{"id":66579,"date":"2020-12-29T16:19:31","date_gmt":"2020-12-29T21:19:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=66579"},"modified":"2020-12-15T14:01:15","modified_gmt":"2020-12-15T19:01:15","slug":"mitigating-risk-in-a-post-covid-19-world-in-agribusiness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/mitigating-risk-in-a-post-covid-19-world-in-agribusiness\/","title":{"rendered":"Mitigando Riscos em um Mundo P\u00f3s-COVID-19 no Agroneg\u00f3cio"},"content":{"rendered":"

As cadeias de suprimentos, por sua pr\u00f3pria natureza, apresentam riscos. pandemia<\/a> que complicou a tomada de decis\u00f5es para gerentes da cadeia de suprimentos em 2020 e pode continuar assim em 2021.<\/p>\n

Como parte do Agroneg\u00f3cio Global<\/em> Trade Summit\u2122, Stephen Pearce, Fundador e Diretor, Associados AWP<\/a> & Bancella Ltda<\/a>., abordou alguns dos problemas com os quais os gerentes da cadeia de suprimentos est\u00e3o lidando e ofereceu insights sobre como super\u00e1-los.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>

Clique para ampliar.<\/p><\/div>\n

\u201cN\u00f3s realmente tivemos uma mistura de ventos contr\u00e1rios consider\u00e1veis relacionados a como compramos, como planejamos e como gerenciamos os sinais de demanda em toda a cadeia de valor\u201d, diz Pearce listando uma s\u00e9rie de problemas que a ind\u00fastria enfrentou antes da COVID-19, dividindo-os em tr\u00eas categorias:<\/p>\n

1. Interrup\u00e7\u00f5es na cadeia de suprimentos<\/strong><\/h2>\n
    \n
  • Normas ambientais mais rigorosas na China<\/li>\n
  • Aplica\u00e7\u00e3o rigorosa<\/li>\n
  • Acidentes<\/li>\n
  • Mudan\u00e7as de f\u00e1bricas<\/li>\n
  • Integra\u00e7\u00e3o e consolida\u00e7\u00e3o<\/li>\n
  • Fechamento de f\u00e1bricas e parques (tempor\u00e1rio e permanente)
    \n\u200b<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    2. Desequil\u00edbrio entre oferta e demanda<\/strong><\/h2>\n
      \n
    • Tens\u00e3o comercial entre os EUA e a China<\/li>\n
    • Imposi\u00e7\u00f5es tarif\u00e1rias punitivas<\/li>\n
    • Problemas clim\u00e1ticos
      \n\u200b<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      3. Estrat\u00e9gia<\/strong><\/h2>\n
        \n
      • Redu\u00e7\u00e3o de risco geogr\u00e1fico (\u00cdndia)<\/li>\n
      • Tend\u00eancia geral de abrandamento da procura e dos pre\u00e7os (com excep\u00e7\u00f5es)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        Mudan\u00e7a de din\u00e2mica<\/h2>\n

        N\u00e3o importa se eles est\u00e3o enfrentando algum ou todos esses problemas, \u00e9 f\u00e1cil entender por que os gerentes da cadeia de suprimentos podem estar buscando estrat\u00e9gias para lidar com eles.<\/p>\n

        \u201cO que \u00e9 interessante para mim quando olho para essa imagem em particular \u00e9 que costumava ser \u2014 'quando os EUA espirravam, o mundo pegava um resfriado economicamente'\u201d, diz Pearce. \u201cMas parece ser o inverso nesta situa\u00e7\u00e3o. Quando voc\u00ea olha para onde compramos principalmente como uma ind\u00fastria, a \u00cdndia e a China parecem estar lidando muito bem com os n\u00edveis de PIB que conseguem sustentar, em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com a maioria dos mercados de destino.\u201d<\/p>\n

        Tamb\u00e9m vale a pena notar, diz Pearce, como a China est\u00e1 investindo em outros pa\u00edses.<\/p>\n

        \u201cSe voc\u00ea observar muitos dos pa\u00edses africanos que est\u00e3o (mostrando um PIB saud\u00e1vel), eles t\u00eam muito dinheiro sendo injetado em suas economias pela China\u201d, diz Pearce.<\/p>\n

        Tanto a China quanto a \u00cdndia trabalharam para tirar proveito da situa\u00e7\u00e3o atual.<\/p>\n

        \u201cDe uma perspectiva mais t\u00e1tica, temos todo o tipo de plataforma: '\u00c9 a hora da \u00cdndia' com rela\u00e7\u00e3o a como as empresas e o que as empresas fariam com rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s estrat\u00e9gias de deslistagem para outras partes do mundo com foco principal na \u00cdndia\u201d, diz Pearce. \u201cHavia uma tend\u00eancia geral naquela \u00e9poca em dire\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 redu\u00e7\u00e3o da demanda e dos pre\u00e7os. H\u00e1 exce\u00e7\u00f5es claras a isso, pois se relacionava a certas restri\u00e7\u00f5es de fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o. Em geral, o quadro estava se suavizando.\u201d<\/p>\n

        Nacionalismo<\/h2>\n

        Pearce compartilhou os resultados de uma pesquisa com CEOs da Fortune 500 discutindo preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es p\u00f3s-pandemia.<\/p>\n

        \u201cMuitos CEOs acreditam que o nacionalismo aumentar\u00e1, e as cadeias de suprimentos globais se tornar\u00e3o menos comuns, o que \u00e9 interessante na medida em que nossa ind\u00fastria depende predominantemente do Extremo Oriente para suprimento\u201d, diz Pearce. \u201cUma coisa que podemos esperar depois de tudo isso \u00e9 que o mundo precisa se globalizar para se recuperar rapidamente. Se o sentimento for mais nacionalista em termos de cadeias de suprimentos e da maneira como operamos, isso, em certo sentido, pode potencialmente dificultar a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o em alguns setores.\u201d<\/p>\n

        Em uma nota relacionada, a China tem sido um fornecedor cr\u00edtico por muito tempo para a ind\u00fastria de insumos agr\u00edcolas. As interrup\u00e7\u00f5es criadas pela COVID-19 e o desejo de muitas empresas de diversificar suas cadeias de suprimentos levantam uma quest\u00e3o interessante.<\/p>\n

        \u201cA China ser\u00e1 fortalecida como uma pot\u00eancia no mundo em rela\u00e7\u00e3o aos EUA?\u201d, pergunta Pearce. De acordo com aqueles que responderam \u00e0 pesquisa, \u201cO consenso geral era que n\u00e3o seria esse o caso. N\u00e3o haveria nenhuma mudan\u00e7a cr\u00edtica no poder em termos da influ\u00eancia da China no mundo como resultado da pandemia.\u201d<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        O especialista em cadeia de suprimentos Stephen Pearce discute os desafios trazidos por uma pandemia global e o que os gerentes da cadeia de suprimentos podem fazer para lidar com as interrup\u00e7\u00f5es em 2021.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":65553,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,26,28,18,19,20,5],"tags":[54],"class_list":["post-66579","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-americas","category-asia","category-fungicides","category-herbicides","category-insecticides","category-markets","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"\nMitigating Risk in a Post COVID-19 World in Agribusiness - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Supply chain expert Stephen Pearce discusses the challenges brought on by a global pandemic and what supply 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