{"id":49714,"date":"2014-07-28T09:46:08","date_gmt":"2014-07-28T13:46:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/?p=49714"},"modified":"2019-09-25T06:30:31","modified_gmt":"2019-09-25T10:30:31","slug":"allana-potash-focuses-on-ethiopia-to-meet-demands-of-changing-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/allana-potash-focuses-on-ethiopia-to-meet-demands-of-changing-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Allana Potash se concentra na Eti\u00f3pia para atender \u00e0s demandas do mercado em mudan\u00e7a"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Ethiopia<\/a>O mercado de pot\u00e1ssio viu sua cota de prova\u00e7\u00f5es nos \u00faltimos meses. Dissolu\u00e7\u00f5es de cart\u00e9is, custos de produ\u00e7\u00e3o crescentes e pre\u00e7os spot em decl\u00ednio criaram um mercado desafiador. Mas a Allana Potash Corp., sediada em Toronto, \u00e9 uma empresa que transformou esses desafios em sua vantagem.<\/p>\n

Desde 2009, o foco principal da Allana tem sido a aquisi\u00e7\u00e3o e o desenvolvimento de ativos internacionais de pot\u00e1ssio. Uma pedra angular de suas atividades \u00e9 o carro-chefe Danakhil Potash Project na regi\u00e3o de Danakhil, na Eti\u00f3pia, que est\u00e1 a caminho de se tornar a primeira mina de pot\u00e1ssio em funcionamento na \u00c1frica.<\/p>\n

\u201cAo contr\u00e1rio de grandes projetos que enfrentaram cancelamentos ou atrasos significativos devido \u00e0 queda nos pre\u00e7os do pot\u00e1ssio, a Allana tem uma s\u00e9rie de vantagens exclusivas, incluindo um modelo de despesa de capital\/despesa operacional extremamente baixo e um n\u00famero crescente de parceiros de investimento\u201d, diz Richard Kelertas, vice-presidente s\u00eanior de desenvolvimento corporativo da empresa. \u201cO que temos com a Danakhil \u00e9 um recurso de pot\u00e1ssio de alto grau e classe mundial que podemos acessar com m\u00e9todos de minera\u00e7\u00e3o comprovados e econ\u00f4micos.\u201d<\/p>\n

Este modelo de neg\u00f3cio atraiu a aten\u00e7\u00e3o de parceiros como a IFC, um membro do World Bank Group, e a Liberty Metals and Mining Holding LLC. Em janeiro, a Allana anunciou sua parceria mais significativa at\u00e9 agora com a Israel Chemicals Ltd. (ICL), a quinta maior produtora de pot\u00e1ssio do mundo. Sob os termos do acordo, a ICL \u00e9 agora uma acionista minorit\u00e1ria da 16.4%.<\/p>\n

\u201cPara um grande produtor de pot\u00e1ssio trabalhar com um parceiro j\u00fanior \u00e9 uma grande valida\u00e7\u00e3o do projeto para n\u00f3s\u201d, diz Farhad Abasov, CEO da Allana. \u201cEmbora a ICL tenha assumido posi\u00e7\u00f5es minorit\u00e1rias antes, eles nunca permaneceram apenas como um investidor menor. Eles agregam valor \u00e0 opera\u00e7\u00e3o e \u00e0 gest\u00e3o e geralmente expandem sua propriedade ao longo do tempo, \u00e0 medida que se sentem mais confort\u00e1veis com a jurisdi\u00e7\u00e3o e o processo.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cEles viram uma grande oportunidade com este projeto\u201d, diz Kelertas. \u201cN\u00e3o s\u00f3 a economia est\u00e1 crescendo, a Eti\u00f3pia \u00e9 o local ideal para atender de forma econ\u00f4mica os mercados africanos, asi\u00e1ticos e do Oriente M\u00e9dio.\u201d<\/p>\n

H\u00e1 tr\u00eas componentes principais inclu\u00eddos no acordo da ICL: suporte financeiro, um take-or-pay offtake para 80% de produ\u00e7\u00e3o e coopera\u00e7\u00e3o t\u00e9cnica. O investimento da ICL \u00e9 de $25 milh\u00f5es, com potencial para atingir $84 milh\u00f5es, assumindo o exerc\u00edcio total de seus warrants.<\/p>\n

A produ\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1 planejada para atingir um milh\u00e3o de toneladas de muriato de pot\u00e1ssio (MOP) anualmente. MOP \u00e9 o grau padr\u00e3o de pot\u00e1ssio que \u00e9 aplicado a culturas b\u00e1sicas como milho, trigo e soja. O projeto tamb\u00e9m tem o potencial de produzir sulfato de pot\u00e1ssio (SOP), que \u00e9 aplicado a culturas comerciais como vegetais e pomares, bem como campos de golfe.<\/p>\n

