Servi\u00e7o de Agricultura Estrangeira do Departamento de Agricultura dos EUA <\/a>(USDA-FAS), as condi\u00e7\u00f5es atuais da safra no Brasil s\u00e3o \u201cboas a excelentes, com problemas clim\u00e1ticos m\u00ednimos no Mato Grosso e no Rio Grande do Sul\u201d. Mato Grosso \u00e9 a maior \u00e1rea de produ\u00e7\u00e3o do pa\u00eds, gerando mais de 30% de soja do Brasil. Atualmente, o Brasil est\u00e1 previsto para produzir 60,1 milh\u00f5es de toneladas m\u00e9tricas (MMT) de 21,7 m. Ha. A colheita recente foi muito chuvosa, no entanto \u2014 particularmente no Mato Grosso \u2014 j\u00e1 que a soja foi plantada de oito dias a um m\u00eas de atraso para reduzir a doen\u00e7a da ferrugem da soja.<\/p>\nNos EUA, os produtores est\u00e3o revertendo a tend\u00eancia do ano anterior, plantando menos milho e mais soja em 2008. O USDA disse que os produtores de soja est\u00e3o planejando um aumento de at\u00e9 18% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a 2007.<\/p>\n
O economista-chefe do USDA, Joe Glauber, n\u00e3o v\u00ea os estoques de oleaginosas crescendo, no entanto, devido principalmente \u00e0 demanda chinesa por soja. \u201cA demanda global por soja deve se expandir, principalmente devido ao crescimento na China, onde as altas rendas est\u00e3o aumentando as demandas por carne e \u00f3leo vegetal\u201d, diz Glauber. \u201c\u00c9 improv\u00e1vel que os estoques globais de oleaginosas se recuperem em 2008\/09, pois os ganhos de fornecimento de oleaginosas provavelmente n\u00e3o ultrapassar\u00e3o significativamente o crescimento da demanda.\u201d<\/p>\n
Os altos pre\u00e7os internacionais est\u00e3o contribuindo para um maior crescimento mundial e devem promover uma \u00e1rea maior em 2008\/09. Os produtores de algod\u00e3o indianos em Vidarbha, que sofreram nas \u00faltimas temporadas, est\u00e3o mudando para a soja, que tem melhores retornos por acre e, como culturas de matura\u00e7\u00e3o precoce, s\u00e3o menos suscet\u00edveis a danos por chuva incessante e t\u00eam a oportunidade de uma segunda safra. Os pre\u00e7os robustos da soja aumentaram a \u00e1rea de soja de 2008 na regi\u00e3o para 1,7 m. Ha, dos 1,5 m. Ha do ano passado.<\/p>\n
Fatores limitantes<\/p>\n
O aumento de \u00e1rea em 2008\/09 ser\u00e1 acompanhado de aumento nos custos de produ\u00e7\u00e3o. O aumento do custo dos insumos continua a pressionar os or\u00e7amentos em todo o mundo. No Brasil, os custos dos fertilizantes aumentaram de US$ $300 por hectare para NPK em 2007 para o pre\u00e7o de fevereiro de $750 por Ha. Especialistas da ind\u00fastria esperam que ele chegue a $900 por Ha este ano.<\/p>\n
Os pre\u00e7os dos herbicidas quase dobraram desde 2007, enquanto os fungicidas e inseticidas aumentaram em uma taxa menor, mas ainda proibitiva.<\/p>\n
O economista de extens\u00e3o da Ohio State University Barry Ward diz: "O custo de algumas vari\u00e1veis, como combust\u00edvel, n\u00e3o \u00e9 t\u00e3o surpreendente quanto seria de se esperar, mas uma coisa que n\u00e3o esper\u00e1vamos ver eram pre\u00e7os dramaticamente mais altos de pot\u00e1ssio e f\u00f3sforo." Embora a soja n\u00e3o tenha os requisitos de nitrog\u00eanio de culturas como o milho, Ward ainda espera que os custos de insumos da soja sejam 23% mais altos do que no ano anterior.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
A soja \u00e9 cultivada na \u00c1sia h\u00e1 3.000 anos e, nos \u00faltimos anos, em todo o mundo. O uso da soja\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":24541,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20603","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets"],"yoast_head":"\n
Soy Is Strong - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Soy has been grown in Asia for 3,000 years, and in recent years, cultivated around the globe. Use of soy meal for flour, oil, and animal feed is strong,\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/markets\/soy-is-strong\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Soy Is Strong - AgriBusiness Global\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Soy has been grown in Asia for 3,000 years, and in recent years, cultivated around the globe. 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<\/p>\n