{"id":49548,"date":"2014-07-02T09:14:54","date_gmt":"2014-07-02T13:14:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/?p=49548"},"modified":"2019-09-25T06:30:28","modified_gmt":"2019-09-25T10:30:28","slug":"4-questions-answered-on-the-u-s-crop-protection-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/agrochemicals\/4-questions-answered-on-the-u-s-crop-protection-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u5c55\u671b\u7684 4 \u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u89e3\u7b54"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Prochaska\"

\u666e\u7f57\u67e5\u65af\u5361<\/p><\/div>\n

Kline & Co. \u7684\u519c\u4e1a\/\u7279\u79cd\u519c\u836f\u4e1a\u52a1\u9879\u76ee\u7ecf\u7406 Joe Prochaska \u4e0e FCI<\/em>:<\/p>\n

1) \u4e0e 2013 \u5e74\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u60a8\u9884\u8ba1 2014 \u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u5982\u4f55\uff1f\u53d7\u6742\u8349\u6297\u6027\u548c\u66f4\u9ad8\u5236\u9020\u6210\u672c\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\u8349\u7518\u81a6\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u8d8b\u52bf\u4eca\u5e74\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\uff1f\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6211\u9884\u8ba1 2014 \u5e74\u5e02\u573a\u4e0e\u4e0a\u4e00\u5e74\u76f8\u6bd4\u5c06\u6301\u5e73\u6216\u7565\u6709\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u672c\u5b63\u5f00\u5c40\u8f83\u665a\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u5546\u5df2\u62a5\u544a\u5176\u5b63\u5ea6\u4e1a\u7ee9\u663e\u7740\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u9500\u552e\u989d\u6709\u6240\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u770b\u770b\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u4f1a\u5f88\u6709\u8da3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u6e20\u9053\u5185\u7684\u8349\u7518\u81a6\u5e93\u5b58\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u627f\u8bfa\u5728\u6625\u5b63\u64ad\u79cd\u5b63\u8282\u4e4b\u524d\u8fdb\u884c\u91c7\u8d2d\u3002\u5bd2\u51b7\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u5ef6\u8fdf\u4e86\u8349\u7518\u81a6\u7684\u55b7\u6d12\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u4e00\u4e24\u6b21\u55b7\u6d12\u6ca1\u6709\u843d\u5730\u3002\u5bf9\u65b0\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5e76\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8349\u7518\u81a6\u4ef7\u683c\u4fdd\u6301\u5e73\u7a33\uff0c\u8349\u7518\u81a6\u7684\u5236\u9020\u9500\u552e\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7389\u7c73\u64ad\u79cd\u9762\u79ef\u9884\u8ba1\u51cf\u5c11 4%\uff0c\u800c\u5927\u8c46\u64ad\u79cd\u9762\u79ef\u9884\u8ba1\u589e\u52a0 6%\u3002\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u4ece\u7389\u7c73\u8f6c\u5411\u5927\u8c46\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u5bf9\u6740\u866b\u5242\u548c\u6740\u83cc\u5242\u4ea7\u54c1\u9886\u57df\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n

2) \u4f60\u6700\u8fd1\u7684 \u7684\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5982\u662f\u8bf4\u3002<\/a> \u8868\u793a\u53bb\u5e74\u6742\u8349\u6297\u6027\u95ee\u9898\u6401\u7f6e\u4e86\u751f\u7269\u5e02\u573a\u2014\u2014\u4f60\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc4\u8bba\u5417\uff1f\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

