{"id":66073,"date":"2020-07-06T09:25:01","date_gmt":"2020-07-06T13:25:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=66073"},"modified":"2020-07-02T16:49:51","modified_gmt":"2020-07-02T20:49:51","slug":"essential-fertilizers-ride-the-coronavirus-storm-across-the-globe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/plant-health\/essential-fertilizers-ride-the-coronavirus-storm-across-the-globe\/","title":{"rendered":"Fertilizantes essenciais enfrentam a tempestade do coronav\u00edrus em todo o mundo"},"content":{"rendered":"

O efeito domin\u00f3 da coronav\u00edrus<\/a>, \u00e0 medida que se espalhou pelo mundo, teve at\u00e9 agora um impacto limitado na ind\u00fastria de fertilizantes. No entanto, os efeitos completos da pandemia global est\u00e3o come\u00e7ando a aparecer em alguns setores devido a problemas de fluxo de caixa causados por colheitas em decomposi\u00e7\u00e3o, como frutas e vegetais.<\/p>\n

A China, tendo sido o epicentro da pandemia, est\u00e1 come\u00e7ando a voltar ao normal e as taxas de produ\u00e7\u00e3o aumentaram para todos os fertilizantes. A na\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 o maior consumidor de fertilizantes do mundo, consumindo em m\u00e9dia perto de 50 milh\u00f5es de toneladas\/ano. Tamb\u00e9m \u00e9 um exportador-chave de ureia.<\/p>\n

Quando o lockdown come\u00e7ou na China, o impacto foi enorme em termos de cortes na produ\u00e7\u00e3o devido \u00e0 escassez de m\u00e3o de obra. Problemas com transporte, tanto ferrovi\u00e1rio, rodovi\u00e1rio e mar\u00edtimo, tamb\u00e9m tiveram um grande impacto para cima e para baixo na cadeia de fertilizantes, resultando em ac\u00famulo de estoque.<\/p>\n

O maior impacto para a China foi no \u00e1cido fosf\u00f3rico, que \u00e9 usado para produzir fosfato. As instala\u00e7\u00f5es de fertilizantes na prov\u00edncia de Hubei respondem por at\u00e9 um ter\u00e7o da capacidade total do pa\u00eds. Por causa disso, a China deixou de ser a maior exportadora de fosfato diam\u00f4nico (DAP) para se tornar uma importadora l\u00edquida.<\/p>\n

Mas, \u00e0 medida que a China come\u00e7ou a sair do bloqueio, o fluxo de todos os fertilizantes se recuperou muito rapidamente e a vida est\u00e1 voltando ao normal novamente.<\/p>\n

A ureia foi menos impactada na China, com a prov\u00edncia de Hubei respondendo por apenas cerca de 3% acima da capacidade total da China.<\/p>\n

\u00c0 medida que a pandemia se espalhava pelos pa\u00edses, muitos pa\u00edses come\u00e7aram a sentir o impacto total do v\u00edrus mortal em um momento em que a aplica\u00e7\u00e3o de fertilizantes estava em alta sazonal, principalmente no hemisf\u00e9rio norte.<\/p>\n

De fato, durante mar\u00e7o, a demanda por todos os fertilizantes foi saud\u00e1vel e o valor das mat\u00e9rias-primas e nutrientes se manteve est\u00e1vel e, em alguns casos, se firmou.<\/p>\n

Houve press\u00e3o sobre os pre\u00e7os em abril e maio, mas o setor de fertilizantes certamente n\u00e3o sofreu as quedas bruscas e dr\u00e1sticas de pre\u00e7os vistas em mercados relacionados, como g\u00e1s, petr\u00f3leo e produtos petroqu\u00edmicos.<\/p>\n

Em junho, o sentimento mudou e a maioria dos pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes aumentou.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>

Clique para ampliar<\/p><\/div>\n

\u00c0 medida que o v\u00edrus se espalhava pelo mundo, os setores agr\u00edcolas e industriais aprenderam li\u00e7\u00f5es com a China e muitos receberam apoio do governo. O transporte de fertilizantes atrav\u00e9s das fronteiras europeias continuou, mas com medidas rigorosas em vigor para proteger os motoristas de caminh\u00e3o e a for\u00e7a de trabalho.<\/p>\n

