{"id":66411,"date":"2020-09-21T15:45:30","date_gmt":"2020-09-21T19:45:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=66411"},"modified":"2021-03-17T09:37:24","modified_gmt":"2021-03-17T13:37:24","slug":"china-price-index-glyphosate-rises-amid-sichuan-flooding-exports-taper-off","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/china-price-index-glyphosate-rises-amid-sichuan-flooding-exports-taper-off\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdndice de pre\u00e7os da China: Glifosato sobe em meio \u00e0s inunda\u00e7\u00f5es em Sichuan, exporta\u00e7\u00f5es diminuem"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nota do editor: O escritor colaborador David Li oferece um instant\u00e2neo das tend\u00eancias atuais de pre\u00e7os para os principais herbicidas, fungicidas e inseticidas no mercado agroqu\u00edmico chin\u00eas no slideshow acima. Abaixo, ele fornece insights sobre como fatores como clima, pandemia, lagarta-do-cartucho e muito mais est\u00e3o impactando os fabricantes de agroqu\u00edmicos hoje e em 2021.<\/em><\/p>\n

Os volumes de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o de agroqu\u00edmicos ano a ano da China no primeiro semestre do ano parecem estar se estabilizando. No entanto, os pre\u00e7os YOY continuam baixos (Figura 1), com exce\u00e7\u00e3o de abril, indicando uma tend\u00eancia de pre\u00e7os mais baixos nos primeiros seis meses de 2020 em compara\u00e7\u00e3o a 2019. No terceiro trimestre de 2020, a inunda\u00e7\u00e3o da prov\u00edncia de Sichuan causou um aumento no pre\u00e7o do glifosato em agosto como resultado da capacidade reduzida, mas apenas um produto n\u00e3o pode estimular as vendas de uma ind\u00fastria inteira.<\/p>\n

\"Figure<\/p>\n

O excesso de capacidade na China, combinado com a menor demanda no mundo todo, continua impactando os pre\u00e7os neste ano.<\/p>\n

Os estoques globais permanecem altos por uma combina\u00e7\u00e3o de raz\u00f5es. Quando a China encerrou a produ\u00e7\u00e3o em janeiro e fevereiro, a incerteza levou os compradores \u00e0s empresas indianas, que aumentaram a produ\u00e7\u00e3o para atender \u00e0 demanda. Ent\u00e3o, a China reabriu sua capacidade de fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o em fases, come\u00e7ando em mar\u00e7o. CCPIA<\/a> inspecionou e liderou os principais fornecedores de agroqu\u00edmicos e trabalhou em estreita colabora\u00e7\u00e3o com Icama<\/a>, MOA da China<\/a>, e governos locais para declarar insumos agr\u00edcolas como material essencial para a seguran\u00e7a alimentar. As reopera\u00e7\u00f5es da ind\u00fastria agroqu\u00edmica da China prosseguiram para manter o fornecimento suficiente de agroqu\u00edmicos como um insumo agr\u00edcola essencial. Essa a\u00e7\u00e3o tamb\u00e9m ajudou compradores globais a transferir seu foco de volta para o fornecimento da China.<\/p>\n

Em abril, a quantidade de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o de agroqu\u00edmicos da China aumentou 37%. As empresas multinacionais e distribuidores globais aproveitaram a chance de obter produtos qu\u00edmicos de commodities da China para refor\u00e7ar seus estoques. Esses estoques refor\u00e7ados diminu\u00edram a demanda a partir de junho, e a demanda global de material agroqu\u00edmico continua fraca, sem muita clareza sobre a demanda futura.<\/p>\n

O mercado LATAM \u00e9 o principal mercado exportador de agroqu\u00edmicos para os fabricantes chineses. Como o Relat\u00f3rio semestral da Bayer CropScience<\/a> mencionado, houve menores devolu\u00e7\u00f5es de produtos no Brasil este ano, indicando mais consumo \u00e0 medida que os produtos se esgotam. O n\u00edvel de estoque no Brasil voltou ao normal recentemente. As press\u00f5es de pragas no Brasil e na Argentina foram altas, impulsionando o aumento das vendas de inseticidas. E a ferrugem da soja ainda \u00e9 um fator-chave que impulsiona o mercado de fungicidas. A soja sempre ser\u00e1 uma cultura valiosa l\u00e1, j\u00e1 que a demanda global por prote\u00ednas vegetais sempre ser\u00e1 forte, especialmente da China.<\/p>\n

COVID 19<\/a> trouxe mais desafios para o neg\u00f3cio global de prote\u00edna animal, que \u00e9 um consumidor significativo de soja e milho. A prote\u00e7\u00e3o dos trabalhadores e a resili\u00eancia da cadeia de suprimentos s\u00e3o essenciais para a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o e o crescimento futuros na era da COVID-19. Mas o crescimento das vendas foi compensado pelo impacto da desvaloriza\u00e7\u00e3o da moeda, particularmente do real brasileiro.<\/p>\n

De acordo com o artigo do Banco Mundial \u201cSeguran\u00e7a Alimentar e COVID-19<\/a>,\u201d os mercados agr\u00edcolas globais continuam est\u00e1veis. Os n\u00edveis gerais de produ\u00e7\u00e3o dos tr\u00eas alimentos b\u00e1sicos mais amplamente consumidos (arroz, trigo e milho) est\u00e3o em ou perto de m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos. Mas altos n\u00edveis de desemprego, perda de renda e aumento dos custos dos alimentos tamb\u00e9m est\u00e3o dificultando o acesso a alimentos para muitas pessoas em diferentes pa\u00edses, de acordo com o relat\u00f3rio da FAO, \u201cO Impacto da COVID-19 na Seguran\u00e7a Alimentar e Nutricional, Junho de 2020<\/a>\u201d.<\/p>\n

