{"id":30897,"date":"2012-09-10T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2012-09-10T04:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/2012\/09\/10\/weather-bolsters-crop-prices-in-the-latter-half-of-2012\/"},"modified":"2014-11-21T09:22:21","modified_gmt":"2014-11-21T14:22:21","slug":"weather-bolsters-crop-prices-in-the-latter-half-of-2012","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/markets\/weather-bolsters-crop-prices-in-the-latter-half-of-2012\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5929\u6c14\u63d0\u632f 2012 \u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u7684\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u4ef7\u683c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6839\u636e Phillips McDougall \u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\uff0c2012 \u5e74\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u519c\u5316\u5e02\u573a\u8868\u73b0\u826f\u597d\uff0c\u4f46\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0d\u53ca 2011 \u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u5e73\u5747\u6765\u770b\uff0c2012\u5e74\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u9664\u5927\u7c73\u5916\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u5747\u4f4e\u4e8e2011\u5e74\u540c\u671f\uff0c\u4f462012\u5e74\u4e0d\u5229\u5929\u6c14\u5bf9\u4f5c\u7269\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5728\u5e74\u521d\u524d\u5bf9\u4f5c\u7269\u4ef7\u683c\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0d\u5927\u4eca\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n

2011\/12 \u519c\u4e1a\u5e74\u5ea6\u64ad\u79cd\u65f6\u4f5c\u7269\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4 2012 \u5e74\u4e0e 2011 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u5c0f\u9ea6\u3001\u7389\u7c73\u3001\u6c34\u7a3b\u3001\u5927\u8c46\u3001\u6cb9\u83dc\u548c\u68c9\u82b1\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u51fa\u73b0\u5dee\u5f02\u3002<\/p>\n

\u73af\u6e38\u4e16\u754c<\/strong><\/p>\n

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2011\/12 \u5e74\u5ea6\u5f00\u5c40\u826f\u597d\uff0c\u5929\u6c14\u8f6c\u597d\uff0c\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u4ef7\u683c\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u4fe1\u5fc3\u9ad8\u6da8\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u590f\u5b63\u7684\u5e72\u65f1\u5929\u6c14\u5bfc\u81f4\u5df4\u897f\u9664\u7389\u7c73\u5916\u7684\u6240\u6709\u4f5c\u7269\u51cf\u4ea7\uff0c\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u7684\u5e72\u65f1\u5929\u6c14\u4e5f\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86 2012\/13 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7684\u64ad\u79cd\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u52a0\u3001\u4f5c\u7269\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u6539\u5584\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7684\u519c\u7528\u5316\u5b66\u54c1\u4f7f\u7528\u7ee7\u7eed\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u519c\u4e1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u7684\u6539\u5584\u3002<\/p>\n

