{"id":30878,"date":"2012-08-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2012-08-01T04:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/2012\/08\/01\/fertilizer-demand-recovering\/"},"modified":"2014-11-20T15:22:12","modified_gmt":"2014-11-20T20:22:12","slug":"fertilizer-demand-recovering","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/plant-health\/npk\/fertilizer-demand-recovering\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5316\u80a5\u9700\u6c42\u6062\u590d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5c3d\u7ba1 2011 \u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u906d\u53d7\u91cd\u5927\u632b\u6298\uff0c\u4f46 2012\/13 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u5316\u80a5\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u589e\u957f 2.5% \u81f3 1.814 \u4ebf\u516c\u5428 (Mt)\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7389\u7c73\u548c\u6cb9\u7c7d\u7684\u7d27\u4fcf\u5e02\u573a\u6761\u4ef6\u4e3a\u519c\u6c11\u63d0\u9ad8\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c2011\/12 \u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u80a5\u6599\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u589e\u52a0 2.8%\uff0c2012\/13 \u5e74\u5c06\u518d\u589e\u52a0 2.5%\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230 181 \u516c\u5428\u517b\u5206\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6c2e\u3001\u78f7\u548c\u94be\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e IFA \u519c\u4e1a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4efb Patrick Heffer \u548c\u56fd\u9645\u80a5\u6599\u534f\u4f1a IFA \u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4efb Michel Prud'homme \u7684\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u81f3\u5c11\u6301\u7eed\u5230 2016\/17 \u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5177\u6709\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u7684\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u5bf9\u5316\u80a5\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u9884\u8ba1 2011\/12 \u5e74\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u6c2e\u5c06\u589e\u957f 4%\uff0c\u78f7\u5c06\u589e\u957f 1.4%\u3002\u94be\u4e5f\u6709\u671b\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4f46\u4ec5\u4e0a\u6da8 0.4% \u81f3 27.7 Mt\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9884\u8ba1 2012\/13 \u5e74\u5ea6\u5c06\u6807\u5fd7\u7740 2007\/08 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7684\u5168\u9762\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u5168\u7403\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u533a\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u90fd\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5230 2016\/17 \u5e74\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5316\u80a5\u9700\u6c42\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230 192.8 \u516c\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5357\u4e9a\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u53cd\u5f39\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u63a8\u52a8\u529b\uff0c\u4f30\u8ba1\u589e\u957f 8.1 \u516c\u5428\u3002\u6839\u636e Heffer \u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff0c\u8fd9\u7ea6\u5360\u5168\u7403\u51c0\u589e\u957f\u7684 60%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u5357\u4e9a\u548c\u4e1c\u6b27\u662f 2008 \u5e74\u552f\u4e00\u6ca1\u6709\u51fa\u73b0\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u201dHeffer \u8bf4\u3002 \u201c\u8fd9\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u5370\u5ea6\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u5316\u80a5\u8865\u8d34\u8ba1\u5212\u6765\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u8be5\u8ba1\u5212\u4fdd\u62a4\u5370\u5ea6\u519c\u6c11\u5728\u6b64\u671f\u95f4\u514d\u53d7\u5316\u80a5\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u9884\u8ba1\u4e1c\u4e9a\u548c\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u5728\u4e2d\u671f\u7684\u517b\u5206\u4f7f\u7528\u91cf\u589e\u5e45\u6700\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u5728\u519c\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u5feb\u901f\u6269\u5f20\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u65b0\u5174\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u524d\u666f\u8981\u4e50\u89c2\u5f97\u591a\uff0c\u201d\u8d6b\u5f17\u8bf4\u3002 \u201c\u897f\u6b27\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u76f8\u5bf9\u505c\u6ede\u4e0d\u524d\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e3b\u8981\u7cae\u98df\u4ea7\u533a\u7684\u78f7\u94be\u8d1f\u5e73\u8861\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u4f46\u80a5\u6599\u65bd\u7528\u7387\u5728\u4e2d\u671f\u770b\u4e0d\u5230\u6062\u590d\uff0c\u201d\u8d6b\u5f17\u8bf4\u3002
