{"id":66008,"date":"2020-06-23T14:59:16","date_gmt":"2020-06-23T18:59:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=66008"},"modified":"2020-06-29T11:38:50","modified_gmt":"2020-06-29T15:38:50","slug":"covid-19-shifts-china-trade-pushes-agrochemical-prices-down","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/covid-19-shifts-china-trade-pushes-agrochemical-prices-down\/","title":{"rendered":"COVID-19 muda o com\u00e9rcio da China; empurra os pre\u00e7os dos agroqu\u00edmicos para baixo"},"content":{"rendered":"

O com\u00e9rcio com a China estava em alta nos dias que antecederam os desafios criados por COVID 19<\/a>. De acordo com a Administra\u00e7\u00e3o Geral das Alf\u00e2ndegas da Rep\u00fablica Popular da China, a Associa\u00e7\u00e3o das Na\u00e7\u00f5es do Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico (ASEAN) substituiu a Uni\u00e3o Europeia como o maior parceiro comercial da China durante os primeiros cinco meses de 2020. O com\u00e9rcio exterior da China com\u00a0ASEAN\u00a0<\/a>Os membros atingiram 1,7 bilh\u00e3o de yuans (US$ 1,4 bilh\u00e3o) nos \u00faltimos cinco meses, um aumento de 4,21 bilh\u00f5es de TP3 bilh\u00f5es na compara\u00e7\u00e3o anual e representando 14,71 bilh\u00f5es de TP3 bilh\u00f5es do volume total do com\u00e9rcio global da China durante o per\u00edodo.<\/p>\n

Os pa\u00edses da ASEAN t\u00eam uma hist\u00f3ria de com\u00e9rcio com a China que remonta a dois mil anos. A Marinha Rota da Seda<\/a>\u00a0conectado\u00a0China<\/a>, Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico, \u00cdndia, Pen\u00ednsula Ar\u00e1bica, Egito e at\u00e9 mesmo Europa<\/a>, e floresceu entre o s\u00e9culo II a.C. e o s\u00e9culo XV d.C. Hoje, o Oriente luta contra a COVID-19 junto, o que pode contribuir para o r\u00e1pido retorno da \u00c1sia da pandemia.<\/p>\n

Com economias complementares e menores custos de envio, pa\u00edses da ASEAN como Tail\u00e2ndia, Brunei, Camboja, Indon\u00e9sia, Laos, Mal\u00e1sia, Mianmar, Filipinas, Cingapura e Vietn\u00e3 t\u00eam enorme potencial para se beneficiar de futuras rela\u00e7\u00f5es agr\u00edcolas com a China e a \u00cdndia. O potencial mercado de alimentos e frutas da China deve abrir um novo caminho para as economias da ASEAN se recuperarem dos impactos do distanciamento social e dos bloqueios internacionais.<\/p>\n

Durante Aplica\u00e7\u00e3o de precis\u00e3o na \u00c1sia<\/a> (hospedado pela Meister Media Worldwide) na Tail\u00e2ndia em novembro de 2019, o Thailand Board of Investment (BOI) destacou os antecedentes dos neg\u00f3cios agr\u00edcolas da Tail\u00e2ndia para parceiros globais de agricultura de precis\u00e3o. A agricultura \u00e9 um dos principais contribuintes econ\u00f4micos da Tail\u00e2ndia, respondendo por 10,4% do PIB total. Arroz, borracha e tapioca s\u00e3o os principais produtos agr\u00edcolas exportados do pa\u00eds. Olhando para o futuro agr\u00edcola do pa\u00eds, a Tail\u00e2ndia est\u00e1 se dirigindo para a Agricultura 4.0, caracterizada por economia orientada para a inova\u00e7\u00e3o, agricultura sustent\u00e1vel e agricultura de precis\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

