{"id":135027,"date":"2026-07-08T12:54:38","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T16:54:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=135027"},"modified":"2026-07-08T12:54:38","modified_gmt":"2026-07-08T16:54:38","slug":"fertilizer-cost-pressures-shift-from-logistics-to-inputs-as-agribusinesses-brace-for-next-supply-chain-challenge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/plant-health\/npk\/fertilizer-cost-pressures-shift-from-logistics-to-inputs-as-agribusinesses-brace-for-next-supply-chain-challenge\/","title":{"rendered":"A press\u00e3o sobre os custos dos fertilizantes passa da log\u00edstica para os insumos, \u00e0 medida que as empresas do agroneg\u00f3cio se preparam para o pr\u00f3ximo desafio da cadeia de suprimentos."},"content":{"rendered":"

Embora os consumidores j\u00e1 estejam sentindo o aumento dos pre\u00e7os dos alimentos devido aos custos de transporte e log\u00edstica, o mercado de fertilizantes pode representar o pr\u00f3ximo grande desafio de custos para a agricultura.<\/p>\n

A Oxford Economics projeta pre\u00e7os de fertilizantes<\/a> Os pre\u00e7os da ureia podem subir mais de 30% este ano, \u00e0 medida que as tens\u00f5es geopol\u00edticas e as interrup\u00e7\u00f5es no transporte mar\u00edtimo pelo Estreito de Ormuz continuam a pressionar a oferta global. O relat\u00f3rio da empresa tamb\u00e9m prev\u00ea que os pre\u00e7os da ureia dever\u00e3o subir ainda mais rapidamente.<\/p>\n

\u201cNo entanto, o impacto variar\u00e1 entre pa\u00edses e culturas, enquanto a baixa acessibilidade hist\u00f3rica aos fertilizantes, medida pela rela\u00e7\u00e3o entre o pre\u00e7o dos gr\u00e3os e o pre\u00e7o dos fertilizantes, resultar\u00e1 em um impacto maior no setor agr\u00edcola em termos de produtividade e margens\u201d, escreveu a economista-chefe Kiran Ahmed na mais recente an\u00e1lise da empresa.<\/p>\n

Instituto de Fertilizantes (TFI)<\/a> est\u00e1 observando preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es semelhantes. Corey Rosenbusch, presidente e CEO da TFI, afirmou que os produtores precisam de maior visibilidade dos mercados globais de fertilizantes, pois as interrup\u00e7\u00f5es no fornecimento internacional influenciam cada vez mais os pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes no mercado interno.<\/p>\n

\u201cEles precisam de transpar\u00eancia. Precisam entender como funciona a oferta e a demanda global de fertilizantes e por que isso est\u00e1 afetando o pre\u00e7o deles em Illinois\u201d, disse Rosenbusch., Em um relat\u00f3rio recente da AgriBusiness Global Report.<\/a><\/p>\n

Para os varejistas e distribuidores agr\u00edcolas, no entanto, os impactos mais significativos ainda podem estar por vir.<\/p>\n

\u201cO segmento de fertilizantes ser\u00e1 o pr\u00f3ximo grande sucesso\u201d, disse Frank Kenney, vice-presidente de Estrat\u00e9gia e Habilita\u00e7\u00e3o de Entrada no Mercado da [nome da empresa]. Cleo<\/a>. \u201cMuitas das maiores empresas agr\u00edcolas j\u00e1 haviam fixado seus custos com fertilizantes para 2026 antes desse \u00faltimo aumento repentino no mercado.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Esse atraso nas compras cria um risco residual que pode se estender pelos pr\u00f3ximos 12 a 18 meses. Como os fertilizantes costumam ser comprados meses antes do plantio, as interrup\u00e7\u00f5es no fornecimento podem continuar afetando produtores e consumidores muito tempo depois que os eventos geopol\u00edticos parecerem se estabilizar. "O pre\u00e7o j\u00e1 foi pago em algum ponto da cadeia", disse Kenney. "Algu\u00e9m precisa arcar com ele."\u201c<\/p>\n

Embora grandes varejistas, cooperativas e opera\u00e7\u00f5es agr\u00edcolas frequentemente tenham poder de compra para proteger-se contra custos de fertilizantes ou reservar estoques com meses de anteced\u00eancia, varejistas menores e produtores independentes geralmente t\u00eam menos flexibilidade.<\/p>\n

\u201cQuando o pre\u00e7o do fertilizante passa de $350 ou $400 por tonelada para $600, $900 ou mais, os pequenos produtores s\u00e3o os mais afetados\u201d, disse Kenney. \u201cOs varejistas e distribuidores agr\u00edcolas lidar\u00e3o com clientes que t\u00eam n\u00edveis de flexibilidade financeira muito diferentes.\u201d<\/p>\n

O processo de compras se torna uma vantagem competitiva.<\/h2>\n

Os fertilizantes nitrogenados e fosfatados permanecem particularmente vulner\u00e1veis devido \u00e0 sua depend\u00eancia de regi\u00f5es de produ\u00e7\u00e3o globais e rotas de transporte afetadas pela incerteza geopol\u00edtica.<\/p>\n

\u201cMetade do enxofre comercializado no mundo passa pelo Estreito de Ormuz\u201d, disse Rosenbusch, observando que o enxofre \u00e9 uma mat\u00e9ria-prima essencial usada na fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o de fertilizantes fosfatados, como MAP e DAP.<\/p>\n

Kenney acrescenta que a quest\u00e3o vai al\u00e9m do pre\u00e7o.<\/p>\n

\u201cA quest\u00e3o passa a ser a quantidade de estoque dispon\u00edvel, quando ele pode ser vendido, quem j\u00e1 garantiu sua compra e quem ficar\u00e1 tentando comprar mais perto do in\u00edcio da temporada\u201d, diz Kenney.<\/p>\n

