{"id":68545,"date":"2022-02-08T13:47:04","date_gmt":"2022-02-08T18:47:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=68545"},"modified":"2022-12-15T15:59:16","modified_gmt":"2022-12-15T20:59:16","slug":"what-chinas-gmo-approvals-could-mean-for-the-seed-and-agrochemical-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/seeds-traits\/what-chinas-gmo-approvals-could-mean-for-the-seed-and-agrochemical-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"O que as aprova\u00e7\u00f5es de OGM da China podem significar para os mercados de sementes e agroqu\u00edmicos"},"content":{"rendered":"

De acordo com um Comunicado de imprensa<\/a> no Agroneg\u00f3cio Global<\/em>\u00a0website, a China planeja uma revis\u00e3o de suas regras de sementes que abrir\u00e1 caminho para aprova\u00e7\u00f5es de OGM. \u00c9 um grande passo para a agricultura moderna da China e uma nova oportunidade de neg\u00f3cios para fornecedores de insumos agr\u00edcolas upstream.<\/p>\n

Em 9 de julho de 2021, a 20\u00aa reuni\u00e3o da Comiss\u00e3o para Aprofundamento da Reforma Geral do Comit\u00ea Central da China deliberou e aprovou o \u201cPlano de A\u00e7\u00e3o para Revitalizar a Ind\u00fastria de Sementes\u201d. Ele mostrou que a alta administra\u00e7\u00e3o da China d\u00e1 grande import\u00e2ncia \u00e0s inova\u00e7\u00f5es trazidas pelo melhoramento biol\u00f3gico, especialmente a P&D e a industrializa\u00e7\u00e3o de organismos geneticamente modificados (OGM). A crescente demanda dom\u00e9stica por alimentos, prote\u00ednas e os altos pre\u00e7os de commodities alimentares impulsionaram a ado\u00e7\u00e3o de GM na China para que o governo possa garantir a capacidade de alimentar 1,4 bilh\u00e3o de pessoas do pa\u00eds. Embora a seguran\u00e7a da autoriza\u00e7\u00e3o seja muito rigorosa, a tend\u00eancia nacional foi definida.<\/p>\n

O Minist\u00e9rio da Agricultura e Assuntos Rurais<\/a> emitiu uma s\u00e9rie de certificados de seguran\u00e7a para transformantes de milho e soja nos \u00faltimos anos. E a promo\u00e7\u00e3o comercial pode ser realizada ap\u00f3s as variedades serem aprovadas. Consequentemente, o Minist\u00e9rio da Agricultura e Assuntos Rurais tamb\u00e9m est\u00e1 preparando os novos regulamentos sobre autoriza\u00e7\u00e3o de sementes, comercializa\u00e7\u00e3o e permiss\u00e3o de produ\u00e7\u00e3o, e nomea\u00e7\u00e3o das variedades agr\u00edcolas. Ele apoiar\u00e1 a futura prote\u00e7\u00e3o da propriedade intelectual na ind\u00fastria de sementes da China para o desenvolvimento sustent\u00e1vel.<\/p>\n

A pol\u00edtica b\u00e1sica do desenvolvimento de OGM da China ser\u00e1 seguir a rota do n\u00e3o comest\u00edvel para o comest\u00edvel. Ent\u00e3o, as primeiras colheitas ser\u00e3o milho e soja. O arroz \u00e9 o principal alimento para os chineses, o que seria uma op\u00e7\u00e3o posterior para a comercializa\u00e7\u00e3o de OGM. Pelo progresso atual, n\u00e3o h\u00e1 um cronograma muito claro para a primeira comercializa\u00e7\u00e3o de milho ou soja OGM. Mas tamb\u00e9m pode ser muito em breve.<\/p>\n

O primeiro milho transg\u00eanico pode ser lan\u00e7ado no mercado chin\u00eas em 2022 ou 2023. Isso ocorre principalmente porque o milho tem uma utiliza\u00e7\u00e3o mais ampla a jusante para se transformar em prote\u00edna-chave, que pode atender \u00e0 demanda dos consumidores chineses por carne e ovos. Em 2019, o consumo de carne su\u00edna na China foi de 20,3 kg\/pessoa. A enorme popula\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 a base para a crescente demanda por carne da China. De acordo com o National Food and Oil Information Center, as \u00e1reas de plantio de milho na China eram de 42,9 milh\u00f5es de hectares, o que poderia ter um enorme potencial de crescimento no futuro.<\/p>\n

Al\u00e9m disso, a regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o agroqu\u00edmica da China tamb\u00e9m est\u00e1 se ajustando para a futura pol\u00edtica de OGM. Em 26 de novembro, coment\u00e1rios p\u00fablicos foram solicitados sobre os Requisitos de Dados de Registro de Herbicidas para Culturas Geneticamente Modificadas com Toler\u00e2ncia a Herbicidas (Rascunho). A nova regulamenta\u00e7\u00e3o solicita ter o certificado de seguran\u00e7a para culturas GM alvo quando os herbicidas forem registrados na aplica\u00e7\u00e3o de culturas GM. E a variedade transformante tamb\u00e9m deve ser mencionada no processo de registro de herbicida. Isso mostrou que a China est\u00e1 disposta a melhorar o n\u00edvel de regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es relacionadas \u00e0s culturas GM. O alto requisito de entrada far\u00e1 com que a consolida\u00e7\u00e3o da ind\u00fastria de sementes chinesa tenha recursos concentrados em empresas l\u00edderes de sementes. O maior retorno do investimento tamb\u00e9m aumentaria o valor total de mercado da China em at\u00e9 50% para 100% de crescimento nas pr\u00f3ximas d\u00e9cadas.<\/p>\n

