{"id":56451,"date":"2015-12-02T09:43:26","date_gmt":"2015-12-02T14:43:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.farmchemicalsinternational.com\/?p=56451"},"modified":"2021-06-14T15:35:17","modified_gmt":"2021-06-14T19:35:17","slug":"climate-change-likely-to-impede-progress-on-global-food-security-usda-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/industry-news\/climate-change-likely-to-impede-progress-on-global-food-security-usda-warns\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u963b\u788d\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8 (USDA) \u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u5173\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u53ca\u5176\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u79d1\u5b66\u8bc4\u4f30\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u963b\u788d\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u5728\u51cf\u5c11\u5168\u7403\u8425\u517b\u4e0d\u826f\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u9898\u4e3a \u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7cae\u98df\u7cfb\u7edf<\/a>\uff0c\u786e\u5b9a\u4e86\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u6784\u6210\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u4ee5\u53ca\u519c\u6c11\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5728\u9002\u5e94\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u6761\u4ef6\u65b9\u9762\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002\u7ef4\u5c14\u8428\u514b\u90e8\u957f\u5728 COP-21 \u5df4\u9ece\u6c14\u5019\u5927\u4f1a\u671f\u95f4\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5e94\u5bf9\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u751f\u4ea7\u4e2d\u65ad\u5bfc\u81f4\u5f53\u5730\u4f9b\u5e94\u53d7\u9650\u548c\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u3001\u8fd0\u8f93\u6e20\u9053\u4e2d\u65ad\u548c\u98df\u54c1\u5b89\u5168\u4e0b\u964d\u7b49\u539f\u56e0\u524a\u5f31\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u5168\u7403\u7a77\u4eba\u548c\u70ed\u5e26\u5730\u533a\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u6700\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u603b\u7edf\u5df2\u627f\u8bfa\u5230 2025 \u5e74\u5c06\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u51cf\u5c11\u5230 2005 \u5e74\u6c34\u5e73\u4ee5\u4e0b 26%-28%\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u6b63\u5728\u5e2e\u52a9\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e00\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u6c11\u3001\u7267\u573a\u4e3b\u548c\u6797\u52a1\u5458\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u529b\uff0c\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5411\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u4f20\u8fbe\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u8fc7\u53bb\u516d\u5e74\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u6210\u529f\u3002\u4e0e\u516d\u5e74\u524d\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u4eca\u5929\u7cae\u98df\u4e0d\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u4eba\u6570\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u4e24\u4ebf\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6311\u6218\u662f\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u9762\u4e34\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u5426\u4fdd\u6301\u751a\u81f3\u52a0\u901f\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u201d\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u957f\u6c64\u59c6\u7ef4\u5c14\u8428\u514b\u8bf4\u3002 \u201c\u6211\u4eec\u4eca\u5929\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u907f\u514d\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6700\u5177\u7834\u574f\u6027\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u9014\u5f84\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201c\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u7cae\u98df\u751f\u4ea7\u4e2d\u65ad\u548c\u98df\u54c1\u5b89\u5168\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5f53\u5730\u4f9b\u5e94\u53d7\u9650\u548c\u98df\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u98ce\u9669\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u8d2b\u56f0\u4eba\u53e3\u548c\u70ed\u5e26\u5730\u533a\u6765\u8bf4\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u201d\u603b\u7edf\u79d1\u6280\u52a9\u7406\u517c\u767d\u5bab\u79d1\u6280\u653f\u7b56\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u4e3b\u4efb\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u970d\u5c14\u5fb7\u4f26\u535a\u58eb\u8bf4\u3002 \u201c\u51c6\u786e\u8bc6\u522b\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u8106\u5f31\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u6709\u6548\u5730\u9488\u5bf9\u6574\u4e2a\u7cae\u98df\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u505a\u6cd5\u548c\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u4e2d\u6539\u5584\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u7cfb\u7edf\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u5927\u9762\u79ef\u7684\u8015\u5730\u3001\u9ad8\u519c\u4e1a\u4ea7\u91cf\u3001\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u7efc\u5408\u8fd0\u8f93\u7cfb\u7edf\u548c\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u901a\u8fc7\u6539\u53d8\u4ece\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u8fdb\u53e3\u98df\u54c1\u7684\u7c7b\u578b\u548c\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u901a\u8fc7\u6539\u53d8\u51fa\u53e3\u9700\u6c42\u4ee5\u53ca\u4fc3\u8fdb\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u7684\u8fd0\u8f93\u3001\u52a0\u5de5\u3001\u50a8\u5b58\u548c\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u6765\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u548c\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n

