{"id":68303,"date":"2021-12-01T13:20:26","date_gmt":"2021-12-01T18:20:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=68303"},"modified":"2021-12-01T13:20:26","modified_gmt":"2021-12-01T18:20:26","slug":"u-s-high-fertilizer-costs-likely-to-extend-into-spring-planting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/plant-health\/npk\/u-s-high-fertilizer-costs-likely-to-extend-into-spring-planting\/","title":{"rendered":"EUA: Altos custos com fertilizantes provavelmente se estender\u00e3o at\u00e9 o plantio da primavera"},"content":{"rendered":"

Um aumento dram\u00e1tico nos pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes est\u00e1 pesando muito sobre os agricultores e fornecedores de insumos dos EUA enquanto eles se preparam para a temporada de plantio de 2022. Os pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes \u00e0 base de nitrog\u00eanio comumente usados para a produ\u00e7\u00e3o de milho dispararam para m\u00e1ximas hist\u00f3ricas nos \u00faltimos meses. Os aumentos nos pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes est\u00e3o sendo impulsionados por desafios na produ\u00e7\u00e3o de nitrog\u00eanio, suprimentos globais restritos, custos crescentes de g\u00e1s natural e demanda est\u00e1vel.<\/p>\n

De acordo com um novo relat\u00f3rio do Knowledge Exchange do CoBank<\/a>, espera-se que os pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes permane\u00e7am elevados por pelo menos os pr\u00f3ximos seis meses e durante toda a temporada agron\u00f4mica da primavera de 2022. O relat\u00f3rio tamb\u00e9m sugere que, embora os acres de soja dos EUA aumentem nominalmente em compara\u00e7\u00e3o a 2021 como resultado dos pre\u00e7os mais altos dos fertilizantes, o volume total de acres de soja n\u00e3o exceder\u00e1 os acres de milho em 2022.<\/p>\n

\u201cO forte aumento nos pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes alimentou especula\u00e7\u00f5es sobre uma grande mudan\u00e7a na \u00e1rea cultivada com milho\u201d, disse Kenneth Scott Zuckerberg<\/a>, economista l\u00edder de gr\u00e3os e suprimentos agr\u00edcolas do CoBank. \u201cN\u00e3o vemos isso acontecendo em 2022. A rela\u00e7\u00e3o atual de pre\u00e7o da soja para o milho mostra que os pre\u00e7os da soja permanecem fracos em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao milho. E a demanda por milho entre os produtores de etanol dos EUA deve permanecer forte, dados os altos pre\u00e7os atuais dos combust\u00edveis e as margens de mistura recordes.\u201d<\/p>\n

No entanto, \u00e9 prov\u00e1vel que haja uma mudan\u00e7a maior de \u00e1rea cultivada do milho para a soja no longo prazo, j\u00e1 que a produ\u00e7\u00e3o de biocombust\u00edveis, como o diesel renov\u00e1vel, tende mais para a soja do que para o milho, acrescentou Zuckerberg.<\/p>\n

Os produtores agr\u00edcolas e cooperativas de fornecimento agr\u00edcola dos EUA est\u00e3o enfrentando ansiedade operacional em 2022, motivada pelos altos pre\u00e7os dos combust\u00edveis, pela escassez de agroqu\u00edmicos devido \u00e0s interrup\u00e7\u00f5es relacionadas \u00e0 COVID e, mais importante, pelo aumento parab\u00f3lico nos pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes.<\/p>\n

Para colocar o aumento nos pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes em perspectiva, o \u00edndice de refer\u00eancia Green Markets North American Fertilizer Index aumentou em 265% desde maio de 2020 e h\u00e1 poucos motivos para esperar que isso se reverta em breve.<\/p>\n

V\u00e1rios fatores desempenharam um papel na exacerba\u00e7\u00e3o do desequil\u00edbrio entre oferta e demanda por fertilizantes. Pre\u00e7os mais altos do g\u00e1s natural devido a choques de produ\u00e7\u00e3o na China e na Inglaterra foram um fator importante. Um fechamento tempor\u00e1rio da unidade de fertilizantes Donaldson da CF Industries na Louisiana \u2014 a maior opera\u00e7\u00e3o de nitrog\u00eanio do mundo \u2014 contribuiu para os desafios de fornecimento, assim como as restri\u00e7\u00f5es \u00e0 exporta\u00e7\u00e3o de fertilizantes pela China e R\u00fassia.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

As cooperativas de fornecimento agr\u00edcola parecem estar gerenciando riscos de forma muito mais eficaz hoje em compara\u00e7\u00e3o a 2008-09, quando uma queda repentina nos pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes for\u00e7ou algumas cooperativas a reduzir o estoque de fertilizantes.<\/p>\n

Durante o pico de fertilizantes de 2008, v\u00e1rias cooperativas dos EUA que tinham constru\u00eddo e mantido estoques consider\u00e1veis enfrentaram grandes ajustes de avalia\u00e7\u00e3o negativa e baixas de estoque quando os pre\u00e7os dos fertilizantes recuaram para n\u00edveis m\u00e9dios. Dada a din\u00e2mica de mercado atual, poucas cooperativas est\u00e3o tentando capturar um carry nos mercados de fertilizantes e a maioria dos varejistas gerencia o risco mais ativamente, contratando fazendeiros em termos de pre\u00e7o espec\u00edficos, dependendo dos custos de fertilizantes no atacado.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Apesar das tend\u00eancias de pre\u00e7os, n\u00e3o se espera que a \u00e1rea plantada de soja nos EUA supere a de milho em 2022.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":66439,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,1849],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68303","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-npk","category-sourcing-insider"],"yoast_head":"\nU.S.: High Fertilizer Costs Likely to Extend into Spring Planting - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Despite price trends, U.S. soybean acres not expected to surpass corn in 2022.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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