De acordo com o Relat\u00f3rio de Desenvolvimento de Sementes de 2020, o valor de mercado da ind\u00fastria de sementes da China foi de 118 bilh\u00f5es de CNY (cerca de 18,49 bilh\u00f5es de USD) em 2019. O valor de mercado do milho foi de 28,5 bilh\u00f5es de CNY (4,46 bilh\u00f5es de USD), o valor de mercado do arroz h\u00edbrido foi de 13,4 bilh\u00f5es de CNY (2,1 bilh\u00f5es de USD) e o valor da semente de trigo foi de 16,5 bilh\u00f5es de CNY (2,58 USD). Enquanto isso, o mercado de sementes de soja foi de apenas 4,3 bilh\u00f5es de USD (673 milh\u00f5es de USD).<\/p>\n

O objetivo da agricultura moderna \u00e9 fornecer aos agricultores uma boa renda, para que o agroneg\u00f3cio possa se tornar sustent\u00e1vel para o crescimento. A maior qualidade e rendimento das culturas GM trar\u00e3o mais renda para os agricultores da China. Considerando o alto pre\u00e7o global das principais commodities alimentares, a ado\u00e7\u00e3o de culturas GM na China tamb\u00e9m fortalecer\u00e1 a cadeia de valor alimentar total para a agricultura chinesa.<\/p>\n

Tamb\u00e9m impulsionar\u00e1 o entusiasmo dos agricultores ou empresas agr\u00edcolas da China para investir na agricultura para a seguran\u00e7a e prote\u00e7\u00e3o alimentar chinesa. Novas regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es e a nova Lei de Sementes causar\u00e3o mais atividade de fus\u00e3o e aquisi\u00e7\u00e3o no mercado de sementes chin\u00eas, especialmente para a ind\u00fastria de sementes na parte norte do pa\u00eds. Uma mudan\u00e7a na aloca\u00e7\u00e3o de recursos da ind\u00fastria de sementes \u00e9 altamente poss\u00edvel.<\/p>\n

Al\u00e9m disso, os regulamentos proteger\u00e3o as variedades e as propriedades intelectuais, o que poderia atrair mais investimentos na agricultura. Consequentemente, a ind\u00fastria de sementes a montante, como a Ind\u00fastria agroqu\u00edmica chinesa<\/a>, ser\u00e3o afetados. Insumos agr\u00edcolas, como os principais herbicidas 2,4-D, glifosato ou glufosinato, tamb\u00e9m ter\u00e3o uma oportunidade no mercado chin\u00eas. Dentro do mercado agroqu\u00edmico da China, tratamento de sementes, produtos biol\u00f3gicos para melhoria do solo e nutrientes ser\u00e3o desenvolvidos com a expans\u00e3o das culturas GM.<\/p>\n

Por outro lado, a ado\u00e7\u00e3o de culturas GM na China tamb\u00e9m diminuir\u00e1 a aplica\u00e7\u00e3o total de agroqu\u00edmicos. Aumentaria o rendimento do milho entre 7% e 17% e diminuiria a quantidade total de aplica\u00e7\u00e3o de agroqu\u00edmicos em campos chineses at\u00e9 60%, de acordo com a Tianfeng Securities. Abre um novo port\u00e3o para as principais empresas agroqu\u00edmicas da China introduzirem novas formula\u00e7\u00f5es sustent\u00e1veis e solu\u00e7\u00f5es para o mercado dom\u00e9stico de GM da China no futuro. No mercado chin\u00eas, h\u00e1 uma solu\u00e7\u00e3o semelhante para prote\u00e7\u00e3o de culturas de milho convencional e milho GM. Os programas existentes de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de culturas ser\u00e3o suficientes para a escolha dos agricultores no futuro. Em um oceano vermelho de competi\u00e7\u00e3o de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de culturas, os agricultores se beneficiar\u00e3o de portf\u00f3lios de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de culturas de baixo custo e forte demanda do mercado dom\u00e9stico da China.<\/p>\n

No mercado agr\u00edcola dom\u00e9stico da China, o problema mais importante \u00e9 o envelhecimento da popula\u00e7\u00e3o agr\u00edcola. H\u00e1 principalmente produtores com mais de 50 anos em \u00e1reas rurais. Nos pr\u00f3ximos 10 anos, a estrutura dos produtores agr\u00edcolas da China ser\u00e1 r\u00e1pida para as empresas agr\u00edcolas profissionais. Os pequenos agricultores tradicionais desaparecer\u00e3o. A maioria das pessoas idosas na agricultura se mudar\u00e1 para um ambiente urbano. A gera\u00e7\u00e3o jovem que mostra interesse em investimentos agr\u00edcolas se tornar\u00e1 a corrente principal. As culturas GM seriam a maneira conveniente e eficiente para novos investidores se envolverem na agricultura chinesa. A agricultura realmente precisa de jovens. O ano de 2022 ser\u00e1 um divisor de \u00e1guas cr\u00edtico n\u00e3o apenas para a ind\u00fastria de sementes da China, mas, mais importante, para o desenvolvimento da agricultura moderna da China.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A crescente demanda interna por alimentos, commodities de alto pre\u00e7o e a necessidade de alimentar 1,4 bilh\u00e3o de pessoas impulsionaram a ado\u00e7\u00e3o de transg\u00eanicos na China.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":68465,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28,1688,5,21,1882],"tags":[54],"class_list":["post-68545","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asia","category-genetics","category-markets","category-seeds-traits","category-sourcing-insider-china","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"\nWhat China\u2019s GMO Approvals Could Mean for the Seed and Agrochemical Markets - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Growing domestic demand for food, high-priced commodities, and the need to feed 1.4 billion people has pushed China\u2019s GM adoption.\" \/>\n<meta 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