A maioria dos pequenos agricultores no Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico trabalha em menos de 1 ha de terra. Isso \u00e9 semelhante \u00e0s fazendas no sul da China. A prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos do Sistema de Ve\u00edculos Aeron\u00e1uticos N\u00e3o Tripulados (UAS) est\u00e1 se desenvolvendo muito rapidamente devido \u00e0 economia de m\u00e3o de obra e \u00e0 capacidade de pulverizar durante a esta\u00e7\u00e3o chuvosa. Na Tail\u00e2ndia, a SATI Platform Co., Ltd. est\u00e1 treinando agricultores tailandeses em controle de drones e prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos por drones. Como uma op\u00e7\u00e3o para agricultura de precis\u00e3o, a prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos UAS est\u00e1 se tornando uma forma popular de agricultura de precis\u00e3o no Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico. No futuro previs\u00edvel, a prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos UAS n\u00e3o \u00e9 apenas uma nova maneira de pulverizar, mas tamb\u00e9m um "novo canal" voando no c\u00e9u.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>

Clique para ampliar<\/p><\/div>\n

Devido \u00e0 nova demanda dos agricultores, os portf\u00f3lios multinacionais tamb\u00e9m est\u00e3o mudando para prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos por UAS. O Prof. Xuemin Wu, Cientista Chefe do Laborat\u00f3rio de Formula\u00e7\u00e3o e Adjuvantes da Universidade Agr\u00edcola da China, fez um discurso na feira Precision Application Asia. Ele mencionou que havia \u201cTr\u00eas Elementos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos por UAS\u201d para profissionais globais de agricultura de precis\u00e3o do Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico. Combinados pela estrat\u00e9gia agron\u00f4mica, os agricultores podem utilizar tecnologia inovadora como UAS, agtech de precis\u00e3o, manejo integrado de pragas (IPM) e agricultura digital para minimizar a entrada de insumos agr\u00edcolas e trabalhar para aumentar o rendimento.<\/p>\n

A China tem uma estrat\u00e9gia em vigor com o objetivo de minimizar o crescimento de insumos agroqu\u00edmicos em 2020, chamada Crescimento Zero. No Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico, novas regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es est\u00e3o surgindo para remodelar o fornecimento de agroqu\u00edmicos tamb\u00e9m. A Tail\u00e2ndia proibiu oficialmente o uso de paraquate e clorpirif\u00f3s a partir de 1\u00ba de junho de 2020. Os agricultores locais t\u00eam 90 dias a partir dessa data para devolver quaisquer produtos restantes que incluam esses dois ingredientes ativos. Op\u00e7\u00f5es agroqu\u00edmicas alternativas ser\u00e3o essenciais para os agricultores. Enquanto isso, a \u00cdndia tamb\u00e9m emitiu sua Ordem de Proibi\u00e7\u00e3o de Inseticidas 2020 em 14 de maio de 2020. A fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o de mancozeb, 2,4-D, acefato, clorpirif\u00f3s e monocrotof\u00f3s ser\u00e1 proibida na \u00cdndia, e a estrat\u00e9gia de fornecimento global do pa\u00eds ser\u00e1 afetada por isso.<\/p>\n

Novas mol\u00e9culas off-patent se tornar\u00e3o um investimento mais interessante. Como tal, haver\u00e1 nova competi\u00e7\u00e3o no aprimoramento do processo de s\u00edntese e economia de custos da produ\u00e7\u00e3o recente de ingredientes ativos off-patent nos pr\u00f3ximos cinco anos. Al\u00e9m disso, as novas formula\u00e7\u00f5es com caracter\u00edsticas inovadoras para agricultura de precis\u00e3o podem enriquecer os portf\u00f3lios para empresas gen\u00e9ricas competirem no mercado de ingredientes ativos off-patent.<\/p>\n

Os fabricantes foram afetados pelo bloqueio da cadeia de suprimentos de mat\u00e9rias-primas e intermedi\u00e1rios devido \u00e0 COVID-19. O custo da log\u00edstica aumentou rapidamente nos \u00faltimos cinco meses. Com o impacto da COVID-19, muitas moedas se depreciaram acentuadamente. Investimentos de rotina em nova capacidade ainda estavam sendo realizados. Todos esses fatores est\u00e3o diminuindo os lucros l\u00edquidos dos fabricantes de agroqu\u00edmicos da China.<\/p>\n