\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4ece\u957f\u8fdc\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u897f\u6b27\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\u5185\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3002\u5728\u519c\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u5feb\u901f\u6269\u5f20\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u65b0\u5174\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u524d\u666f\u8981\u4e50\u89c2\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u6210\u719f\u5e02\u573a\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u5317\u7f8e\u5e02\u573a\uff09\u5bf9\u4e0d\u540c\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u4e0e\u67d0\u4e9b\u4e9a\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u9664\u5317\u7f8e\u5916\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5316\u80a5\u9700\u6c42\u90fd\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4e0e\u53bb\u5e74\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5317\u7f8e\u7684\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u964d\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u65bd\u80a5\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u201dHeffer \u548c Prud'homme \u5728\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ef7\u683c\u5bf9\u4e9a\u6d32\u519c\u6c11\u6765\u8bf4\u4e0d\u662f\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u6c34\u5e73\u7531\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u9a71\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u4e0e\u5317\u7f8e\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u519c\u6c11\u5bf9\u56fd\u9645\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0d\u662f\u5f88\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u201d\u8d6b\u5f17\u8bf4\u3002 \u201c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd8\u662f\u54cd\u5e94\u653f\u5e9c\u4e3a\u786e\u4fdd\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u800c\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u6fc0\u52b1\u63aa\u65bd\u800c\u589e\u52a0\u4ea7\u91cf\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u519c\u6c11\u7684\u8865\u8d34\uff0c\u4ee5\u751f\u4ea7\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8c37\u7269\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u867d\u7136\u4e9a\u6d32\u5c06\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u63a8\u52a8\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4f46\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u201c\u6839\u636e IFA 6 \u6708\u4efd\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u201c2012-2016 \u5e74\u4e2d\u671f\u80a5\u6599\u5c55\u671b\u201d\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5728\u5168\u7403\u589e\u957f\u4e2d\u7684\u6743\u91cd\u6b63\u5728\u9010\u6b65\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u800c\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u52a0\u5f3a\u5176\u4f5c\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u6269\u5f20\u5f15\u64ce\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u3002 \u201c\u9884\u8ba1\u4e1c\u6b27\u548c\u4e2d\u4e9a\u4ee5\u53ca\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u7a33\u6b65\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u5c31\u6570\u91cf\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4e1c\u4e9a\u3001\u5357\u4e9a\u548c\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u5408\u8ba1\u5c06\u5360\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u957f\u7684\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e09\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u653f\u7b56\u4e0e\u6ce2\u52a8<\/p>\n

\u867d\u7136\u8425\u517b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u524d\u666f\u770b\u597d\uff0c\u4f46\u8bb8\u591a\u56e0\u7d20\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9884\u6d4b\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u6b63\u5728\u5bfb\u627e\u6d88\u9664\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201cG20\u3001\u7cae\u519c\u7ec4\u7ec7\u548c\u7ecf\u5408\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u90fd\u5f3a\u8c03\u9700\u8981\u964d\u4f4e\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u4e0e\u519c\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u201d\u8d6b\u5f17\u8bf4\u3002\u4ed6\u89e3\u91ca\u8bf4\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u65e8\u5728\u51cf\u5c11\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u7684\u65b0\u673a\u5236\u5c06\u9f13\u52b1\u519c\u6c11\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u6295\u8d44\u4e8e\u63d0\u9ad8\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5316\u80a5\u3001\u6539\u826f\u54c1\u79cd\u7684\u79cd\u5b50\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u201c\u63d0\u9ad8\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u900f\u660e\u5ea6\u5df2\u7ecf\u53ef\u4ee5\u663e\u7740\u6539\u5584\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u201dHeffer \u8865\u5145\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5176\u4ed6\u51e0\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u6cd5\u6848\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u5171\u540c\u519c\u4e1a\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u4fee\u8ba2\u4ee5\u53ca\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u52a0\u5165 WTO \u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u4ef7\u683c\u548c\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u573a\u666f\u7ed3\u675f\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4ecd\u7136\u672a\u77e5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u6f14\u53d8\u4e3b\u8981\u53d7\u7d27\u4fcf\u5e02\u573a\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\uff0c\u201d\u8d6b\u5f17\u8bf4\u3002 \u201c\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u4e0e\u5929\u6c14\u6709\u5173\u7684\u4f5c\u7269\u77ed\u7f3a\u6216\u4efb\u4f55\u8d38\u6613\u9650\u5236\u53cd\u5e94\u5f3a\u70c8\u3002\u731c\u6d4b\u4f1a\u52a0\u5267\u8fd9\u79cd\u53cd\u5e94\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73af\u5883\u7684\u6f14\u53d8\u662f\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd\u524d\u666f\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e Heffer \u548c Prud'homme \u7684\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u201c\u4e2d\u671f\u519c\u4e1a\u524d\u666f\u6709\u671b\u523a\u6fc0\u80a5\u6599\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4f46\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u540c\u6bd4\u51fa\u73b0\u663e\u7740\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u957f\u671f\u524d\u666f\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u56fd\u8fbe\u5230\u6210\u719f\u671f\uff0c\u5316\u80a5\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u589e\u957f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u3002
\u201c\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u7684\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u5728\u8f83\u5c0f\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6307\u7684\u662f\u5370\u5ea6\uff0c\u201d\u8d6b\u5f17\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u5316\u80a5\u65bd\u7528\u91cf\uff0c\u5730\u533a\u548c\u79cd\u690d\u5236\u5ea6\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u663e\u7740\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u5bf9\u6c2e\u80a5\u548c\u78f7\u80a5\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u5f88\u5c0f\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u65bd\u80a5\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u5bf9\u94be\u80a5\u4e0d\u5229\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u524d\u666f\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6c2e\u80a5\u548c\u78f7\u80a5\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u94be\u80a5\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u957f\u66f4\u4e3a\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u4ed6\u89e3\u91ca\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f9b\u5e94<\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e Prud'homme \u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff0c\u5316\u80a5\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6709\u6548\u4ea7\u80fd\u63a5\u8fd1 95%\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u201c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e 2009-2010 \u5e74\u751f\u4ea7\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u5feb\u901f\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bfc\u81f4 2011 \u5e74\u5e02\u573a\u72b6\u51b5\u76f8\u5bf9\u7d27\u5f20\uff0c\u201dPrud'homme \u8bf4\u3002 \u201cIFA \u65e0\u6cd5\u9884\u6d4b\u8fd9\u4e00\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u8d70\u5411\u4f55\u65b9\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u3002\u201d
\u8ba1\u5212\u5728 2011 \u5e74\u81f3 2016 \u5e74\u95f4\u6295\u4ea7\u7684\u6240\u6709\u5316\u80a5\u751f\u4ea7\u9879\u76ee\u4e2d\uff0c\u7ea6\u6709\u4e00\u534a\u9762\u4e34\u5ef6\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u5ef6\u8bef\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u6280\u672f\u4e0a\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b8c\u5de5\u548c\u8c03\u8bd5\u82b1\u8d39\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6bd4\u9884\u671f\u7684\u8981\u957f\uff0c\u201dPrud'homme \u8bf4\u3002 \u201c\u603b\u7684\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u9879\u76ee\u90fd\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\uff0c\u5728\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u5b8c\u6210\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u957f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u201d
\u9884\u8ba1\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\u5c06\u542f\u52a8\u8fd1250\u4e2a\u65b0\u9879\u76ee\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u6570\u91cf\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u66f4\u6539\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd\u51e0\u5e74\u5185\u672a\u8ba1\u5212\u5f00\u59cb\u8fd0\u8425\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u3002 <\/p>\n

\u201c\u90e8\u5206\u65b0\u4ea7\u80fd\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u89c4\u5212\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u8ba1\u5212\u4e8e 2015-16 \u5e74\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u540e\u9762\u7684\u51e0\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u88ab\u53d6\u6d88\u6216\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u8fdf\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u51cf\u7f13\u4ea7\u80fd\u548c\u9884\u8ba1\u4f9b\u5e94\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u201d<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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