{"id":60296,"date":"2017-10-10T10:34:33","date_gmt":"2017-10-10T14:34:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=60296"},"modified":"2019-10-01T09:56:28","modified_gmt":"2019-10-01T13:56:28","slug":"crop-protection-market-pressure-leading-to-supplier-consolidation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/crop-protection-market-pressure-leading-to-supplier-consolidation\/","title":{"rendered":"Press\u00e3o do mercado de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos leva \u00e0 consolida\u00e7\u00e3o de fornecedores"},"content":{"rendered":"

A menos que voc\u00ea tenha ficado completamente fora de contato com o mercado agr\u00edcola nos \u00faltimos dois anos, voc\u00ea sabe que uma das principais tend\u00eancias que impactam a ind\u00fastria de fornecedores de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos de hoje \u00e9 a consolida\u00e7\u00e3o. Das empresas Big Six que dominaram o cen\u00e1rio de fornecedores de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos no in\u00edcio da d\u00e9cada de 2010, em breve haver\u00e1 apenas uma Big Four em seu lugar, com v\u00e1rios outros jogadores menores disputando posi\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

\n

.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\"Crop<\/a>Embora isso possa parecer completamente sem precedentes em seu escopo, VM (Jim) DeLisi, propriet\u00e1rio da Fanwood Chemical (que fornece relat\u00f3rios detalhados de importa\u00e7\u00e3o e exporta\u00e7\u00e3o de agroqu\u00edmicos, marketing t\u00e9cnico de servi\u00e7os de fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o personalizados e servi\u00e7os regulat\u00f3rios), disse que o mercado de produtos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos tem visto esse tipo de "consolida\u00e7\u00e3o" em uma base semirregular por muitas d\u00e9cadas. "Grandes fus\u00f5es neste setor ocorreram a cada 15 anos desde 1970", disse DeLisi, falando na 2017 Agroneg\u00f3cio Global<\/em> Trade Summit em Las Vegas, NV. \u201cNa verdade, 40 a 60 empresas agroqu\u00edmicas que estavam fazendo neg\u00f3cios em 1970 desapareceram ou acabaram fazendo parte de uma das megaempresas atuais desde aquela \u00e9poca.\u201d<\/p>\n

Quanto ao motivo pelo qual a ind\u00fastria est\u00e1 testemunhando esta \u00faltima rodada de fus\u00f5es em 2017, voc\u00ea n\u00e3o precisa procurar al\u00e9m das condi\u00e7\u00f5es atuais no mercado agr\u00edcola geral. \u201cO maior impulsionador das fus\u00f5es agroqu\u00edmicas \u00e9 o pre\u00e7o de mercado para culturas como milho e soja\u201d, disse DeLisi. \u201cOs pre\u00e7os do milho em 2008 eram de $8 por bushel. Em 2016, eram de $3 por bushel. Ent\u00e3o, em ess\u00eancia, o mercado agr\u00edcola perdeu $15 bilh\u00f5es em valor entre 2008 e 2016. Esses tipos de perdas impactaram TODOS os fornecedores para este mercado. E isso colocou a maioria dos produtores em uma esp\u00e9cie de 'modo de sobreviv\u00eancia' quando se trata de gastar dinheiro e procurar maneiras de aumentar seus lucros.\u201d<\/p>\n

Em muitos casos, isso significa que os produtores est\u00e3o buscando empresas de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos\/sementes para novas inova\u00e7\u00f5es\/produtos para ajudar a controlar pragas\/ervas daninhas cada vez mais agressivas\/resistentes, disse ele. \u201cOs custos de desenvolvimento de novos produtos, tanto para sementes quanto para produtos qu\u00edmicos, est\u00e3o na faixa de $300 milh\u00f5es a $500 milh\u00f5es em desenvolvimento e registro globalmente\u201d, disse DeLisi. \u201cSomente as empresas mais recentes t\u00eam os recursos e a alavancagem para financiar e, em seguida, recapturar esse n\u00edvel de investimento em uma tentativa de 'ficar \u00e0 frente das ervas daninhas e insetos'. As fus\u00f5es foram escolhidas como o caminho para o aumento das receitas para permitir mais gastos com pesquisa e desenvolvimento, ao mesmo tempo em que protegem o valor do acionista.\u201d<\/p>\n

Os Novos Grandes Jogadores<\/p>\n

Com esta \u00faltima rodada de fus\u00f5es, agora h\u00e1 v\u00e1rios anos em andamento, disse DeLisi, os novos grandes fornecedores de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos come\u00e7aram a tomar forma. De longe, o maior jogador ser\u00e1 a combina\u00e7\u00e3o de Bayer CropScience e Monsanto<\/a>, que ter\u00e1 vendas de mais de $27 bilh\u00f5es (sem contar algumas aliena\u00e7\u00f5es previstas que ser\u00e3o exigidas por ag\u00eancias reguladoras ao redor do mundo). Praticamente empatado em segundo lugar estar\u00e1 a combina\u00e7\u00e3o de Syngenta e ChemChina<\/a> ($17,4 bilh\u00f5es) e a \u201cfus\u00e3o de iguais\u201d da DowDuPont ($17,2 bilh\u00f5es).<\/p>\n

