{"id":61135,"date":"2018-04-23T08:35:16","date_gmt":"2018-04-23T12:35:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=61135"},"modified":"2019-10-01T09:56:32","modified_gmt":"2019-10-01T13:56:32","slug":"spain-italy-tracking-the-eu-powers-in-crop-protection","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/markets\/europe\/spain-italy-tracking-the-eu-powers-in-crop-protection\/","title":{"rendered":"Espanha, It\u00e1lia: Acompanhamento dos poderes da UE na prote\u00e7\u00e3o de culturas"},"content":{"rendered":"

Tr\u00eas meses em 2018, muitos dos resultados dos pain\u00e9is de usu\u00e1rios finais da Kleffmann para 2017 foram finalizados. Eles confirmam nossa vis\u00e3o de dezembro de que o mercado global de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos realmente virou uma esquina em 2017.<\/p>\n

Embora n\u00e3o seja algo extraordin\u00e1rio, isso representa um aumento de quase 1,81 TP3T em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 base relativamente baixa de $53,12 bilh\u00f5es em 2016. Com base nisso, o mercado global de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos em 2017, quando medido no n\u00edvel ex-empresa e usando taxas de c\u00e2mbio m\u00e9dias anuais, chegar\u00e1 perto de $54,08 bilh\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

Embora ainda n\u00e3o possamos colocar as bandeirinhas, isso traz um fim, bem abrupto, ao per\u00edodo de decl\u00ednio visto em 2015 e 2016. Claro, o diabo est\u00e1 sempre nos detalhes. Ainda precisamos alinhar o mercado global, medido em termos de uso geral dos pain\u00e9is, com o mercado global em termos de vendas ex-companhia. Geralmente, os dois combinam bem de perto, embora seja sempre necess\u00e1rio levar em conta as vendas entre empresas, entre outros fatores.<\/p>\n

Nesse sentido, 2017 n\u00e3o foi um \u201cano normal\u201d. Enquanto o mercado geral de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos aumentou, as duas maiores empresas do setor (Syngenta e Bayer) registraram decl\u00ednios nas vendas.<\/p>\n

No caso da Bayer, essa aparente contradi\u00e7\u00e3o se deveu \u00e0 situa\u00e7\u00e3o no Brasil, onde o excesso de estoque na cadeia de distribui\u00e7\u00e3o for\u00e7ou a empresa a fazer provis\u00f5es no segundo trimestre de 2017 para normalizar a situa\u00e7\u00e3o. Al\u00e9m dessa situa\u00e7\u00e3o no Brasil, o inverso foi verdadeiro. A Bayer viu as vendas de sua divis\u00e3o de ci\u00eancias agr\u00edcolas aumentarem em uma quantia maior do que os 1,8% fixados aqui. O ponto principal \u00e9 que o mercado teve um desempenho melhor do que as empresas em 2017 \u2014 um detalhe que s\u00f3 pode ser visto com acesso a dados originais de pesquisa de mercado.<\/p>\n

\"Spain,<\/p>\n

A Europa n\u00e3o viu os mesmos problemas de estoque e recompra que foram vivenciados no Brasil, embora altos n\u00edveis de estoques de canal tenham sido um problema not\u00e1vel na Espanha e na It\u00e1lia em 2017. A causa disso foi bem diferente em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao Brasil e foi em grande parte o resultado do que provou ser uma demanda menor do que a antecipada. No geral, o mercado do sul da Europa foi severamente impactado por uma esta\u00e7\u00e3o seca de ver\u00e3o que reduziu a demanda por fungicidas e inseticidas em particular. A seca de ver\u00e3o na Espanha continuou no quarto trimestre e resultou em plantios tardios de cereais de inverno, reduzindo, portanto, a campanha de herbicidas dos cereais de outono. A It\u00e1lia tamb\u00e9m sofreu com a seca extrema, apesar das chuvas ben\u00e9ficas no final de setembro.\u00a0De acordo com o Instituto Italiano de Ci\u00eancias Atmosf\u00e9ricas e Clim\u00e1ticas, entre dezembro de 2016 e novembro de 2017, a It\u00e1lia registrou o menor total de chuvas desde o ano de 1800. A It\u00e1lia tamb\u00e9m registrou geadas anormalmente tardias na primavera de 2017, o que atrasou a esta\u00e7\u00e3o antes mesmo que a seca come\u00e7asse.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Spain,<\/p>\n

Embora os tamanhos finais do mercado para 2017 n\u00e3o estivessem dispon\u00edveis no momento em que este texto foi escrito, as indica\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o de que, apesar de outros impulsionadores positivos (o crescimento do PIB da Espanha, por exemplo, superou o de qualquer outro grande pa\u00eds da UE, incluindo a Alemanha), o impacto negativo da seca em 2017 reverter\u00e1 a tend\u00eancia do ano anterior. Em 2016, por exemplo, tanto o mercado espanhol quanto o italiano superaram o mercado global ao registrar um crescimento de cerca de 2% e 6%, respectivamente, em um mercado global que, de outra forma, declinou em 2,6%.<\/p>\n

