{"id":71996,"date":"2023-05-30T13:54:08","date_gmt":"2023-05-30T17:54:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=71996"},"modified":"2023-07-13T11:22:11","modified_gmt":"2023-07-13T15:22:11","slug":"china-price-index-when-is-the-end-of-red-sea-competition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/china-price-index-when-is-the-end-of-red-sea-competition\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdndice de pre\u00e7os da China: por que a diversifica\u00e7\u00e3o de fornecedores \u00e9 fundamental no mercado agroqu\u00edmico chin\u00eas"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nota do editor: O escritor colaborador David Li oferece um instant\u00e2neo das tend\u00eancias atuais de pre\u00e7os dos principais herbicidas, fungicidas e inseticidas no mercado agroqu\u00edmico chin\u00eas em seu boletim mensal\u00a0\u00cdndice de pre\u00e7os da China<\/a>. Abaixo, ele tamb\u00e9m examina por que a adversidade atual na ind\u00fastria global de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos est\u00e1 for\u00e7ando as empresas agroqu\u00edmicas chinesas a explorar novos caminhos de neg\u00f3cios.<\/em><\/p>\n

Os resultados do primeiro trimestre de duas empresas agroqu\u00edmicas chinesas l\u00edderes que fornecem herbicidas de queima ilustram amplamente que a fraca demanda em mercados estrangeiros e a capacidade superdimensionada na China levaram a uma maior competi\u00e7\u00e3o do mar vermelho no mercado de fornecimento chin\u00eas, bem como em canais de distribui\u00e7\u00e3o no exterior. A competi\u00e7\u00e3o do mar vermelho leva a pre\u00e7os fracos. Frequentemente, decl\u00ednios de pre\u00e7os podem levar a um aumento na demanda, mas esse n\u00e3o tem sido o caso at\u00e9 agora. Essa rea\u00e7\u00e3o negativa colocou uma press\u00e3o intensa sobre os pre\u00e7os das a\u00e7\u00f5es das principais empresas agroqu\u00edmicas da China.<\/p>\n

\"\"At\u00e9 agora, tem sido muito dif\u00edcil interromper a rea\u00e7\u00e3o negativa para formar um feedback positivo no mercado de suprimentos agroqu\u00edmicos do pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n

Lier Qu\u00edmica<\/a>, um produtor l\u00edder de glufosinato na China, relatou uma receita de CNY 2,4 bilh\u00f5es (US$ $364 milh\u00f5es) para o primeiro trimestre de 2023, uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o de 6.53% em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com o mesmo per\u00edodo em 2022. O lucro l\u00edquido atribu\u00edvel aos acionistas foi de CNY 270 milh\u00f5es (US$ $40 milh\u00f5es), uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o de 48.58% no comparativo anual de 2022. Por outro lado, Grupo Xingfa,<\/a> um produtor l\u00edder de glifosato na China, relatou receita de CNY 6,57 bilh\u00f5es (US$ $980 milh\u00f5es) no primeiro trimestre, uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o de 25.02% YoY 2022. O lucro l\u00edquido atribu\u00edvel aos acionistas foi de RMB 449 milh\u00f5es, uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o de 74.21% em compara\u00e7\u00e3o ao mesmo per\u00edodo do ano passado.<\/p>\n

Para enfrentar a fraca demanda, as empresas agroqu\u00edmicas chinesas normalmente escolhem uma a\u00e7\u00e3o dupla para enfrentar o desafio. Cortar pre\u00e7os as ajuda a ganhar participa\u00e7\u00e3o de mercado por meio de uma guerra de pre\u00e7os. A segunda abordagem \u00e9 limitar a produ\u00e7\u00e3o, o que pode aumentar os pre\u00e7os e permitir a digest\u00e3o dos estoques de canais, incluindo aqueles nos n\u00edveis de distribui\u00e7\u00e3o e campo agr\u00edcola. Desde janeiro de 2023, est\u00e1 claro que essas abordagens para estimular a demanda n\u00e3o t\u00eam funcionado.<\/p>\n

\u00c9 muito arriscado alavancar os recursos das empresas para capturar a participa\u00e7\u00e3o de mercado o m\u00e1ximo que puderem quando um mercado completamente competitivo \u00e9 formado. Porque o baixo e insustent\u00e1vel \u201cfosso de pre\u00e7o\u201d pode facilmente entrar em colapso a qualquer momento. Essa \u201cparticipa\u00e7\u00e3o de mercado\u201d n\u00e3o teria sentido porque o custo de oportunidade da troca de clientes \u00e9 quase zero. Espera-se que a reorganiza\u00e7\u00e3o da ind\u00fastria agroqu\u00edmica da China ocorra depois que os recursos das empresas logo se esgotem.<\/p>\n

