{"id":48324,"date":"2014-01-08T10:22:46","date_gmt":"2014-01-08T15:22:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/?p=48324"},"modified":"2019-09-25T06:30:16","modified_gmt":"2019-09-25T10:30:16","slug":"world-fertilizer-demand-to-rebound-in-2014","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/world-fertilizer-demand-to-rebound-in-2014\/","title":{"rendered":"Demanda mundial por fertilizantes deve se recuperar em 2014"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_48325\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-48325\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-48325\" alt=\"An Ahir tribal woman harvests wheat in Nadapa village, east of Bhuj, India. Photo credit: Flickr user Meena Kadri; Creative Commons license\" src=\"https:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/india-farmer-300x225.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/india-farmer-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/india-farmer-330x248.jpg 330w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/india-farmer-95x72.jpg 95w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/india-farmer-479x360.jpg 479w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/india-farmer-85x63.jpg 85w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/india-farmer-150x112.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/india-farmer.jpg 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-48325\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Uma mulher da tribo Ahir colhe trigo na aldeia de Nadapa, a leste de Bhuj, \u00cdndia.<br \/>Cr\u00e9dito da foto: usu\u00e1ria do Flickr Meena Kadri; licen\u00e7a Creative Commons<\/p><\/div>\n<p>A demanda mundial por fertilizantes deve aumentar este ano, impulsionada pela recupera\u00e7\u00e3o no Sul da \u00c1sia e na maioria das outras regi\u00f5es.<\/p>\n<p>As colheitas recordes em 2013 pressionaram para baixo os pre\u00e7os das commodities agr\u00edcolas, particularmente milho e trigo. Os pre\u00e7os internacionais de fertilizantes tamb\u00e9m ca\u00edram no ano passado. Influenciados pelo decl\u00ednio dos futuros das safras, os agricultores comerciais t\u00eam sido cautelosos sobre seus investimentos em fertilizantes, apesar das propor\u00e7\u00f5es relativamente favor\u00e1veis de fertilizantes para safras. Nesse contexto, a demanda mundial por fertilizantes aumentou modestamente em 2013, de acordo com a International Fertilizer Industry Association (IFA).<\/p>\n<p>Um fator cr\u00edtico a ser observado s\u00e3o os subs\u00eddios para fertilizantes \u2013 um dos principais impulsionadores do consumo mundial de fertilizantes. No entanto, Patrick Heffer e Michel Prud&#039;homme, da IFA, observam que mudan\u00e7as nos esquemas de subs\u00eddios s\u00e3o dif\u00edceis de prever. \u201cAs decis\u00f5es de compra dos pequenos produtores s\u00e3o muito influenciadas pela evolu\u00e7\u00e3o dos subs\u00eddios para fertilizantes, especialmente na \u00c1sia em desenvolvimento e na \u00c1frica Subsaariana. Exemplos recentes na \u00cdndia, Bangladesh e Malawi ilustram claramente o grande impacto das pol\u00edticas de subs\u00eddios para fertilizantes na demanda nacional, regional e global por fertilizantes.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Heffer e Prud&#039;homme projetam que, com condi\u00e7\u00f5es clim\u00e1ticas favor\u00e1veis em todos os principais mercados de fertilizantes e um &quot;reequil\u00edbrio progressivo&quot; das pr\u00e1ticas de fertiliza\u00e7\u00e3o na \u00cdndia, a demanda mundial por fertilizantes deve se recuperar em 2% em 2013\/14 para 179,5 Mt de nutrientes. A demanda global por N aumentaria 1,8% para 109,6 Mt, com a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o no sul da \u00c1sia respondendo por metade do aumento l\u00edquido. A demanda mundial por P deve se expandir 1,8% para 41,1 Mt, enquanto o K deve aumentar em 2,6% para 28,7 Mt.<\/p>\n<p>Por regi\u00e3o, Heffer e Prud&#039;homme esperam que a demanda total por fertilizantes aumente em todos os lugares, exceto na Am\u00e9rica do Norte e na Europa Ocidental e Central.<\/p>\n<p>Olhando para 2014\/15, a IFA v\u00ea a demanda global por fertilizantes se expandindo em 2,7% para 184,3 Mt, com a demanda por K crescendo mais r\u00e1pido em 4,9%. A previs\u00e3o, observa a IFA, ainda \u00e9 especulativa e assume uma falta de grandes mudan\u00e7as nos fundamentos do mercado agr\u00edcola, taxas de subs\u00eddios a fertilizantes na \u00cdndia e melhoria da efici\u00eancia do uso de fertilizantes na China.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Associa\u00e7\u00e3o Internacional da Ind\u00fastria de Fertilizantes prev\u00ea que o aumento da demanda ser\u00e1 impulsionado pela recupera\u00e7\u00e3o no Sul da \u00c1sia e na maioria das outras regi\u00f5es.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":72,"featured_media":48325,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,28,23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48324","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-asia","category-npk"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - 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