{"id":64831,"date":"2019-10-14T08:26:51","date_gmt":"2019-10-14T12:26:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=64831"},"modified":"2021-06-14T15:38:41","modified_gmt":"2021-06-14T19:38:41","slug":"global-crop-inputs-industry-6-things-to-watch-for-in-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/global-crop-inputs-industry-6-things-to-watch-for-in-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Ind\u00fastria global de insumos agr\u00edcolas: 6 coisas a serem observadas em 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Global

O Conselho Consultivo Global da AgriBusiness se reuniu durante o AgriBusiness Global Trade Summit realizado este ano no Harrah's Resort em Atlantic City, Nova Jersey.<\/p><\/div>\n

O Agroneg\u00f3cio Global<\/em> Conselho Consultivo<\/a> compreende alguns dos executivos mais experientes e talentosos do setor de insumos agr\u00edcolas. A cada ano, durante o Agroneg\u00f3cio Global<\/em> Cimeira do Com\u00e9rcio<\/a>, reunimos o grupo para obter suas opini\u00f5es sobre quest\u00f5es \u2013 tend\u00eancias, rupturas, mudan\u00e7as \u2013 enfrentadas pelo setor e para analisar para onde ele est\u00e1 indo.<\/p>\n

A reuni\u00e3o deste ano foi realizada no Harrah's Resort em Atlantic City, Nova Jersey. A discuss\u00e3o de longo alcance cobriu uma ampla gama de quest\u00f5es enfrentadas pela ind\u00fastria de insumos agr\u00edcolas. Abaixo est\u00e3o alguns insights da sabedoria coletiva.<\/p>\n

O impacto desconhecido de uma fus\u00e3o SinoChem \/ ChemChina<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Se Chemchina e Sinochem se fundem<\/a> criaria uma empresa de $100 bilh\u00f5es, de longe a maior empresa de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos do mundo. Isso vem no topo do Aquisi\u00e7\u00e3o da Syngenta pela ChemChina por $43 bilh\u00f5es<\/a>. De acordo com o Agroneg\u00f3cio Global<\/em> Conselho Consultivo, a \u00fanica maneira que a nova entidade poderia ganhar dinheiro \u201c\u00e9 bancar o monopolista\u201d.<\/p>\n

\"Global

Jason Mann, AgraCity (R) e Nicolas Potrie, Tafirel<\/p><\/div>\n

Com uma parcela substancial da qu\u00edmica saindo da China, uma ChemChina\/Sinochem poderia controlar uma parcela significativa do produto. Como um membro do Conselho Consultivo disse: \u201c\u00c9 da\u00ed que a qu\u00edmica do mundo est\u00e1 vindo, muito vulner\u00e1vel. Se voc\u00ea souber onde est\u00e3o as opera\u00e7\u00f5es, pode fazer julgamentos.\u201d<\/p>\n

Um desafio dessa fus\u00e3o \u00e9 descobrir como destrinchar as linhas de produtos das empresas.<\/p>\n

O Impacto da Consolida\u00e7\u00e3o <\/strong><\/h2>\n

Embora uma fus\u00e3o ChemChina\/Sinochem provavelmente tenha um impacto profundo na ind\u00fastria, as consolida\u00e7\u00f5es anteriores dos \u00faltimos dois anos ainda est\u00e3o funcionando no sistema. A fus\u00e3o de Dow\/DuPont<\/a>, agora Corteva; Aquisi\u00e7\u00e3o da Monsanto pela Bayer<\/a> e a j\u00e1 mencionada aquisi\u00e7\u00e3o da Syngenta pela ChemChina ainda est\u00e3o se manifestando de diversas maneiras no mundo dos insumos agr\u00edcolas.<\/p>\n

Os \u00faltimos anos j\u00e1 viram uma desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o de novas IAs entrando no mercado. Em vez disso, elas parecem se concentrar mais em novas formula\u00e7\u00f5es. Ser\u00e1 interessante ver como as empresas gen\u00e9ricas responder\u00e3o a produtos que est\u00e3o saindo da patente.<\/p>\n

\u00c0 medida que as consolida\u00e7\u00f5es continuam a ocorrer e as empresas se desfazem de suas solu\u00e7\u00f5es sobrepostas, os produtos devem ficar dispon\u00edveis para empresas menores adquirirem.<\/p>\n

Impacto dos veredictos do glifosato<\/strong><\/h2>\n
\"Global

Bob Fairclough, Grupo Kleffmann<\/p><\/div>\n

\u00c9 preciso se perguntar se os executivos da Bayer est\u00e3o se arrependendo de sua decis\u00e3o de comprar glifosato. Atualmente, o produto \u00e9 t\u00e3o difundido que seria dif\u00edcil, se n\u00e3o imposs\u00edvel, para a ind\u00fastria (e, claro, os produtores) simplesmente parar de usar o produto. Mas \u00e9 certamente f\u00e1cil ver a oposi\u00e7\u00e3o regulat\u00f3ria ao produto crescendo.<\/p>\n