Em vez de simplesmente monitorar os pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes, Kenney recomenda que as empresas agropecu\u00e1rias tenham maior visibilidade dos compromissos dos fornecedores, do cronograma de remessas, dos estoques regionais e das op\u00e7\u00f5es alternativas de fornecimento, antes que as decis\u00f5es de compra sejam limitadas pelas condi\u00e7\u00f5es de mercado.<\/p>\n

Os efeitos na cadeia de suprimentos v\u00e3o al\u00e9m dos fertilizantes.<\/h2>\n

O mercado de fertilizantes \u00e9 apenas uma pe\u00e7a de uma equa\u00e7\u00e3o mais ampla da cadeia de suprimentos.<\/p>\n

Kenney observa que os custos de transporte j\u00e1 est\u00e3o aumentando devido aos pre\u00e7os mais altos dos combust\u00edveis, \u00e0 disponibilidade de frete e \u00e0s despesas com m\u00e3o de obra, principalmente para produtos frescos que dependem de transporte refrigerado.<\/p>\n

\u201cEsses custos acabam influenciando o que \u00e9 plantado e o que \u00e9 repassado\u201d, diz Kenney.<\/p>\n

A visibilidade torna-se crucial.<\/h2>\n

Ap\u00f3s v\u00e1rios anos de interrup\u00e7\u00f5es na cadeia de suprimentos, Kenney acredita que as empresas do agroneg\u00f3cio devem se concentrar menos em coletar mais dados e mais em conectar as informa\u00e7\u00f5es que j\u00e1 possuem.<\/p>\n

Ele recomenda o monitoramento dos pre\u00e7os de fertilizantes, custos de combust\u00edvel, capacidade de frete, compromissos de fornecedores, atrasos em entregas, n\u00edveis de estoque, pedidos de compra em aberto e disponibilidade regional de produtos. Tecnologias como IA e automa\u00e7\u00e3o podem ajudar as organiza\u00e7\u00f5es a identificar padr\u00f5es mais cedo e a entender como as interrup\u00e7\u00f5es afetar\u00e3o o estoque, o transporte, os compromissos com os clientes e as margens antes que se tornem problemas operacionais.<\/p>\n

\u201cAs organiza\u00e7\u00f5es que conseguirem conectar esses pontos e responder rapidamente estar\u00e3o em uma posi\u00e7\u00e3o muito melhor para lidar com o que vier a seguir\u201d, afirma ele.<\/p>\n

A inova\u00e7\u00e3o continua sendo uma prioridade de longo prazo.<\/h2>\n

Enquanto o setor enfrenta a incerteza imediata na cadeia de suprimentos, os fabricantes de fertilizantes tamb\u00e9m est\u00e3o investindo em inova\u00e7\u00e3o com o objetivo de melhorar a efici\u00eancia dos nutrientes e a resili\u00eancia a longo prazo.<\/p>\n

Por exemplo, o Centro de Inova\u00e7\u00e3o da Associa\u00e7\u00e3o Internacional de Fertilizantes (IFA) lan\u00e7ou recentemente um novo modelo de software. Inova\u00e7\u00e3o em Fertilizantes Desencadeada: Catalisando A\u00e7\u00f5es Transformadoras na Nutri\u00e7\u00e3o de Plantas<\/em><\/a>, Apresentando o que descreve como o primeiro Benchmark de Inova\u00e7\u00e3o da Ind\u00fastria de Fertilizantes padronizado do setor. O benchmark permite que as organiza\u00e7\u00f5es comparem seu desempenho em inova\u00e7\u00e3o com as m\u00e9dias verificadas do setor e acompanhem o progresso ao longo do tempo.<\/p>\n

\u201cOs avan\u00e7os na nutri\u00e7\u00e3o vegetal t\u00eam o potencial de gerar benef\u00edcios extraordin\u00e1rios \u2014 desde a melhoria da efici\u00eancia do uso de nutrientes e do desempenho clim\u00e1tico at\u00e9 a constru\u00e7\u00e3o de sistemas alimentares mais resilientes e nutritivos\u201d, disse Alzbeta Klein, CEO e Diretora Geral da IFA. \u201cEste relat\u00f3rio fornece ao setor os dados e as informa\u00e7\u00f5es necess\u00e1rias para tomar decis\u00f5es embasadas e acelerar a implementa\u00e7\u00e3o de a\u00e7\u00f5es.\u201d<\/p>\n

No curto prazo, as empresas do agroneg\u00f3cio est\u00e3o se preparando para custos de insumos mais altos, oferta restrita e incerteza geopol\u00edtica cont\u00ednua, mas, no longo prazo, est\u00e3o investindo em tecnologias e inova\u00e7\u00e3o que podem melhorar a efici\u00eancia, fortalecer a resili\u00eancia e ajudar os produtores a produzir mais com menos insumos.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O aumento dos custos dos fertilizantes, as interrup\u00e7\u00f5es no fornecimento e as tens\u00f5es geopol\u00edticas est\u00e3o remodelando as estrat\u00e9gias de aquisi\u00e7\u00e3o, desafiando as margens de lucro e testando a resili\u00eancia do agroneg\u00f3cio em todo o mundo.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1477,"featured_media":79365,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1917,1885,23],"tags":[617],"class_list":["post-135027","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-abg-update-feature","category-industry-insights","category-npk","tag-fertilizer-2"],"yoast_head":"\nFertilizer Cost Pressures Shift from Logistics to Inputs as Agribusinesses Brace for Next Supply Chain Challenge - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Rising fertilizer costs, supply disruptions, and 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