{"id":65418,"date":"2020-03-10T15:46:22","date_gmt":"2020-03-10T19:46:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=65418"},"modified":"2021-06-14T15:38:40","modified_gmt":"2021-06-14T19:38:40","slug":"amvacs-bob-trogele-top-11-predictions-driving-the-global-crop-inputs-industry-in-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/amvacs-bob-trogele-top-11-predictions-driving-the-global-crop-inputs-industry-in-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Bob Trogele da AMVAC: As 11 principais previs\u00f5es que impulsionam a ind\u00fastria global de insumos agr\u00edcolas em 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nota do editor: Bob Trogele, diretor de opera\u00e7\u00f5es e vice-presidente executivo da AMVAC e membro do Conselho Consultivo Global de AgriBusiness<\/a>, oferece suas reflex\u00f5es sobre os fatores que influenciar\u00e3o a ind\u00fastria de insumos agr\u00edcolas em 2020:<\/em><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Pre\u00e7os mais altos de commodities resultam em decl\u00ednios de estoque para produtores dos EUA, j\u00e1 que a demanda chinesa favorece a agricultura dos EUA. Isso ter\u00e1 um impacto neutro a negativo para o Brasil e a Argentina.<\/li>\n
  2. O d\u00f3lar parece est\u00e1vel ou em decl\u00ednio e \u00e9 positivo para a negocia\u00e7\u00e3o de commodities agr\u00edcolas \u00e0 medida que as tens\u00f5es comerciais globais se tornam mais brandas.<\/li>\n
  3. O n\u00famero de novos acordos comerciais \u2014 USMCA, Brasil-UE, EUA-Jap\u00e3o, etc. \u2014 apoia a precifica\u00e7\u00e3o de commodities \u00e0 medida que as tarifas diminuem e potencialmente impulsionam a demanda. Fornecedores da China e da \u00cdndia se beneficiam de tens\u00f5es reduzidas.<\/li>\n
  4. A consolida\u00e7\u00e3o no n\u00edvel do produtor impulsiona a reestrutura\u00e7\u00e3o e consolida\u00e7\u00e3o do varejo, mudando ainda mais os modelos de neg\u00f3cios em todos os n\u00edveis de servi\u00e7o. A consolida\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA no n\u00edvel do fornecedor ainda \u00e9 necess\u00e1ria, mas ficar\u00e1 em espera para 2020, \u00e0 medida que o mercado se recupera do com\u00e9rcio e da demanda.<\/li>\n
  5. Varejistas e produtores continuam cruzando fronteiras, especialmente com aquisi\u00e7\u00f5es ou alian\u00e7as.<\/li>\n
  6. Os avan\u00e7os tecnol\u00f3gicos continuam em ritmo acelerado, abrindo futuras oportunidades de valor agregado.<\/li>\n
  7. Startups continuam e florescem \u00e0 medida que investidores migram para as tecnologias mais novas apostando no acima, especialmente nas \u00e1reas disruptivas de rob\u00f3tica, gerenciamento de \u00e1gua, agricultura de precis\u00e3o e aplica\u00e7\u00e3o, edi\u00e7\u00e3o gen\u00e9tica e produtos biol\u00f3gicos, incluindo sa\u00fade do solo. A intelig\u00eancia artificial est\u00e1 em um futuro pr\u00f3ximo e distante.<\/li>\n
  8. Os pol\u00edticos da UE querem reduzir\/eliminar solu\u00e7\u00f5es qu\u00edmicas e demandar ao mesmo tempo entidades neutras em carbono (veja BASF\/BAYER; ambas t\u00eam compromisso corporativo de serem neutras em carbono at\u00e9 2030). Isso abre espa\u00e7o para solu\u00e7\u00f5es biol\u00f3gicas, mas coloca press\u00e3o sobre exportadores estrangeiros de produtos e autoridades regulat\u00f3rias para se ajustarem.<\/li>\n
  9. Ativistas motivados pelo sucesso do glifosato continuam a mirar produtos qu\u00edmicos e autoridades regulat\u00f3rias com desafios legais, especialmente na UE\/EUA, afetando outras regi\u00f5es negativamente. A discuss\u00e3o sobre mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas continua \u2014 a agricultura est\u00e1 na frente e no centro com a utiliza\u00e7\u00e3o da \u00e1gua e a sa\u00fade do solo.<\/li>\n
  10. O Ir\u00e3 desestabiliza o Oriente M\u00e9dio e pode inflamar problemas ao redor do globo, desde o fornecimento de energia at\u00e9 alian\u00e7as entre fac\u00e7\u00f5es nacionais, levando a mais provoca\u00e7\u00f5es. Meu menos favorito para mencionar, mas um para ficar de olho.<\/li>\n
  11. Por \u00faltimo, mas n\u00e3o menos importante, n\u00e3o importa o que voc\u00ea acredite, 2020 ver\u00e1 mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas. Sendo um Aggie experiente, vejo isso como neutro. Esperando pelo melhor! Administre isso se isso afetar voc\u00ea \u2014 voc\u00ea n\u00e3o pode controlar a M\u00e3e Natureza.<\/li>\n<\/ol>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    O diretor de opera\u00e7\u00f5es da AMVAC, Bob Trogele, oferece suas opini\u00f5es sobre os fatores que influenciar\u00e3o o setor de insumos agr\u00edcolas em 2020.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":377,"featured_media":62416,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,4,18,19,20,1846],"tags":[54],"class_list":["post-65418","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-adjuvants","category-agrochemicals","category-fungicides","category-herbicides","category-insecticides","category-sustainability","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"\nAMVAC's Bob Trogele: Top 11 Predictions Driving the Global Crop Inputs Industry in 2020 - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"AMVAC COO Bob Trogele offers his thoughts on the factors that will influence the crop inputs industry in 2020.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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