Culturas de alto valor podem ser mais afetadas do que culturas de grandes extens\u00f5es de terra. A Bayer CropScience mencionou que suas vendas de sementes de vegetais ca\u00edram no 2T 2020, especialmente na regi\u00e3o da Am\u00e9rica do Norte, onde as mudan\u00e7as nos ciclos tradicionais de demanda mudaram para os trimestres subsequentes. Ind\u00fastrias de processamento e restaurantes foram atingidos pelo bloqueio da COVID-19. A incerteza do consumo de produtos frescos faz com que os agricultores hesitem em investir no cultivo.<\/p>\n

A demanda do mercado global ainda \u00e9 incerta e ter\u00e1 um efeito no com\u00e9rcio global. Uma coisa boa tem sido a r\u00e1pida recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado asi\u00e1tico. Na China, a dificuldade de transporte global impulsiona mais o consumo local de frutas e vegetais. No entanto, houve mais chuvas na temporada na China. Tamb\u00e9m impulsiona o consumo de fungicidas no canal de distribui\u00e7\u00e3o da China. Os agricultores est\u00e3o enfrentando desafios de manejo integrado de pragas, uma vez que a resist\u00eancia lagarta-do-cartucho<\/a> espalhando-se da prov\u00edncia de Yunnan. UAS (Unmanned Aircraft Systems) est\u00e1 se tornando a forma mais popular de aplica\u00e7\u00e3o agroqu\u00edmica no mercado chin\u00eas. A formula\u00e7\u00e3o com capacidade para complexo de drones teria vantagem para os agricultores que compram.<\/p>\n

A prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos local da China est\u00e1 sob forte concorr\u00eancia como um dos mercados em crescimento do mundo. FMC<\/a> e Corteva<\/a> planeja utilizar tecnologias de agricultura digital e agricultura de precis\u00e3o para penetrar no mercado chin\u00eas. Mas a equipe mais bem-sucedida ser\u00e1 a Bayer CropScience. A Bayer est\u00e1 utilizando o aplicativo mais popular, o WeChat, para construir uma comunidade compacta online para capturar o tempo dos agricultores na tela. A influ\u00eancia sobre os agricultores e sua abordagem proativa online \u00e9 sua vantagem competitiva cr\u00edtica da estrat\u00e9gia de marketing digital durante a pandemia. Apesar do distanciamento f\u00edsico, todos n\u00f3s temos uma maneira inovadora de criar valor.<\/p>\n

Para os l\u00edderes globais do agroneg\u00f3cio, a sociedade e o ambiente econ\u00f4mico complicados aumentaram enorme incerteza. A FAO relatou que choques econ\u00f4micos globais profundos causados pela COVID-19 impactar\u00e3o o fluxo de caixa e a liquidez financeira dos produtores e pequenas e m\u00e9dias empresas do agroneg\u00f3cio para institui\u00e7\u00f5es financeiras, devido \u00e0 capacidade de produ\u00e7\u00e3o inibida, acesso limitado ao mercado, perda de remessas, falta de emprego e custos m\u00e9dicos inesperados.<\/p>\n

A consequ\u00eancia do impacto global da COVID-19 afetar\u00e1 os fornecedores de agroqu\u00edmicos da China em 2021. Os produtores chineses dentro da cadeia de suprimentos de empresas multinacionais ter\u00e3o contratos est\u00e1veis de compra. O jogo entre compress\u00e3o de margem e relacionamento comercial est\u00e1vel \u00e9 o novo normal no mercado. Para produtores sem patente, ser\u00e1 fundamental ser sens\u00edvel e responder rapidamente aos desafios da regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o global. A inova\u00e7\u00e3o em ingredientes ativos quase expirados deve ser significativa para vantagens competitivas mais longas.<\/p>\n

Abaixo est\u00e1 uma olhada nas tend\u00eancias atuais de pre\u00e7os para os principais herbicidas, fungicidas e inseticidas no mercado agroqu\u00edmico chin\u00eas. Clique no nome do produto para visualizar seu gr\u00e1fico de pre\u00e7os ou visualize o slideshow acima.<\/em><\/p>\n

Herbicidas<\/h2>\n

O glifosato<\/a> O pre\u00e7o da IA subiu devido \u00e0 enchente de Sichuan em agosto. cletodim<\/a> O pre\u00e7o da IA diminuiu 18%. glufosinato<\/a> A IA ainda est\u00e1 em falta com pre\u00e7o alto.<\/p>\n

Fungicidas<\/h2>\n

Mancozeb 80% WP<\/a> o pre\u00e7o continua subindo. Trifloxistrobina<\/a> o pre\u00e7o subiu. Quase todos os pre\u00e7os dos ingredientes ativos do Triazol como tebuconazol<\/a> estavam fracos em agosto.<\/p>\n

Inseticidas<\/h2>\n

Desde que o pre\u00e7o do CCMP (2-cloro-5-clorometilpiridina) estava diminuindo. E a exporta\u00e7\u00e3o de imidacloprida<\/a> n\u00e3o estava forte. O pre\u00e7o do imidacloprid continuou caindo em agosto. \u00c9 um bom momento para preparar alguns pesticidas neonicotinoides como estoque.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O excesso de capacidade na China, combinado com a menor demanda no mundo todo, continua impactando os pre\u00e7os neste ano.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":62965,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,28,18,19,20,5],"tags":[1058,1836,554],"class_list":["post-66411","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-asia","category-fungicides","category-herbicides","category-insecticides","category-markets","tag-china","tag-china-price-index","tag-featured"],"yoast_head":"\nChina Price Index: Glyphosate Rises Amid Sichuan Flooding, Exports Taper Off - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The overcapacity in China combined with lower demand around the world continues to impact prices well into this year.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, 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