{"id":31029,"date":"2012-09-18T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2012-09-18T04:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/2012\/09\/18\/rising-labor-costs-not-the-sole-factor-influencing-potential-u-s-manufacturing-resurgence\/"},"modified":"2014-11-20T15:05:58","modified_gmt":"2014-11-20T20:05:58","slug":"rising-labor-costs-not-the-sole-factor-influencing-potential-u-s-manufacturing-resurgence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/markets\/rising-labor-costs-not-the-sole-factor-influencing-potential-u-s-manufacturing-resurgence\/","title":{"rendered":"Aumento dos custos de m\u00e3o de obra n\u00e3o \u00e9 o \u00fanico fator que influencia o potencial ressurgimento da ind\u00fastria dos EUA"},"content":{"rendered":"

As opini\u00f5es consensuais sobre o ressurgimento da ind\u00fastria dos EUA centraram-se, em grande parte, no aumento dos custos laborais em mercados como a China como o principal impulsionador do regresso aos EUA. No entanto, uma nova PwC EUA<\/a> relat\u00f3rio, Um regresso a casa para a ind\u00fastria dos EUA?<\/em> revela que, embora o aumento dos custos trabalhistas fa\u00e7a parte da hist\u00f3ria, uma s\u00e9rie de fatores \u2014 incluindo custos de transporte e energia e prote\u00e7\u00e3o da cadeia de suprimentos \u2014 podem impulsionar um renascimento sustentado da manufatura nos EUA al\u00e9m de qualquer recupera\u00e7\u00e3o c\u00edclica, potencialmente melhorando o investimento, o emprego, a produ\u00e7\u00e3o e a pesquisa e desenvolvimento (P&D). <\/p>\n

\u201cOs fabricantes industriais podem repensar cada vez mais as suas estrat\u00e9gias nos EUA, incluindo os m\u00e9ritos de continuar a separar a produ\u00e7\u00e3o e a I&D e a produzir no estrangeiro e a importar de volta para compradores dos EUA\u201d, disse Bob McCutcheon, l\u00edder de produtos industriais dos EUA da PwC<\/a>.<\/p>\n

A realoca\u00e7\u00e3o da produ\u00e7\u00e3o industrial nos EUA geralmente traz maiores vantagens para algumas ind\u00fastrias do que para outras. Ao levar em conta os custos que abrangem m\u00e3o de obra, materiais, transporte e energia, o relat\u00f3rio da PwC mostra que os produtos qu\u00edmicos \u2014 incluindo a fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o de insumos agr\u00edcolas \u2014 metais prim\u00e1rios e ind\u00fastrias de fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o de equipamentos pesados tendem a se beneficiar mais da manuten\u00e7\u00e3o ou expans\u00e3o de instala\u00e7\u00f5es nos EUA, dadas as oportunidades e incentivos de custo para relocalizar internamente.<\/p>\n

O relat\u00f3rio da PwC descreve sete fatores que podem desempenhar pap\u00e9is importantes na tomada de decis\u00f5es de relocaliza\u00e7\u00e3o, bem como na determina\u00e7\u00e3o se os EUA se tornar\u00e3o ou n\u00e3o um mercado mais competitivo e atraente para a expans\u00e3o da manufatura:<\/p>\n

Custos de transporte e energia:<\/strong> O mercado altista de commodities de energia na \u00faltima d\u00e9cada contribuiu para um grande aumento nos custos de transporte para fabricantes com cadeias de suprimentos globais. Como resultado, algumas empresas de maquin\u00e1rio est\u00e3o produzindo mais nos EUA para vender na Am\u00e9rica do Norte.<\/p>\n

