{"id":16923,"date":"2008-12-15T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2008-12-15T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/2008\/12\/15\/ifd-overview-firm-demand-snug-markets\/"},"modified":"2019-09-16T13:48:47","modified_gmt":"2019-09-16T17:48:47","slug":"ifd-overview-firm-demand-snug-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/markets\/ifd-overview-firm-demand-snug-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"IFD \u6982\u89c8\uff1a\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u8212\u9002\u7684\u5e02\u573a"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u9884\u8ba1\u8fd1\u671f\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u7565\u6709\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u4f46\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4e2d\u671f\u524d\u666f\u4f9d\u7136\u575a\u633a\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6536\u5165\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u63a8\u52a8\u6d88\u8d39\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u65e5\u76ca\u591a\u6837\u5316\u7684\u996e\u98df\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u4e0e\u4fc3\u8fdb\u751f\u7269\u71c3\u6599\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u662f\u80a5\u6599\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5173\u952e\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4eca\u540e\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u519c\u6c11\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u63d0\u9ad8\u6bcf\u5355\u4f4d\u8015\u5730\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n<p> \u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u662f\u4e30\u6536\uff0c\u4f46\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u8c37\u7269\u5e93\u5b58\u5c06\u518d\u6b21\u4e0b\u964d\u3002 <\/p>\n<p> \u4e3a\u54cd\u5e94\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u5de5\u4e1a\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u7c97\u7cae\u6d88\u8d39\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u7a33\u6b65\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5e76\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u589e\u957f\u3002\u5168\u7403\u8c37\u7269\u5e93\u5b58\u6d88\u8d39\u6bd4\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u81f3\u4e8c\u5341\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u624b\u5934\u7684\u7c97\u7cae\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u53ea\u6709\u5927\u7ea6 40 \u5929\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e59\u9187\u5de5\u4e1a\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u6269\u5f20\u4ee5\u53ca\u9700\u8981\u5927\u91cf\u7389\u7c73\u4f5c\u4e3a\u539f\u6599\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u8c37\u7269\u4ea7\u91cf\u5728 2009 \u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u65e0\u6cd5\u6ee1\u8db3\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n<p> \u6cb9\u7c7d\u548c\u68c9\u82b1\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u5e93\u5b58\u4e5f\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u800c\u7cd6\u7684\u5e93\u5b58\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u79cd\u4f9b\u9700\u7d27\u5f20\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7531\u4e8e\u62c5\u5fc3\u67d0\u4e9b\u5730\u533a\u6700\u8fd1\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u6761\u4ef6\u5bfc\u81f4\u6536\u6210\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u519c\u6c11\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u6536\u5165\u4e00\u76f4\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fd9\u901a\u5e38\u9884\u793a\u7740\u5316\u80a5\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u662f\u4e2a\u597d\u5146\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n<p> \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u591a\u79cd\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u5316\u80a5\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u786e\u5207\u8fdb\u5c55\u4ecd\u5b58\u5728\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u79cd\u690d\u6a21\u5f0f\u5c06\u53d1\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u5f71\u54cd\u519c\u6c11\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u7c7b\u578b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u671f\u589e\u52a0\u8015\u5730\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\u6709\u9650\u2014\u2014\u5df4\u897f\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u5c3c\u897f\u4e9a\u660e\u663e\u4f8b\u5916\u2014\u2014\u519c\u6c11\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u4f7f\u7528\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u517b\u5206\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4eba\u9020\u80a5\u6599\uff0c\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u4ea7\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"subhead\">\u9650\u5236\u56e0\u7d20\u5f71\u54cd\u589e\u957f<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u62b5\u6d88\u56e0\u7d20\u51cf\u7f13\u4e86\u5316\u80a5\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n<p> \u5de5\u4e1a\u7528\u9014\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u751f\u7269\u71c3\u6599\u751f\u4ea7\uff0c\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u5927\u91cf\u526f\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u9152\u7cdf\u548c\u6cb9\u7c7d\u7c95\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u52a8\u7269\u9972\u6599\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u526f\u4ea7\u54c1\u53d6\u4ee3\u4e86\u9972\u6599\u914d\u7ed9\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u8c37\u7269\u3002 <\/p>\n<p> \u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u5728\u5236\u5b9a\u6709\u5173\u6c34\u3001\u7a7a\u6c14\u548c\u571f\u58e4\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u6cd5\u89c4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u517b\u5206\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u519c\u6c11\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u9700\u8981\u56de\u6536\u6709\u673a\u517b\u5206\u6765\u6e90\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u519c\u573a\u6216\u7530\u95f4\u4e00\u7ea7\u5b9e\u65bd\u517b\u5206\u9884\u7b97\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u51e0\u4e2a\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6c2e\u7d20\u5229\u7528\u6548\u7387\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\u6709\u4e86\u5f88\u5927\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002 <\/p>\n<p> \u63a8\u5e7f\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u884c\u4e1a\u53ca\u5176\u5408\u4f5c\u4f19\u4f34\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u4f1a\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u63d0\u9ad8\u517b\u5206\u5229\u7528\u6548\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"subhead\">\u5317\u7f8e\u3001\u4e9a\u6d32\u9700\u6c42\u9a71\u52a8\u5e02\u573a<\/p>\n<p>\u5317\u7f8e\u7684\u5316\u80a5\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a 8.7%\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u5bf9\u7528\u4e8e\u4e59\u9187\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u7389\u7c73\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u6fc0\u589e\u3002\u6b64\u540e\uff0c\u80a5\u6599\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ec5\u6e29\u548c\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7389\u7c73\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u5c06\u63a5\u8fd1\u5176\u4e0a\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n<p> \u5357\u4e9a\u548c\u4e1c\u4e9a\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u90fd\u5c06\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u4ece\u73b0\u5728\u5230 2011\/12 \u5e74\uff0c\u5c06\u5360\u5316\u80a5\u9700\u6c42\u603b\u589e\u957f\u7684 70%\u3002\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u4e5f\u5c06\u8d21\u732e 15% \u7684\u9884\u671f\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u5c06\u4ece\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u653e\u7f13\u4e2d\u590d\u82cf\u3002<\/p>\n<p> \u603b\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\u80a5\u6599\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u7a33\u6b65\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u94be\u80a5\uff08\u6bcf\u5e74+3.2%\uff09\u3001\u78f7\u9178\u76d0\uff08+2.9%\uff09\u548c\u6c2e\u80a5\uff08+2.3%\uff09\u5c06\u5f15\u9886\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u80a5\u6599\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\u5c06\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u63d0\u9ad8\u517b\u5206\u5229\u7528\u6548\u7387\u3001\u63d0\u9ad8\u4ea7\u91cf\u5e76\u51cf\u5c11\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"subhead\">\u6c2e\u8fc7\u5269\u7ec7\u673a<\/p>\n<p>2007-2011\u5e74\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\u90fd\u5728\u53d1\u5c55\u6c2e\u80a5\u4ea7\u80fd\uff0c\u4f46\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e09\u7684\u5408\u6210\u6c28\u65b0\u589e\u4ea7\u80fd\u5c06\u7528\u4e8e\u56fd\u5185\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4ec5\u51fa\u53e325%\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>IFA \u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c2007 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u6c2e\u4f9b\u9700\u5e73\u8861\u663e\u793a 500 \u4e07\u516c\u5428 (Mt) \u6c2e (N) \u8fc7\u5269\uff0c2011 \u5e74\u4e0a\u5347\u5230 17 Mt N\u3002\u4ece 2008 \u5e74\u5e74\u4e2d\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u4ea7\u80fd\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u7f13\u89e3\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u9700\u5e73\u8861\u3002 2009 \u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u65b0\u7684\u5927\u578b\u5de5\u5382\u6295\u4ea7\uff0c\u8fc7\u5269\u7684\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u52a0\u901f\u3002 IFA \u7684 2007 