{"id":65585,"date":"2020-05-12T15:10:20","date_gmt":"2020-05-12T19:10:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=65585"},"modified":"2020-04-26T14:52:30","modified_gmt":"2020-04-26T18:52:30","slug":"global-crop-protection-product-trends-impact-on-south-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/global-crop-protection-product-trends-impact-on-south-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"Tend\u00eancias do mercado global de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos impactam a \u00c1frica do Sul"},"content":{"rendered":"

A \u00c1frica \u00e9 o segundo maior continente do mundo, com cerca de 30 milh\u00f5es de km\u00b2, cobrindo aproximadamente 20% da terra da Terra. \u00c9 limitado pelo Oceano Atl\u00e2ntico a oeste, pelo Oceano \u00cdndico a leste e pelo Mar Mediterr\u00e2neo ao norte. A \u00e1rea de cultivo \u00e9 vasta, com uma \u00e1rea de terra agr\u00edcola estimada em cerca de 1.100 milh\u00f5es de ha, de acordo com a FAO. Isso equivale a 23% da \u00e1rea de terra agr\u00edcola dispon\u00edvel globalmente e est\u00e1 no mesmo n\u00edvel daquela dispon\u00edvel para todas as Am\u00e9ricas.<\/p>\n

Dentro do continente africano, h\u00e1 uma gama diversificada de pa\u00edses, desde a produtiva \u00c1frica do Sul no sul at\u00e9 pa\u00edses mais desafiadores em termos clim\u00e1ticos na \u00c1frica central e do norte. Por necessidade, essa diversidade leva \u00e0 subdivis\u00e3o (OCDE) do continente africano em cinco regi\u00f5es: \u00c1frica do Norte, \u00c1frica Central ou M\u00e9dia, \u00c1frica Meridional, \u00c1frica Oriental e \u00c1frica Ocidental. De uma perspectiva agr\u00edcola, no entanto, o clima \u00e9 o fator-chave na determina\u00e7\u00e3o de quais pa\u00edses comp\u00f5em a \u00c1frica Meridional.<\/p>\n

\"TableClimaticamente, a \u00c1frica Austral pode ser melhor definida como um \u201cclima sub\u00famido e semi\u00e1rido\u201d e a Confedera\u00e7\u00e3o das Regi\u00f5es Agr\u00edcolas da \u00c1frica Austral (SACAU) \u00e9 geralmente reconhecida como abrangendo os 12 pa\u00edses que, em termos gerais, se enquadram nessa regi\u00e3o clim\u00e1tica. Quantificar com precis\u00e3o o valor dos mercados de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos em cada pa\u00eds membro \u00e9, no entanto, desafiador, pois a pesquisa de mercado \u00e9 frequentemente incompleta. As estimativas mais recentes s\u00e3o, no entanto, fornecidas na Tabela 1.<\/p>\n

Tradicionalmente, a regi\u00e3o tem sido o foco de produtos de menor custo fora de patente da ind\u00fastria \u201cgen\u00e9rica\u201d em vez do lado propriet\u00e1rio. Em 2019 e 2020, no entanto, o aumento do foco nas vendas de inseticidas \u2014 em parte devido \u00e0 lagarta-do-cartucho (Spodoptera frugiperda<\/em>) \u2014 est\u00e1 come\u00e7ando a mudar isso, assim como o aumento do pre\u00e7o da mat\u00e9ria-prima dos gen\u00e9ricos. Como tal, o potencial de crescimento e o \u201cponto de pre\u00e7o\u201d do mercado da \u00c1frica Austral est\u00e3o come\u00e7ando a se tornar mais atraentes tanto para gen\u00e9ricos quanto para empresas de P&D.<\/p>\n

\u00c1frica do Sul \u2014 Um mercado em crescimento para produtos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos<\/h2>\n

A \u00c1frica do Sul \u00e9 o foco deste artigo devido ao dom\u00ednio do pa\u00eds na regi\u00e3o da \u00c1frica Austral.<\/p>\n

