{"id":61631,"date":"2018-08-01T18:35:45","date_gmt":"2018-08-01T22:35:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=61631"},"modified":"2019-10-01T09:56:36","modified_gmt":"2019-10-01T13:56:36","slug":"recovery-for-the-crop-protection-market-with-a-caveat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/events\/trade-summit\/recovery-for-the-crop-protection-market-with-a-caveat\/","title":{"rendered":"Recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos, com uma ressalva"},"content":{"rendered":"

A boa not\u00edcia: o mercado de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos est\u00e1 se recuperando.<\/p>\n

Ap\u00f3s dois anos de decl\u00ednio, em 2017, o mercado global cresceu 1,93% para saud\u00e1veis $54,15 bilh\u00f5es, e o cen\u00e1rio para 2018 \u00e9 promissor, disse o Dr. Bob Fairclough, Diretor da AgriGlobe, Kleffmann Group, em sua apresenta\u00e7\u00e3o no AgriBusiness Global Trade Summit em 1\u00ba de agosto.<\/p>\n

\"Recovery<\/a>

Cidade de Fairclough<\/p><\/div>\n

\u201cVer um crescimento positivo \u00e9 bastante promissor e prepara o cen\u00e1rio para o futuro\u201d, disse Fairclough, acrescentando que o mercado de sementes, que subiu 6,3% no ano passado, est\u00e1 impulsionando em grande parte as fus\u00f5es e aquisi\u00e7\u00f5es que acontecem no setor.<\/p>\n

Fairclough disse que o crescimento de 2,5% a 3% para o mercado de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos em termos nominais \u00e9 uma meta realista para os pr\u00f3ximos cinco anos.<\/p>\n

Para uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o cont\u00ednua em 2018, h\u00e1 uma ressalva: as tarifas de Trump e seu impacto nos pre\u00e7os das commodities.<\/p>\n

\u201cTodo o forte crescimento da soja nos \u00faltimos 18 meses desapareceu da noite para o dia (com o an\u00fancio da tarifa) e continua a cair. S\u00f3 ser\u00e1 resolvido quando a guerra comercial for resolvida.\u201d<\/p>\n

Algumas das principais conclus\u00f5es da apresenta\u00e7\u00e3o concorrida de Fairclough:<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • Rebalanceamento da participa\u00e7\u00e3o de mercado: Fus\u00f5es remodelaram a ind\u00fastria. No passado, todos estavam perseguindo o l\u00edder com apenas um diferencial de 1-2% entre os principais participantes. Um dos principais objetivos dos reguladores \u00e9 tentar equilibrar a situa\u00e7\u00e3o para criar um campo de jogo mais nivelado.<\/li>\n
  • Todos os setores (herbicidas, fungicidas e inseticidas) cresceram em 2017 em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a 2016, com exce\u00e7\u00e3o de reguladores de crescimento de plantas e fumigantes. Na Europa, h\u00e1 a quest\u00e3o sobre o que substituir\u00e1 os neonicotinoides proibidos \u2013 por exemplo, piretr\u00f3ides e uma poss\u00edvel entrada do sulfoxaflor da Dow no mercado.<\/li>\n
  • A Costa Rica foi um mercado de destaque em 2017, por conta dos fungicidas para bananas e outras planta\u00e7\u00f5es. O Jap\u00e3o, enquanto isso, sofreu um ano dif\u00edcil, prejudicado em parte pela pol\u00edtica \u2013 ou seja, o fortalecimento do Sistema Gentan. Por outro lado, os novos registros e a entrada no mercado japon\u00eas se tornaram muito mais f\u00e1ceis para as empresas de gen\u00e9ricos. Gana tamb\u00e9m teve um desempenho ruim nos \u00faltimos anos, pois compra menos pesticidas para ajustar sua balan\u00e7a comercial.<\/li>\n
  • Espere mais em termos de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o japonesa (por exemplo, Sumitomo).<\/li>\n
  • \u00c0 medida que as empresas de P&D se reorientaram da biotecnologia para novas qu\u00edmicas, novas IAs finalmente chegando ao mercado ap\u00f3s um hiato significam mais oportunidades para gen\u00e9ricos olhando para o futuro. \u201cOs gen\u00e9ricos continuar\u00e3o a crescer\u201d, disse Fairclough, \u201ce agora \u00e9 hora de ficar de olho neles para onde eles podem ser adicionados a um portf\u00f3lio de gen\u00e9ricos\u201d.<\/li>\n
  • As vendas da empresa de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos parecem positivas no primeiro e segundo trimestres de 2018, registrando "crescimento de dois d\u00edgitos, o que n\u00e3o v\u00edamos h\u00e1 muito tempo", observou Fairclough.<\/li>\n
  • A tend\u00eancia de terceirizar tanto formulados quanto tecnologia da \u00cdndia continua a crescer. Em 2017, a tend\u00eancia foi distorcida com o aumento de pre\u00e7o "ambiental" na China. As vendas chinesas de produtos formulados aumentaram 33% em 2017 em termos de valor, enquanto o volume geral aumentou apenas 12%.<\/li>\n
  • Com Trump, est\u00e1 ficando mais f\u00e1cil (ou n\u00e3o mais dif\u00edcil) colocar produtos no mercado dos EUA e mant\u00ea-los l\u00e1. Na Europa, \u00e9 exatamente o oposto: a regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1 ficando ainda mais restritiva e ficou mais complicado do que nunca registrar e registrar novamente produtos.<\/li>\n<\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Cobertura ao vivo do segundo dia do AgriBusiness Global Trade Summit 2018 em Phoenix, Arizona.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":61632,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1218,6],"tags":[54,1708,956],"class_list":["post-61631","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-events","category-trade-summit","tag-featured-home","tag-tariffs","tag-trade-summit"],"yoast_head":"\nRecovery for the Crop Protection Market, with a Caveat - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Live coverage from Day 2 of the AgriBusiness Global Trade Summit 2018 in Phoenix, Arizona.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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