{"id":16957,"date":"2009-01-28T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2009-01-28T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/2009\/01\/28\/fertilizer-demand-falters\/"},"modified":"2019-09-16T13:48:07","modified_gmt":"2019-09-16T17:48:07","slug":"fertilizer-demand-falters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/markets\/fertilizer-demand-falters\/","title":{"rendered":"\u80a5\u6599\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u964d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u8fd9\u662f\u5316\u80a5\u7684\u597d\u6d88\u606f\uff1a\u5e02\u573a\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u6c2e\u671f\u8d27\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u884c\u4e1a\u9884\u8ba1 2009 \u5e74\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u52a0\u901f\u589e\u957f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5168\u7403\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5728 2009 \u5e74\u9677\u5165\u56f0\u5883\uff0c\u4f46\u5316\u80a5\u5236\u9020\u5546\u548c\u5206\u9500\u5546\u7684\u957f\u671f\u524d\u666f\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u4e0d\u95192008 \u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u5168\u7403\u53f8\u673a\u4e0e 12 \u4e2a\u6708\u524d\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u201d\u8be5\u534f\u4f1a\u6267\u884c\u79d8\u4e66\u5e15\u7279\u91cc\u514b\u00b7\u8d6b\u5f17 (Patrick Heffer) \u8bf4\u3002 \u56fd\u9645\u80a5\u6599\u5de5\u4e1a\u534f\u4f1a<\/a> (IFA) \u519c\u4e1a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u548c\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5173\u4e8e\u4f9b\u5e94\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u519c\u4e1a\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u5408\u8457\u8005\u3002 \u201c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684 24 \u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u4fdd\u6301\uff08\u6211\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u7684\uff09\u4f4e\u5316\u80a5\u6d88\u8017\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u597d\u7684\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u574f\u6d88\u606f\uff1a\u4f60\u53ef\u80fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u77e5\u9053\u574f\u6d88\u606f\u4e86\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u2014\u2014\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u8c37\u7269\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u548c\u4fe1\u8d37\u7d27\u7f29\u2014\u2014\u8feb\u4f7f\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u51cf\u5c11\u5bf9\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u5730\u91cc\u7684\u51ac\u5b63\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u6295\u5165\uff0c\u5e76\u63a8\u8fdf\u8d2d\u4e70\u6625\u5b63\u64ad\u79cd\u6240\u9700\u7684\u517b\u5206\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u571f\u58e4\u4e2d\u78f7\u9178\u76d0\u542b\u91cf\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u6839\u636e IFA \u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u94be\u80a5\u548c\u94be\u3002<\/p>\n

\u968f\u7740\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u9972\u6599\u8c37\u7269\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u519c\u6c11\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u7b49\u5f85\u8d2d\u4e70\u5316\u80a5\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u4ea7\u91cf\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u6e05\u6670\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5316\u80a5\u9700\u6c42\u53ef\u80fd\u8981\u5230 2009 \u5e74\u624d\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u7684\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5267\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u521b\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u540e\uff0c\u4ece\u5c0f\u9ea6\u5230\u94dc\u7684\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u7e41\u8363\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u613f\u610f\u4ee5\u7565\u5fae\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u6210\u672c\u8d2d\u4e70\u5316\u80a5\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u6536\u56de\u6210\u672c\u3002\u968f\u7740\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u9884\u671f\u2014\u2014\u519c\u6c11\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0d\u613f\u4ee5\u9ad8\u4ef7\u8d2d\u4e70\u6295\u5165\u54c1\u6765\u635f\u5bb3\u4ed6\u4eec\u672c\u5df2\u4e0d\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5229\u6da6\u3002 IFA \u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u9700\u6c42\u4e13\u5bb6 Heffer \u8bf4\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6295\u5165\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8e\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4eec\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u968f\u7740\u4f5c\u7269\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u800c\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u4e16\u754c\u4f9b\u9700\u5e73\u8861\uff1a2007-2008-2009<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
 \u4ea7\u54c1<\/strong><\/td>\n <\/td>\n 2007<\/strong><\/td>\n2008<\/strong><\/td>\n 2009<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 \u6c2e \uff08\u5428\u6c2e<\/em>)<\/td>\n\u4f9b\u5e94<\/td>\n 126.9<\/td>\n134.2<\/td>\n 139.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n\u903b\u8f91<\/td>\n 126.0<\/td>\n129.4<\/td>\n 133.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n   \u6f5c\u5728\u5e73\u8861<\/em><\/td>\n +0.9<\/em><\/td>\n+4.8<\/em><\/td>\n +6.3<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5c3f\u7d20\uff08\u5c3f\u7d20\u5c71<\/em>)<\/td>\n\u4f9b\u5e94<\/td>\n145.1<\/td>\n150.4<\/td>\n159.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n\u903b\u8f91<\/td>\n141.9<\/td>\n147.6<\/td>\n154.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n   \u6f5c\u5728\u5e73\u8861<\/em><\/td>\n+3.2<\/em><\/td>\n+2.9<\/em><\/td>\n+4.4<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u78f7\u9178
(\u78f72<\/sub>\u6b275<\/sub><\/em>)<\/td>\n		\u4f9b\u5e94<\/td>\n36.9<\/td>\n39.4<\/td>\n40.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n\u903b\u8f91<\/td>\n36.1<\/td>\n35.1<\/td>\n 36.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n   \u6f5c\u5728\u5e73\u8861<\/em><\/td>\n+0.8<\/td>\n+4.3<\/td>\n+4.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u94be\u80a5\uff08\u5c71K2<\/sub>\u6b27<\/em>)<\/td>\n\u4f9b\u5e94<\/td>\n34.7<\/td>\n36.1<\/td>\n37.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n\u903b\u8f91<\/td>\n32.2<\/td>\n30.3<\/td>\n31.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
 <\/td>\n   \u6f5c\u5728\u5e73\u8861<\/em><\/td>\n+2.4<\/em><\/td>\n+5.8<\/em><\/td>\n+6.4<\/em><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n