Na Europa, tr\u00eas pa\u00edses t\u00eam peso, Fran\u00e7a, Alemanha e Reino Unido. A maior parte da Europa quer manter o glifosato, mas a UE vai analisar isso novamente e a ci\u00eancia esperan\u00e7osamente prevalecer\u00e1, compartilhou um membro do Conselho Consultivo. Brasil tentou proibir o glifosato<\/a>, mas isso durou apenas 24 horas.<\/p>\n

Houve alguma discuss\u00e3o sobre como a ind\u00fastria deveria lidar com os processos. At\u00e9 o momento, a mensagem tem sido alardear a ci\u00eancia em vez da emo\u00e7\u00e3o. N\u00e3o tem funcionado. Atualmente, apenas a Bayer est\u00e1 enfrentando processos, mas surgiu a quest\u00e3o sobre quanto tempo levaria at\u00e9 que os ativistas come\u00e7assem a perseguir qualquer empresa que produzisse glifosato.<\/p>\n

Uma sugest\u00e3o foi que a Bayer (e outros apoiadores) fossem para a ofensiva, para processar ativistas buscando indeniza\u00e7\u00e3o por lucros perdidos. \u201cCombater o medo com ci\u00eancia n\u00e3o funciona.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"Global

Jim Delisi, Fanwood Chemical Inc.<\/p><\/div>\n

E-commerce disruptivo<\/strong><\/h2>\n

A Farmers Business Network (FBN) viu sua parcela de cobertura da imprensa e certamente for\u00e7ou partes da cadeia de suprimentos a se sentarem e tomarem nota. At\u00e9 agora, parece que o impacto dessa organiza\u00e7\u00e3o na prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos tem sido m\u00ednimo.<\/p>\n

Como disse um membro do Conselho Consultivo: \u201cNo lado da prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos, n\u00e3o vi empresas ganhando dinheiro.\u201d Parece que o \u00fanico modelo de e-commerce que funciona \u00e9 o Nutrien. \u201c\u00c9 esse que pode causar disrup\u00e7\u00e3o. Eles tamb\u00e9m controlam fertilizantes, que \u00e9 um mercado maior, eles t\u00eam os meios.\u201d<\/p>\n

Como outro membro disse, \u201cN\u00e3o tenho medo do FBN porque posso entregar ao produtor em 2 horas. \u201cO FBN n\u00e3o pode fazer isso.\u201d<\/p>\n

Pode ser um desafio para o lado biol\u00f3gico dos insumos agr\u00edcolas que exigem \u201cum n\u00edvel de servi\u00e7o mais alto, uma venda mais consultiva. Voc\u00ea tem que segurar para fazer os produtos biol\u00f3gicos funcionarem de forma pragm\u00e1tica. Isso n\u00e3o vai acontecer se voc\u00ea for para a Amazon.com.\u201d<\/p>\n

A aplica\u00e7\u00e3o de precis\u00e3o est\u00e1 chegando mais r\u00e1pido do que qualquer um pensa<\/strong><\/h2>\n

A agricultura de precis\u00e3o \u201cser\u00e1 conduzida pela fazenda e uma mudan\u00e7a mais r\u00e1pida e dif\u00edcil do que qualquer um acredita\u201d, sugere um membro do Conselho Consultivo. \u201cH\u00e1 uma enorme quantidade de dinheiro fluindo para empresas em tecnologia de aplica\u00e7\u00e3o de precis\u00e3o. Pense nos anos 90, quando voc\u00ea n\u00e3o tinha Internet, agora tem. Vai ser assim, s\u00f3 que mais r\u00e1pido.\u201d<\/p>\n

As quest\u00f5es que a ind\u00fastria enfrenta s\u00e3o: \u201cComo vamos ajudar a que isso aconte\u00e7a para que possamos fazer parte dessa mudan\u00e7a?\u201d<\/p>\n

\"Global

Melinda McCann, Adama (E.) e Stephen Pearce, AWP Associates & Bancella Ltd<\/p><\/div>\n

\u201cO que estamos fazendo para ajudar essa cadeia de valor, seja por meio de fabricantes de equipamentos originais, fabricantes de produtos qu\u00edmicos, novos modelos de servi\u00e7o, impulsionar a fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o? Como \u00e9 essa (nova) cadeia de valor?\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cSe voc\u00ea est\u00e1 no ramo de drones, \u00e9 uma venda \u00fanica por um bom tempo. Drones vindos de fora da ind\u00fastria, n\u00e3o sinto que os OEMs estejam interessados porque \u00e9 uma venda \u00fanica. N\u00e3o h\u00e1 dinheiro suficiente.\u201d<\/p>\n