Flutua\u00e7\u00f5es cambiais:<\/strong> O d\u00f3lar americano geralmente se depreciou durante a \u00faltima d\u00e9cada, e a moeda chinesa subiu moderadamente, o que estreita a lacuna de custo entre produzir nos EUA e importar da China para consumo dom\u00e9stico. Al\u00e9m disso, o decl\u00ednio secular do d\u00f3lar americano ajuda a tornar os EUA um local potencialmente mais competitivo para fabricar para exporta\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Demanda do mercado dos EUA:<\/strong> Enquanto a China e outros mercados emergentes devem continuar a aumentar o PIB em um ritmo mais r\u00e1pido do que os EUA, a disparidade na riqueza, medida pelo PIB real per capita, deve persistir com os EUA superando a China e outros mercados emergentes. Essa diferen\u00e7a no padr\u00e3o de vida relativo, bem como o tamanho do mercado dos EUA, apoia o investimento em nova produ\u00e7\u00e3o dom\u00e9stica de bens direcionados ao consumo dos EUA.<\/p>\n

Talento dos EUA:<\/strong> A lacuna no n\u00edvel de educa\u00e7\u00e3o superior e treinamento entre os EUA e a China diminuiu, embora os EUA ainda tenham uma vantagem significativa. \u00c9 poss\u00edvel que a for\u00e7a de trabalho dos EUA permane\u00e7a competitiva no futuro previs\u00edvel devido \u00e0s vantagens institucionais em educa\u00e7\u00e3o e experi\u00eancia; no entanto, a for\u00e7a nas economias emergentes est\u00e1 crescendo. <\/p>\n

Disponibilidade de Capital:<\/strong> Embora a demanda por empr\u00e9stimos comerciais e industriais tenha se recuperado e os padr\u00f5es de cr\u00e9dito tenham voltado a cair dos n\u00edveis atingidos durante a crise financeira, os bancos retomaram o endurecimento dos padr\u00f5es de cr\u00e9dito. Al\u00e9m disso, h\u00e1 evid\u00eancias de que os empr\u00e9stimos na China se tornaram mais dif\u00edceis devido ao aumento dos requisitos de capital para bancos e empr\u00e9stimos mais rigorosos para exportadores. O equil\u00edbrio de riscos favorece algum endurecimento cont\u00ednuo do cr\u00e9dito em v\u00e1rias economias importantes para evitar a infla\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Clima tribut\u00e1rio e regulat\u00f3rio:<\/strong> Os EUA agora t\u00eam a maior taxa de imposto corporativo estatut\u00e1ria entre os pa\u00edses desenvolvidos em meados de 2012. Enquanto as corpora\u00e7\u00f5es dos EUA tendem a ter uma taxa de imposto efetiva muito menor, este e outros fatores t\u00eam estimulado conversas sobre reforma tribut\u00e1ria para impulsionar o crescimento econ\u00f4mico e o emprego. As propostas incluem uma taxa estatut\u00e1ria menor, incentivos fiscais e aumento \u2014 ou tornar permanente \u2014 o cr\u00e9dito tribut\u00e1rio de P&D. <\/p>\n

Custos de m\u00e3o de obra nos EUA:<\/strong> Custos trabalhistas mais altos em economias emergentes, especialmente na China, est\u00e3o desafiando a lucratividade de alguns fabricantes industriais. Essa preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o pode n\u00e3o diminuir, pois as pol\u00edticas do governo chin\u00eas e o aumento do custo de vida em \u00e1reas urbanas aumentam as press\u00f5es salariais. De 2008 a 2011, os custos trabalhistas por hora na ind\u00fastria da China aumentaram em mais de 80% e espera-se que aumentem a uma taxa semelhante nos pr\u00f3ximos quatro anos. Isso se compara ao aumento estimado de cerca de 10% para os EUA no mesmo per\u00edodo.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As opini\u00f5es consensuais sobre uma retomada da ind\u00fastria manufatureira nos EUA t\u00eam se concentrado principalmente no aumento dos custos de m\u00e3o de obra em mercados como a China, como\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31029","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-markets"],"yoast_head":"\nRising Labor Costs Not the Sole Factor Influencing Potential U.S. Manufacturing Resurgence - 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