\u968f\u7740\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5e45\u5ea6\u548c\u901f\u5ea6\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u98ce\u9669\u4e5f\u5728\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u4e0e\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u548c\u6d53\u5ea6\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u548c\u6d53\u5ea6\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4ea7\u751f\u7834\u574f\u6027\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u56e2\u961f\u5ba1\u67e5\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u573a\u666f\u3002\u5728\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5230 2080 \u5e74\uff0c\u9762\u4e34\u98df\u7269\u4e0d\u8db3\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u4eba\u6570\u5c06\u6bd4\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u589e\u52a0\u591a\u8fbe 1.75 \u4ebf\u3002\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5f3a\u52b2\u4ee5\u53ca\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u51cf\u5c11\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u5bfc\u81f4\u5927\u91cf\u4e0e\u4eca\u5929\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u7cae\u98df\u4e0d\u5b89\u5168\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u6709\u6240\u51cf\u5c11\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u60c5\u666f\u4e2d\uff0c\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u4e5f\u6bd4\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u5bfc\u81f4\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u4e0d\u5b89\u5168\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6709\u6548\u7684\u9002\u5e94\u53ef\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u7cae\u98df\u7cfb\u7edf\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u8106\u5f31\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u51cf\u5c11\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5bf9\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u4e0d\u5229\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f46\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6761\u4ef6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u963b\u788d\u91c7\u7528\u6280\u672f\u4e0a\u53ef\u884c\u7684\u9002\u5e94\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\u5728\u9002\u5e94\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u65b9\u9762\u6709\u7740\u826f\u597d\u7684\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u673a\u4f1a\u53ef\u4ee5\u52a0\u5f3a\u519c\u4e1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e76\u4e3a\u4f4e\u4ea7\u519c\u4e1a\u5730\u533a\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u4f5c\u7269\u751f\u4ea7\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u5176\u4ed6\u6709\u5e0c\u671b\u7684\u9002\u5e94\u63aa\u65bd\u5305\u62ec\u901a\u8fc7\u521b\u65b0\u5305\u88c5\u51cf\u5c11\u98df\u7269\u6d6a\u8d39\uff0c\u6269\u5927\u51b7\u85cf\u4ee5\u5ef6\u957f\u4fdd\u8d28\u671f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6539\u5584\u8fd0\u8f93\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u4ee5\u66f4\u5feb\u5730\u5c06\u98df\u7269\u8fd0\u9001\u5230\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n

2015 \u5e74 4 \u6708 23 \u65e5\uff0c\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u957f\u7ef4\u5c14\u8428\u514b\u5ba3\u5e03 \u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u6c14\u5019\u667a\u80fd\u578b\u519c\u4e1a\u7684 10 \u4e2a\u57fa\u77f3<\/a>\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u5957\u5168\u9762\u7684\u81ea\u613f\u8ba1\u5212\u548c\u4e3e\u63aa\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5230 2025 \u5e74\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u51c0\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u5e76\u52a0\u5f3a\u78b3\u56fa\u5b58\u8d85\u8fc7 1.2 \u4ebf\u516c\u5428\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u5f53\u91cf\u2014\u2014\u7ea6\u5360\u6574\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u7684 2%\u3002\u5341\u4e2a\u201c\u57fa\u77f3\u201d\u6db5\u76d6\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u51cf\u5c11\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u3001\u589e\u52a0\u78b3\u50a8\u5b58\u548c\u4ea7\u751f\u6e05\u6d01\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u6280\u672f\u548c\u5b9e\u8df5\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u90e8\u8fd8\u901a\u8fc7\u56fd\u5185\u80fd\u529b\u5efa\u8bbe\u3001\u57fa\u7840\u548c\u5e94\u7528\u7814\u7a76\u4ee5\u53ca\u652f\u6301\u6539\u8fdb\u5e02\u573a\u4fe1\u606f\u3001\u7edf\u8ba1\u548c\u5206\u6790\u6765\u652f\u6301\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u3002<\/p>\n

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