IFA \u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a \u2014 2008 \u5e74 11 \u6708<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u9884\u8ba1 2009 \u5e74\u53ea\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\uff1a\u5357\u4e9a\uff08\u589e\u52a0 4%\uff09\u548c\u4e1c\u6b27\/\u4e2d\u4e9a\uff08\u589e\u52a0 3.5%\uff09\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u897f\u4e9a\u548c\u4e2d\u6b27\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u964d\u5e45\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u964d\u5e45\u8d85\u8fc7 8%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u636e IFA \u79f0\uff0c\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d 2.2%\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c2010 \u5e74\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5347 3.5%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f9b\u5e94\u65b9<\/p>\n

\u4e0e\u9700\u6c42\u65b9\u9762\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5316\u80a5\u4f9b\u5e94\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u50cf\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u53f7\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u5728\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a 11 \u6708\u751f\u6548\u7684\u65b0\u51fa\u53e3\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u622a\u81f3\u53d1\u7a3f\u65f6\uff0c\u786e\u5b9a\u5173\u7a0e\u662f\u5426\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u8fd8\u4e3a\u65f6\u8fc7\u65e9\u3002<\/p>\n

IFA \u62a5\u544a\u7684\u5408\u8457\u8005 Michel Prud'homme \u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u7a0e\u6536\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u5b9e\u65bd\u5b83\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u662f\u65e0\u6cd5\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

IFA\u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u6267\u884c\u79d8\u4e66Prud'homme\u662fIFA\u4f9b\u5e94\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6743\u5a01\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u5173\u7a0e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ea7\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u51fa\u53e3\u5546\u8bd5\u56fe\u521b\u9020\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u6536\u5165\u6765\u5f25\u8865\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u7a0e\u6536\u3002\u6216\u8005\uff0c\u5173\u7a0e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4f7f\u4e00\u4e9b\u8f83\u5c0f\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u539f\u6750\u6599\u51fa\u53e3\u6210\u672c\u8fc7\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5c06\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u7559\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u5e76\u51cf\u5c11\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f2007\u5e74\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5c3f\u7d20\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\uff0c\u6bcf\u5e74\u6d88\u8017\u4e16\u754c\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u5316\u80a5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u201c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u90fd\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u884c\u4e1a\u9759\u89c2\u5176\u53d8\uff0c\u201dPrud'homme \u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u4e00\u4e9b\u4f9b\u5e94\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\u5f88\u6e05\u695a\uff1a\u8fd0\u8d39\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u6d77\u8fd0\u8d39\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u4ea4\u4ed8\u6210\u672c\u5e76\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8f7b\u8d28\u4f4e\u786b\u539f\u6cb9\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u77f3\u6cb9\u57fa\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u51cf\u5c11\u4e5f\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u6c2e\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u7684\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u603b\u7684\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5316\u80a5\u548c\u539f\u6750\u6599\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u975e\u5e38\u5c0f\u7684\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u5c0f\u5e45\u589e\u957f\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u7531\u5bf9 2010 \u5e74\u597d\u666f\u7684\u731c\u6d4b\u800c\u4e0d\u662f 2009 \u5e74\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u9700\u6c42\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u968f\u7740 2009 \u5e74\u5e95\u5e93\u5b58\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u6709\u671b\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n

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