{"id":62246,"date":"2018-12-19T14:48:14","date_gmt":"2018-12-19T19:48:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=62246"},"modified":"2019-10-01T09:56:41","modified_gmt":"2019-10-01T13:56:41","slug":"india-boasts-fastest-growing-significant-crop-protection-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/markets\/india-boasts-fastest-growing-significant-crop-protection-market\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdndia ostenta o mercado de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos de crescimento mais r\u00e1pido"},"content":{"rendered":"

Conforme apresentado no Agribusiness GlobalSM<\/sup> Na C\u00fapula Comercial realizada em Phoenix, Arizona, em agosto, o mercado global de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos em 2017 aumentou a uma taxa de 1,9% em termos nominais em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a 2016.<\/p>\n

Assim, o mercado de produtos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos em 2017, quando medido no n\u00edvel ex-fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o e usando taxas de c\u00e2mbio m\u00e9dias anuais, chega a $54,15 bilh\u00f5es. Que o mercado tinha, de fato, visto um crescimento positivo em 2017 de perto de 2% havia sido previsto em janeiro de 2018.<\/p>\n

Uma taxa de crescimento de 2%, embora n\u00e3o seja algo extraordin\u00e1rio, \u00e9 um marco importante, pois p\u00f5e fim, de forma bastante abrupta, ao per\u00edodo de decl\u00ednio visto em 2015 e 2016. Esse fato, mais do que o tamanho absoluto do crescimento, \u00e9 importante em um setor que tem visto tanta atividade de fus\u00f5es e aquisi\u00e7\u00f5es, pois fornece confian\u00e7a \u00e0 comunidade de investimentos em geral.<\/p>\n

Que a \u201cconfian\u00e7a\u201d era necess\u00e1ria ficou bem evidente na semana de 10 de agosto de 2018, quando os pre\u00e7os das a\u00e7\u00f5es de empresas em geral despencaram devido a decis\u00f5es judiciais negativas da Calif\u00f3rnia sobre o glifosato. Os pre\u00e7os das a\u00e7\u00f5es agora est\u00e3o se recuperando lentamente, mas isso ilustra bem claramente a import\u00e2ncia de uma \u201cmensagem unificada, forte e positiva\u201d sobre os benef\u00edcios da prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos para a economia global.<\/p>\n

Ao procurar uma primeira mensagem positiva para a ind\u00fastria global de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos, n\u00e3o \u00e9 preciso ir al\u00e9m da \u00cdndia. O pa\u00eds \u00e9 frequentemente relatado como a economia mundial de crescimento mais r\u00e1pido. De acordo com o Banco Mundial, a economia indiana ver\u00e1 um crescimento robusto do PIB de 7,3% neste ano fiscal e 7,5% nos pr\u00f3ximos dois anos, \u00e0 medida que "os fatores que impedem o crescimento na \u00cdndia desaparecem". Esses n\u00fameros permitem que a \u00cdndia mantenha a etiqueta como a principal economia emergente de crescimento mais r\u00e1pido do mundo e que tem consistentemente ficado alguns pontos acima das taxas de crescimento do PIB global desde a crise financeira de 2009.<\/p>\n

O mesmo pode ser dito como verdade para o mercado de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos. Embora a \u00cdndia n\u00e3o seja o mercado de crescimento mais r\u00e1pido nos \u00faltimos cinco anos (essa etiqueta em particular vai para a Costa Rica), pode-se dizer que a \u00cdndia \u00e9 o mercado de crescimento mais r\u00e1pido de import\u00e2ncia (Figuras 1 e 2).<\/p>\n

\"India<\/a><\/p>\n

\"India<\/a><\/p>\n

Embora a posi\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00ba 8 entre 10 n\u00e3o esteja no topo quando o tamanho do mercado indiano (como o quinto maior do mundo) \u00e9 levado em considera\u00e7\u00e3o (Figura 2), fica claro que, assim como na macroeconomia do PIB, a \u00cdndia pode ser considerada o mercado agroqu\u00edmico de crescimento mais r\u00e1pido do mundo, com apenas a R\u00fassia chegando perto.<\/p>\n

A \u00cdndia, como a maioria dos mercados, sofreu um decl\u00ednio em 2009 (como resultado da crise financeira) e depois novamente em 2015, quando entre outros fatores ocorreu um decl\u00ednio acentuado nos pre\u00e7os das commodities. A \u00cdndia, no entanto, sofreu menos do que a maioria dos mercados e saiu desse decl\u00ednio de 2015 em 2016 em vez de 2017, uma prova da resili\u00eancia do mercado indiano. No entanto, o quanto o mercado est\u00e1 se desenvolvendo \u00e9 uma quest\u00e3o mais discut\u00edvel. Se olharmos para as divis\u00f5es entre os setores entre o ano base de 2008 em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com 2017, o mercado \u00e9 em grande parte da mesma estrutura (Figuras 3 e 4).<\/p>\n

\"India<\/p>\n

Uma simples compara\u00e7\u00e3o das Figuras 3 e 4 mostra que o mercado, nos \u00faltimos 10 anos ou mais, permaneceu dominado por inseticidas, com essencialmente nenhuma penetra\u00e7\u00e3o adicional de outros setores, incluindo fungicidas. Se tamb\u00e9m levarmos em conta o impacto do algod\u00e3o Bt neste mercado, pode-se argumentar razoavelmente que os inseticidas fortaleceram significativamente sua posi\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s custas dos outros setores.<\/p>\n

O mesmo \u00e9 verdade se compararmos a import\u00e2ncia relativa dos diferentes grupos de culturas em termos de gastos com pesticidas, como nas Figuras 5 e 6.<\/p>\n

\"India<\/p>\n

Essencialmente, o mercado em 2017 \u00e9 o mesmo de 2008, com uma aprecia\u00e7\u00e3o na import\u00e2ncia relativa do arroz. Embora n\u00e3o seja necessariamente um problema, a falta de penetra\u00e7\u00e3o de mercado por outras culturas al\u00e9m do arroz na \u00cdndia precisa ser colocada em contexto com outros mercados em desenvolvimento (por exemplo, o aumento da soja no Brasil durante esse per\u00edodo) e o sucesso de outros mercados asi\u00e1ticos em programas de redu\u00e7\u00e3o de arroz. Como uma medida final do desenvolvimento do mercado, se olharmos para a parcela de pesticidas importados formulados no exterior em termos de valor, essa propor\u00e7\u00e3o permaneceu persistentemente abaixo de um ter\u00e7o do valor total do mercado, apesar do lan\u00e7amento de muitas novas mol\u00e9culas visando especificamente o setor de arroz neste per\u00edodo.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Conforme apresentado no Agribusiness GlobalSM Trade Summit em Phoenix, Arizona, em agosto, o mercado global de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos em 2017\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":61096,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28,5],"tags":[1236],"class_list":["post-62246","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asia","category-markets","tag-india"],"yoast_head":"\nIndia Boasts Fastest-Growing Significant Crop Protection Market - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"As presented at the Agribusiness GlobalSM Trade Summit in Phoenix, Arizona, in August, the global crop protection market in 2017 increased at a rate of\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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