{"id":10360,"date":"2010-11-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2010-11-01T04:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/2010\/11\/01\/grain-prices-stabilize\/"},"modified":"2015-08-21T10:02:57","modified_gmt":"2015-08-21T14:02:57","slug":"grain-prices-stabilize","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/markets\/grain-prices-stabilize\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7cae\u4ef7\u4f01\u7a33"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u4eca\u5e74\u79cb\u5929\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5e72\u65f1\u5bfc\u81f4\u5c0f\u9ea6\u51cf\u4ea7\uff0c\u6d2a\u6c34\u963b\u788d\u4e86\u6c34\u7a3b\u6536\u6210\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u7cae\u98df\u4ef7\u683c\u4e00\u76f4\u627f\u53d7\u7740\u6765\u81ea\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u538b\u529b\u3002\u5168\u7403\u4ea7\u91cf\u7684\u4e0b\u8c03\u5728\u5168\u7403\u98df\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u5f15\u53d1\u6050\u614c\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u83ab\u6851\u6bd4\u514b\u7684\u9a9a\u4e71\u4ee5\u53ca\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u91d1\u878d\u548c\u671f\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6050\u614c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e16\u754c\u7cae\u98df\u4f9b\u5e94\u53ef\u80fd\u6ca1\u6709\u53cd\u52a8\u6d3e\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684\u90a3\u4e48\u4e25\u5cfb\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u3002\u4e5d\u6708\uff0c <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fao.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u7cae\u519c\u7ec4\u7ec7<\/a> \u4fee\u8ba2\u4e86\u5176\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u3002\u7cae\u519c\u7ec4\u7ec7\u8868\u793a\uff0c2010 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u8c37\u7269\u4ea7\u91cf\u5c06\u4e3a 224 \u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e 6 \u6708\u4efd\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 228 \u4e07\u5428\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0a\uff0c\u8c37\u7269\u4ea7\u91cf\u4e5f\u5c06\u662f\u6709\u8bb0\u5f55\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u7b2c\u4e09\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5e76\u9ad8\u4e8e\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e94\u5e74\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7\u4ea7\u91cf\uff0c\u4f46\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u98df\u54c1\u5e93\u5b58\u8db3\u4ee5\u6ee1\u8db3 2011 \u5e74\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u5e78\u8fd0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u98df\u54c1\u5e93\u5b58\u8fdb\u5165 2010 \u5e74\u65f6\u8fbe\u5230\u516b\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8bb8\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u5728\u50a8\u5907\u4f9b\u5e94\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u51fa\u73b0\u7c7b\u4f3c 2008 \u5e74\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u9760\u98df\u7269\u5954\u8dd1\u3002 2008 \u5e74\uff0c\u5e93\u5b58\u4f7f\u7528\u6bd4\u964d\u81f3 19.5%\u3002\u636e\u7cae\u519c\u7ec4\u7ec7\u79f0\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u9884\u8ba1\u671f\u672b\u98df\u54c1\u5e93\u5b58\u4e0b\u964d 2%\uff0c\u5e93\u5b58\u4f7f\u7528\u6bd4\u4ecd\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230 23%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u5927\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u662f\u5c0f\u9ea6\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u52a0\u548c\u4ea7\u91cf\u4f4e\u4e0b\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c2010 \u5e74\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u7279\u522b\u662f\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u7981\u4ee4\u548c\u9ed1\u6d77\u5730\u533a\u5176\u4ed6\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\u7684\u4f4e\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u5bfc\u81f4\u4eca\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ea7\u91cf\u4f30\u8ba1\u6bd4 2009 \u5e74\u4e0b\u964d 5%\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u5e74\u672b\u5e93\u5b58\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d 9%\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u5bf9\u5c0f\u9ea6\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5c0f\u9ea6\u5728 2010 \u5e74\u5df2\u7ecf\u64ad\u79cd\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5e74\u7c97\u7cae\u548c\u5927\u7c73\u5e02\u573a\u66f4\u52a0\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5929\u6c14\u73b0\u8c61\u548c\u64ad\u79cd\u9762\u79ef\u51cf\u5c11\u5bfc\u81f4\u9884\u6d4b\u7565\u6709\u4e0b\u8c03\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u7c97\u7cae\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230 