{"id":66050,"date":"2020-08-11T15:57:31","date_gmt":"2020-08-11T19:57:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=66050"},"modified":"2020-08-11T17:02:31","modified_gmt":"2020-08-11T21:02:31","slug":"thailand-vietnam-dominate-southeast-asian-crop-protection-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/thailand-vietnam-dominate-southeast-asian-crop-protection-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Tail\u00e2ndia e Vietn\u00e3 dominam o mercado de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos do sudeste asi\u00e1tico"},"content":{"rendered":"

O Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico \u00e9 uma sub-regi\u00e3o da \u00c1sia; consistindo nas regi\u00f5es que ficam ao sul da China, a leste da \u00cdndia e a noroeste da Austr\u00e1lia. A regi\u00e3o \u00e9 a \u00fanica parte da \u00c1sia que fica parcialmente dentro do Hemisf\u00e9rio Sul, com o equador atravessando uma grande parte da Indon\u00e9sia. A nordeste fica o Oceano Pac\u00edfico e a sudoeste o Oceano \u00cdndico.<\/p>\n

O Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico \u00e9 composto por 11 pa\u00edses: Brunei, Camboja, Timor-Leste, Indon\u00e9sia, Laos, Mal\u00e1sia, Mianmar, Filipinas, Cingapura, Tail\u00e2ndia e Vietn\u00e3. Conforme indicado na Tabela 1, do ponto de vista da agricultura, ent\u00e3o, na verdade, apenas sete dos 11 pa\u00edses s\u00e3o significativos. Esses sete tamb\u00e9m s\u00e3o bem diferentes em termos dos tipos de agricultura praticados. Na Mal\u00e1sia, por exemplo, as planta\u00e7\u00f5es de \u00f3leo de palma e borracha dominam; a Indon\u00e9sia \u00e9 muito mais diversa, com milho e arroz importantes, bem como as planta\u00e7\u00f5es. O arroz tende a dominar em outros mercados, especialmente Camboja, Filipinas, Vietn\u00e3 e Tail\u00e2ndia. Mianmar \u00e9 diferente novamente, pois, embora o arroz domine, as frutas e vegetais s\u00e3o especialmente importantes e, em particular, as leguminosas de feij\u00e3o e ervilha, bem como v\u00e1rias nozes.<\/p>\n

O tamanho da economia geral da Indon\u00e9sia e a import\u00e2ncia da agricultura nessa economia, no entanto, fazem dela a maior economia agr\u00edcola da regi\u00e3o por uma margem significativa (Tabela 1). Ao mesmo tempo, enquanto a agricultura \u00e9 importante na Indon\u00e9sia, as ind\u00fastrias pesadas dominam o mercado de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o, com o carv\u00e3o e v\u00e1rias formas de petr\u00f3leo sendo de maior valor. \u00d3leo de palma e borracha aparecem como exporta\u00e7\u00f5es l\u00edderes, mas de import\u00e2ncia significativamente menor em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com as commodities baseadas em energia.<\/p>\n

Da mesma forma, Tail\u00e2ndia, Filipinas, Vietn\u00e3 e Mal\u00e1sia tamb\u00e9m t\u00eam exporta\u00e7\u00f5es que s\u00e3o dominadas por t\u00eaxteis e \u201ctecnologia\u201d em vez de produtos agr\u00edcolas. Myanmar \u00e9 o \u00fanico pa\u00eds na regi\u00e3o que tem uma propor\u00e7\u00e3o significativa de seu PIB da agricultura e tamb\u00e9m que tem commodities agr\u00edcolas cruas essenciais (neste caso, a\u00e7\u00facar bruto) como suas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es mais significativas.<\/p>\n

Esse dom\u00ednio na \u00e1rea de cultivo e na economia no caso da Indon\u00e9sia (como na Tabela 1) n\u00e3o equivale, no entanto, ao maior mercado para prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos; na verdade, \u00e9 menor que o da Tail\u00e2ndia ou do Vietn\u00e3.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\"\"A compara\u00e7\u00e3o da \u00e1rea de terras agr\u00edcolas como na Tabela 1 e o valor do mercado para vendas de Prote\u00e7\u00e3o de Cultivos na Tabela 2 indica que a intensidade relativa (ou gasto m\u00e9dio por hectare no geral) da Tail\u00e2ndia, Vietn\u00e3 e Mal\u00e1sia \u00e9 alta em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com a regi\u00e3o como um todo. Por outro lado, Indon\u00e9sia e Mianmar s\u00e3o os mercados menos desenvolvidos em termos de gasto m\u00e9dio. A varia\u00e7\u00e3o do tipo de cultivo entre os pa\u00edses explicar\u00e1 grande parte da varia\u00e7\u00e3o no gasto, pois as planta\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o geralmente muito extensas, no entanto, tamb\u00e9m est\u00e1 claro que Mianmar em particular \u00e9 um mercado que at\u00e9 o momento \u00e9 relativamente pouco desenvolvido no Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico - ao longo do tempo, um mercado de crescimento significativo para produtos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos, continuando em 2019.<\/p>\n

Conforme publicado em Julho de 2019<\/a> o mercado global de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos em 2018 aumentou a uma taxa de 2% em termos nominais em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a 2017. Como um n\u00famero comparativo, o mercado do Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico viu um aumento significativo de cerca de 8% em 2018 em compara\u00e7\u00e3o a 2017. A regi\u00e3o tamb\u00e9m superou consideravelmente o mercado global com um CAGR de 7% por ano no per\u00edodo de 2008 a 2018 em compara\u00e7\u00e3o a um CAGR mais modesto de 2,3% por ano para o mercado global. Dados detalhados sobre 2019 n\u00e3o estavam dispon\u00edveis no momento da reda\u00e7\u00e3o; mas todas as indica\u00e7\u00f5es no in\u00edcio de junho de 2020 s\u00e3o de que o aumento visto em 2018 ter\u00e1 continuado em 2019.<\/p>\n

