{"id":73200,"date":"2023-09-18T11:01:41","date_gmt":"2023-09-18T15:01:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=73200"},"modified":"2023-09-18T11:35:22","modified_gmt":"2023-09-18T15:35:22","slug":"china-price-index-glufosinates-shift-from-overcapacity-to-product-innovation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/china-price-index-glufosinates-shift-from-overcapacity-to-product-innovation\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00cdndice de pre\u00e7os da China: a mudan\u00e7a do glufosinato de excesso de capacidade para inova\u00e7\u00e3o de produto"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Nota do editor: O escritor colaborador David Li oferece um instant\u00e2neo das tend\u00eancias atuais de pre\u00e7os dos principais herbicidas, fungicidas e inseticidas no mercado agroqu\u00edmico chin\u00eas em seu boletim mensal\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/tag\/china-price-index\/\"><strong><em>\u00cdndice de pre\u00e7os da China<\/em><\/strong><\/a><em>. Abaixo, ele tamb\u00e9m fornece insights importantes sobre o estado atual do mercado de glufosinato e os desafios que os fabricantes enfrentam em um mercado supersaturado.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cO potencial \u00e9 gerar energia por meio da lucratividade.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>As estrat\u00e9gias devem come\u00e7ar com suposi\u00e7\u00f5es e ser baseadas em fatos. Os executivos pesam os pr\u00f3s e os contras e realizam a\u00e7\u00f5es com base nos concorrentes e tend\u00eancias de mercado para criar potencial benefici\u00e1rio. As empresas chinesas geralmente desenvolvem diferentes posicionamentos estrat\u00e9gicos, e as MNCs (empresas multinacionais) podem ser parceiras e concorrentes potenciais para alguns fornecedores chineses. Pesar os pr\u00f3s e os contras \u00e9 crucial para as empresas investirem na capacidade do produto no est\u00e1gio inicial. A chamada cadeia industrial upstream n\u00e3o \u00e9 um processo de uma etapa, mas \u00e9 constru\u00edda gradualmente de acordo com a demanda do cliente e as estrat\u00e9gias de sourcing dos clientes.<\/p>\n<p>O lan\u00e7amento de produtos inovadores de empresas multinacionais definitivamente afetar\u00e1 o cen\u00e1rio do mercado. Com o tempo, as ondula\u00e7\u00f5es da mudan\u00e7a nos padr\u00f5es de mercado levam a mudan\u00e7as no centro de gravidade da ind\u00fastria upstream, seguidas de reequil\u00edbrio.<\/p>\n<p>De acordo com <em>Agroneg\u00f3cio Global<\/em> em 25 de agosto de 2023, a BASF Agricultural Solutions entregou o primeiro herbicida p\u00f3s-emergente isom\u00e9rico resolvido e habilitado por caracter\u00edstica com sua introdu\u00e7\u00e3o <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/herbicides\/basf-introduces-liberty-ultra-herbicide-for-glufosinate-tolerant-crops-in-u-s-market\/\">Herbicida Liberty ULTRA<\/a> com tecnologia Glu-LTM, para o mercado dos EUA. O herbicida Liberty ULTRA controlar\u00e1 efetivamente gram\u00edneas e ervas daninhas de folhas largas resistentes, como waterhemp, palmer amaranth, giant ragweed e kochia em soja, algod\u00e3o, canola e milho tolerantes a glufosinato. O registro est\u00e1 previsto para o final de 2023, permitindo um lan\u00e7amento direcionado em 2024 e um lan\u00e7amento completo em 2025.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Relacionado: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/pt\/agrochemicals\/glufosinate-oversupply-creates-overcorrection-in-market\/\">Excesso de oferta de glufosinato cria sobrecorre\u00e7\u00e3o no mercado<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>O lan\u00e7amento do inovador L-Glu da BASF pode n\u00e3o apenas estender o limite de mercado de herbicidas de burndown, mas tamb\u00e9m fornecer um novo ponto de crescimento de lucro. Al\u00e9m disso, o herbicida pode impulsionar a expans\u00e3o de mercado de produtos de glufosinato &quot;inferiores&quot;. A entrega de produtos L-Glu da BASF pode ser um potencial motor de crescimento para todo o mercado de glufosinato. Considerando o fato de que tanto os pre\u00e7os quanto a demanda por glufosinato s\u00e3o fracos, somente a inova\u00e7\u00e3o pode levar a empresa do mar vermelho para o oceano azul.<\/p>\n<p>De acordo com <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kynetec.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kynetec<\/a>, o volume global de IA de glufosinato no n\u00edvel da fazenda experimentou uma taxa de crescimento anual composta (CAGR) de 11.83% de 2019 a 2021. O mercado de crescimento mais r\u00e1pido foi o Brasil com um CAGR de 31.19%. No mercado da APAC, a China experimentou um CAGR de 10.87%. A principal contribui\u00e7\u00e3o para o crescimento do volume de IA de glufosinato na Am\u00e9rica do Norte veio dos Estados Unidos. Junto com o r\u00e1pido crescimento do tamanho do mercado, o volume de IA de glufosinato no n\u00edvel da fazenda atingiu cerca de 26.087 toneladas m\u00e9tricas (Mt) em 2021. De acordo com a estimativa da SPM INSIGHTS, o volume de IA de glufosinato no n\u00edvel da fazenda atingir\u00e1 cerca de 36.000 Mt em 2023.