A Fran\u00e7a, que \u00e9 o maior usu\u00e1rio de fertilizantes da Europa, passou pelos meses da primavera sem grande impacto na oferta ou demanda, embora algumas rachaduras estejam come\u00e7ando a aparecer agora. Problemas de fluxo de caixa est\u00e3o surgindo para alguns agricultores e o in\u00edcio chuvoso de 2020, seguido por abril e maio secos, prejudicou as colheitas.<\/p>\n

A Alemanha tamb\u00e9m viu planta\u00e7\u00f5es apodrecendo, em grande parte por causa do coronav\u00edrus. O fechamento de caf\u00e9s, bares e restaurantes, que consomem grandes quantidades de batatas fritas, levou a uma queda de 60% na demanda por batatas, por exemplo.<\/p>\n

Semelhante \u00e0 Europa, a pandemia agora est\u00e1 se alastrando pela Am\u00e9rica Latina, no momento em que a temporada de fertilizantes est\u00e1 a todo vapor. A demanda nas \u00faltimas semanas tem sido saud\u00e1vel para a Am\u00e9rica Latina, com grandes volumes de fertilizantes indo para o Brasil e a Argentina.<\/p>\n

O setor de fertilizantes se saiu melhor durante a pandemia global, em compara\u00e7\u00e3o aos setores petroqu\u00edmico e de energia, em termos de produ\u00e7\u00e3o. Os fabricantes de fertilizantes se beneficiaram de custos baixos de alimenta\u00e7\u00e3o e energia, o que significa que at\u00e9 mesmo produtores marginais continuaram a operar, e os mercados n\u00e3o sentiram nenhuma escassez de disponibilidade.<\/p>\n

Houve alguma preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o sobre novas capacidades que devem entrar em opera\u00e7\u00e3o em 2020, criando excesso de oferta. Alguns desses projetos provavelmente ser\u00e3o adiados ou adiados para 2021 devido ao fato de que a sa\u00fade e a seguran\u00e7a dos trabalhadores s\u00e3o primordiais.<\/p>\n

As discuss\u00f5es sobre o impacto da IMO 2020 e do Brexit no mercado de fertilizantes foram praticamente eliminadas pelo coronav\u00edrus e seu impacto, ou melhor, a falta dele, at\u00e9 agora na pandemia.<\/p>\n

O potencial para um aumento acentuado nos pre\u00e7os do combust\u00edvel de bunker devido \u00e0s regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es da IMO 2020 n\u00e3o se concretizou devido \u00e0 queda dr\u00e1stica nos custos do \u00f3leo combust\u00edvel.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Parece n\u00e3o ter havido nenhuma destrui\u00e7\u00e3o s\u00e9ria na demanda no setor de fertilizantes desde que o primeiro caso do v\u00edrus fora da China foi confirmado em 13 de janeiro de 2020. Para muitos produtores, cooperativas, atacadistas e fazendeiros, os neg\u00f3cios t\u00eam sido normais.<\/p>\n

Mas a perspectiva continua incerta, com muita conversa e preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o sobre uma segunda onda e o que isso pode significar para economias j\u00e1 quebradas.<\/p>\n

Flutua\u00e7\u00f5es cambiais, agita\u00e7\u00e3o pol\u00edtica e altos n\u00edveis de desemprego em pa\u00edses desenvolvidos e em desenvolvimento inevitavelmente ter\u00e3o um impacto nos pr\u00f3ximos meses e anos.<\/p>\n

Independentemente de todos esses fatores, o mundo ainda precisa de alimenta\u00e7\u00e3o. E considerando que at\u00e9 50% dos alimentos que comemos n\u00e3o estariam dispon\u00edveis sem fertilizantes, esta \u00e9 uma ind\u00fastria que permanecer\u00e1 robusta e continuar\u00e1 a ser considerada essencial.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Da China \u00e0 Am\u00e9rica Latina, os efeitos completos da pandemia est\u00e3o come\u00e7ando a aparecer em alguns setores do mercado global de fertilizantes.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":62605,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,926],"tags":[1796],"class_list":["post-66073","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-npk","category-plant-health","tag-coronavirus"],"yoast_head":"\nEssential Fertilizers Ride the Coronavirus Storm Across the Globe - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"From China to Latin America, the full effects of the pandemic are starting to show in some sectors of the global fertilizer market.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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