\"\"A regi\u00e3o em geral, com pouqu\u00edssimas exce\u00e7\u00f5es, viu um aumento ano a ano no valor geral nos \u00faltimos 10 anos. No geral, tamb\u00e9m houve pouca mudan\u00e7a na import\u00e2ncia relativa dos pa\u00edses individuais dentro da regi\u00e3o; com exce\u00e7\u00e3o da Indon\u00e9sia crescendo e das Filipinas declinando em import\u00e2ncia.<\/p>\n

\"\"Essa relativa estabilidade nos mercados do pa\u00eds tamb\u00e9m alimentou uma relativa estabilidade nos diferentes setores. Herbicidas continua sendo o setor dominante, com apenas um ligeiro aumento em fungicidas, com alguma despesa para o mercado de inseticidas (Figuras 3 e 4). Dada a crescente import\u00e2ncia das pragas de insetos na regi\u00e3o como um todo, essa \u00e9 uma tend\u00eancia que provavelmente foi revertida em 2019 e em 2020.<\/p>\n

Assim como nos setores, a divis\u00e3o relativa entre os diferentes grupos de culturas permaneceu relativamente est\u00e1vel ao longo do per\u00edodo coberto aqui, embora tenha havido uma mudan\u00e7a em dire\u00e7\u00e3o ao arroz; ao comparar 2008 com 2018. O milho tamb\u00e9m permaneceu constante em 5%. Tal gr\u00e1fico, no entanto, esconde muitos detalhes e, em geral, o arroz como uma porcentagem do valor total atingiu o pico por volta de 2013\/14 e tem diminu\u00eddo lentamente desde ent\u00e3o. Isso est\u00e1 em linha com os v\u00e1rios programas de redu\u00e7\u00e3o de arroz apoiados pelo governo operados em v\u00e1rios mercados do Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico. Outro detalhe que est\u00e1 oculto \u00e9 um decl\u00ednio na \u00e1rea de soja ao longo desse tempo; outra tend\u00eancia que pode ver uma revers\u00e3o nos pr\u00f3ximos anos, \u00e0 medida que os mercados de soja globalmente se abrem para diferentes press\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

Perspectivas para 2020<\/h2>\n

No momento em que este artigo foi escrito, as perspectivas para o mercado global de produtos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos eram fortemente influenciadas pela progress\u00e3o da COVID 19<\/a>. No final de 2019, a previs\u00e3o da Kleffmann Agriglobe para 2020 era de um crescimento global de pouco mais de 2,5% em 2020, em compara\u00e7\u00e3o a 2019. Essa taxa foi reduzida em um ponto percentual claro devido \u00e0s preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com a COVID-19 na economia global, bem como ao impacto direto no setor agr\u00edcola e, por sua vez, no uso de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos.<\/p>\n

V\u00e1rios pacotes de est\u00edmulos econ\u00f4micos introduzidos ao redor do mundo (por exemplo, o pacote CARES nos EUA) fizeram muito para reduzir o impacto negativo geral que a pandemia e o subsequente fechamento "global" teriam causado \u00e0 agricultura e, por sua vez, \u00e0 ind\u00fastria de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos. Apesar disso, no entanto, uma \u00e1rea que provavelmente ver\u00e1 um decl\u00ednio significativo no uso de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos globalmente ser\u00e1 o setor de frutas e vegetais; j\u00e1 que a disponibilidade de m\u00e3o de obra necess\u00e1ria para a colheita provavelmente ser\u00e1 restrita ao Q2 e possivelmente ao Q3 em muitas regi\u00f5es. \u00c9 improv\u00e1vel que essa din\u00e2mica tenha impacto significativo no uso de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos no Sudeste Asi\u00e1tico, no entanto, a queda severa na demanda global de \u00f3leo de palma, tanto como mat\u00e9ria-prima de biodiesel quanto como \u00f3leos comest\u00edveis, ter\u00e1 sido um impacto s\u00e9rio no primeiro semestre de 2020.<\/p>\n

Com uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o nos pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo bruto e indica\u00e7\u00f5es de que os pre\u00e7os concorrentes do \u00f3leo de soja est\u00e3o se tornando "otimistas", h\u00e1 algumas indica\u00e7\u00f5es de que esse impacto pode ser parcialmente recuperado no 2\u00ba semestre de 2020. A din\u00e2mica global de oferta e demanda de borracha tamb\u00e9m foi severamente impactada pela COVID-19 durante o primeiro semestre de 2020, embora novamente haja indica\u00e7\u00f5es de que essa situa\u00e7\u00e3o se reverter\u00e1 no terceiro e quarto trimestres, \u00e0 medida que a demanda aumenta, entre outros requisitos, o de EPI.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Por outro lado, Indon\u00e9sia e Mianmar s\u00e3o os mercados menos desenvolvidos em termos de gasto m\u00e9dio, de acordo com o especialista de mercado Dr. Bob Fairclough.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":65070,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,28,18,19,20],"tags":[554,54,561],"class_list":["post-66050","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-asia","category-fungicides","category-herbicides","category-insecticides","tag-featured","tag-featured-home","tag-kleffmann-group"],"yoast_head":"\nThailand, Vietnam Dominate Southeast Asian Crop Protection Market - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Conversely, Indonesia and Myanmar are the least developed markets in terms of average spend, according to market expert Dr. Bob Fairclough.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/thailand-vietnam-dominate-southeast-asian-crop-protection-market\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Thailand, Vietnam Dominate Southeast Asian Crop Protection Market - 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