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_73187\" style=\"width: 844px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-73187\" class=\"size-full wp-image-73187\" src=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"834\" height=\"495\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table.jpg 834w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-300x178.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-768x456.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-320x190.jpg 320w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-480x285.jpg 480w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-800x475.jpg 800w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-330x196.jpg 330w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-121x72.jpg 121w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-607x360.jpg 607w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-16x9.jpg 16w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-32x18.jpg 32w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-85x50.jpg 85w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/CAGR-of-Glufosinate-AI-Volume-Table-150x89.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 834px) 100vw, 834px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-73187\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Fonte: Kynetec<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_73188\" style=\"width: 737px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-73188\" class=\"wp-image-73188 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-AI-Volume-at-Farm-Level-Chart.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"727\" height=\"673\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-AI-Volume-at-Farm-Level-Chart.jpg 727w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-AI-Volume-at-Farm-Level-Chart-300x278.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-AI-Volume-at-Farm-Level-Chart-13x12.jpg 13w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-AI-Volume-at-Farm-Level-Chart-320x296.jpg 320w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-AI-Volume-at-Farm-Level-Chart-480x444.jpg 480w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-AI-Volume-at-Farm-Level-Chart-330x305.jpg 330w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-AI-Volume-at-Farm-Level-Chart-78x72.jpg 78w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-AI-Volume-at-Farm-Level-Chart-389x360.jpg 389w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-AI-Volume-at-Farm-Level-Chart-622x576.jpg 622w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-AI-Volume-at-Farm-Level-Chart-85x79.jpg 85w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-AI-Volume-at-Farm-Level-Chart-150x139.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 727px) 100vw, 727px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-73188\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Fonte: Kynetec<\/p><\/div>\n<p>A demanda global por glufosinato continua a crescer. A China, o pa\u00eds com a maior capacidade de produ\u00e7\u00e3o de IA de glufosinato do mundo, tamb\u00e9m continua a aumentar seu investimento na capacidade de IA de glufosinato. A oferta suficiente e o amadurecimento do mercado de demanda por glufosinato levaram ao surgimento de produtores de IA de glufosinato superdimensionados. A situa\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o termina a\u00ed, pois a estrat\u00e9gia de pre\u00e7os dos mercados de fornecimento com megacapacidade levou a uma queda significativa no pre\u00e7o do produto. Os pre\u00e7os m\u00ednimos n\u00e3o s\u00e3o mais suficientes para permitir que produtores sem as vantagens de escala permane\u00e7am razoavelmente lucrativos. Os produtores de IA de glufosinato superdimensionados conseguiram dominar o mercado reduzindo os pre\u00e7os e cortando a potencial capacidade de produ\u00e7\u00e3o de nova entrada pela raiz.<\/p>\n<p>Por meio da BASF, UPL, Lier Chemical, Seven Continents e Hebei Chengxin, o fornecimento global de glufosinato AI est\u00e1 se solidificando agora. A supercapacidade e as guerras de pre\u00e7os indiferenciadas arrastaram o glufosinato diretamente para o est\u00e1gio de cauda longa do ciclo de vida do produto em apenas um ano, do in\u00edcio de 2022 at\u00e9 meados de 2023. A menos que ocorra um acidente imprevisto, o fornecimento de glufosinato continuar\u00e1 a exceder a demanda.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_73189\" style=\"width: 906px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-73189\" class=\"wp-image-73189\" src=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"896\" height=\"443\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow.jpg 944w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow-300x148.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow-768x380.