\"Big-Four-Sales-Post-Mergers-chart\"<\/p>\n

O jogador restante nesta nova estrutura \u201cBig Four\u201d \u00e9 a BASF. Embora a empresa seja a maior em termos de receitas gerais entre as empresas neste grupo, sua porcentagem de vendas de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos \u00e9 de apenas $7 bilh\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

Mas isso pode mudar, disse DeLisi, dado o hist\u00f3rico da empresa em outros mercados. \u201cA BASF n\u00e3o gosta de ser uma empresa n\u00famero 4 em nenhum mercado em que faz neg\u00f3cios e, no m\u00ednimo, a empresa parece pronta para comprar alguns ativos, como o glufosinato, se a Bayer\/Monsanto se desfizer deles\u201d, disse ele. \u201cTamb\u00e9m foi relatado que a BASF tem uma quantia razo\u00e1vel de dinheiro para gastar em uma aquisi\u00e7\u00e3o pr\u00f3pria \u2014 algo em torno de $50 bilh\u00f5es!\u201d<\/p>\n

Depois das quatro grandes empresas legadas, o claro n\u00famero 5 na nova ordem mundial de fornecedores de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos ser\u00e1 a FMC Corp. Durante o curso das aliena\u00e7\u00f5es necess\u00e1rias para Dow e DuPont concluem fus\u00e3o<\/a> e receber aprova\u00e7\u00e3o regulat\u00f3ria, A FMC interveio para comprar v\u00e1rios produtos propriet\u00e1rios<\/a> junto com ativos de pesquisa e desenvolvimento da DuPont. \u201cEssas aquisi\u00e7\u00f5es, juntamente com a compra da Cheminova pela FMC em 2014, colocam facilmente a empresa em quinto lugar entre os fornecedores de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos\u201d, disse DeLisi.<\/p>\n

Quanto ao restante das empresas que formar\u00e3o o novo Top 10 de fornecedores de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos, DeLisi disse que atualmente h\u00e1 seis candidatos. \u201cEles incluem, sem nenhuma ordem espec\u00edfica, a Nufarm, que tem sede na Austr\u00e1lia; a United Phosphorous Ltd. da \u00cdndia; a Platform Ag dos EUA, que \u00e9 a fus\u00e3o da Chemtura, Arysta e Apriphar, Albaugh, com sede nos EUA; a Sumitomo Agrochemicals do Jap\u00e3o e a AMVAC, outra empresa dos EUA\u201d, disse ele.<\/p>\n

Mais fus\u00f5es por vir?<\/p>\n

Parte da raz\u00e3o pela qual esta lista ainda n\u00e3o est\u00e1 definida \u00e9 por causa dos potenciais desinvestimentos que ainda podem ocorrer \u00e0 medida que as maiores empresas de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos se combinam e reavaliam suas linhas de produtos. \u201cEmpresas menores se beneficiar\u00e3o de cis\u00f5es e desinvestimentos de grandes empresas, bem como das demandas do mercado por concorr\u00eancia\u201d, disse DeLisi. \u201cVoc\u00ea tamb\u00e9m tem que assumir que ainda haver\u00e1 alguma classifica\u00e7\u00e3o entre essas 'pr\u00f3ximas' empresas \u00e0 medida que elas continuam a perseguir as novas Big Five em termos de receitas e inova\u00e7\u00f5es de produtos.\u201d<\/p>\n

Tamb\u00e9m pode haver uma grande fus\u00e3o de fornecedores de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos em andamento. \u201cAgora que a ChemChina concluiu sua aquisi\u00e7\u00e3o da Syngenta, h\u00e1 novamente conversas sobre a nova empresa combinada talvez se fundindo com outro grande player chin\u00eas de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos, a SinoChem\u201d, disse DeLisi. \u201cSe essas duas empresas se unirem, isso criaria um neg\u00f3cio com receitas superiores a $100 bilh\u00f5es. Isso excederia a BASF quando voc\u00ea considera o tamanho total da empresa neste mercado.\u201d<\/p>\n

Concluindo, DeLisi disse que a ind\u00fastria agr\u00edcola deve estar preparada para muitos \u201cefeitos domin\u00f3\u201d de todas essas movimenta\u00e7\u00f5es dentro do setor de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos. \u201cEssas mudan\u00e7as impactar\u00e3o outros setores, como equipamentos, sementes e fertilizantes, a longo prazo\u201d, disse ele. \u201cE voc\u00ea pode esperar que essas fus\u00f5es consolidem ainda mais a parte de distribui\u00e7\u00e3o da ind\u00fastria agr\u00edcola, j\u00e1 que todos, de cima a baixo, na cadeia de suprimentos inteira, buscam obter o m\u00e1ximo de lucros poss\u00edvel com isso.\u201d<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A ind\u00fastria agr\u00edcola deve estar preparada para muitos \u201cefeitos domin\u00f3\u201d de movimentos dentro do setor de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":72,"featured_media":59998,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[115,344,1628,209,554,135,121],"class_list":["post-60296","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","tag-bayer","tag-chemchina","tag-dow","tag-dupont","tag-featured","tag-monsanto","tag-syngenta"],"yoast_head":"\nCrop Protection Market Pressure Leading to Supplier Consolidation - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The agricultural industry should be prepared for plenty of \u201cdomino effects\u201d from moves within the crop protection sector.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, 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