{"id":133856,"date":"2023-01-01T15:39:45","date_gmt":"2023-01-01T20:39:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=133856"},"modified":"2026-01-30T14:10:48","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T19:10:48","slug":"china-price-index-the-beginning-of-change-in-the-china-agrochemical-industry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/agrochemicals\/china-price-index-the-beginning-of-change-in-the-china-agrochemical-industry\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\uff1a\u53d8\u5c40\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0e\u9707\u8361"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/?s=COVID-19\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5<\/a>\u00a0\u9632\u63a7\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ece 2022 \u5e74 12 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2-3 \u5e74\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u89c1\uff0c2023 \u5e74\u5c06\u662f\u519c\u4e1a\u6295\u5165\u54c1\u4ee5\u53bb\u5e93\u5b58\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u5e74\u4efd\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a 2023 \u5e74\u9500\u552e\u6218\u7565\u4e0d\u80fd\u53ea\u8003\u8651\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0cdown-to-top \u5f0f\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\u5c06\u662f\u66f4\u52a0\u6709\u6548\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u519c\u5316\u4f01\u4e1a\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6e20\u9053\u6295\u5165\u6216\u6df1\u5165\u519c\u7530\u9700\u6c42\u6765\u63d0\u5347\u5e02\u573a\u4efd\u989d\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u66f4\u4e3a\u52a1\u5b9e\u3002 2021-2022\u5e74\uff0cCOVID-19\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u4e2d\u65ad\u4e3a\u4f9b\u5e94\u65b9\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u66f4\u591a\u7ea2\u5229\u30022023\u5e74\uff0c\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd+1\u201d\u91c7\u8d2d\u6218\u7565\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0b\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u91cd\u5851\u548c\u884c\u4e1a\u53d8\u9769\u5c06\u662f\u5404\u65b9\u76f4\u63a5\u9762\u5bf9\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u8003\u8651\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u4f55\u65f6\u4e0e\u5ba2\u6237\u5f00\u5c55\u4e1a\u52a1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5168\u7403\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/marketintelligence\/en\/mi\/products\/pmi.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u6307\u6570\uff08PMI\uff09<\/a>\u00a0(PMI)\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u5174\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u90fd\u4f1a\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u548c\u7d27\u7f29\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u3001\u5df4\u897f\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u4e3b\u8981\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u6301\u7eed\u6536\u7f29\u3002 2023\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u6574\u4f53\u6536\u7f29\u8d8b\u52bf\u53ef\u80fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u62d6\u7d2f\u5168\u7403\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53GDP\u589e\u901f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Home\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7<\/a>\u00a0(IMF)\uff0c2023\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a 2.7% \u3002\u5230 2023 \u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u666e\u904d\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u4eca\u660e\u4e24\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ea6\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5c06\u7ecf\u5386\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6536\u7f29\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636eIMF\u5206\u5730\u533a\u589e\u957f\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e2023\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u9884\u6d4b\u4e3a1%\u3002\u6b27\u76df\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u964d\u81f30.5%\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u56de\u6696\uff0c\u660e\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u6709\u671b\u8fbe\u52304.4%\u3002\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u62d6\u7d2f\u3002\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5728 2023 \u5e74\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u81f3 