\u00e3o importantes. Se os pre\u00e7os elevados do petr\u00f3leo bruto persistirem por mais quatro a seis semanas, Liew prev\u00ea que esses aumentos de custos se refletir\u00e3o nos pre\u00e7os dos pesticidas acabados.<\/p>\n

Uma resposta fragmentada em rela\u00e7\u00e3o aos pre\u00e7os<\/h2>\n

Esses sinais de alerta precoce j\u00e1 est\u00e3o se traduzindo em rea\u00e7\u00f5es de pre\u00e7os desiguais. O mercado n\u00e3o est\u00e1 se movendo em sincronia.<\/p>\n

Os grandes distribuidores, apoiados por estoques mais robustos, mantiveram os pre\u00e7os est\u00e1veis em grande parte. Os pequenos distribuidores, com menos margem de seguran\u00e7a, j\u00e1 est\u00e3o sendo for\u00e7ados a fazer ajustes. Outros est\u00e3o agindo de forma mais oportunista, aumentando os pre\u00e7os em antecipa\u00e7\u00e3o a aumentos mais generalizados, segundo Liew.<\/p>\n

\u201cApenas os concorrentes mais fracos tiveram que aumentar seus pre\u00e7os\u201d, diz Liew, observando que o estoque limitado est\u00e1 for\u00e7ando os fornecedores menores a agirem mais cedo.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Essa hesita\u00e7\u00e3o em aumentar os pre\u00e7os entre os grandes players reflete uma relut\u00e2ncia mais ampla entre algumas empresas em repassar o aumento dos custos muito rapidamente em um mercado altamente competitivo e sens\u00edvel \u00e0s margens de lucro.<\/p>\n

\u201cOs pre\u00e7os j\u00e1 est\u00e3o muito pr\u00f3ximos do custo de produ\u00e7\u00e3o\u2026 eles n\u00e3o est\u00e3o lucrando\u201d, diz Trogele, apontando para as margens reduzidas de muitos fabricantes.<\/p>\n

Mas mesmo na China \u2014 o maior produtor mundial de pesticidas gen\u00e9ricos<\/a> \u2014 A press\u00e3o sobre os pre\u00e7os parece estar aumentando. \u00cdndice de pre\u00e7os recente da China<\/a> Por David Li, Vice-Presidente de SPM Bioci\u00eancias<\/a>, relata que os fabricantes come\u00e7aram a implementar aumentos seletivos, normalmente na faixa de 5% a 20%, dependendo do produto.<\/p>\n

Estrat\u00e9gias de fornecimento tornam-se mais disciplinadas<\/h2>\n

As empresas tamb\u00e9m est\u00e3o ajustando suas estrat\u00e9gias de fornecimento, mas com muito mais cautela do que em ciclos anteriores.<\/p>\n

H\u00e1 uma clara tend\u00eancia em dire\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 garantia de fornecimento antecipado para produtos de alta rotatividade e alta demanda, ao mesmo tempo que se reduz a compra especulativa. Para produtos de menor rotatividade, muitas empresas agora operam em regime de encomendas sob demanda \u2014 fazendo pedidos somente quando a demanda \u00e9 confirmada, de acordo com Liew.<\/p>\n

\u201cEles n\u00e3o est\u00e3o t\u00e3o agressivos como estavam durante a COVID \u2014 n\u00e3o h\u00e1 compras por p\u00e2nico desta vez\u201d, diz Liew.<\/p>\n

Ap\u00f3s ter vivenciado fortes corre\u00e7\u00f5es de pre\u00e7os em ciclos anteriores de expans\u00e3o e recess\u00e3o, o setor est\u00e1 ativamente evitando o risco de encomendas excessivas e de ficar com estoques de alto custo, de acordo com Liew.<\/p>\n

As rela\u00e7\u00f5es estrat\u00e9gicas tornam-se cruciais.<\/h2>\n

Nesse ambiente mais vol\u00e1til e restritivo, as compras transacionais est\u00e3o perdendo espa\u00e7o para o alinhamento estrat\u00e9gico.<\/p>\n