112.5 \u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u6bd4 6 \u6708\u4efd\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u51cf\u5c11 600 \u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u9884\u4f30\u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4ecd\u5c06\u662f\u6709\u8bb0\u5f55\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u6536\u6210\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4e30\u6536\uff0c\u7389\u7c73\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u63a5\u8fd1\u5386\u53f2\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u51cf\u4ea7\uff0c2010 \u5e74\u5927\u9ea6\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230 1.29 \u4ebf\u5428\u7684 30 \u5e74\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u4e0b\u964d 22%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2010 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7a3b\u7c73\u9884\u6d4b\u4e5f\u5df2\u4e0b\u8c03\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u53d1\u751f\u6d2a\u707e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u57c3\u53ca\u3001\u8001\u631d\u548c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u53d1\u751f\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u5168\u7403\u7a3b\u7c73\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u6d4b\u5df2\u4e0b\u8c03 500 \u4e07\u5428\u81f3 4.67 \u4ebf\u5428\uff0c\u4e0e 2009 \u5e74\u76f8\u6bd4\u589e\u52a0 3%\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"subhead\">\u98df\u54c1\u5b89\u5168<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u8c37\u7269\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u548c\u671f\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u6295\u673a\u53d6\u5de7\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c9 \u6708\u4efd\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u4f30\u5e73\u606f\u4e86\u56f4\u7ed5\u98df\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5938\u5f20\u8bf4\u6cd5\u3002\u8fd9\u4fc3\u4f7f\u7cae\u519c\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4fee\u6539\u5176\u4ea7\u91cf\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u5e76\u53ec\u5f00\u7d27\u6025\u4f1a\u8bae\u8ba8\u8bba 9 \u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u5168\u7403\u8c37\u7269\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u52a8\u8361\u3002 10 \u6708\uff0c\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u53ec\u5f00\u4e86\u4e16\u754c\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7b2c 36 \u5c4a\u4f1a\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u901a\u5e38\u53cd\u6620\u4e00\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u6536\u5165\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2010 \u5e74\u548c 2011 \u5e74\u521d\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u4e3b\u8981\u4e0e\u5929\u6c14\u6709\u5173\uff0c\u6b64\u5916\u8fd8\u6709\u7cae\u98df\u77ed\u7f3a\u666e\u904d\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u5728\u4e2d\u975e\u3001\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u3001\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u3001\u8499\u53e4\u3001\u671d\u9c9c\u548c\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5e74\uff0c\u5317\u975e\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u559c\u5fe7\u53c2\u534a\u3002\u5728\u57c3\u53ca\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u79cd\u690d\u7684\u5c0f\u9ea6\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u704c\u6e89\uff0c\u8be5\u56fd\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u6536\u83b7 860 \u4e07\u5428\u5c0f\u9ea6\uff0c\u4e0e\u53bb\u5e74\u7684\u597d\u6536\u6210\u76f8\u5f53\u3002\u800c\u57c3\u53ca\u6bcf\u5e74\u8fdb\u53e31000\u4e07\u5428\u5c0f\u9ea6\uff0c\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5c0f\u9ea6\u8fdb\u53e3\u56fd\u3002\u963f\u5c14\u53ca\u5229\u4e9a\u3001\u7a81\u5c3c\u65af\u548c\u6469\u6d1b\u54e5\u4e5f\u8fdb\u53e3\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u5c0f\u9ea6\uff08\u603b\u8ba1 800 \u4e07\u5428\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6536\u6210\u53d7\u5230\u4eca\u5e74\u5e72\u65f1\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u901a\u5e38\u4ece\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8fdb\u53e3\u5c0f\u9ea6\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5355\u4ea7\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4eca\u5e74\u5236\u5b9a\u4e86\u51fa\u53e3\u7981\u4ee4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba12009\u5e74\u5317\u975e\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4e30\u6536\uff0c\u4f46\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ef7\u683c\u4ecd\u5c06\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u6c34\u7a3b\u4e5f\u8ddf\u968