2012 \u5e74\uff0c\u6b27\u76df 27 \u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8c37\u7269\u64ad\u79cd\u9762\u79ef\u7565\u6709\u589e\u52a0 0.6%\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u4e2d\u8f6f\u9ea6\u9762\u79ef\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4f5c\u7269\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6b27\u76df 27 \u56fd\u7684\u7389\u7c73\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u589e\u52a0\u4e86 7.9%\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5411\u65e5\u8475\u9762\u79ef\u6709\u6240\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4f46\u6b27\u76df 27 \u56fd\u7684\u6cb9\u7c7d\u4f5c\u7269\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d (-6.2%)\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af 2010\/11 \u5e74\u5ea6\u7684\u8c37\u7269\u64ad\u79cd\u9762\u79ef\u56e0\u64ad\u79cd\u65f6\u7684\u5e72\u65f1\u5929\u6c14\u800c\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u8be5\u9762\u79ef\u5728 2011\/12 \u5e74\u5ea6\u6709\u6240\u6062\u590d\uff0c\u4f46\u51ac\u5b63\u6740\u622e\u9ad8\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u590f\u5b63\u5e72\u71e5\uff0c\u6291\u5236\u4e86\u4ea7\u91cf\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u6062\u590d2012. \u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u5e72\u65f1\u5929\u6c14\u5728 2012 \u5e74\u590f\u5b63\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u4e1c\u6b27\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u533a\u30022012 \u5e74\u6b27\u76df\u7684\u4f5c\u7269\u79cd\u690d\u5f00\u5c40\u826f\u597d\uff0c\u51ac\u5b63\u63d0\u524d\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u4f46\u6b64\u540e\u53d7\u5230\u5317\u90e8\u6f6e\u6e7f\u590f\u5b63\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u6b27\u6d32\uff0c\u4f46\u5357\u90e8\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u5e02\u573a\u5728 2010 \u5e74\u548c 2011 \u5e74\u90fd\u56e0\u6625\u5b63\u6d2a\u6c34\u800c\u53d7\u963b\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u51ac\u5b63\u8f83\u6e29\u548c\u4e14\u878d\u96ea\u8f83\u5c11\uff0c2012 \u5e74\u907f\u514d\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4f5c\u7269\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4e0a\u6da8 10.9%\uff0c\u6cb9\u83dc\u4e0a\u6da8 12.8%\uff0c\u5927\u8c46\u4e0a\u6da8 12.7%\uff0c\u7389\u7c73\u4e0a\u6da8 20.9%\u3002 2012 \u5e74\u7684\u524d\u666f\u8981\u4e50\u89c2\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u5728 2011 \u5e74\u906d\u9047\u5e72\u65f1\uff0c2012 \u5e74\u964d\u96e8\u91cf\u6709\u6240\u597d\u8f6c\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u672a\u6062\u590d\u5230\u6700\u4f73\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u9884\u8ba1\u5e02\u573a\u4f1a\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u7ee7 2011 \u5e74\u4e30\u6536\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u5c45\u9ad8\u4e0d\u4e0b\uff0c2012 \u5e74\u519c\u7528\u5316\u5b66\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u6709\u671b\u5728\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\u3002\u516c\u53f8\u4e1a\u7ee9\u8868\u660e 2012 \u5e74\u7684\u5b9a\u4ef7\u73af\u5883\u826f\u597d\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u9500\u91cf\u589e\u957f\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u4f7f\u516c\u53f8\u9500\u552e\u989d\u53d7\u76ca\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4ece 2011 \u5e74\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2d\u897f\u6b27\u7684\u5e72\u71e5\u590f\u5b63\u4e2d\u6062\u590d\u8fc7\u6765\uff0c2012 \u5e74\u786e\u5b9e\u5b58\u5728\u9500\u91cf\u673a\u4f1a\uff1b\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u3001\u6cf0\u56fd\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u6d2a\u6c34\uff1b\u4e2d\u56fd\u5317\u65b9\u5e72\u65f1\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7cae\u98df\u9762\u79ef\u51cf\u5c11\u3002\u65b0\u7684\u519c\u5316\u4ea7\u54c1\u7ee7\u7eed\u63a8\u52a8\u4ef7\u503c\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1 2011 \u5e74\u8349\u7518\u81a6\u603b\u4f53\u5e73\u5747\u4ef7\u683c\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\u30022012 \u5e74\u8349\u7518\u81a6\u4ef7\u683c\u660e\u663e\u66f4\u52a0\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e 10% \u6eb6\u6db2\u7684\u7981\u7528\u548c\u8f6c\u5411\u66f4\u9ad8\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\u4ea7\u54c1\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u5c55\u671b<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e1a\u7ee9\u7684\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u519c\u5316\u4ea7\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u30012011 \u5e74\u53d7\u5929\u6c14\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9500\u91cf\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5904\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u540e\u671f\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u3001\u4f5c\u7269\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u6c34\u5e73\u2014\u2014\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\uff0c\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u548c\u4e1c\u6b27\u3002<\/p>\n

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2013 \u5e74\u7684\u524d\u666f\u4e5f\u5f88\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u65b0\u6027\u72b6\u8fdb\u5165\u5e02\u573a\u3001\u4f5c\u7269\u4ef7\u683c\u6709\u5229\u4ee5\u53ca\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u91c7\u7528\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u5df4\u897f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6765\u6e90 Phillips McDougall\uff0c\u7531 FCI \u5458\u5de5\u7f16\u8f91<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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