{"id":67427,"date":"2021-06-22T10:56:44","date_gmt":"2021-06-22T14:56:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=67427"},"modified":"2021-06-22T10:56:26","modified_gmt":"2021-06-22T14:56:26","slug":"pandemic-expected-to-have-little-to-no-impact-on-russias-domestic-production-demand-for-agrochemicals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/pandemic-expected-to-have-little-to-no-impact-on-russias-domestic-production-demand-for-agrochemicals\/","title":{"rendered":"Espera-se que a pandemia tenha pouco ou nenhum impacto na produ\u00e7\u00e3o dom\u00e9stica da R\u00fassia e na demanda por agroqu\u00edmicos"},"content":{"rendered":"

A ind\u00fastria russa de produtos para prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos n\u00e3o espera uma queda significativa na produ\u00e7\u00e3o nacional e na demanda por agroqu\u00edmicos no pa\u00eds este ano devido \u00e0 pandemia da COVID-19 e associada a esta recess\u00e3o econ\u00f4mica, de acordo com declara\u00e7\u00f5es recentes feitas por alguns dos principais produtores nacionais, empresas globais, que operam no mercado local.<\/p>\n

Como Alexander Uskov, Diretor Geral da Prote\u00e7\u00e3o de Cultivos Avgust<\/a>, o maior produtor russo de produtos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos, disse Agroneg\u00f3cio Global<\/em><\/a>TM<\/sup> em entrevista exclusiva, apesar COVID 19<\/a>, a demanda pelos produtos da empresa no mercado local, por outro lado, cresceu cerca de 20%, enquanto a empresa espera que um maior crescimento da demanda continue a ser observado no segundo semestre do ano atual.<\/p>\n

\u201cEu descreveria a situa\u00e7\u00e3o atual como natural\u201d, diz Uskov. \u201cUm fen\u00f4meno de crise geralmente leva a mudan\u00e7as significativas na psicologia social e \u00e0 forma\u00e7\u00e3o de pr\u00e9-requisitos para novos paradigmas de consci\u00eancia. O \u00fanico fator negativo para n\u00f3s, que est\u00e1 associado \u00e0 pandemia, \u00e9 a diminui\u00e7\u00e3o da lucratividade.\u201d<\/p>\n

No entanto, nem todos partilham desse optimismo. Jonathan Brown, Director de Syngenta LLC R\u00fassia<\/a>, a subsidi\u00e1ria russa da empresa compartilhou sua preocupa\u00e7\u00e3o em uma entrevista exclusiva.<\/p>\n

\u201cNo momento, o impacto do coronav\u00edrus em nossa cadeia de suprimentos na R\u00fassia e em outros pa\u00edses foi m\u00ednimo\u201d, diz Brown. \u201cNo entanto, a situa\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 imprevis\u00edvel e n\u00e3o podemos dar previs\u00f5es precisas para os pr\u00f3ximos meses. Espera-se que as restri\u00e7\u00f5es \u00e0 produ\u00e7\u00e3o de subst\u00e2ncias ativas e componentes relacionados causadas pelo coronav\u00edrus e pela nova legisla\u00e7\u00e3o ambiental na China se tornem totalmente vis\u00edveis apenas no 2\u00ba e 3\u00ba trimestres deste ano, e isso pode afetar o fornecimento de subst\u00e2ncias ativas no momento indicado.\u201d<\/p>\n

Segundo Brown, a empresa atualmente enfrenta s\u00e9rias dificuldades com o fornecimento de sementes e produtos fitofarmac\u00eauticos para seus principais clientes na R\u00fassia.<\/p>\n

Ainda assim, Brown espera que a crise econ\u00f4mica na R\u00fassia e a desvaloriza\u00e7\u00e3o do rublo ainda possam criar grandes oportunidades de vendas para produtores globais, especialmente aqueles que operam na dire\u00e7\u00e3o da exporta\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Representantes da Alemanha BASF<\/a> outro grande player no setor de agroqu\u00edmicos russo tamb\u00e9m espera uma r\u00e1pida recupera\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado.<\/p>\n

Um porta-voz oficial da BASF, em declara\u00e7\u00e3o exclusiva \u00e0 revista, comentou:<\/p>\n

\u201cCom base em nossas observa\u00e7\u00f5es, a agricultura russa em geral enfrentou efeitos negativos bastante limitados de restri\u00e7\u00f5es ligadas \u00e0 dissemina\u00e7\u00e3o da COVID-19. Em quase todas as regi\u00f5es agr\u00edcolas, os agricultores podem continuar seu trabalho e ter acesso a suprimentos essenciais, apesar das incertezas tempor\u00e1rias com as importa\u00e7\u00f5es. Eles tamb\u00e9m demonstram prontid\u00e3o para investir em seu rendimento futuro. Um rublo mais fraco oferece uma vantagem competitiva potencial e chance de maiores exporta\u00e7\u00f5es. Ao mesmo tempo, a turbul\u00eancia econ\u00f4mica, que levou ao aumento dos pre\u00e7os dos produtos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos como resultado da desvaloriza\u00e7\u00e3o do rublo, foi mais uma consequ\u00eancia do fracasso do acordo da OPEP+ e da queda acentuada dos pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n

