{"id":67535,"date":"2021-06-15T15:52:39","date_gmt":"2021-06-15T19:52:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=67535"},"modified":"2021-06-15T15:52:39","modified_gmt":"2021-06-15T19:52:39","slug":"china-price-index-shipping-woes-complicate-supply-chains-prices-mostly-stable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/china-price-index-shipping-woes-complicate-supply-chains-prices-mostly-stable\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdndice de pre\u00e7os da China: problemas de transporte complicam as cadeias de suprimentos, pre\u00e7os em sua maioria est\u00e1veis"},"content":{"rendered":"

A escassez de cont\u00eaineres vazios elevou drasticamente os custos de embarque em maio. De acordo com a Alf\u00e2ndega da China, ainda n\u00e3o h\u00e1 embarques suficientes nos portos da China. Os embarques de entrada e sa\u00edda da China foram 1,7% menores no ano anterior em 2020. Antes da pandemia da COVID-19, os embarques eram de cerca de 39,67 mil em abril de 2019. Atualmente, o congestionamento de cont\u00eaineres vazios nos portos dos EUA, Austr\u00e1lia e UE \u00e9 a principal raz\u00e3o do dif\u00edcil arranjo de embarque na China.<\/p>\n

Embora os custos de envio para o exterior tenham sido elevados por algum tempo, o custo de envio em maio aumentou abruptamente, o que trouxe risco inesperado para o gerenciamento da cadeia de suprimentos global. O China Containerized Freight Index (SCFI<\/a>) aumentou cerca de 136,8% YOY 2020. A din\u00e2mica de transporte, incluindo a disponibilidade de m\u00e3o de obra, foi exacerbada pelo estado da pandemia na \u00cdndia, que impactou a cadeia de suprimentos globalmente. As empresas de transporte priorizaram a sa\u00fade e a seguran\u00e7a de suas tripula\u00e7\u00f5es, tornando os recursos de m\u00e3o de obra escassos em portos importantes ao redor do mundo, e especialmente na \u00cdndia.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Por outro lado, a demanda global est\u00e1 crescendo \u00e0 medida que as taxas de vacina\u00e7\u00e3o aumentam. No primeiro trimestre de 2021, a importa\u00e7\u00e3o dos EUA da China aumentou 62,7%, e a exporta\u00e7\u00e3o da China para os EUA aumentou 57,9%. Para ingredientes ativos agroqu\u00edmicos, a quantidade de exporta\u00e7\u00f5es da China aumentou 94% YOY 2020. O valor subiu para $1,463 bilh\u00e3o, 130,39% YOY 2020. A China \u00e9 um fornecedor de commodities criticamente necess\u00e1rio para o mundo.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

No entanto, a flexibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o quantitativa global aumentou o risco de infla\u00e7\u00e3o. O CNY forte atualmente \u00e9 uma estrat\u00e9gia de defesa. Os principais pre\u00e7os das commodities e dos alimentos est\u00e3o subindo ao redor do mundo. A flexibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o quantitativa na recupera\u00e7\u00e3o p\u00f3s-pandemia pode estimular o crescimento econ\u00f4mico ao tornar o dinheiro mais dispon\u00edvel, mas um efeito colateral \u00e9 que o pre\u00e7o das principais commodities aumentar\u00e1. Pre\u00e7os mais altos para tudo \u2014 mat\u00e9rias-primas, produtos acabados, m\u00e3o de obra, transporte, a\u00e7o, concreto e commodities agr\u00edcolas \u2014 compensar\u00e3o a efic\u00e1cia da flexibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o quantitativa.<\/p>\n

O Federal Reserve dos EUA est\u00e1 sendo observado de perto esta semana, pois considera taxas de juros mais altas. Se a liquidez for limitada, os pre\u00e7os das commodities podem cair rapidamente. Mas os aumentos das taxas n\u00e3o s\u00e3o garantidos e podem ser prematuros, j\u00e1 que muitos economistas atribuem os altos pre\u00e7os atuais das commodities \u00e0 "escassez estrutural" na recupera\u00e7\u00e3o p\u00f3s-COVID-19, e n\u00e3o ao resultado do crescimento da demanda em rela\u00e7\u00e3o aos n\u00edveis pr\u00e9-pand\u00eamicos de bens e servi\u00e7os.<\/p>\n