f\u5c0f\u9ea6\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u7a33\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u81ea\u6625\u5b63\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5927\u7c73\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u7cae\u98df\u51c0\u8fdb\u53e3\u56fd\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u66f4\u52a0\u5c8c\u5c8c\u53ef\u5371\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u897f\u90e8\u975e\u6d32\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u5c40\u90e8\u6d2a\u6c34\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u4f5c\u7269\u548c\u7272\u755c\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u6700\u660e\u663e\u7684\u662f\u5728\u5c3c\u65e5\u5c14\u3001\u5e03\u57fa\u7eb3\u6cd5\u7d22\u548c\u4e4d\u5f97\u3002\u5929\u6c14\u8fd8\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u52a0\u7eb3\u3001\u8c61\u7259\u6d77\u5cb8\u3001\u5c3c\u65e5\u5229\u4e9a\u3001\u5229\u6bd4\u91cc\u4e9a\u548c\u51e0\u5185\u4e9a\u6bd4\u7ecd\u7684\u6536\u6210\u3002\u636e\u7cae\u519c\u7ec4\u7ec7\u79f0\uff0c\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u8425\u517b\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u4ecd\u7136\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e1c\u90e8\u975e\u6d32\uff0c\u65e9\u671f\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\u8be5\u6b21\u533a\u57df 2010 \u5e74\u8c37\u7269\u6536\u6210\u521b\u7eaa\u5f55\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230 3600 \u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u6bd4\u4e94\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u9ad8 9%\u3002\u7389\u7c73\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u4e9b\u6ce2\u52a8\u540e\u8d8b\u4e8e\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u5357\u90e8\u975e\u6d32\uff0c\u6536\u6210\u597d\u574f\u53c2\u534a\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u9a6c\u8fbe\u52a0\u65af\u52a0\u3001\u9a6c\u62c9\u7ef4\u3001\u83ab\u6851\u6bd4\u514b\u548c\u6d25\u5df4\u5e03\u97e6\u5728\u5b63\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u5e72\u65f1\uff0c\u4f46\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7389\u7c73\u4ea7\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\u4e86 9%\u3002\u5357\u975e\u4f30\u8ba1\u6536\u6210\u63a5\u8fd1\u521b\u7eaa\u5f55\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5360\u8be5\u6b21\u533a\u57df\u7389\u7c73\u603b\u4ea7\u91cf\u7684 55%\u3002\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5357\u975e 15% \u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5357\u975e\u751f\u4ea7\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7ea6 90% \u7684\u5c0f\u9ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"subhead\">\u751f\u4ea7\u8d8b\u52bf<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fdc\u4e1c\u8bb8\u591a\u6c34\u7a3b\u4ea7\u533a\u53d1\u751f\u6d2a\u707e\uff0c\u4f46 2010 \u5e74\u8c37\u7269\u6536\u6210\u9884\u8ba1\u589e\u52a0 2.2%\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230 11.1 \u4ebf\u5428\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u65af\u91cc\u5170\u5361\u3001\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u56fd\u3001\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u548c\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u7684\u663e\u7740\u6539\u5584\u51cf\u8f7b\u4e86\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7684\u4f5c\u7269\u635f\u5931\u3002\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6c34\u7a3b\u6536\u6210\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7 6.28 \u4ebf\u5428\uff0c\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u589e\u52a0 3.2%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u8bb8\u591a\u4e9a\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u51fa\u53e3\u5e02\u573a\u540c\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4f46\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u5e02\u573a\uff08\u6cf0\u56fd\u3001\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\uff09\u7684\u5927\u7c73\u4ef7\u683c\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0e\u5927\u7c73\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u5e73\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e2d\u4e9a\uff0c\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u4e0b\u964d 15% \u81f3 3000 \u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u54c8\u8428\u514b\u65af\u5766\u53d1\u751f\u4e25\u91cd\u5e72\u65f1\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e4c\u5179\u522b\u514b\u65af\u5766\u3001\u963f\u585e\u62dc\u7586\u548c\u571f\u5e93\u66fc\u65af\u5766\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u4e0e\u53bb\u5e74\u6301\u5e73\u7684\u6709\u5229\u5929\u6c14\u548c\u4e30\u6536\u3002\u4e0e 2009 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