\u201cA pandemia da COVID-19, os lockdowns e as medidas de quarentena, \u00e9 claro, tamb\u00e9m impactar\u00e3o a economia nacional\u201d, continuou a declara\u00e7\u00e3o. \u201cMas suas implica\u00e7\u00f5es ter\u00e3o um efeito de longo prazo, o que pode influenciar j\u00e1 a temporada agr\u00edcola de 2021. \u00c9 dif\u00edcil prever a situa\u00e7\u00e3o com a COVID-19 e como a economia se desenvolver\u00e1. Na R\u00fassia, a maioria das safras de primavera s\u00e3o cultivadas e mesmo a semeadura n\u00e3o \u00e9 conclu\u00edda em todos os lugares. O segundo semestre do ano ser\u00e1 um indicador da antecipa\u00e7\u00e3o geral de risco no mercado para a pr\u00f3xima temporada.\u201d<\/p>\n

Enquanto isso, os principais analistas russos independentes na \u00e1rea de agroqu\u00edmicos tamb\u00e9m acreditam que o impacto da COVID-19 no setor de agroqu\u00edmicos russo ser\u00e1 menos destrutivo do que em outros segmentos da produ\u00e7\u00e3o industrial russa.<\/p>\n

Como Igor Tyablikov, analista s\u00eanior da RUPEC<\/a>, um dos principais analistas da R\u00fassia na \u00e1rea de agroqu\u00edmicos explicou que este ano o volume de produ\u00e7\u00e3o de produtos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos na R\u00fassia certamente aumentar\u00e1, em compara\u00e7\u00e3o a 2019. Isso se deve principalmente ao comissionamento de uma nova planta no Tartarist\u00e3o (August-Alabuga) no ano passado e ao lan\u00e7amento planejado de uma segunda planta l\u00e1 (Agruskhim-Alabuga).<\/p>\n

Em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao consumo, de acordo com as previs\u00f5es de Tyablikov, h\u00e1 uma possibilidade de seu ligeiro decl\u00ednio, que ser\u00e1 observado principalmente no caso das importa\u00e7\u00f5es e ser\u00e1 devido principalmente \u00e0s mudan\u00e7as na taxa de c\u00e2mbio do rublo.<\/p>\n

De acordo com Tyablikov, o volume de importa\u00e7\u00f5es \u00e9 bastante positivo em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao ano passado, acrescentando que isso pode ser explicado pela forma\u00e7\u00e3o de reservas devido \u00e0 dissemina\u00e7\u00e3o da COVID-19 por alguns agricultores nacionais. Como o especialista prev\u00ea, em maio, o volume de importa\u00e7\u00f5es de agroqu\u00edmicos para a R\u00fassia deve cair, o que ser\u00e1 devido principalmente \u00e0s paralisa\u00e7\u00f5es de produ\u00e7\u00e3o nos principais parceiros comerciais russos \u2013 na Europa, China e Israel.<\/p>\n

Essas declara\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o confirmadas por estat\u00edsticas oficiais do mercado russo. De acordo com dados do Servi\u00e7o Federal de Estat\u00edsticas do Estado Russo (Rosstat), nos primeiros quatro meses do ano atual, a produ\u00e7\u00e3o de produtos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos na R\u00fassia cresceu para mais de 40.000 toneladas.<\/p>\n

Destes, os herbicidas foram respons\u00e1veis por 30.300 toneladas, o que \u00e9 79,4% a mais do que no mesmo per\u00edodo do ano passado. A produ\u00e7\u00e3o de fungicidas aumentou em mais de 31% ou 7.800 toneladas.<\/p>\n

No que diz respeito \u00e0s importa\u00e7\u00f5es, de acordo com dados do Servi\u00e7o Federal de Alf\u00e2ndega da R\u00fassia, em janeiro deste ano seu volume cresceu 13,1% (em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com o mesmo m\u00eas de 2019) e chegou a 7.000 toneladas.<\/p>\n

Em termos de valor, as importa\u00e7\u00f5es aumentaram em 26,5% para $102,8 milh\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

No ano passado, as importa\u00e7\u00f5es de produtos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos para a R\u00fassia totalizaram 112.600 toneladas, o que \u00e9 4,7% maior em compara\u00e7\u00e3o a 2018. Em termos de valor, as importa\u00e7\u00f5es ca\u00edram 10% para $770,3 milh\u00f5es.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Esperava-se que as importa\u00e7\u00f5es de agroqu\u00edmicos para a R\u00fassia diminu\u00edssem, principalmente devido \u00e0s paralisa\u00e7\u00f5es de produ\u00e7\u00e3o nos principais parceiros comerciais russos na Europa, China e Israel.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":67433,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,29,19,20,5],"tags":[1796,54,643],"class_list":["post-67427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-europe","category-herbicides","category-insecticides","category-markets","tag-coronavirus","tag-featured-home","tag-russia"],"yoast_head":"\nPandemic Expected to Have Little to No Impact on Russia\u2019s Domestic Production, Demand for Agrochemicals - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Agrochemical imports to Russia was 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