{"id":135524,"date":"2026-09-30T10:11:20","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T14:11:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=135524"},"modified":"2026-09-30T10:14:08","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T14:14:08","slug":"as-el-nino-splits-the-map-agricultural-risk-keeps-moving","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/agtech\/as-el-nino-splits-the-map-agricultural-risk-keeps-moving\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u5f71\u54cd\u8303\u56f4\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u519c\u4e1a\u98ce\u9669\u6301\u7eed\u8f6c\u79fb"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Farmland

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\"Image<\/a>

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\u6bcf\u65e5\u536b\u661f\u91cd\u8bbf\u6570\u636e\u80fd\u591f\u4ee5\u95ee\u9898\u6240\u9700\u7684\u5206\u8fa8\u7387\u63d0\u4f9b\u7b54\u6848\u3002\u7530\u95f4\u690d\u88ab\u6307\u6570\u663e\u793a\u54ea\u4e9b\u6295\u4fdd\u4f5c\u7269\u5df2\u8dcc\u51fa\u5386\u53f2\u6b63\u5e38\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u54ea\u4e9b\u533a\u57df\u6b63\u906d\u53d7\u80c1\u8feb\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u54ea\u4e9b\u60a8\u4e4b\u524d\u5df2\u51cf\u8bb0\u7684\u533a\u57df\u6b63\u5728\u6084\u7136\u6062\u590d\u3002\u8fd9\u65e2\u662f\u51c6\u5907\u91d1\u8ba1\u63d0\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u4f9d\u636e\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u518d\u4fdd\u9669\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u4f9d\u636e\uff0c\u8fd8\u80fd\u5728\u9996\u6b21\u7d22\u8d54\u53d1\u751f\u524d\u6570\u5468\uff0c\u4e3a\u60a8\u7ed8\u5236\u51fa\u7406\u8d54\u5458\u4f18\u5148\u524d\u5f80\u7684\u5730\u56fe\u3002.<\/p>\n

7\u6708\u4efd\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u627f\u538b\u7684\u8d26\u76ee\uff0c\u5230\u4e869\u6708\u4efd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u597d\u8f6c\uff0c\u53cd\u4e4b\u4ea6\u7136\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u4f1a\u7ecf\u5386\u5176\u654f\u611f\u7684\u751f\u957f\u65f6\u671f\u3002\u4fdd\u5355\u4e00\u65e6\u751f\u6548\u4fbf\u65e0\u6cd5\u66f4\u6539\u3002\u80fd\u591f\u9884\u89c1\u5230\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u98ce\u9669\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u4fdd\u9669\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u5728\u6536\u83b7\u65f6\u5c31\u4e0d\u4f1a\u611f\u5230\u610f\u5916\u3002.<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u53c2\u6570\u5316\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u89e6\u53d1\u5668<\/h2>\n

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\u5df4\u897f\u5357\u90e8\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u5219\u4ece\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u89d2\u5ea6\u8bf4\u660e\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5357\u91cc\u5965\u683c\u5170\u5fb7\u5dde\u548c\u5df4\u62c9\u90a3\u5dde\u7ea6\u5360\u5df4\u897f\u56fd\u571f\u9762\u79ef\u7684100%\u3002 \u5df4\u897f2026\u5e74\u5c0f\u9ea6\u6536\u6210\u768480%<\/a>. \u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u8be5\u4e3b\u8981\u4ea7\u533a\u666e\u904d\u9762\u4e34\u964d\u96e8\u8fc7\u591a\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u5bf9\u4ea7\u91cf\u548c\u8c37\u7269\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u6709\u968f\u7740\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u751f\u957f\u624d\u80fd\u9010\u6e10\u660e\u6717\u3002.<\/p>\n

\u653f\u7b56\u89e6\u53d1\u4e0e\u6700\u7ec8\u4f5c\u7269\u635f\u5931\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u5373\u4e3a\u57fa\u5dee\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u56de\u6eaf\u6d4b\u8bd5\u53ef\u4ee5\u663e\u793a\u653f\u7b56\u89e6\u53d1\u4e0e\u4ee5\u5f80\u5b63\u5ea6\u5b9e\u9645\u4f5c\u7269\u6536\u6210\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u543b\u5408\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002.<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u53c2\u6570\u578b\u4fdd\u9669\uff0c\u6761\u6b3e\u5728\u751f\u6548\u65f6\u5373\u88ab\u9501\u5b9a\u3002\u89e6\u53d1\u6761\u4ef6\u3001\u9608\u503c\u548c\u8d54\u4ed8\u66f2\u7ebf\u5728\u4fdd\u5355\u7b7e\u8ba2\u65f6\u5373\u5df2\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f9\u6708\u4efd\u5b63\u98ce\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u66f4\u6539\u3002\u6240\u6709\u786e\u4fdd\u7ed3\u679c\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u5173\u952e\u90fd\u5728\u4e8e\u524d\u671f\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u5b63\u98ce\u6765\u4e34\u524d\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u7684\u8bbe\u8ba1\u548c\u56de\u6d4b\u662f\u5426\u5b8c\u5584\u3002.<\/p>\n

\u5728\u4f5c\u7269\u751f\u957f\u5b63\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u5df2\u7b7e\u8ba2\u7684\u5408\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u540c\u6837\u7684\u7530\u95f4\u89c2\u5bdf\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u7528\u3002\u5df2\u552e\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u89e6\u53d1\u4ef7\u683c\u662f\u56fa\u5b9a\u7684\u3002\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u751f\u957f\u60c5\u51b5\u4ecd\u7136\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u6765\u5e74\u7684\u89e6\u53d1\u4ef7\u683c\u3002.<\/p>\n