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u5c3f\u7d20\u4ea7\u80fd\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6240\u6709\u5df2\u5ba3\u5e03\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u90fd\u6309\u8ba1\u5212\u8fdb\u884c\uff0c\u5c06\u6709\u8fd1 50 \u5bb6\u65b0\u5de5\u5382\u8ba1\u5212\u5728 2007 \u5e74\u81f3 2011 \u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u6295\u4ea7\uff0c\u5230 2011 \u5e74\u5c3f\u7d20\u4ea7\u80fd\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7\u9700\u6c42\u7ea6 8%\u3002<\/p>\n<p> \u7531\u4e8e\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c2006 \u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u94be\u76d0\u4ea7\u91cf\uff08\u4ee5\u6c2f\u5316\u94be (KCl) \u6216\u6c2f\u5316\u94be (MOP) \u8868\u793a\uff09\u4e0b\u964d\u4e86 10%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5168\u7403\u94be\u76d0\u4ea7\u80fd\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4ece 2006 \u5e74\u7684 65.6 Mt Mop \u589e\u52a0\u5230 2011 \u5e74\u7684 76.3 Mt\u3002\u5728\u533a\u57df\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u9664\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u65b0\u589e\u4ea7\u80fd\u5c06\u7528\u4e8e\u51fa\u53e3\u3002\u5230 2010 \u5e74\uff0c\u4ea7\u80fd\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u589e\u52a0\u5c06\u6765\u81ea\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u7684\u65b0\u7eff\u5730\u8fd0\u8425\u3002 <\/p>\n<p> IFA\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u5168\u7403\u94be\u80a5\u4f9b\u9700\u5e73\u8861\u5c06\u8d8b\u7d27\uff0c2006-2009\u5e74\u8fc7\u5269\u5c06\u9010\u6e10\u51cf\u5c11\u3002\u4ece2010\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u65b0\u589e\u4ea7\u80fd\u5c06\u626d\u8f6c\u8fc7\u5269\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u8d21\u732e\u663e\u7740\u3002\u52302011\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u8fc7\u5269\u4ea7\u80fd\u5c06\u8fbe\u523016%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2006 \u5e74\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u78f7\u77ff\u77f3\u4ea7\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u52a0\u5de5\u78f7\u9178\u76d0\u7684\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u6709\u6240\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4f46\u9274\u4e8e\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u4e00\u4e9b\u751f\u4ea7\u4e2d\u65ad\uff0c\u78f7\u9178\u51fa\u53e3\u5403\u7d27\u3002 <\/p>\n<p> \u56fd\u9645\u78f7\u80a5\u884c\u4e1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u9762\u4e34\u9ad8\u6295\u5165\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4 2006 \u5e74\u78f7\u9178\u4e8c\u94f5 (DAP) \u548c\u78f7\u9178\u4e00\u94f5 (MAP) \u4ef7\u683c\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\u30022007 \u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u5f3a\u52b2\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u6d4b\u548c\u4f9b\u5e94\u7d27\u5f20\u9884\u671f\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ef7\u683c\u521b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8.<\/p>\n<p> \u6839\u636eIFA\u5bf92007-2011\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c2007-2011\u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u78f7\u77ff\u4ea7\u80fd\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4ee54%\u7684\u590d\u5408\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u7387\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4ec5\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c31\u5c06\u5360\u8fd9\u4e00\u65f6\u671f\u589e\u957f\u91cf\u7684\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002 <\/p>\n<p> \u5728 2006 \u5e74\u81f3 2011 \u5e74\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1 2011 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u78f7\u9178\u4ea7\u80fd\u5c06\u589e\u52a0 5.9 \u516c\u5428\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230 49.6 \u516c\u5428 P2O5\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u51c0\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8fd1\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e09\u5c06\u7528\u4e8e\u56fd\u5185\u4e0b\u6e38\u52a0\u5de5\u3002\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u65b0\u589e\u4ea7\u80fd\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u671f\u5185\u4e0d\u4f1a\u663e\u7740\u589e\u52a0\u5546\u7528\u78f7\u9178\u4ea7\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n<p> IFA\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c2006-2010\u5e74\u78f7\u9178\u603b\u4f53\u4f9b\u9700\u7d27\u5f20\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u7ed9\u8fb9\u9645\u8fc7\u5269\u4e0d\u8db32%\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6b21\u5e74\u76c8\u4f59\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u5230 4%\u3002<\/p>\n<p> 2007 \u5e74\u81f3 2011 \u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5355\u8d28\u786b\u4ea7\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u6bcf\u5e74\u589e\u52a0 6.4%\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea 20 \u4e16\u7eaa 80 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