1%\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e00\u76f4\u5177\u6709\u5f39\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u901a\u80c0\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u5728\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4ecd\u5c06\u662f2023\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u968f\u7740Omicron\u7ba1\u63a7\u7684\u653e\u677e\uff0c2023\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u590d\u82cf\u5c06\u9010\u6b65\u5e26\u52a8\u4e0b\u6e38\u4e1a\u52a1\u5411\u519c\u4e1a\u79cd\u690d\u4e1a\u5f3a\u52bf\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><strong>\u9700\u6c42\u957f\u9752\u7684\u00a0<\/strong><strong>\u903b\u8f91<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u5982\u524d\u6240\u8ff0\uff0c\u5728\u5bf9\u5b8f\u89c2\u8d8b\u52bf\u6709\u57fa\u672c\u4e86\u89e3\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u884c\u4e1a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5e94\u5173\u6ce8 2023 \u5e74\u751f\u957f\u5b63\u7684\u519c\u6c11\u6d88\u8d39\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u6839\u636e\u666e\u6e21\u5927\u5b66AG Economy Barometer\uff0c\u5728\u52a0\u606f\u548c\u9ad8\u519c\u4e1a\u6295\u5165\u6210\u672c\u7684\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6295\u8d44\u519c\u4e1a\u6295\u5165\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u6b64\u65f6\u5317\u7f8e\u519c\u4e1a\u4ece\u4e1a\u8005\u7684\u6700\u4f18\u65b9\u6848\u3002 2023 \u5e74\u5927\u5b97\u98df\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u589e\u52a0\u519c\u6c11\u6295\u8d44\u519c\u4e1a\u6295\u5165\u7684\u610f\u613f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u5357\u7f8e\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u8def\u900f\u793e\u63f4\u5f15\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.datagro.com\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Datagro<\/a>\u00a0\u57282022\u5e749\u6708\u7684\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/jp.reuters.com\/article\/south-america-grains-idAFL1N30U1PH\">\u8def\u900f\u793e\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c<\/a>\uff0c\u5b83\u8868\u793a\u9884\u8ba1\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u5c06\u6269\u5927\u5230\u6709\u53f2\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u6839\u636e Datagro \u5bf9\u65b0\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u521d\u6b65\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c2022\/2023 \u5e74\u5357\u7f8e\u519c\u6c11\u5c06\u4ece 6609 \u4e07\u516c\u9877\uff081.633 \u4ebf\u82f1\u4ea9\uff09\u7684\u5927\u8c46\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u4e2d\u6536\u83b7\u7ea6 2.1934 \u4ebf\u5428\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5f97\u5230\u8bc1\u5b9e\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5357\u7f8e\u5927\u8c46\u4ea7\u91cf\u5c06\u6bd4\u9884\u8ba1\u7684 2021\/2022 \u5e74\u6536\u6210\u9ad8\u51fa 21%\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5df4\u897f\u5360\u5357\u7f8e\u4ea7\u91cf\u7684 70%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728 2021\/2022 \u79cd\u690d\u5e74\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u90e8\u5206\u4f5c\u7269\u906d\u5230\u65f1\u707e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e5f\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 2023 \u5e74\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u6b63\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u62d3\u5c55\uff0c\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e00\u65e6\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u7ed9\u519c\u6c11\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u635f\u5931\u5c06\u65e0\u6cd5\u4f30\u91cf\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u5bf9\u4e8e\u751f\u7269\u5236\u54c1\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u4f5c\u7269\u6297\u9006\u6027\u7684\u6280\u672f\u4ee5\u53ca\u6570\u5b57\u519c\u4e1a\u6280\u672f\u5f97\u4ee5\u98de\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u5e95\u5c42\u903b\u8f91\u3002\u5728\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u7a81\u7834\u516b\u5341\u4ebf\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u5bf9\u4e8e\u57fa\u672c\u7cae\u98df\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u53ea\u4f1a\u5448\u589e\u957f\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u8d38\u6613\u5c06\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e0e\u5357\u7f8e\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u95f4\u4f5c\u7269\u6295\u5165\u54c1\u8d38\u6613\u589e\u957f\u7684\u652f\u67f1\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><strong>\u97e7\u6027\u65f6\u4ee3\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u519c\u836f\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u