\"FigureConforme publicado na edi\u00e7\u00e3o de junho de 2019 da AgriBusiness Global\u2122<\/em>\u00a0o mercado global de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos em 2018 aumentou a uma taxa de 2% em termos nominais em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a 2017. Como um n\u00famero comparativo, o mercado do pa\u00eds sul-africano cresceu em cerca de 5% em 2018 em compara\u00e7\u00e3o a 2017; ent\u00e3o, na verdade, mais do que o dobro da m\u00e9dia global. A \u00c1frica do Sul tamb\u00e9m superou consideravelmente o crescimento do mercado global com um CAGR de 4,4% por ano durante o per\u00edodo de 2008 a 2018 em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com um CAGR mais modesto de 2,3 % por ano para o mercado global durante o mesmo per\u00edodo.<\/p>\n

\"FigureA \u00c1frica do Sul, como a maioria dos mercados, sofreu um decl\u00ednio em 2009 (como resultado da crise financeira) e depois novamente em 2015, quando, entre outros fatores, ocorreu um decl\u00ednio acentuado nos pre\u00e7os das commodities. A recupera\u00e7\u00e3o em 2016 e 2017 foi, no entanto, bastante acentuada (veja a Figura 6). Al\u00e9m de aumentar em valor, o mercado tamb\u00e9m mudou um pouco e se tornou menos focado em inseticidas ao comparar as divis\u00f5es do setor de 2008 com as de 2018 (Figuras 4 e 5).<\/p>\n

\"Figure<\/a>O desenvolvimento mais marcante do mercado dom\u00e9stico no per\u00edodo de 2008 a 2018 \u00e9 o crescimento nos grupos de culturas em que o produto \u00e9 destinado ao mercado de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o em vez de uso dom\u00e9stico. O mais not\u00e1vel nisso \u00e9 a soja, que em 2008 foi respons\u00e1vel por vendas de produtos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de culturas de apenas 2%, enquanto em 2018 isso cresceu para mais de 7% do mercado total de CP. A \u00e1rea de cultivo plantada com soja no mesmo per\u00edodo tamb\u00e9m aumentou de pouco mais de 160.000 ha em 2008 para perto de 800.000 ha em 2018 (Figuras 2 e 3). O crescimento no valor relativo do milho, videira, cereais e cana-de-a\u00e7\u00facar \u00e9 mais, no entanto, um reflexo de um aumento geral na intensidade do uso do produto (particularmente fungicidas) do que de qualquer mudan\u00e7a significativa na \u00e1rea de cultivo.<\/p>\n

Perspectivas para 2020<\/h2>\n

Agronomicamente, prev\u00ea-se que 2020 seja um ano favor\u00e1vel. Apesar do plantio tardio, devido a d\u00e9ficits de chuvas, a estimativa de produ\u00e7\u00e3o de milho e girassol da \u00c1frica do Sul foi aumentada depois que o bom tempo impulsionou os rendimentos. Especificamente, as chuvas em dezembro de 2019 e janeiro de 2020 levaram a um aumento nas reservas de umidade do solo e, portanto, minimizaram o impacto das condi\u00e7\u00f5es clim\u00e1ticas secas anteriores no plantio. Uma \u00e1rea maior plantada de milho tamb\u00e9m dar\u00e1 um impulso ao uso de produtos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos em 2020. As previs\u00f5es meteorol\u00f3gicas para o per\u00edodo de fevereiro a abril de 2020 indicam que a quantidade cumulativa de chuvas provavelmente ser\u00e1 m\u00e9dia, sustentando as expectativas favor\u00e1veis para a maioria das safras.<\/p>\n

O surto de Febre Aftosa na \u00c1frica do Sul em novembro de 2019 \u00e9 uma preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o, pois potencialmente reduz a demanda por gr\u00e3os para ra\u00e7\u00e3o para o gado durante todo o ano de 2020. As primeiras indica\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o, no entanto, de que o surto est\u00e1 sob controle e restrito \u00e0 Prov\u00edncia de Limpopo. No entanto, o desenvolvimento da doen\u00e7a, bem como as pol\u00edticas de Reforma Agr\u00e1ria em andamento, t\u00eam o potencial de interromper e fornecer incerteza \u00e0s perspectivas do mercado sul-africano no futuro.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O especialista Dr. Bob Fairclough fornece insights sobre os fatores que impactam o mercado de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos na \u00c1frica do Sul e oferece suas perspectivas para 2020.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":41316,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[25,4,5],"tags":[54],"class_list":["post-65585","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-africa-middle-east","category-agrochemicals","category-markets","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"\nGlobal Crop Protection Market Trends Impact on South Africa - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Expert Dr. Bob Fairclough provides insight into the factors impacting the South African crop protection market and offers his outlook for 2020.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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