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow-18x9.jpg 18w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow-320x158.jpg 320w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow-480x237.jpg 480w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow-800x396.jpg 800w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow-330x163.jpg 330w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow-128x63.jpg 128w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow-640x317.jpg 640w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow-16x9.jpg 16w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow-85x42.jpg 85w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Glufosinate-95-non-slideshow-150x74.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 896px) 100vw, 896px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-73189\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Fonte: SPM INSIGHTS<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\u00c9 da natureza humana buscar o melhor uso dos recursos e maximizar a efici\u00eancia em todos os momentos.<\/p>\n<p>O pre\u00e7o do glufosinato AI continua baixo, e as margens de lucro continuam sendo comprimidas pela capacidade de produ\u00e7\u00e3o emergente. Isso pode levar a duas consequ\u00eancias. Primeiro, tanto os produtores de glufosinato AI de m\u00e9dio porte quanto as empresas multinacionais podem considerar terceirizar o glufosinato AI de fornecedores chineses de supercapacidade. Quando sua pr\u00f3pria produ\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o tem a vantagem de custo dos efeitos de escala, a terceiriza\u00e7\u00e3o pode ser a solu\u00e7\u00e3o ideal no curto prazo. Segundo, os players de glufosinato que n\u00e3o t\u00eam vantagem de custo devem se estender mais a jusante. Eles precisam atingir os clientes mais profundamente e encurtar o comprimento da cadeia de valor entre produtores e agricultores. Ao mesmo tempo, colocar-se na produ\u00e7\u00e3o de L-glufosinato, que tem uma dosagem muito menor no campo, \u00e9 sua estrat\u00e9gia principal.<\/p>\n<p>No geral, o pre\u00e7o do glufosinato AI est\u00e1 deprimido, o que fornece condi\u00e7\u00f5es adequadas para o fornecimento de L-glufosinato. A Red Sun e a Luba Chem escolheram investir diretamente no desenvolvimento de tecnologia e produ\u00e7\u00e3o de L-glufosinato. Desde 2009, a Yongnong Bio cooperou com a Meiji para assumir a lideran\u00e7a em P&amp;D da produ\u00e7\u00e3o industrial de L-glufosinato. Ap\u00f3s 10 anos de desenvolvimento t\u00e9cnico, ele foi desenvolvido com sucesso e colocado em produ\u00e7\u00e3o industrializada em 2020. No in\u00edcio de maio de 2023, a Veyong, uma subsidi\u00e1ria do Limin Group, obteve a autoriza\u00e7\u00e3o do projeto de investimento de 10.000 Mt de L-glufosinato. A constru\u00e7\u00e3o do projeto foi iniciada para lan\u00e7amento total.<\/p>\n<p>Atualmente, a instala\u00e7\u00e3o de equipamentos de L-glufosinato do Limin Group atingiu 50% e espera-se que tenha capacidade de 2.000 Mt at\u00e9 o final de 2023. O Limin Group tem capacidade para produzir glufosinato AI como uma &quot;mat\u00e9ria-prima&quot; de L-glufosinato e produz intermedi\u00e1rios-chave internamente. O aprimoramento do processo da empresa permite que o Limin Group reduza o custo da produ\u00e7\u00e3o de L-glufosinato por meio de uma rea\u00e7\u00e3o cont\u00ednua. Isso tamb\u00e9m suporta a redu\u00e7\u00e3o cont\u00ednua de custos de L-glufosinato como mat\u00e9ria-prima ap\u00f3s o efeito de escala do glufosinato ser mostrado.<\/p>\n<p>Concluindo, a supercapacidade do glufosinato AI foi gradualmente transformada na principal \u201cmat\u00e9ria-prima\u201d do L-glufosinato. Os produtores de glufosinato AI, com uma cadeia industrial completa combinada com a produ\u00e7\u00e3o de L-glufosinato com um processo verde biocatal\u00edtico, estar\u00e3o em uma posi\u00e7\u00e3o favor\u00e1vel. H\u00e1 uma nova tend\u00eancia na frente do mercado de herbicidas de queima. Supondo que o herbicida Liberty ULTRA da BASF ocupe uma posi\u00e7\u00e3o de alta margem e alto crescimento no mercado, e ao mesmo tempo a listagem de L-glufosinato de empresas gen\u00e9ricas esteja em andamento, ent\u00e3o o momento do layout no exterior do L-glufosinato de empresas chinesas ser\u00e1 a principal competitividade para determinar a lucratividade no futuro. Como o excesso de capacidade da China continuar\u00e1 por algum tempo, a capacidade de responder \u201crapidamente\u201d \u00e0s mudan\u00e7as de mercado pode determinar a vida e a morte das empresas.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O colaborador David Li fornece insights importantes sobre o estado do mercado de glufosinato e os desafios que os fabricantes enfrentam em um mercado supersaturado.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":110,"featured_media":67076,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,19,1849,1882],"tags":[1836,54],"class_list":["post-73200","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agrochemicals","category-herbicides","category-sourcing-insider","category-sourcing-insider-china","tag-china-price-index","tag-featured-home"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin 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