5d1b\u8d77<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u9ea6\u80af\u9521\u516c\u53f8\u57282022\u5e7412\u6708\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u300a2023\u9ea6\u80af\u9521\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u62a5\u544a\uff1a\u97e7\u6027\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b\uff0c\u9ea6\u80af\u9521\u6307\u51fa\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7684\u97e7\u6027\u66f4\u5f3a\uff0c\u8d2d\u7269\u51b3\u7b56\u66f4\u52a0\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u5728\u9009\u62e9\u4ea7\u54c1\u65f6\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u6ce8\u91cd\u8d28\u91cf\u548c\u529f\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u6d88\u8d39\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u5c06\u4f7f\u90a3\u4e9b\u80fd\u591f\u201c\u5feb\u901f\u5e94\u5bf9\u53d8\u5316\u201d\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u83b7\u80dc\u3002\u6211\u4e5f\u60f3\u5f15\u7528\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u201c\u97e7\u6027\u201d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8bcd\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7684\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6574\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u7684\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u51e0\u6b21\u53d8\u5316\u540e\u9010\u6e10\u6062\u590d\u8fc7\u6765\u30022023\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u519c\u836f\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u7684\u6218\u7565\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u9700\u6c42\u51cf\u5f31\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u627e\u5230\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u672a\u6765\u6f5c\u529b\u30022023\u5e74\u4e0d\u662f\u957f\u671f\u6218\u7565\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u77ed\u6682\u7684\u8c03\u6574\u671f\uff0c\u662f\u7a33\u5b9a\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u7ed3\u675f\u548c\u53d8\u9769\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\u3002\u957f\u671f\u9700\u6c42\u5e94\u8be5\u5728\u76f8\u5bf9\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u800c2023\u5e74\u5c06\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u683c\u5c40\u6025\u5267\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u5728\u5982\u6b64\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u601d\u8003\u201c\u97e7\u6027\u201d\u4ece\u4f55\u800c\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f9b\u5e94\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u6709\u5927\u7ea620\u591a\u4e2a\u975e\u4e13\u5229\u539f\u836f\u5904\u4e8e\u7edd\u5bf9\u4f9b\u8fc7\u4e8e\u6c42\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5173\u4e8e\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/?s=glyphosate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u8349\u7518\u81a6<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/?s=glufosinate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u8349\u94f5\u81a6<\/a>\u7b49\u706d\u751f\u6027\u9664\u8349\u5242\u7684\u672a\u6765\u4ea7\u80fd\u6216\u8005\u5176\u5173\u952e\u4e2d\u95f4\u4f53\u7684\u4ea7\u80fd\u5c06\u6781\u5927\u5730\u5f71\u54cd\u4ea7\u54c1\u5229\u6da6\u7387\u3002\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u6c2f\u866b\u82ef\u7532\u9170\u80fa\u3001\u4e19\u786b\u83cc\u5511\u7b49\u65b0\u7684\u5173\u952e\u539f\u836f\u4e5f\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u540c\u6837\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u519c\u836f\u5341\u56db\u4e94\u89c4\u5212\u53d1\u5e03\u7ed9\u4e86\u884c\u4e1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u7684\u6307\u5bfc\u65b9\u9488\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5f3a\u52b2\u9500\u552e\u989d\u4ee5\u53ca\u53ef\u89c2\u5229\u6da6\u7387\u7684\u9a71\u4f7f\u4e0b\uff0c\u65b0\u4ea7\u80fd\u968f\u7740\u56fa\u5b9a\u8d44\u4ea7\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u589e\u957f\u4ee5\u53ca\u5730\u65b9\u4ea7\u4e1a\u96c6\u7fa4\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4ee5\u8d85\u4e4e\u60f3\u8c61\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u6570\u989d\u6025\u5267\u589e\u957f\u3002\u5927\u5b97\u539f\u836f\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u7ea2\u6d77\u7ade\u4e89\u5c06\u5728 2023 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Omicron \u7684\u653f\u7b56\u540e\uff0c\u6d59\u6c5f\u7701\u653f\u5e9c\u4e8e 2022 \u5e74 12 \u6708 4 \u65e5\u5f00\u59cb\u7ec4\u7ec7\u8fd1\u4e07\u5bb6\u4f01\u4e1a\u98de\u5f80\u6d77\u5916\u53d1\u5c55\u4e1a\u52a1\u3002\u5728 COVID-19 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