{"id":58328,"date":"2016-08-19T10:56:56","date_gmt":"2016-08-19T14:56:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=58328"},"modified":"2019-09-25T06:31:25","modified_gmt":"2019-09-25T10:31:25","slug":"live-from-the-trade-summit-more-generics-more-mergers-to-follow-a-tough-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/agrochemicals\/live-from-the-trade-summit-more-generics-more-mergers-to-follow-a-tough-year\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8d38\u6613\u5cf0\u4f1a\u73b0\u573a\u76f4\u64ad\uff1a\u66f4\u591a\u4eff\u5236\u836f\uff0c\u66f4\u591a\u5408\u5e76\u4ee5\u5ea6\u8fc7\u8270\u96be\u7684\u4e00\u5e74"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_58044\" style=\"width: 590px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-58044\" class=\"size-full wp-image-58044\" src=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/TS-lead-in_2.jpg\" alt=\" \u201cEverybody wants to be in the (off-patent) sector, but we have to avoid dragging things from proprietary immediately into commodity status by everybody making it and no product differentiation.\u201d --Dr. Bob Fairclough \" width=\"580\" height=\"326\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/TS-lead-in_2.jpg 580w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/TS-lead-in_2-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/TS-lead-in_2-320x180.jpg 320w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/TS-lead-in_2-501x282.jpg 501w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/TS-lead-in_2-136x77.jpg 136w, https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/TS-lead-in_2-330x185.jpg 330w, 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https:\/\/d6kq167ddwbdq.cloudfront.net\/farmchemint\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/TS-lead-in_2-100x57.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 580px) 100vw, 580px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-58044\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u201c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u60f3\u8fdb\u5165\uff08\u65b0\u5174\u7684\u975e\u4e13\u5229\uff09\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u907f\u514d\u8ba9\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u5236\u9020\u5b83\u5e76\u4e14\u6ca1\u6709\u4ea7\u54c1\u5dee\u5f02\u5316\uff0c\u5c06\u4e8b\u7269\u4ece\u4e13\u6709\u7acb\u5373\u62d6\u5165\u5546\u54c1\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u201d \u2013\u535a\u58eb\u9c8d\u52c3\u8d39\u5c14\u514b\u62c9\u592b<\/p><\/div>\n<p>2015 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u690d\u4fdd\u5e02\u573a\u89c4\u6a21\u4e0b\u964d 9.8% \u81f3 $556 \u4ebf\uff0c\u4e3a\u8fd1 5 \u5e74\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u53d7\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u548c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u4f4e\u7684\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u4f46\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u5df2\u5230\u4f4d\uff0c\u770b\u6da8\u524d\u666f\u66f4\u4e3a\u4e50\u89c2\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\uff0cBob Fairclough \u535a\u58eb\u5728 <em>AgriBusiness Global<\/em> 8 \u6708 18 \u65e5\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f5b\u7f57\u91cc\u8fbe\u5dde\u5965\u5170\u591a\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u5cf0\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Fairclough \u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4ece\u6b27\u5143\u3001\u5904\u7406\u9762\u79ef\u548c\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u5b83\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u589e\u957f\u3002\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u516d\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u5e02\u573a\u6bcf\u5e74\u589e\u957f 4.6%\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5360\u4e86\u53bb\u5e74\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u91cd\u65b0\u593a\u56de\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u7b2c\u4e00\u5927\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c2015 \u5e74\u7565\u5fae\u8d85\u8fc7\u5df4\u897f\uff0c\u5176\u51fa\u5382\u9500\u552e\u989d\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e $80 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ee5\u7ea6 $60 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u524d\u5236\u9020\u5546\u6c34\u5e73\u9500\u552e\u989d\u6392\u540d\u7b2c\u4e09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53bb\u5e74\u9664\u8349\u5242\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u6700\u5927\uff0c\u800c\u53bb\u5e74\u6740\u83cc\u5242\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u4f18\u4e8e\u6240\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u9886\u57df\u2014\u2014Fairclough \u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u4ecd\u5728\u7ee7\u7eed\u3002 \u201c\u968f\u7740\u65b0\u5174\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5bcc\u88d5\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u4ece\u9700\u8981\u7684\u6740\u866b\u5242\u8f6c\u5411\u63d0\u4f9b\u989d\u5916\u54c1\u8d28\u7684\u6740\u771f\u83cc\u5242\u3002\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u770b\u5230\u6740\u83cc\u5242\u884c\u4e1a\u589e\u957f\u66f4\u5feb\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53bb\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6ca1\u6709\u54ea\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u80fd\u5e78\u514d\u4e8e\u519c\u4e1a\u5316\u5b66\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u4f46\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u6253\u51fb\u6700\u4e3a\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5fb7\u56fd\u3002 