As tend\u00eancias de pre\u00e7o do glifosato produzido na China ilustram a din\u00e2mica macroecon\u00f4mica mais ampla que contribui para pre\u00e7os mais altos. No caso do glifosato, as principais escassez foram resultado da inunda\u00e7\u00e3o de Fuhua em 2020, escassez de fornecimento de PMIDA no in\u00edcio de 2021, altos pre\u00e7os das mat\u00e9rias-primas do glifosato e limita\u00e7\u00e3o da produ\u00e7\u00e3o de Xingfa at\u00e9 abril de 2021. Quando os pedidos de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o chegaram aos fabricantes chineses, isso aumentou o ETD (Tempo Estimado de Partida) como resultado da conflu\u00eancia de fatores. Isso criou urg\u00eancia para muitas empresas, incluindo as multinacionais, que est\u00e3o tentando gerenciar esses novos prazos de entrega para que possam gerenciar suas cadeias de suprimentos. Muito pouco do aumento de pre\u00e7o pode ser atribu\u00eddo \u00e0 din\u00e2mica da demanda, mas essas din\u00e2micas podem estar mudando como resultado de prazos de entrega mais longos e disponibilidade incerta de remessa para o exterior.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Normalmente, a demanda da LATAM come\u00e7a em julho, e a demanda dom\u00e9stica da China come\u00e7a em outubro. Influenciado pela aquisi\u00e7\u00e3o global antecipada, pode-se ter certeza de que o pre\u00e7o do glifosato se manter\u00e1 em alto n\u00edvel at\u00e9 o in\u00edcio de 2022. O pre\u00e7o do glifosato EXW pode atingir $8\/Kg em breve.<\/p>\n

A prepara\u00e7\u00e3o para a temporada 2021\/2022 come\u00e7ar\u00e1 mais cedo do que o normal devido ao custo descontrolado de embarque, escassez de embarque e pre\u00e7os altos. Os pre\u00e7os de herbicidas alternativos para glifosato est\u00e3o elevados, mas os pre\u00e7os de herbicidas seletivos est\u00e3o fracos.<\/p>\n

Para fungicidas, os triaz\u00f3is est\u00e3o enfrentando pre\u00e7os deflacionados. Os pre\u00e7os dos fungicidas SDHI est\u00e3o caindo ligeiramente devido \u00e0 fraca demanda do exterior. A principal tend\u00eancia de pre\u00e7o dos fungicidas est\u00e1 se tornando est\u00e1vel. O pre\u00e7o do benzoato de emamectina aumentou como resultado da forte demanda de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o e maiores custos de produ\u00e7\u00e3o. Estoques baixos e maiores custos de produ\u00e7\u00e3o tamb\u00e9m inflacionaram o pre\u00e7o dos inseticidas neonicotinoides. Os pre\u00e7os dos pesticidas piretr\u00f3ides s\u00e3o impulsionados pelos maiores custos de mat\u00e9rias-primas. Mas essas s\u00e3o as exce\u00e7\u00f5es, pois cerca de 65% de inseticidas est\u00e3o enfrentando n\u00edveis de pre\u00e7os fracos at\u00e9 maio de 2021.<\/p>\n

Pre\u00e7os e fornecimento inst\u00e1vel est\u00e3o criando maior risco para compradores globais. A estrat\u00e9gia de sourcing do Hemisf\u00e9rio Oriental deve ter colabora\u00e7\u00e3o profunda com a estrat\u00e9gia de marketing e vendas do Ocidente. Por exemplo, alto pre\u00e7o do glifosato<\/a> precisa de nova estrat\u00e9gia de marketing. O pipeline de vendas e o consumo por fazendeiros poderiam ser renovados por toda a equipe de opera\u00e7\u00e3o comercial para empresas de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos.<\/p>\n

O dinheiro n\u00e3o pensa. \u00c9 apenas uma mercadoria usada para transacionar bens e servi\u00e7os para satisfazer desejos e necessidades. Apenas o equil\u00edbrio entre demanda e oferta pode controlar o pre\u00e7o. A flexibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o quantitativa \u00e9 a enzima para acelerar um novo equil\u00edbrio nas sociedades ao redor do mundo.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O transporte de cont\u00eaineres para o exterior e os custos mais altos de mat\u00e9rias-primas e m\u00e3o de obra elevam os pre\u00e7os dos herbicidas n\u00e3o seletivos, assim como de alguns inseticidas. <\/p>","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":66568,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[1058,554,54,170],"class_list":["post-67535","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","tag-china","tag-featured","tag-featured-home","tag-glyphosate"],"yoast_head":"\nChina Price Index: Shipping Woes Complicate Supply Chains, Prices Mostly Stable - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Overseas container shipping and higher costs for raw materials and labor drive non-selective herbicide prices higher along with some insecticides.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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