2013 \u5e74\u9664\u8349\u5242\u5e02\u573a\u589e\u957f\u8d85\u8fc7 13%\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5f88\u5927\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u589e\u957f\u662f\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u5c06\u96be\u4ee5\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u6742\u8349\u4f5c\u4e3a\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5e74\u5185\u9664\u8349\u5242\u4f7f\u7528\u7387\u4ece 10% \u589e\u52a0\u5230 20% \u4ee5\u63a7\u5236\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6297\u6027\u6742\u8349\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u751f\u7269\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u5e02\u573a\u7ee7\u7eed\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u8865\u5145\u4e86\u5236\u9020\u5546\u5bf9\u4ea7\u91cf\u548c\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u5f88\u591a\u5174\u8da3\u548c\u7f8e\u5143\u90fd\u6295\u5165\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u793a\u4f8b\u5305\u62ec\u62dc\u8033\u6536\u8d2d AgraQuest\u3001\u5148\u6b63\u8fbe\u6536\u8d2d\u5df4\u65af\u5fb7\u5229\u4e9a\u751f\u7269\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u5df4\u65af\u592b\u5728 2012 \u5e74\u6536\u8d2d\u8d1d\u514b\u5c14\u5b89\u5fb7\u4f0d\u5fb7\u3002\u6211\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u662f\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u578b\u5236\u9020\u5546\u4ecd\u5728\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6536\u8d2d\u7684\u4e1a\u52a1\u548c\u65b0\u5f00\u53d1\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u7eb3\u5165\u5176\u5168\u7403\u4ea7\u54c1\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u5e76\u5f00\u53d1\u8fd9\u4e00\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u65b0\u4e1a\u52a1\u7eb3\u5165\u5176\u6218\u7565\u8425\u9500\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u516c\u53f8\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u8fd0\u8425\u6240\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u51b3\u7b56\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5236\u9020\u3001\u6ce8\u518c\u3001\u7269\u6d41\u548c\u7814\u53d1\u6210\u672c\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u62dc\u8033\u6700\u8fd1\u5ba3\u5e03\u6b63\u5728\u5fb7\u56fd\u5efa\u8bbe\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u751f\u7269\u690d\u7269\u5236\u9020\u5de5\u5382\uff0c\u4ee5\u6ee1\u8db3\u5176\u751f\u7269\u4ea7\u54c1\u65e5\u76ca\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5168\u7403\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u6b63\u5728\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u751f\u7269\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u53d1\u6325\u7740\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6bcf\u5e74\u90fd\u88ab\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u91c7\u7528\u3002\u6211\u76f8\u4fe1\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u51e0\u5e74\u91cc\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u770b\u5230\u5927\u91cf\u65b0\u7684\u751f\u7269\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4ea7\u54c1\u53ef\u4ee5\u5355\u72ec\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0e\u65b0\u5316\u5b66\u7ed3\u5408\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n