Fairclough \u5c06\u4f0a\u6717\u5217\u4e3a 2015 \u5e74\u8868\u73b0\u6700\u5dee\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5f53\u5730\u8d27\u5e01\u8d2c\u503c\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\u4f0a\u6717\u5c06\u5728\u672a\u6765\u8f6c\u5411\u589e\u957f\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u52a0\u7eb3\u3001\u82ac\u5170\u3001\u5e0c\u814a\u3001\u963f\u5c14\u53ca\u5229\u4e9a\u3001\u514b\u7f57\u5730\u4e9a\u3001\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u3001\u5c3c\u52a0\u62c9\u74dc\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u548c\u6bd4\u5229\u65f6\u4e5f\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4f73\u3002 Fairclough \u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u653f\u5e9c\u5411\u4eff\u5236\u836f\u5f00\u653e\u5e02\u573a\u4ee5\u53ca\u5927\u7c73\u5173\u7a0e\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\u5185\u9010\u5e74\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u53bb\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u6240\u6709\u5730\u533a\u90fd\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u6709\u7a81\u51fa\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u5f15\u9886\u589e\u957f\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff1a\u7f57\u9a6c\u5c3c\u4e9a\u2014\u2014\u8fc7\u53bb\u516d\u5e74\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u4e24\u4f4d\u6570\u7684\u589e\u957f\u2014\u2014\u54e5\u65af\u8fbe\u9ece\u52a0\u3001\u4e4c\u62c9\u572d\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u5c3c\u897f\u4e9a\u3001\u5c3c\u65e5\u5229\u4e9a\u3001\u5df4\u62c9\u572d\u3001\u6d2a\u90fd\u62c9\u65af\u3001\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u3001\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u548c\u8d8a\u5357\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u66f4\u591a\u4eff\u5236\u836f\uff0c\u66f4\u591a\u5408\u5e76<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4e13\u5229\u8fc7\u671f\u4ea7\u54c1\u76ee\u524d\u5360\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u5e02\u573a\u603b\u91cf\u7684 77.5%\uff0c\u800c\u4e13\u5229\u4ea7\u54c1\u4e3a 22.5%\u3002 Fairclough \u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\uff08\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff09\u5728\u884c\u4e1a\u89c4\u6a21\u548c\u884c\u4e1a\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u5411\u524d\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u9762\u786e\u5b9e\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u201d\u5728\u672a\u6765\u56db\u5230\u4e94\u5e74\u5185\uff0c\u4e13\u5229\u5230\u671f\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u5c06\u6bcf\u5e74\u589e\u52a0 1% \u81f3 2%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u519c\u4e1a\u5316\u5b66\u7684\u4f4e\u8ff7\u5bf9\u4eff\u5236\u836f\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u4f24\u5bb3\u5927\u4e8e\u8de8\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u5bb9\u5ffd\u89c6\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4eff\u5236\u836f\u516c\u53f8\u662f\u8de8\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u2014\u2014\u9676\u6c0f\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u662f\u8349\u7518\u81a6\uff0c\u800c\u5148\u6b63\u8fbe\u987e\u540d\u601d\u4e49\u662f\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4eff\u5236\u836f\u516c\u53f8\u3002 \u201c\u8f83\u65e7\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u6bd4\u4e13\u6709\u4ea7\u54c1\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u66f4\u5927\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u957f\u671f\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u975e\u4e13\u5229\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u4e00\u516c\u65a4\u6d3b\u6027\u6210\u5206\u5e73\u5747\u7ea6 $15\u3002\u4e13\u5229\u4ea7\u54c1\u5219\u5f62\u6210\u9c9c\u660e\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u516c\u65a4$193\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u636e Fairclough \u79f0\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\u5185\u4e13\u5229\u5230\u671f\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u5c06\u5360\u636e\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u7ea6 14% \u81f3 15%\uff0c\u6216\u7ea6 $80 \u81f3 $90 \u4ebf\u6d3b\u6027\u6210\u5206\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a\u6bcf\u516c\u65a4 $181\u3002 Fairclough \u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u60f3\u8fdb\u5165\uff08\u65b0\u5174\u7684\u975e\u4e13\u5229\uff09\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u907f\u514d\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u5728\u5236\u9020\u5b83\u5e76\u4e14\u6ca1\u6709\u4ea7\u54c1\u5dee\u5f02\u5316\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5c06\u4e8b\u7269\u4ece\u4e13\u6709\u7acb\u5373\u62d6\u5165\u5546\u54c1\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u201d \u201c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u901a\u7528\uff0c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4e0d\u4e13\u6709\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u6beb\u65e0\u7591\u95ee\u7684\u3002\u5b83\u6b63\u5728\u4ece\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\u5265\u79bb\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u6570\u91cf\u65b9\u9762\u770b\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u5f88\u96be\u770b\u5230\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u672a\u6765 15 \u5e74\u5185\uff0c\u4e13\u5229\u5230\u671f\u7684 AI 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