As solu\u00e7\u00f5es que ser\u00e3o bem-sucedidas ter\u00e3o que se integrar \u00e0 tecnologia existente. N\u00e3o s\u00e3o os OEMs que t\u00eam esse know-how. Ser\u00e3o os membros da cadeia de suprimentos de insumos agr\u00edcolas que ter\u00e3o que fornec\u00ea-lo.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cO ponto de gatilho ainda n\u00e3o chegou. At\u00e9 que alcancemos esse ponto de gatilho quando ele equilibra o tempo e as finan\u00e7as, ainda n\u00e3o chegamos l\u00e1.\u201d<\/p>\n

Os outros drivers podem vir do governo, das demandas dos consumidores, de quest\u00f5es trabalhistas, de res\u00edduos e da necessidade de rastrear insumos para entender a perda de terras e a sa\u00fade do solo. que s\u00e3o drivers. Finalmente, o impulso pode vir de autoridades regulat\u00f3rias ou mesmo de redes de supermercados apaziguando seus clientes.<\/p>\n

Nota do editor: Para mais informa\u00e7\u00f5es sobre isso, acesse o <\/em>Confer\u00eancia de Aplica\u00e7\u00e3o de Precis\u00e3o na \u00c1sia<\/em><\/a>, onde discutiremos como as formula\u00e7\u00f5es, volumes e cen\u00e1rios de uso de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos mudar\u00e3o em meio a uma poss\u00edvel interrup\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/em><\/p>\n

A China ainda \u00e9 um curinga<\/strong><\/h2>\n

A China continua seus esfor\u00e7os para reprimir os fabricantes. Os esfor\u00e7os do governo reduzir\u00e3o o n\u00famero de parques qu\u00edmicos na prov\u00edncia de Jiangsu de 50 para 20 em dois anos, e as f\u00e1bricas qu\u00edmicas de 7.000 para 2.000 durante o mesmo per\u00edodo e depois para 1.000 at\u00e9 2022. Atualmente, a prov\u00edncia de Jiangsu responde por 40% dos IAs sintetizados. Em todo o pa\u00eds, h\u00e1 600 parques qu\u00edmicos.<\/p>\n

As implica\u00e7\u00f5es completas dessas mudan\u00e7as ainda precisam ser vistas ou sentidas. A \u00cdndia pode ser capaz de compensar parte da folga, mas \u00e9 improv\u00e1vel e inesperado que consiga compensar quaisquer defici\u00eancias causadas pela China.<\/p>\n

Membros do Conselho Consultivo Global da AgriBusiness:<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  • Dr. Bob Fairclough, Grupo Kleffmann<\/li>\n
  • Jim Delisi, Fanwood Chemical Inc.<\/li>\n
  • Diego Taube, Chempro SA<\/li>\n
  • CS Liew, Pacific Agriscience Pte Ltd<\/li>\n
  • Guido Azzari, Central America Toll Manufacture & Logistics, SA<\/li>\n
  • Jason Mann, AgraCity Cultivo e Nutri\u00e7\u00e3o<\/li>\n
  • Stephen Pearce, AWP Associados & Bancella Ltda<\/li>\n
  • Nicolas Potrie, Tafirel<\/li>\n
  • Antonio Calabrese, Anasac<\/li>\n
  • Daniel Traverso, Anasac<\/li>\n
  • Bob Trogele, AMVAC Chemical Corp<\/li>\n
  • Melinda McCann, Adama<\/li>\n
  • Jos\u00e9 Jo\u00e3o Dias Carvalho, knoell<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Membros que n\u00e3o puderam comparecer:<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \n
    • Giuseppe Natale, Valagro<\/li>\n
    • Kevin Fry, Fry Brothers Fertilizantes e Produtos Qu\u00edmicos<\/li>\n
    • Dan Custis, Marketing Biol\u00f3gico Avan\u00e7ado<\/li>\n
    • Subhra J. Roy, Rallis \u00cdndia Limited<\/li>\n<\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      O AgriBusiness Global Advisory Board \u00e9 composto por alguns dos executivos mais experientes e talentosos do setor em insumos agr\u00edcolas. Cada\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":64840,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,1604,22,1218,18,19,20,1846,6],"tags":[554,1737],"class_list":["post-64831","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-agtech","category-biopesticides","category-events","category-fungicides","category-herbicides","category-insecticides","category-sustainability","category-trade-summit","tag-featured","tag-precision-application-asia"],"yoast_head":"\nGlobal Crop Inputs Industry: 6 Things To Watch For in 2020 - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The AgriBusiness Global Advisory Board comprises some of the industry\u2019s most experienced and talented executives in the crop inputs. 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