{"id":65344,"date":"2019-12-17T09:53:54","date_gmt":"2019-12-17T14:53:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=65344"},"modified":"2021-05-24T14:52:37","modified_gmt":"2021-05-24T18:52:37","slug":"swamped-with-supply-rabobank-releases-latest-global-fertilizer-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/plant-health\/npk\/swamped-with-supply-rabobank-releases-latest-global-fertilizer-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Inundado com oferta: Rabobank divulga as \u00faltimas perspectivas globais de fertilizantes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cOs pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes reduziram consideravelmente em 2019, devido \u00e0 oferta abundante e \u00e0 falta de demanda em mercados importantes\u201d, de acordo com o Rabobank Matheus Almeida, Analista S\u00eanior \u2013 Insumos Agr\u00edcolas. No entanto, uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o esperada na demanda \u2013 juntamente com restri\u00e7\u00f5es de oferta resultantes de reformas ambientais, regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o governamental e clima desfavor\u00e1vel \u2013 provavelmente apoiar\u00e1 os pre\u00e7os globais, como pode ser lido em <a href=\"http:\/\/icm-tracking.meltwater.com\/link.php?DynEngagement=true&amp;H=btYXC68syxmDVppbhVzFoYHdeMNV9070xvOlf%2FNdDQ0wXj6aidRhm2TZSkpwxJfV5yexciKAy8%2Bg0CNcS6RjziRAF2JoAdUxpQ0iFUUP3s491%2B67N7r%2F2xd2r8OovDzF&amp;G=0&amp;R=https%3A%2F%2Fservices.rabobank.com%2Fpublicationservice%2Fdownload%2Fpublication%2Ftoken%2Fs4yErxdf6t9XDp28eHcJ&amp;I=20191217134303.00000ac2917b%40mail6-114-ussnn1&amp;X=MHwxMDQ2NzU4OjVkZjhkYjVlN2I5OWRiMzIxNTg0OTJhMzs%3D&amp;S=2pH66wYgTMMX-BSb_W4KimMmDXOVU9hNtBZaix8PDsc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">O mais recente Panorama Global de Fertilizantes do Rabobank est\u00e1 &quot;inundado de oferta&quot;.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Os destaques regionais desta perspectiva incluem:<\/p>\n<p><strong>China: Pol\u00edtica ambiental leva a ind\u00fastria a uma reestrutura\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/strong>\u00a0A previs\u00e3o \u00e9 que os pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes na China permane\u00e7am baixos em 2020. As reformas nacionais do lado da oferta no setor de fertilizantes e as press\u00f5es da pol\u00edtica de prote\u00e7\u00e3o ambiental impactaram muito o setor, o que ajuda a acelerar a reestrutura\u00e7\u00e3o do setor e padronizar a concorr\u00eancia no mercado.<\/p>\n<p><strong>EUA: Colheita atrasada e hectares plantados em quest\u00e3o.<\/strong> Espera-se que a demanda por fertilizantes se recupere ap\u00f3s problemas sazonais em safras anteriores. No entanto, o estoque pesado do canal e a colheita atrasada provavelmente ter\u00e3o import\u00e2ncia significativa nas decis\u00f5es dos agricultores. Os fundamentos ainda apontam para uma din\u00e2mica de pre\u00e7os fraca para produtores de N, P e K at\u00e9 o segundo trimestre de 2020.<\/p>\n<p><strong>UE: Os regulamentos exigem baixos volumes de produtos altamente eficientes.<\/strong> Espera-se que a demanda por fertilizantes nos principais mercados da UE diminua em 1,8% de 2018\/19 a 2020\/21, impulsionada por regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es ambientais mais rigorosas. Nesse cen\u00e1rio, os agricultores devem melhorar a efici\u00eancia dos fertilizantes para continuar a atingir maiores rendimentos. Os produtores de fertilizantes enfrentam pre\u00e7os recordes baixos, demanda fraca e press\u00f5es de emiss\u00f5es pendentes.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Brasil: Maior demanda e menor produ\u00e7\u00e3o local impulsionam importa\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/strong> Em meio a margens de lucro melhoradas para os agricultores no 2S 2019, a demanda por fertilizantes deve crescer 2%. As importa\u00e7\u00f5es de fertilizantes est\u00e3o previstas em 28,2 milh\u00f5es de toneladas m\u00e9tricas em 2019 \u2013 um aumento de 2,7% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a 2018. Pre\u00e7os mais baixos de fertilizantes e um bom cen\u00e1rio para commodities devem dar suporte ao crescimento da demanda por fertilizantes em 2020.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Austr\u00e1lia: A seca manter\u00e1 a demanda local sob controle.<\/strong> A seca continua a afetar os estados do leste do pa\u00eds, enquanto uma esta\u00e7\u00e3o seca tamb\u00e9m atingiu o oeste, impactando significativamente a demanda por ureia. Se a chuva atingir regi\u00f5es afetadas pela seca antes do plantio, os agricultores adotar\u00e3o uma estrat\u00e9gia conservadora para aplica\u00e7\u00f5es de fertilizantes na pr\u00f3xima temporada. Os mercados locais est\u00e3o bem abastecidos antes da pr\u00f3xima temporada, o que mitigar\u00e1 quaisquer aumentos de pre\u00e7os causados pela escassez de oferta.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Nova Zel\u00e2ndia: Esperamos queda nos pre\u00e7os locais.<\/strong> Esperamos que haja uma queda \u00e0 frente para os pre\u00e7os de varejo locais da Nova Zel\u00e2ndia, com o pico de demanda durante a primavera agora conclu\u00eddo e os pre\u00e7os locais ainda n\u00e3o refletindo o decl\u00ednio nos valores globais. Novas reformas ambientais exigir\u00e3o que os fazendeiros da Nova Zel\u00e2ndia operem dentro de restri\u00e7\u00f5es ambientais mais r\u00edgidas do que no passado.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/icm-tracking.meltwater.com\/link.php?DynEngagement=true&amp;H=btYXC68syxmDVppbhVzFoYHdeMNV9070xvOlf%2FNdDQ0wXj6aidRhm2TZSkpwxJfV5yexciKAy8%2Bg0CNcS6RjziRAF2JoAdUxpQ0iFUUP3s491%2B67N7r%2F2xd2r8OovDzF&amp;G=0&amp;R=https%3A%2F%2Fservices.rabobank.com%2Fpublicationservice%2Fdownload%2Fpublication%2Ftoken%2Fs4yErxdf6t9XDp28eHcJ&amp;I=20191217134303.00000ac2917b%40mail6-114-ussnn1&amp;X=MHwxMDQ2NzU4OjVkZjhkYjVlN2I5OWRiMzIxNTg0OTJhMzs%3D&amp;S=2pH66wYgTMMX-BSb_W4KimMmDXOVU9hNtBZaix8PDsc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Baixe o relat\u00f3rio completo<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Os pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes ca\u00edram consideravelmente em 2019, devido \u00e0 oferta abundante e \u00e0 falta de demanda em mercados importantes.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":62605,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,926],"tags":[1843],"class_list":["post-65344","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-npk","category-plant-health","tag-supply"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Swamped with Supply: Rabobank Releases Latest Global Fertilizer Outlook - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fertilizer prices have reduced considerably in 2019, due to abundant supply and the lack of demand in important markets.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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