\u5728\u7406\u8d54\u73af\u8282\uff0c\u91cd\u70b9\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4f30<\/h2>\n

\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u6b64\u524d\u53d1\u51fa\u7684\u6240\u6709\u4fe1\u53f7\u90fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5b63\u672b\u96c6\u4e2d\u7206\u53d1\u3002\u5728\u5f3a\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u8086\u8650\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u635f\u5931\u5e76\u975e\u7f13\u6162\u7d2f\u79ef\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4ee5\u76f8\u5173\u6d6a\u6f6e\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u88ad\u6765\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u6ce2\u6d6a\u6f6e\u6b63\u662f\u5bf9\u519c\u4e1a\u4fdd\u9669\u516c\u53f8\u7406\u8d54\u4e1a\u52a1\u7684\u4e25\u5cfb\u8003\u9a8c\u3002\u6b64\u65f6\uff0c\u5b63\u521d\u79ef\u7d2f\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u6700\u7ec8\u4f1a\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\u51fa\u3002.<\/p>\n

\u7406\u8d54\u8d39\u7528\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e2a\u538b\u529b\u70b9\u3002\u5f3a\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u533a\u57df\u6027\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u540c\u65f6\u6b49\u6536\uff0c\u800c\u5408\u683c\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u7406\u8d54\u5458\u6570\u91cf\u5374\u65e0\u6cd5\u53ca\u65f6\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u5b9e\u5730\u8003\u5bdf\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u4e00\u540d\u7406\u8d54\u5458\u4e00\u5929\u80fd\u5904\u7406\u7684\u519c\u573a\u6570\u91cf\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6848\u4ef6\u79ef\u538b\u65f6\u95f4\u5ef6\u957f\uff0c\u7406\u8d54\u5468\u671f\u548c\u8d39\u7528\u4e5f\u968f\u4e4b\u589e\u52a0\u3002.<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\u90fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u5b8c\u5168\u53d6\u4ee3\u73b0\u573a\u52d8\u67e5\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u65e9\u7684\u9884\u8b66\u4fe1\u606f\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u73b0\u573a\u52d8\u67e5\u7684\u6210\u672c\u3002\u707e\u524d\u548c\u707e\u5b63\u671f\u95f4\u7684\u536b\u661f\u8bb0\u5f55\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u7406\u8d54\u56e2\u961f\u5728\u7406\u8d54\u5458\u51fa\u52a8\u524d\u8fdb\u884c\u521d\u6b65\u8bc4\u4f30\uff1a\u6839\u636e\u9884\u671f\u635f\u5931\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5bf9\u707e\u60c5\u8fdb\u884c\u6392\u5e8f\uff0c\u4f18\u5148\u5c06\u6709\u9650\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u7528\u4e8e\u5b9e\u9645\u635f\u5931\u6700\u5927\u7684\u533a\u57df\u3002.<\/p>\n

\"Image<\/a>

\u56fe\u7247\u663e\u793a\u4e86\u6d2a\u6c34\u53d1\u751f\u524d\u7530\u5730\u53d1\u80b2\u826f\u597d\u7684\u5f02\u8d28\u72b6\u6001\u548c\u6d2a\u6c34\u53d1\u751f\u540e\u7530\u5730\u5b8c\u5168\u635f\u6bc1\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002. \u6765\u6e90\uff1aEarthDaily \u5206\u6790<\/em><\/p><\/div>\n

\u5728\u653f\u7b56\u5b9e\u65bd\u524d\uff0c\u8bb0\u5f55\u6bcf\u5757\u7530\u5730\u72b6\u51b5\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6233\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e3a\u8c03\u67e5\u53cd\u9009\u62e9\u6216\u5938\u5927\u5176\u8bcd\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\u63d0\u4f9b\u8bc1\u636e\u3002\u5ba2\u89c2\u7684\u751f\u7269\u91cf\u53d8\u5316\u8f68\u8ff9\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u533a\u5206\u5929\u6c14\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u8870\u9000\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u539f\u56e0\u9020\u6210\u7684\u8870\u9000\u3002.<\/p>\n

\"<\/a>

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\u4e91\u5c42\u95ee\u9898\u59cb\u7ec8\u5b58\u5728\uff1b\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u98ce\u66b4\u7cfb\u7edf\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u67d0\u4e9b\u5730\u533a\u4e91\u5c42\u6301\u7eed\u6570\u5468\uff0c\u5728\u9a8c\u8bc1\u6570\u636e\u6700\u4e3a\u5173\u952e\u7684\u65f6\u523b\uff0c\u6807\u51c6\u5149\u5b66\u56fe\u50cf\u4f1a\u53d8\u5f97\u6a21\u7cca\u4e0d\u6e05\u3002\u4e00\u79cd\u5e94\u5bf9\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u5229\u7528\u9ad8\u91cd\u8bbf\u7387\u7684\u536b\u661f\u661f\u5ea7\u548c\u96f7\u8fbe\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u96f7\u8fbe\u80fd\u591f\u7a7f\u900f\u4e91\u5c42\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u4f4e\u91cd\u8bbf\u7387\u5149\u5b66\u56fe\u50cf\u5931\u6548\u65f6\u4ecd\u80fd\u4fdd\u6301\u53ef\u7528\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u524d\u7684\u57fa\u7ebf\u6570\u636e\u4e5f\u80fd\u8ba9\u7b2c\u4e00\u5f20\u6e05\u6670\u56fe\u50cf\u53d1\u6325\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002.<\/p>\n

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