O take-or-pay offtake \u00e9 exclusivo para a ICL e para a ind\u00fastria como um todo. Em um acordo de offtake tradicional, uma empresa se compromete a tomar uma certa quantidade de produ\u00e7\u00e3o a um pre\u00e7o com desconto. Se o produto n\u00e3o puder ser vendido, o produtor \u00e9 respons\u00e1vel pelo armazenamento do invent\u00e1rio.<\/p>\n

No acordo take-or-pay, a ICL pagar\u00e1 por sua porcentagem de produ\u00e7\u00e3o, tenha ela sido vendida ou n\u00e3o. \u201cIsso quase garante uma grande parte do fluxo de caixa para a Allana porque 80% da nossa produ\u00e7\u00e3o ser\u00e1 paga independentemente\u201d, explica Kelertas. \u201cEssa \u00e9 uma vantagem tremenda que ningu\u00e9m mais neste setor tem, e fornece grande conforto para os bancos que fornecem financiamento de d\u00edvida porque mostra que seremos capazes de pagar nossas d\u00edvidas.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cNingu\u00e9m neste setor fez algo parecido. Mas a ICL viu muito potencial e sinergias\u201d, diz Abasov.<\/p>\n

A ICL tamb\u00e9m tem experi\u00eancia inestim\u00e1vel na infraestrutura necess\u00e1ria para a evapora\u00e7\u00e3o solar. Este \u00e9 um processo comumente usado no qual a \u00e1gua \u00e9 utilizada para extrair e transportar dep\u00f3sitos de pot\u00e1ssio perto da superf\u00edcie e depositados em lagoas de evapora\u00e7\u00e3o solar. A ICL gerencia um dos maiores sistemas de lagoas de evapora\u00e7\u00e3o solar do mundo perto do Mar Morto. No caso do projeto Danakhil, dep\u00f3sitos de pot\u00e1ssio sol\u00faveis em \u00e1gua ser\u00e3o lavados com salmoura de um aqu\u00edfero natural e o l\u00edquido bombeado para lagoas de evapora\u00e7\u00e3o de superf\u00edcie. L\u00e1, as altas temperaturas acelerar\u00e3o o processo para uma produ\u00e7\u00e3o mais eficiente.<\/p>\n

\u201cA ICL sabe tudo o que h\u00e1 para saber sobre minera\u00e7\u00e3o de solu\u00e7\u00f5es, transporte, constru\u00e7\u00e3o e log\u00edstica\u201d, diz Kelertas. \u201cSem isso, ter\u00edamos que contratar a expertise para colocar o projeto em produ\u00e7\u00e3o.\u201d<\/p>\n

Na verdade, os custos de capex para o projeto s\u00e3o estimados em apenas $642 milh\u00f5es, com opex total em $125 por tonelada (entregue no navio, incluindo capex de sustenta\u00e7\u00e3o e transporte do local). Isso empalidece em compara\u00e7\u00e3o aos projetos multibilion\u00e1rios que foram abandonados ou adiados devido \u00e0 queda dos pre\u00e7os do pot\u00e1ssio em face do aumento dos custos de produ\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Com os n\u00fameros baixos de capex da Allana, Kelertas diz que pode continuar a entregar uma alta taxa de retorno quando a mina estiver em sua capacidade m\u00e1xima de um milh\u00e3o de toneladas por ano. \u201cA estrutura de custo muito baixo significa que podemos ser lucrativos mesmo a um pre\u00e7o spot de $300 a $350. Outros projetos n\u00e3o sair\u00e3o do papel a menos que o pre\u00e7o seja $500 ou mais alto, ent\u00e3o muitos deles est\u00e3o olhando para 2020 ou al\u00e9m antes de poderem voltar \u00e0 prancheta.\u201d<\/p>\n

Ao contr\u00e1rio de outras partes da \u00c1frica, Kelertas diz que a Eti\u00f3pia \u00e9 uma economia geopoliticamente est\u00e1vel e de r\u00e1pido crescimento e uma jurisdi\u00e7\u00e3o favor\u00e1vel \u00e0 minera\u00e7\u00e3o. \u201cH\u00e1 uma tremenda quantidade de dinheiro de infraestrutura fluindo para a \u00c1frica enquanto falamos, especialmente no lado agr\u00edcola.<\/p>\n