3) \u6742\u8349\u6297\u836f\u6027\u5982\u4f55\u663e\u7740\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5316\u5b66\u54c1\u4f7f\u7528\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1f\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u91c7\u7528\u54ea\u4e9b\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u914d\u65b9\u6765\u89c4\u907f\u8010\u836f\u6027\uff1f\u968f\u7740\u5236\u9020\u5546\u5f00\u53d1\u5177\u6709\u591a\u79cd\u4f5c\u7528\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u65b0\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u60a8\u5e0c\u671b\u54ea\u4e9b\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u914d\u65b9\u6210\u4e3a\u7545\u9500\u4ea7\u54c1\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u65e9\u5728 1950 \u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u5173\u4e8e\u6742\u8349\u6297\u6027\u7684\u9996\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\uff1b\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5bf9\u519c\u4e1a\u6784\u6210\u4e25\u91cd\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u6297\u6027\u6742\u8349\u79cd\u7c7b\u4e8e 2000 \u5e74\u9996\u6b21\u5728\u7279\u62c9\u534e\u5dde\u7684\u5927\u8c46\u7530\u4e2d\u88ab\u53d1\u73b0\u3002\u5230 2005 \u5e74\uff0c\u6742\u8349\u6297\u6027\u9014\u5f84\u904d\u53ca\u4e2d\u897f\u90e8\u3001\u4e1c\u5317\u90e8\u548c\u4e1c\u5357\u90e8\u7684 17 \u4e2a\u5dde\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u6709\u4e94\u79cd\u6742\u8349\uff0c\u5305\u62ec, marestail, waterhemp, giant ragweed and johnsongrass and common ragweed. 2009 \u5e74\uff0c\u8be5\u8bdd\u9898\u6210\u4e3a\u884c\u4e1a\u5185\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e25\u8083\u8ba8\u8bba\uff0c\u5230 2013 \u5e74\uff0c\u5df2\u786e\u8ba4\u8d85\u8fc7 50 \u79cd\u6297\u9664\u8349\u5242\u6742\u8349\u7684\u53d1\u8868\u62a5\u544a\u8986\u76d6\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u79cd\u690d\u7684\u6240\u6709\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u9762\u79ef\u7684 27%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u5230\u5341\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u5f00\u59cb\u6df7\u5408\u4ed6\u4eec\u81ea\u5df1\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u9664\u8349\u5242\u6df7\u5408\u7269\uff0c\u4ee5\u9488\u5bf9\u4ed6\u4eec\u7530\u5730\u4e2d\u96be\u4ee5\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u6742\u8349\uff0c\u800c\u5236\u9020\u5546\u5219\u901a\u8fc7\u63d0\u4f9b\u9488\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6742\u8349\u5f00\u53d1\u7684\u65b0\u4ea7\u54c1\u548c\u5316\u5b66\u54c1\u6765\u5e94\u5bf9\u3002\u6700\u521d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u9500\u552e\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u4e0e\u8349\u7518\u81a6\u6216\u8349\u94f5\u81a6\u7ed3\u5408\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4eff\u5236\u836f\u516c\u53f8\u9500\u552e\u7684\u8f83\u65e7\u7684\u5316\u5b66\u54c1\u3002\u8fdb\u5165\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3\u4ea7\u54c1\u5305\u542b\u4e24\u79cd\u6d3b\u6027\u6210\u5206\uff0c\u4ee5\u9488\u5bf9\u4e24\u79cd\u4f5c\u7528\u6a21\u5f0f\u548c\u9664\u8349\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6742\u8349\u5bf9\u591a\u79cd\u4f5c\u7528\u6a21\u5f0f\u4ea7\u751f\u6297\u836f\u6027\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u5546\u9700\u8981\u63d0\u9ad8\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u5e76\u5f88\u5feb\u5f00\u53d1\u51fa\u5305\u542b\u4e09\u79cd\u4f5c\u7528\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u6765\u9488\u5bf9\u6297\u6027\u6742\u8349\u3002\u516c\u53f8\u5f88\u5feb\u5f00\u59cb\u4f7f\u7528\u521b\u9020\u6027\u7684\u8425\u9500\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5236\u9020\u5546\u4e4b\u95f4\u7b7e\u7f72\u4e86\u7814\u53d1\u5408\u4f5c\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u4e0e\u9700\u8981\u5176\u5316\u5b66\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u7ed3\u76df\uff0c\u53cd\u4e4b\u4ea6\u7136\u3002\u8fd8\u5236\u5b9a\u4e86\u8425\u9500\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\u6210\u529f\u9488\u5bf9\u6742\u8349\u6297\u6027\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5176 Roundup Rewards \u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u5b5f\u5c71\u90fd\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u5236\u9020\u5546\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u5171\u540c\u9500\u552e\u4e0e\u5176\u5408\u4f5c\u4f19\u4f34\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u4e00\u8d77\u4f7f\u7528\u7684 Roundup\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u9488\u5bf9\u68c9\u82b1\u548c\u5927\u8c46\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9664\u4e86\u4f7f\u7528\u9488\u5bf9\u591a\u79cd\u4f5c\u7528\u65b9\u5f0f\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\u4ea7\u54c1\u5916\uff0c\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u8fd8\u91c7\u7528\u4e86\u591a\u6837\u5316\u7684\u6742\u8349\u7ba1\u7406\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u5305\u62ec\u4f7f\u7528\u6b8b\u7559\u7684\u9664\u8349\u5242\u6765\u51cf\u5c11\u8349\u7518\u81a6\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\u6b21\u6570\u548c\u5728\u79cb\u5b63\u65bd\u7528\u9664\u8349\u5242\u3002\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\uff0c\u79cb\u5b63\u65bd\u7528\u9664\u8349\u5242\u53ef\u4ee5\u6210\u4e3a\u63a7\u5236\u51ac\u5b63\u4e00\u5e74\u751f\u6742\u8349\u7684\u6709\u6548\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4f7f\u82d7\u5e8a\u66f4\u6e29\u6696\u3001\u66f4\u5e72\u71e5\uff0c\u5e76\u6539\u5584\u79cd\u5b50\u4e0e\u571f\u58e4\u7684\u63a5\u89e6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u4e5f\u5728\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u89e3\u51b3\u8349\u7518\u81a6\u6297\u6027\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u51c6\u5907\u63a8\u51fa\u5168\u65b0\u4e00\u4ee3\u6297\u9664\u8349\u5242\u4f5c\u7269\u4f9b\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5148\u6b63\u8fbe\u6700\u8fd1\u5ba3\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u9879 \u65b0\u578b\u9664\u8349\u5242<\/a> \u542b\u6709\u56db\u79cd\u6d3b\u6027\u6210\u5206\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u7389\u7c73\u51fa\u82d7\u524d\u548c\u51fa\u82d7\u540e\u63d0\u4f9b\u6b8b\u7559\u6742\u8349\u63a7\u5236\u3002\u8be5\u4ea7\u54c1\u5c06\u4f5c\u4e3a Acuron \u4e0a\u5e02\u9500\u552e\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u53ef\u63a7\u5236 70 \u591a\u79cd\u9614\u53f6\u6742\u8349\u548c\u4e00\u5e74\u751f\u79be\u672c\u79d1\u690d\u7269\u3002<\/p>\n

\u62dc\u8033\u4f5c\u7269\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u5148\u6b63\u8fbe\u90fd\u5728\u5f00\u53d1\u5bf9 HPPD \u6291\u5236\u7c7b\u9664\u8349\u5242\u4ee5\u53ca\u8349\u94f5\u81a6\u548c\u8349\u7518\u81a6\u5177\u6709\u6297\u6027\u7684\u751f\u7269\u6280\u672f\u5927\u8c46\u3002\u8be5\u7cfb\u7edf\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4e8e 2015 \u5e74\u6216\u66f4\u665a\u63a8\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n

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