{"id":60709,"date":"2018-01-29T08:53:21","date_gmt":"2018-01-29T13:53:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/?p=60709"},"modified":"2021-05-24T14:52:38","modified_gmt":"2021-05-24T18:52:38","slug":"global-crop-protection-product-supply-demand-and-use-trends-a-positive-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/markets\/global-crop-protection-product-supply-demand-and-use-trends-a-positive-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5168\u7403\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u4ea7\u54c1\u4f9b\u5e94\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u4f7f\u7528\u8d8b\u52bf\u2014\u2014\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u524d\u666f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>2017 \u5e74\u7ed3\u675f\u5982\u521d\uff1b\u8c08\u8bba\u5408\u5e76\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba12017\u5e74\u9676\u6c0f\u4e0e\u675c\u90a6\u5b8c\u6210\u201c\u5bf9\u7b49\u5408\u5e76\u201d\uff0c\u6709\u6548\u5b8c\u6210\u4e2d\u56fd\u5316\u5de5\u5bf9\u5148\u6b63\u8fbe\u7684\u6536\u8d2d\uff1b\u4e07\u4f17\u671f\u5f85\u7684\u62dc\u8033\u6536\u8d2d\u5b5f\u5c71\u90fd\u672a\u80fd\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u76df\u73b0\u5728\u51c6\u5907\u5411\u62dc\u8033\u53d1\u9001\u4e00\u4efd\u201c\u53cd\u5bf9\u58f0\u660e\u201d\uff0c\u5217\u51fa\u201c\u4ecd\u7136\u5173\u6ce8\u201d\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f 2018 \u5e74 3 \u6708\u5e0c\u671b\u7684\u5b8c\u6210\u65e5\u671f\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e09\u4e2a\u201c\u5927\u578b\u5408\u5e76\u201d\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5408\u5e76\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u76d1\u7ba1\u673a\u6784\u548c\u201c\u6295\u8d44\u754c\u201d\u5728\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5404\u4e2a\u5c42\u9762\u4fdd\u6301\u6d3b\u8dc3\u3002\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u4e0d\u662f\u5b98\u65b9\u7684\uff0c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/agrichemicals\/chemchina-sinochem-explore-possible-100-billion-merger\/\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u5316\u5de5\u548c\u4e2d\u5316<\/a> \u8ba1\u5212\u5728 2018 \u5e74\u5408\u5e76\uff1b\u6253\u9020\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5316\u5de5\u96c6\u56e2\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u8425\u6536\u63a5\u8fd1$1200\u4ebf\u3002\u867d\u7136\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65b0\u5b9e\u4f53\u5c06\u5728\u5168\u7403\u548c\u56fd\u5185\u7ee7\u7eed\u5fd9\u4e8e\u6574\u5408\u5148\u6b63\u8fbe\u548c\u5b89\u9053\u9ea6\u7684\u6536\u8d2d\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u5316\u5de5\u201c\u7a33\u5b9a\u201d\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u201c\u5206\u62c6\u201d\u8868\u660e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5916\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u4f01\u4e1a\u6536\u8d2d\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u5c1a\u672a\u7ed3\u675f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2017 \u5e74\u4e24\u8d77\u5927\u578b\u5e76\u8d2d\u7684\u53cd\u5784\u65ad\u8865\u6551\u63aa\u65bd\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u64a4\u8d44\u518d\u6b21\u91cd\u5851\u4e86\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u3002 EC\uff08\u6b27\u76df\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff09\u201c\u65b0\u9896\uff08\u4f46\u72ed\u9698\uff01\uff09\u53cd\u5784\u65ad\u7406\u8bba\u201d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5408\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u7814\u53d1\u9020\u6210\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u675c\u90a6\u64a4\u8d44\u7814\u53d1\u548c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e1a\u52a1\uff1b\u540e\u6765\u88abFMC\u63a5\u8d70\u4e86\u3002\u6b27\u76df\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5316\u5de5\/\u5148\u6b63\u8fbe\u7684\u540c\u6837\u5ba1\u67e5\u6709\u6548\u5730\u201c\u6302\u724c\u51fa\u552e\u201d\u4e86\u5b89\u9053\u9ea6\u5728\u6b27\u76df (EU) \u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.agribusinessglobal.com\/zh\/agrichemicals\/australias-nufarm-buys-crop-protection-assets-from-syngenta-adama\/\">Nufarm \u540e\u6765\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d44\u4ea7<\/a> \uff08\u6240\u8c13\u7684 