Revisando o cen\u00e1rio de mercado da ind\u00fastria agroqu\u00edmica da China em 2022, o cen\u00e1rio geral de fornecimento de agroqu\u00edmicos chineses ainda era dominado por empresas baseadas em recursos. Os produtores de glifosato ainda est\u00e3o na posi\u00e7\u00e3o de lideran\u00e7a. Eles foram seguidos de perto por empresas cujas principais vantagens ser\u00e3o conjunto<\/a> e otimiza\u00e7\u00e3o de processos, que s\u00e3o representados por Lier, Guangxin<\/a>, e Yangonong-China<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Esses dois tipos de empresas est\u00e3o nos segmentos superiores de toda a ind\u00fastria, o que \u00e9 consistente com o modelo de desenvolvimento econ\u00f4mico das \u00faltimas duas d\u00e9cadas, durante o qual a China se envolveu no processamento de mat\u00e9ria-prima para impulsionar as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es de produtos processados. O maior risco potencial para essas empresas \u00e9 ter linhas de produtos \u00fanicas. As empresas investiram pesadamente em instala\u00e7\u00f5es de fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o, resultando em enormes investimentos em ativos fixos que foram os motores de crescimento para elas. No curto prazo, esse fosso protetor da empresa \u00e9 s\u00f3lido. No entanto, uma vez que o mercado para um \u00fanico produto flutua, a falta de flexibilidade tamb\u00e9m causar\u00e1 enormes flutua\u00e7\u00f5es no desempenho dos neg\u00f3cios.<\/p>\n

Os fabricantes de agroqu\u00edmicos chineses mais din\u00e2micos s\u00e3o empresas inovadoras como Nutrichem<\/a> e Bandeira Qu\u00edmica<\/a>, que s\u00e3o impulsionados por portf\u00f3lios variados e P&D. O desenvolvimento de produtos leva a um fosso de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de tecnologia e processo de longo prazo. Se eles podem ser vistos a partir da cria\u00e7\u00e3o de valor de longo prazo, os fossos dessas empresas devem ser el\u00e1sticos. Al\u00e9m disso, essas empresas t\u00eam a flexibilidade de escolher seus investimentos em infraestrutura de fabrica\u00e7\u00e3o combinados com os recursos vantajosos de parques qu\u00edmicos para formar novos clusters. Elas t\u00eam uma ampla gama de op\u00e7\u00f5es. P&D \u00e9 a for\u00e7a motriz para elas.<\/p>\n

Quanto a Ol\u00e1<\/a>, Cynda<\/a>, Changqing<\/a>, e Fengshan<\/a>, embora as empresas tamb\u00e9m tenham desenvolvimento de linha de produtos, sua competi\u00e7\u00e3o de mercado para superar o dilema de vendas ainda carece de motiva\u00e7\u00e3o. O dilema trazido por menores quantidades de vendas torna as empresas incapazes de efetivamente formar influ\u00eancia profunda no mercado. Portanto, elas est\u00e3o basicamente no papel de responder a mudan\u00e7as na estrat\u00e9gia corporativa.<\/p>\n

\"\"
\n\"\"<\/p>\n

\u201cO maior perigo em tempos turbulentos n\u00e3o \u00e9 a incerteza, mas continuar a agir de acordo com a l\u00f3gica de ontem\u201d, escreveu Frederick Laloux em seu livro, \u201cReinventando Organiza\u00e7\u00f5es<\/a>\u201d. \u00c9 previs\u00edvel que em 2023 glifosato<\/a> os fabricantes continuar\u00e3o a dominar o cen\u00e1rio da ind\u00fastria de pesticidas da China. Mas se olharmos mais de perto o cen\u00e1rio da ind\u00fastria agroqu\u00edmica da China, descobriremos que concorrentes e inovadores intersetoriais que est\u00e3o interrompendo a ind\u00fastria agroqu\u00edmica tradicional por meio de tecnologias inovadoras surgiram silenciosamente.<\/p>\n