Analistas e investidores, incluindo os pesos pesados Warren Buffet e KKR, est\u00e3o projetando que a agricultura ser\u00e1 uma das maiores \u00e1reas de investimento nos pr\u00f3ximos cinco a 10 anos no continente.\u201d<\/p>\n

Como uma jurisdi\u00e7\u00e3o favor\u00e1vel \u00e0 minera\u00e7\u00e3o, a Eti\u00f3pia tem investido bilh\u00f5es em sua infraestrutura de transporte e distribui\u00e7\u00e3o. \u201cEst\u00e3o sendo constru\u00eddas estradas, ferrovias e instala\u00e7\u00f5es portu\u00e1rias para n\u00f3s\u201d, diz Abasov. \u201cAl\u00e9m disso, temos todo o suprimento de \u00e1gua de que precisamos para uma produ\u00e7\u00e3o sustentada.\u201d<\/p>\n

O mercado africano se tornar\u00e1 um mercado pr\u00f3spero para pot\u00e1ssio \u00e0 medida que as necessidades alimentares do continente se expandem. De acordo com as Na\u00e7\u00f5es Unidas, a \u00c1frica representar\u00e1 25% da popula\u00e7\u00e3o mundial at\u00e9 2050, contra 15% hoje, e os moradores urbanos quadruplicar\u00e3o durante o mesmo per\u00edodo. Ao mesmo tempo, o aumento da demanda por terras ar\u00e1veis dispon\u00edveis impulsionar\u00e1 a necessidade de aumento da produtividade e do rendimento das culturas, que depende da produ\u00e7\u00e3o sustent\u00e1vel de pot\u00e1ssio para aplica\u00e7\u00f5es de fertilizantes. A Ag\u00eancia de Transforma\u00e7\u00e3o Agr\u00edcola da Eti\u00f3pia relata que 100.000 a 400.000 toneladas de pot\u00e1ssio ser\u00e3o consumidas pela Eti\u00f3pia, Qu\u00eania e outras na\u00e7\u00f5es da \u00c1frica Oriental nos pr\u00f3ximos cinco anos.<\/p>\n

\u201cO sucesso da Allana depender\u00e1 de tr\u00eas princ\u00edpios\u201d, diz Abasov. \u201cPrimeiro, a natureza rasa do dep\u00f3sito e o clima quente oferecem uma vantagem significativa em termos de estrutura de custos. Segundo, somos capazes de atrair financiamento de projetos de grandes institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras globais com mandatos para estimular o desenvolvimento econ\u00f4mico em na\u00e7\u00f5es emergentes. Em termos de desenvolvimento geral, mais de $3 bilh\u00f5es de investimento estrangeiro direto foram feitos no setor agr\u00edcola somente na Eti\u00f3pia. Terceiro, o governo et\u00edope \u00e9 extremamente favor\u00e1vel. Na verdade, somos um dos poucos projetos que s\u00e3o totalmente permitidos. Al\u00e9m disso, o governo federal est\u00e1 assumindo muitas das despesas de constru\u00e7\u00e3o relacionadas \u00e0 constru\u00e7\u00e3o de infraestrutura que ajudar\u00e3o a garantir o sucesso de longo prazo do nosso projeto.\u201d<\/p>\n

Quando a produ\u00e7\u00e3o estiver em pleno andamento, Abasov estima que entre 30% e 40% de produ\u00e7\u00e3o ser\u00e3o destinados ao mercado africano.<\/p>\n

\u201cPara ter sucesso, temos que garantir que sejamos um dos produtores de menor custo do planeta\u201d, diz Kelertas. \u201cE provavelmente seremos quando estivermos funcionando em capacidade m\u00e1xima.\u201d<\/p>\n

Fonte: Allana Potash Corp.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A Ag\u00eancia de Transforma\u00e7\u00e3o Agr\u00edcola da Eti\u00f3pia relata que 100.000 a 400.000 toneladas de pot\u00e1ssio ser\u00e3o consumidas pela Eti\u00f3pia, Qu\u00eania e outras na\u00e7\u00f5es da \u00c1frica Oriental nos pr\u00f3ximos cinco anos.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":72,"featured_media":49736,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[25,4,26,23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49714","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-africa-middle-east","category-agrochemicals","category-americas","category-npk"],"yoast_head":"\nAllana Potash Focuses on Ethiopia to Meet Demands of Changing Market - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ethiopia's Agricultural Transformation Agency reports that 100,000 to 400,000 tonnes of potash will be consumed by Ethiopia, Kenya and other East 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