Century \u4ea7\u54c1\uff09\u5408\u5e76\u9500\u552e\u989d\u7ea6\u4e3a $2 \u4ebf\uff0c\u201c\u73b0\u91d1\u5bf9\u4ef7\u201d\u7ea6\u4e3a $4.9 \u4ebf\uff1b\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u90a3\u80af\u5b9a\u662f 2017 \u5e74\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u8d38\u6613\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7684\u8865\u6551\u63aa\u65bd\u7a0d\u5fae\u4e0d\u90a3\u4e48\u4e25\u5389\uff1b Amvac \u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5f88\u5927\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u5f3a\u5236\u8d44\u4ea7\u51fa\u552e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u62dc\u8033\/\u5b5f\u5c71\u90fd\u7684\u5408\u5e76\uff0c\u5357\u975e\u7ade\u4e89\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u201c\u51fb\u8d25\u201d\u4e86\u6b27\u76df\u201c\u4e3a\u5408\u5e76\u540e\u7684\u5b9e\u4f53\u65bd\u52a0\u6761\u4ef6\u4ee5\u5265\u79bb\u548c\u51fa\u552e\u6574\u4e2a\u5168\u7403 Liberty Link \u6027\u72b6\u6280\u672f\u548c\u76f8\u5173\u7684 Liberty \u54c1\u724c\u519c\u7528\u5316\u5b66\u54c1\u4e1a\u52a1\u201d\u2014\u2014\u7b80\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\u201c\u8349\u94f5\u81a6\u53ca\u76f8\u5173\u6280\u672f\u7684\u5b9d\u8d35\u8d44\u4ea7\u201d\u3002\u6b64\u540e\uff0c\u5df4\u65af\u592b\u7b7e\u7f72\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u4ee5 59 \u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\uff08$71 \u4ebf\uff09\u7684\u5168\u73b0\u91d1\u6536\u8d2d\u4ef7\u683c\u6536\u8d2d\u8be5\u4e1a\u52a1\u4ee5\u53ca\u67d0\u4e9b\u4e2d\u8015\u4f5c\u7269\u79cd\u5b50\u4e1a\u52a1\u3002 2016 \u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u9500\u552e\u989d\u7ea6\u4e3a 13 \u4ebf\u6b27\u5143 ($15.6 \u4ebf)\u3002\u867d\u7136\u6309\u9762\u503c\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c59 \u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u9ad8\u4e58\u6570\uff0c\u4f46\u5df4\u65af\u592b\u7684\u6536\u8d2d\u6700\u7ec8\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u8865\u6551\u63aa\u65bd\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u65e8\u5728\u6d88\u9664\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u5408\u5e76\u524d\u8ba9\u6b65\uff0c\u4f46\u6b27\u76df\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4ecd\u672a\u88ab\u8bf4\u670d\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5047\u5b9a\u7684\u201c\u53cd\u5bf9\u58f0\u660e\u201d\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u4ecd\u7136\u672a\u77e5\uff0c\u4f46\u7814\u53d1\u3001\u852c\u83dc\u79cd\u5b50\u548c\u6280\u672f\u9886\u57df\u53ef\u80fd\u662f EC \u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7ecf\u8fc7 28 \u4e2a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5316\u548c\u4f18\u67d4\u5be1\u65ad\u7684\u6295\u7968\uff0c2017 \u5e74\u4e5f\u89c1\u8bc1\u4e86\u6b27\u76df\u8349\u7518\u81a6\u7684\u590d\u5174\u3002\u4ec5\u4ec5\u4e94\u5e74\u7684\u6279\u51c6\u662f\u4e0d\u591f\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u6295\u7968\uff08\u4ee5\u5fae\u5f31\u4f18\u52bf\u83b7\u80dc\uff09\u53cd\u5176\u9053\u800c\u884c\u4e4b\uff0c\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u5c06\u662f\u6df1\u8fdc\u7684\uff1b\u800c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u6b27\u76df\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u653f\u6cbb\u5e72\u9884\u3001\u8fc7\u5ea6\u76d1\u7ba1\u3001\u4ea4\u6613\u548c\u53cd\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ece\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e94\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u672c\u8eab\u7ee7\u7eed\u840e\u7f29\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56de\u987e\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u62a5\u544a\u4e86 2014 \u5e74\u4e30\u6536\u5e74 $605 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u6309\u524d\u516c\u53f8\u6c34\u5e73\u8861\u91cf\u7684\uff0c\u5e76\u59cb\u7ec8\u4f7f\u7528\u5e73\u5747\u5e74\u6c47\u7387\u3002\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u589e\u52a0\u8fd16%\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u7279\u522b\u8003\u8651\u5230\u5f53\u65f6\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73af\u5883\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u5230 2015 \u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u8270\u96be\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u540d\u4e49\u4e0a\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4e0b\u964d\u4e86\u7ea6 9.8% \u81f3 $546 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 2015 \u5e74\u4e5f\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u4e94\u5e74\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u957f\u7684\u7ed3\u675f\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e0b\u964d\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u5ef6\u7eed\uff0c2016 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u5e02\u573a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u964d 2.7% \u81f3 $531 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5f53\u4f60\u8003\u8651\u5230 2016 \u5e74\u516d\u5927\u516c\u53f8\u9500\u552e\u989d\u7684\u672a\u52a0\u6743\u5e73\u5747\u964d\u5e45\u4e0e 2015 \u5e74\u76f8\u6bd4\u660e\u663e\u66f4\u5927\u65f6\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e8c\u7ebf\u548c\u4e09\u7ebf\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u76f8\u5bf9\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u60c5\u51b5\u4f1a\u66f4\u52a0\u8270\u96be\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f 2016 \u5e74\u552f\u4e00\u906d\u53d7\u635f\u5931\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u76f8\u5173\u884c\u4e1a\u3002\u4f20\u7edf\u79cd\u5b50\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u4e0b\u6ed1\u5e45\u5ea6\u8f83\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u4e0b\u6ed1\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u786e\u5b9e\u770b\u5230\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u79cd\u690d\u9762\u79ef\u6e29\u548c\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u5728 2015 \u5e74\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u6839\u636e ISAAA \u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c2016 \u5e74 26 \u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u79cd\u690d\u4e86 1.85 \u4ebf\u516c\u9877\u7684\u8f6c\u57fa\u56e0\u4f5c\u7269\u2014\u2014\u6bd4\u8fd1 540 \u4e07\u516c\u9877\u589e\u52a0\u4e86 540 \u4e07\u516c\u98772015 \u5e74\u4e3a 1.8 \u4ebf\u516c\u9877\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u76ee\u524d\u4f4d\u4e8e\u7f8e\u6d32\u7684 90% \u5e02\u573a\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5411\u4e1c\u79fb\u52a8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5316\u5de5\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u6218\u7565\u5bb6\u6b63\u5728\u63a2\u7d22\u4ed6\u4eec\u65b0\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f53\u7136\u4f1a\u5bf9\u975e\u4e13\u5229\u519c\u836f\u884c\u4e1a\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9 U.$ \u4e0d\u5229\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e2d\u53d1\u6325\u4e86\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u548c\u4fe1\u8d37\u4f9b\u5e94\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u4e5f\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u591a\u53d8\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec 2015-16 \u5e74\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u5929\u6c14\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c3e\u58f0\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4e5f\u201c\u6291\u5236\u201d\u4e86\u589e\u957f\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u7684\u79cd\u690d\u8005\u901a\u8fc7\u6539\u53d8\u8d2d\u4e70\u6a21\u5f0f\u548c\u5c06\u8d2d\u4e70\u964d\u7ea7\u4e3a\u66f4\u4fbf\u5b9c\u7684\u975e\u4e13\u5229\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1\u7b49\u7b56\u7565\u6765\u5e94\u5bf9\u519c\u573a\u6536\u5165\u7684\u7d27\u7f29\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ece 2016 \u5e74\u4e30\u6536\u5e74 $531 \u4ebf\u7684\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u4f4e\u57fa\u6570\u6765\u770b\uff0c2017 \u5e74\u786e\u5b9e\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\u3002\u5c1a\u672a\u62a5\u544a\u6240\u6709\u5e02\u573a\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u4f46\u521d\u6b65\u8ff9\u8c61\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8e 2% \u70b9\uff1b\u6700\u65b0\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c2017 \u5e74\u4f5c\u7269\u4fdd\u62a4\u5e02\u573a\u89c4\u6a21\u4e3a $540.85 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