O surgimento de novos jogadores representados por Cidade de Hebei<\/a> ser\u00e1 inevit\u00e1vel por causa de suas principais vantagens competitivas, como o cianeto de s\u00f3dio. Os novos participantes gradualmente espremer\u00e3o a posi\u00e7\u00e3o aparentemente s\u00f3lida de empresas atrasadas na ind\u00fastria agroqu\u00edmica tradicional chinesa nos pr\u00f3ximos anos. Somente empresas que t\u00eam fossos de prote\u00e7\u00e3o s\u00f3lidos e vantagens competitivas podem sobreviver. Depois de usar a guerra de pre\u00e7os para capturar a participa\u00e7\u00e3o de mercado o m\u00e1ximo que puderem, as empresas competitivas precisam investigar profundamente quanto valor de longo prazo podem criar para os parceiros globais.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Olhando para o curto prazo, pode ser muito dif\u00edcil sair do ciclo de rea\u00e7\u00e3o negativa em 2023. J\u00e1 que o invent\u00e1rio do canal global parece um carregamento pesado totalmente carregado. No entanto, como o manifesto da empresa de 1980 da Nike (cofundador e presidente em\u00e9rito) Phil Knights: Os neg\u00f3cios est\u00e3o mudando, e estamos na ofensiva o tempo todo. Os neg\u00f3cios s\u00e3o um processo inovador para criar valor. As organiza\u00e7\u00f5es precisam quebrar as "regras" e fazer a coisa certa. Algumas empresas agroqu\u00edmicas agora come\u00e7aram a tra\u00e7ar ativamente novos trilhos.<\/p>\n

Para as empresas agroqu\u00edmicas chinesas, muitas delas est\u00e3o tra\u00e7ando novos trilhos de energia. Existem algumas limita\u00e7\u00f5es para o novo neg\u00f3cio de energia em que as empresas agroqu\u00edmicas podem participar. No momento, as \u00fanicas op\u00e7\u00f5es dispon\u00edveis para as empresas agroqu\u00edmicas chinesas s\u00e3o no neg\u00f3cio de eletr\u00f3litos e materiais de eletrodos positivos e negativos.<\/p>\n

Em 2022, Grupo Limin<\/a> subsidi\u00e1ria pretendia investir na constru\u00e7\u00e3o de sais de eletr\u00f3litos, aditivos funcionais e eletr\u00f3litos para novas baterias de energia. Isso inclui uma capacidade de produ\u00e7\u00e3o anual de 20.000 toneladas de bis(fluorosulfonil)imida de l\u00edtio (LiFSI). Em 21 de mar\u00e7o de 2023, o Xingfa Group divulgou seu relat\u00f3rio anual para 2022. De acordo com o relat\u00f3rio, o Xingfa Group est\u00e1 estabelecendo novos neg\u00f3cios de materiais de l\u00edtio e planeja construir projetos de fosfato de ferro e fosfato de ferro-l\u00edtio. Em janeiro deste ano, a Wynca emitiu um an\u00fancio de que a empresa acelerar\u00e1 o layout estrat\u00e9gico da nova trilha de energia por meio de fus\u00f5es e aquisi\u00e7\u00f5es e expandir\u00e1 a capacidade de P&D de aplica\u00e7\u00e3o e industrializa\u00e7\u00e3o de materiais de eletrodo negativo.<\/p>\n

Como diz o in\u00edcio de uma cita\u00e7\u00e3o: \u201cTempos dif\u00edceis criam homens fortes.\u201d A adversidade atual na ind\u00fastria global de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos est\u00e1 for\u00e7ando as empresas agroqu\u00edmicas chinesas a explorar novos caminhos de neg\u00f3cios como aqueles que as empresas qu\u00edmicas globais mapearam nos \u00faltimos 100 anos, ou seja, a diversifica\u00e7\u00e3o. Em 1865, BASF <\/a>foi fundada em Ludwigshafen, Alemanha, do outro lado do Rio Reno. Em seus 150 anos de hist\u00f3ria, a BASF passou por v\u00e1rios est\u00e1gios de desenvolvimento, incluindo a era dos corantes e a era da am\u00f4nia, e gradualmente cresceu at\u00e9 se tornar uma gigante qu\u00edmica global de primeira linha. Bayer<\/a>, DuPont<\/a>, e outras empresas multinacionais t\u00eam experi\u00eancias semelhantes. As empresas agroqu\u00edmicas chinesas tamb\u00e9m podem estar em uma era de transforma\u00e7\u00e3o cin\u00e9tica. Talvez diante delas esteja um novo futuro com oportunidades e desafios.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O colaborador David Li analisa por que a adversidade atual no setor global de prote\u00e7\u00e3o de cultivos est\u00e1 for\u00e7ando as empresas a explorar novos caminhos de neg\u00f3cios.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":112,"featured_media":68004,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,28,18,19,20,5,1849],"tags":[1836,54],"class_list":["post-71996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-asia","category-fungicides","category-herbicides","category-insecticides","category-markets","category-sourcing-insider","tag-china-price-index","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"\nChina Price Index: Why Supplier Diversification Is Key in the Chinese Agrochemical Market - AgriBusiness Global<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Contributor David Li examines why current adversity in the global crop protection industry is forcing companies to explore new business tracks. 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