As empresas multinacionais de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos estavam executando uma estrat\u00e9gia de venda no mercado chin\u00eas. Antes de maio de 2020, as empresas multinacionais pressionavam os distribuidores locais a comprar cargas como seu estoque. Todos eles visam ter o m\u00e1ximo de fluxo de caixa poss\u00edvel dos principais distribuidores. Isso tamb\u00e9m pode colocar mais press\u00e3o sobre os concorrentes. Em 2020, a China teve mais chuvas do que nos \u00faltimos anos. Agr\u00f4nomos locais est\u00e3o vendo infesta\u00e7\u00f5es mais pesadas de insetos e fungos, o que aumentar\u00e1 o consumo no mercado chin\u00eas. De junho a setembro, a estrat\u00e9gia de vendas locais da China seria vender para os agricultores. Todas as empresas est\u00e3o pagando para a distribui\u00e7\u00e3o com alta press\u00e3o de receita no impacto da COVID-19.<\/p>\n

Abaixo est\u00e1 uma olhada nas tend\u00eancias atuais de pre\u00e7os para os principais herbicidas, fungicidas e inseticidas no mercado agroqu\u00edmico chin\u00eas. Clique no nome do produto para visualizar seu gr\u00e1fico de pre\u00e7os ou visualize o slideshow acima.<\/em><\/p>\n

Herbicidas<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Glifosato<\/a> a produ\u00e7\u00e3o ficou est\u00e1vel em maio. Conforme os estoques de glifosato aumentaram, o resultado foi um pre\u00e7o (mais baixo) rec\u00e9m-equilibrado. Glufosinato<\/a> a demanda foi mais forte do que em abril; como tal, espera-se que o pre\u00e7o Ex Works (EXW) do glufosinato suba nos pr\u00f3ximos meses ap\u00f3s uma flutua\u00e7\u00e3o na moeda que derrubou o pre\u00e7o EXW do glufosinato em d\u00f3lares americanos. Clodinafop-propargil<\/a> os pre\u00e7os est\u00e3o caindo drasticamente porque o fornecimento de mat\u00e9ria-prima voltou lentamente ao normal. Um aumento de cletodim<\/a> a disponibilidade reduziu o pre\u00e7o do herbicida em 8%.<\/p>\n

Fungicidas<\/strong><\/h2>\n

A maioria dos pre\u00e7os de fungicidas caiu em maio. O pre\u00e7o de procloraz<\/a> caiu devido ao aumento da capacidade programada para controlar a sarna do trigo no mercado de trigo da China. A demanda local por procloraz est\u00e1 fraca. Tebuconazol<\/a> a capacidade aumentou rapidamente, resultando em uma queda no pre\u00e7o do fungicida 14%. Azoxistrobina<\/a> o pre\u00e7o permaneceu est\u00e1vel, pois a demanda do exterior aumentou. A competi\u00e7\u00e3o por piraclostrobina<\/a> ficar\u00e1 mais dif\u00edcil com a capacidade adicional liberada recentemente.<\/p>\n

Inseticidas<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Pre\u00e7os para imidacloprida<\/a> e acetamipride caiu 8% devido ao alto estoque e baixa demanda no exterior. A demanda do mercado chin\u00eas de\u00a0Lambda<\/em>-cialotrina<\/a> tamb\u00e9m foi fraco, o que levou \u00e0 lenta diminui\u00e7\u00e3o do pre\u00e7o do inseticida. \u00c0 medida que o bifentrina<\/a> a taxa de fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o aumentou, o pre\u00e7o deste inseticida tamb\u00e9m diminuiu suavemente. Com o uso de indoxacarbe<\/a> para controlar a lagarta-do-cartucho, o pre\u00e7o do indoxacarbe \u00e9 est\u00e1vel (sem considerar as taxas de c\u00e2mbio flutuantes).<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O com\u00e9rcio com a China estava crescendo durante os dias que antecederam a COVID-19. O escritor colaborador David Li fornece uma atualiza\u00e7\u00e3o sobre como os pre\u00e7os dos agroqu\u00edmicos est\u00e3o tendendo agora.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":62965,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,28,18,19,20,5],"tags":[54],"class_list":["post-66008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-asia","category-fungicides","category-herbicides","category-insecticides","category-markets","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"\nCOVID-19 Shifts China Trade; Pushes Agrochemical Prices Down - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"China trade was booming during days leading up to COVID-19. 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