Liew enfatiza que as empresas devem buscar parcerias mais profundas, seja por meio de joint ventures, produ\u00e7\u00e3o por encomenda ou acordos de longo prazo, para garantir a continuidade do fornecimento e a competitividade.<\/p>\n

\u201cSe voc\u00ea vier apenas para negociar o pre\u00e7o, conseguir\u00e1 um pre\u00e7o diferente\u201d, diz ele, acrescentando que a prioridade est\u00e1 sendo cada vez mais dada a parcerias estrat\u00e9gicas de longo prazo em detrimento de compradores pontuais.<\/p>\n

Essa mudan\u00e7a est\u00e1 acelerando o interesse em modelos de fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o mais colaborativos.<\/p>\n

Liew est\u00e1 programado para sediar um evento. Workshop sobre Joint Venture e Fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o por Encomenda de Pesticidas Globais<\/a> Em julho, com o objetivo de reunir fabricantes, distribuidores e novos participantes para repensar a forma como a ind\u00fastria estrutura as rela\u00e7\u00f5es de fornecimento.<\/p>\n

O evento servir\u00e1 como plataforma para fabricantes, principalmente da China e da \u00cdndia, mas tamb\u00e9m incluir\u00e1 representantes da It\u00e1lia, Indon\u00e9sia e Taiwan, apresentarem suas capacidades, al\u00e9m de auxiliar compradores na identifica\u00e7\u00e3o de parceiros para terceiriza\u00e7\u00e3o, joint ventures e fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o por contrato. Descri\u00e7\u00e3o do programa pode ser encontrado online<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n

\u201cEstou dando aos jogadores uma plataforma para se unirem\u201d, diz Liew, enfatizando a necessidade de ir al\u00e9m da din\u00e2mica tradicional de compra e venda.<\/p>\n

O p\u00fablico-alvo abranger\u00e1 empresas que desenvolvem novas mol\u00e9culas, empresas tradicionais que expandem a produ\u00e7\u00e3o terceirizada e distribuidores que est\u00e3o se expandindo para mercados regionais ou globais.<\/p>\n

A mensagem \u00e9 clara: parcerias mais s\u00f3lidas definir\u00e3o quem garantir\u00e1 o fornecimento.<\/p>\n

A cautela define a pr\u00f3xima fase.<\/h2>\n

Olhando para o futuro, a incerteza permanece alta e a visibilidade \u00e9 limitada, mas uma coisa \u00e9 diferente desta vez: o comportamento.<\/p>\n

A comunica\u00e7\u00e3o em toda a cadeia de suprimentos acelerou, com as empresas passando de verifica\u00e7\u00f5es peri\u00f3dicas para um engajamento quase em tempo real.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u00c9 como uma situa\u00e7\u00e3o de sala de guerra\u201d, diz Liew. \u201cAntes, eles conversavam com os fornecedores uma vez por m\u00eas\u2026 agora, conversam a cada dois dias.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Segundo Liew, as empresas tamb\u00e9m est\u00e3o aplicando li\u00e7\u00f5es aprendidas com dificuldades em crises passadas, adotando uma abordagem mais ponderada e disciplinada em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao fornecimento e ao estoque.<\/p>\n

Para as empresas que enfrentam a incerteza, a adapta\u00e7\u00e3o ser\u00e1 fundamental.<\/p>\n

\u201cN\u00e3o se adaptar n\u00e3o \u00e9 uma op\u00e7\u00e3o\u201d, afirma Trogele, apontando para a necessidade de um controle de custos mais rigoroso, disciplina na cadeia de suprimentos e novos modelos operacionais.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A alta dos pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo e a turbul\u00eancia geopol\u00edtica amea\u00e7am os custos dos pesticidas, restringem a oferta e remodelam rapidamente as estrat\u00e9gias de abastecimento nos mercados agr\u00edcolas globais.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1477,"featured_media":72459,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1917,4,28,926,1849,1882,1881],"tags":[54],"class_list":["post-134698","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-abg-update-feature","category-agrochemicals","category-asia","category-plant-health","category-sourcing-insider","category-sourcing-insider-china","category-sourcing-insider-india","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"\nRising Energy Costs Begin to Reshape Crop Protection Markets - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Rising oil prices and geopolitical 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