{"id":58999,"date":"2016-12-20T12:40:06","date_gmt":"2016-12-20T17:40:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=58999"},"modified":"2016-12-29T12:20:26","modified_gmt":"2016-12-29T17:20:26","slug":"glyphosate-price-in-china-likely-to-continue-rising-in-december-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/glyphosate-price-in-china-likely-to-continue-rising-in-december-2016\/","title":{"rendered":"Pre\u00e7o do glifosato na China provavelmente continuar\u00e1 subindo"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ap\u00f3s um longo per\u00edodo de queda nos pre\u00e7os do glifosato na China, a temporada atual est\u00e1 fortalecendo a confian\u00e7a para uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o. Os principais fatores podem ser encontrados no aumento dos pre\u00e7os de mat\u00e9rias-primas como glicina e paraformalde\u00eddo e no aumento da demanda downstream. \u00c9 isso que os comerciantes e compradores podem esperar.<\/p>\n

Em meados de novembro, os pre\u00e7os ex-works do glifosato TC e das formula\u00e7\u00f5es de glifosato experimentaram outro aumento em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao m\u00eas passado. O pre\u00e7o em si est\u00e1 permanecendo em um n\u00edvel baixo em compara\u00e7\u00e3o aos anos anteriores, mas o aumento cont\u00ednuo do pre\u00e7o mostra a tend\u00eancia de volta para cima. O pre\u00e7o do glifosato t\u00e9cnico come\u00e7ou a subir em agosto de 2016 e suspeita-se que continue a subir em dezembro, de acordo com CCM<\/a>analistas da .<\/p>\n

A principal raz\u00e3o para o crescimento est\u00e1vel recente e a tend\u00eancia de aumento esperada \u00e9 o pre\u00e7o mais alto das mat\u00e9rias-primas, incluindo glicina e paraformalde\u00eddo. Os pre\u00e7os est\u00e3o subindo devido aos cortes de produ\u00e7\u00e3o por ordens governamentais e dificuldades de fornecimento no norte da China, que sofreu fortes nevascas. Na verdade, 70% da produ\u00e7\u00e3o de glifosato \u00e9 baseada no processo de glicina, que requer glicina e paraformalde\u00eddo. Os pre\u00e7os da glicina experimentaram uma queda m\u00eas a m\u00eas de janeiro a setembro de 2016. Apenas recentemente, em novembro, o pre\u00e7o subiu acentuadamente em uma base de 22.45% MoM.<\/p>\n

A prov\u00edncia de Hebei na China \u00e9 a regi\u00e3o mais importante para produtores de glicina e paraformalde\u00eddo, com a maior respondendo por mais da metade da produ\u00e7\u00e3o total nacional da China. Esta prov\u00edncia tamb\u00e9m \u00e9 afetada por enormes problemas de polui\u00e7\u00e3o. Como resultado, o Minist\u00e9rio da Prote\u00e7\u00e3o Ambiental ordenou que a produ\u00e7\u00e3o de v\u00e1rios setores da ind\u00fastria seja cortada. Essas implementa\u00e7\u00f5es terminar\u00e3o prospectivamente em 31 de dezembro de 2016. Portanto, muitos produtores de glicina e paraformalde\u00eddo reduziram sua taxa operacional, o que por sua vez aumenta os pre\u00e7os devido \u00e0 menor oferta e escassez. Os principais produtores de glicina na China, Shijiazhuang Donhua Jiniong e Linyi Hongtai, j\u00e1 aumentaram seus pre\u00e7os para glicina, o que representa uma tend\u00eancia cont\u00ednua, de acordo com o CCM.<\/p>\n

O inverno na China tem dois efeitos principais no pre\u00e7o do glifosato. Primeiro, o inverno \u00e9 conhecido por ser a temporada de pico de armazenamento para o glifosato, enquanto muitos fabricantes t\u00eam apenas pequenos estoques. Essa maior demanda em armazenamento de edif\u00edcios est\u00e1 elevando os pre\u00e7os. Outro impacto \u00e9 a forte queda de neve no norte da China. A neve causa dificuldades no transporte, o que tamb\u00e9m leva \u00e0 escassez de mat\u00e9rias-primas e, portanto, pre\u00e7os mais altos de produtos upstream e downstream. O paraformalde\u00eddo \u00e9 especialmente afetado por isso. Os principais fornecedores de paraformalde\u00eddo da China, Hebei Jin Taida e Hebei Aerospace, ambos com uma produ\u00e7\u00e3o de cerca de 50.000 toneladas, tiveram que cortar a produ\u00e7\u00e3o completamente devido ao bloqueio da log\u00edstica e do transporte da regi\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Outros produtos upstream do glifosato, como f\u00f3sforo amarelo e \u00e1lcool met\u00edlico, aumentaram os pre\u00e7os em at\u00e9 30% por causa do aumento dos pre\u00e7os do coque em novembro, que s\u00e3o tradicionalmente causados pela esta\u00e7\u00e3o de aquecimento no norte frio da China. Os pre\u00e7os do coque aumentaram em 200% em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao in\u00edcio de 2016, levando a pre\u00e7os mais altos de mat\u00e9rias-primas na China em geral.<\/p>\n

Quem ser\u00e3o os benefici\u00e1rios do aumento dos pre\u00e7os do glifosato? Pre\u00e7os mais altos est\u00e3o favorecendo os fornecedores e l\u00edderes da ind\u00fastria, como Sichuan Fuhua, Hubai Taisheng e Yangnong Chemicals. Atribuindo a m\u00faltiplos fatores, pode-se esperar que o pre\u00e7o suba em cerca de 20% para 30% em um curto espa\u00e7o de tempo.<\/p>\n

Al\u00e9m disso, em meados de outubro, a AgriChemEx 2016 foi realizada em Xangai, com todos os principais fabricantes chineses de pesticidas como expositores. O que foi surpreendente foi que nenhum fabricante fez uma cota\u00e7\u00e3o de pre\u00e7o na exposi\u00e7\u00e3o, de acordo com a CCM. No in\u00edcio de novembro, v\u00e1rias empresas j\u00e1 aumentaram as cota\u00e7\u00f5es, o que levou a um mercado est\u00e1vel para o glifosato. A crescente demanda do hemisf\u00e9rio norte que est\u00e1 ocorrendo agora provavelmente afetar\u00e1 mais aumentos de pre\u00e7o do glifosato TC e formula\u00e7\u00f5es no futuro pr\u00f3ximo.<\/p>\n

Para mais informa\u00e7\u00f5es sobre este assunto visite:\u00a0www.cnchemicals.com<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ap\u00f3s um longo per\u00edodo de queda nos pre\u00e7os do glifosato na China, a temporada atual est\u00e1 fortalecendo a confian\u00e7a para uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o. O\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":53997,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,28,19,5],"tags":[1058,554,170],"class_list":["post-58999","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-asia","category-herbicides","category-markets","tag-china","tag-featured","tag-glyphosate"],"yoast_head":"\nGlyphosate Price in China Likely to Continue Rising - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"After a long period of declining glyphosate prices in China, the current season is strengthening confidence for a rebound. 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