\"Spain,<\/p>\n

Em termos de registro de pesticidas e do processo de \u201creconhecimento m\u00fatuo\u201d, Espanha e It\u00e1lia s\u00e3o ambas parte da Zona Sul Europeia, que inclui seis outros estados-membros: Bulg\u00e1ria, Gr\u00e9cia, Fran\u00e7a, Chipre, Malta e Portugal. Dentro desta zona, em termos de tamanho total do mercado, a Fran\u00e7a domina claramente (sendo o maior mercado da UE em geral), mas It\u00e1lia e Espanha est\u00e3o classificadas por alguma margem em um segundo e terceiro lugares.<\/p>\n

\"Spain,<\/a><\/p>\n

Historicamente \u2014 por exemplo, na remo\u00e7\u00e3o de muitos dos inseticidas organofosforados do mercado \u2014 as regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es da UE tendem a impactar os mercados da Zona Sul, em particular Espanha e It\u00e1lia, em maior extens\u00e3o do que os mercados da Zona Norte ou Central. Este tamb\u00e9m ser\u00e1 o caso do glifosato quando a licen\u00e7a de cinco anos atualmente em vigor expirar.<\/p>\n

A Espanha ser\u00e1 a mais afetada por isso, pois depende muito do uso de glifosato para o desenvolvimento da agricultura de conserva\u00e7\u00e3o. A agricultura de conserva\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 uma t\u00e9cnica agr\u00edcola importante que visa reduzir o impacto da eros\u00e3o do solo, que continua sendo um problema significativo no pa\u00eds. Al\u00e9m do glifosato, quaisquer outras medidas tomadas pela Comiss\u00e3o da UE (antecipadas para maio) sobre o uso de neonicotinoides (clotianidina, imidacloprida e tiametoxam) ter\u00e3o o impacto mais significativo em toda a UE, na Espanha, seguida pela It\u00e1lia. O fato de o uso de neonicotinoides ser importante nesses mercados da Zona Sul reflete a alta participa\u00e7\u00e3o de culturas especiais nesses mercados em compara\u00e7\u00e3o aos mercados da Zona Norte, que s\u00e3o dominados por cereais.<\/p>\n

Apesar dos desafios dos mercados espanhol e italiano, ambos oferecem boas oportunidades para a ind\u00fastria gen\u00e9rica, bem como crescimento cont\u00ednuo para o setor propriet\u00e1rio do mercado a longo prazo. Na Espanha, por exemplo, mais de 2.100 formula\u00e7\u00f5es est\u00e3o atualmente registradas. Elas s\u00e3o mantidas por cerca de 100 empresas diferentes, muitas das quais t\u00eam apenas uma ou duas formula\u00e7\u00f5es em
\no mercado.<\/p>\n

Embora o n\u00famero de registros n\u00e3o reflita a participa\u00e7\u00e3o de mercado de uma empresa, a tabela acima \u00e9 uma boa indica\u00e7\u00e3o da import\u00e2ncia relativa das empresas gen\u00e9ricas no mercado \u2014 agora e no futuro. A expira\u00e7\u00e3o de registros existentes tamb\u00e9m criar\u00e1 novas oportunidades de valor agregado em um mercado que pode ser considerado geralmente menos sofisticado do que muitos outros dentro da UE.<\/p>\n

Nota do editor:<\/strong> A an\u00e1lise fornecida pelo Kleffmann Group \u00e9 baseada em dados coletados de pesquisas com agricultores, entrevistas com distribuidores em mercados emergentes, estudos de tend\u00eancias de mercado propriet\u00e1rios, especialistas no assunto e informa\u00e7\u00f5es de c\u00f3digo aberto. As pesquisas com agricultores continuam a fornecer a maior parte dos dados para a an\u00e1lise, embora o programa de \u201cestudos de tend\u00eancias\u201d do grupo esteja se tornando mais significativo. O Dr. Bob Fairclough \u00e9 o l\u00edder da equipe da amis AgriGlobe, a unidade de consultoria e informa\u00e7\u00f5es sobre tend\u00eancias de mercado de insumos agr\u00edcolas do Kleffmann Group. Ele \u00e9 consultor editorial da AgriBusiness Global\u2122. Para obter mais informa\u00e7\u00f5es, visite kleffmann.com<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tr\u00eas meses em 2018, muitos dos resultados dos pain\u00e9is de usu\u00e1rios finais da Kleffmann para 2017 est\u00e3o finalizados. Eles confirmam nossa vis\u00e3o\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":61140,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[54],"class_list":["post-61135","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-europe","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"\nSpain, Italy: Tracking the EU Powers in Crop Protection - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Three months into 2018, many of results of the Kleffmann end-user panels for 2017 are finalized. 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